A Scoring System to Select the Candidates for Adjuvant Chemotherapy Alone in High-Risk Early-Stage Cervical Cancer Patients With Pelvic Lymph Node Metastases After Surgery.

BACKGROUND: The aim was to build a risk scoring system to guide the adjuvant treatment for early-stage cervical cancer patients with pelvic lymph node (LN) metastases after surgery. METHODS: A cohort of 1213 early-stage cervical cancer patients with pelvic LN metastases (T1-2aN1M0) were selected from the NCI SEER database, of which 1040 patients received adjuvant external beam radiotherapy concurrent with chemotherapy (EBRT+Chemo) and 173 patients received adjuvant chemotherapy alone. The Cox regression analysis was applied to identify the risk factors associated with worse survival. The exp (ß) of each independent risk factors from multivariate analysis was assigned to develop the risk scoring system. The total cohort was divided into different risk subgroups accordingly and the efficacy of different adjuvant modalities in each risk subgroups was compared. RESULTS: The patients were divided into 3 risk subgroups (Low-risk: total score <7.20, Middle-risk:7.20≤ total score≤ 8.40, High-risk: total score<8.40) based on the scoring system incorporating 5 independent risk factors. The survival analysis suggested that low-risk (hazard ratio [HR]=1.046, 95% CI: 0.586-1.867; P= 0.879) and middle-risk patients (HR=0.709, 95% CI: 0.459-1.096; P =0.122) could not benefit more from EBRT+Chemo than Chemo alone. However, EBRT+Chemo remained the superiority to Chemo alone in the high-risk subgroup (HR=0.482, 95% CI: 0.294-0.791; P =0.003). CONCLUSION: A risk scoring system has been built to direct the adjuvant treatment for early-stage cervical cancer patients with pelvic LN metastases after surgery, where Chemo alone was totally enough for low-risk and middle-risk patients stratified by the model while EBRT+Chemo was still recommended for patients in the high-risk subgroup.

A population-based risk scoring system to individualize adjuvant treatment for stage IIIC endometrial cancer patients after surgery.

BACKGROUND: To develop a risk scoring system to tailor the adjuvant treatment for stage IIIC EC patients after surgery. METHODS: Data source was from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) registry, where 3251 post-operative stage IIIC EC patients with different adjuvant treatment were included. Cox regression analysis was used to identify risk factors. The exp (ß) of each independent risk factors generating from the cox analysis was used to construct the risk scoring system, which was further utilized to divide the patients into different risk subgroups and the efficacy of different adjuvant modalities in each risk subgroups would be compared accordingly. RESULTS: Six independent risk factors were identified to develop the scoring system, which further divided the patients into three risk subgroups based on the total risk score (Low-risk≤8.46, 8.47 ≤ Middle-risk≤9.94, High-risk≥9.95). This study revealed that CRT was not superior to RT alone (HR:1.208, 95%CI: 0.852-1.741; P = 0.289) or CT alone (HR:1.260, 95%CI: 0.750-2.116; P = 0.382) in Low-risk subgroup. We also observed that CRT had a survival advantage over other treatment modalities in the Middle-risk subgroup (All P < 0.001), but CRT and CT alone to be superimposable in the High-risk subgroup (HR: 1.395, 95%CI: 0.878-2.216; P = 0.159). CONCLUSION: A risk scoring system has been developed to tailor the adjuvant treatment for stage IIIC EC patients after surgery, where RT or CT alone could be a substitute for CRT in Low-risk patients and CT alone was a potential alternative for High-risk patients while CRT remained to be the optimal choice for the Middle-risk patients.

Prognostic model for the exemption of adjuvant chemotherapy in stage IIIC endometrial cancer patients.

Background: This study aimed to develop a nomogram to predict the survival for stage IIIC endometrial cancer (EC) patients with adjuvant radiotherapy (ART) alone and personalize recommendations for the following adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT). Methods: In total, 746 stage IIIC EC patients with ART alone were selected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) registry. Cox regression analysis was performed to identify independent risk factors. A nomogram was developed accordingly, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and C-index were implemented to assess the predictive power. The patients were divided into different risk strata based on the total points derived from the nomogram, and survival probability was compared between each risk stratus and another SEER-based cohort of stage IIIC EC patients receiving ART+ACT (cohort ART+ACT). Results: Five independent predictors were included in the model, which had favorable discriminative power both in the training (C-index: 0.732; 95% CI: 0.704-0.760) and validation cohorts (C-index: 0.731; 95% CI: 0.709-0.753). The patients were divided into three risk strata (low risk <135, 135 ≤ middle risk ≤205, and high risk >205), where low-risk patients had survival advantages over patients from cohort ART+ACT (HR: 0.45, 95% CI: 0.33-0.61, P < 0.001). However, the middle- and high-risk patients were inferior to patients from cohort ART+ACT in survival (P < 0.001). Conclusion: A nomogram was developed to exclusively predict the survival for stage IIIC EC patients with ART alone, based on which the low-risk patients might be perfect candidates to omit the following ACT. However, the middle- and high-risk patients would benefit from the following ACT.

Construction and validation of a prognostic model for stage IIIC endometrial cancer patients after surgery.

BACKGROUND: To explore the most predictive lymph node (LN) scheme for stage IIIC endometrial cancer (EC) patients after hysterectomy and develop a scheme-based nomogram. METHODS: Data from 2626 stage IIIC EC patients, diagnosed between 2010 and 2014, were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) registry. The predictive ability of four LN schemes was assessed using C-index and Akaike information criterion (AIC). A nomogram based on the most predictive LN scheme was constructed and validated. The comparison of the predictive ability between nomogram and FIGO stage was conducted using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and decision curve analysis (DCA). RESULTS: FIGO stage (stage IIIC1/stage IIIC2) was not an independent risk factor for OS in stage IIIC EC patients (P = 0.672) and log odds of positive lymph nodes (LODDS) had the best predictive ability (C-index: 0.742; AIC: 8228.95). A nomogram based on LODDS was constructed and validated, which had a decent C-index of 0.742 (0.723-0.762). The nomogram showed a better predictive ability than that of the FIGO staging system. CONCLUSION: FIGO IIIC1/FIGO IIIC2 could not differentiate the prognosis for stage IIIC EC patients. We developed and validated a nomogram based on LODDS to predict OS for post-operative patients with stage IIIC EC.

A real-world, population-based study of the trends for incidence and prognosis in high-grade neuroendocrine tumor of cervix.

To explore the incidence and prognosis trends for high-grade cervical neuroendocrine tumor (HGCNET) and construct a nomogram to predict prognosis for HGCNET. Annual age-adjusted incidence of HGCNET from 1975 to 2015 was retrieved from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program, the linear regression, poisson regression and annual percentage changes were used to assess the incidence trend. Also, trends for relative survival (RS) and overall survival (OS) in HGCNET patients from 1975 to 2015 were evaluated. From 1988 to 1975, 514 HGCNET patients were selected and divided into two cohorts with a ratio of 7:3. Nomogram to predict OS for these patients was constructed and validated. The incidence trend for HGCNET was unchanged in the past four decades (P = 0.734), but the proportion of HGCNET in diagnosed cervical cancer slightly increased from 0.9% in 1975 to 1.9% in 2015 (P < 0.001). The 5-year RS and OS for HGCNET in the study periods decreased steadily (RS: P = 0.009; OS: P = 0.008). Nomogram incorporating age, T stage, lymph-node positive, distant metastasis and surgery was constructed. The C-index of the nomogram was 0.716 (0.680-0.752), which was higher than the FIGO staging system. The incidence of HGCNET remained unchanged in the past four decades but the proportion of HGCNET has slightly increased. Besides, a steadily decreasing survival for HGCNET was observed in the study periods. A nomogram was constructed to better predict prognosis for HGCNET.