Attributable factors for the rising cesarean delivery rate over 3 decades: an observational cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Cesarean delivery rates continue to rise globally, the reasons for which are incompletely understood. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to characterize the attributable factors for the increasing cesarean delivery rates over a 30-year period within our health network. STUDY DESIGN: This was a planned observational cohort study across 2 hospitals (a large tertiary referral hospital and a metropolitan hospital) in Sydney, Australia using data from a previously published study. The following 2 time periods were compared: 1989-99 and 2009-16, between which the cesarean delivery rate increased from 19% to 30%. The participants were all women who had a cesarean delivery after 24 weeks' gestational age. The data were analyzed using multiple imputation and robust Poisson regression to calculate the differences in the adjusted and unadjusted relative risk of cesarean delivery and estimate the changes in the cesarean delivery rate attributable to maternal and clinical factors. The primary outcome was cesarean delivery. RESULTS: After 576 exclusions, 102,589 births were included in the analysis. Fifty-six percent of the increase in the rate of cesarean delivery was attributed to changes in the distribution of the maternal age, body mass index, and parity and to a history of previous cesarean delivery. An additional 10% of the increase was attributed to changes in the obstetrical management of the following high-risk pregnancies: multiple gestation, malpresentation (mainly breech), and preterm singleton birth. When prelabor cesarean deliveries for maternal choice, suspected fetal compromise, previous pregnancy issues, and suspected large fetus were excluded, 78% of the increase was attributed to either maternal factors or changes in the obstetrical management of these high-risk pregnancies. CONCLUSION: Most of the steep rise in the cesarean delivery rate from 19% to 30% was attributed to changes in the maternal demographic and clinical factors. This observation is relevant to developing preventative strategies that account for nulliparity, age, body mass index, and management of high-risk pregnancies.

Cesarean delivery: Trend in indications over three decades within a major city hospital network.

INTRODUCTION: The cesarean delivery rate has been increasing globally in recent decades. The reasons for this are complex and subject to ongoing debate. Investigation of the indications for cesarean delivery and how these have changed over an extended period of time could provide insight into the reasons for changing obstetric practice. Our objective was to explore contributing factors to the increasing rate of cesarean delivery by examining the incidence of and indications for cesarean delivery over the past three decades at our institutions. MATERIAL AND METHODS: We conducted a retrospective observational study of all cesarean deliveries, from 24 weeks' gestational age onwards, within an inner-city hospital network in Sydney, Australia, between August 1989 and December 2016. The primary outcome measures were the rates of and indications for emergency and planned cesarean delivery. We also examined our data within the Robson 10-Group Classification system. RESULTS: There were 147 722 births over the study period, with 37 309 cesarean deliveries for an overall rate of 25.3%. The rate of cesarean delivery increased from 18.7% in 1989-1994 (8.7% emergency, 10% planned) to 30.4% in 2010-2016 (11.4% emergency, 19% planned). Emergency cesarean delivery for slow progress increased from 3.4% to 5.5% of all births (a relative increase of 62%) and other emergency cesareans mainly performed for suspected intrapartum fetal compromise increased from 5.2% to 5.6% (a relative increase of 8%). Previous uterine surgery (predominantly cesarean section) was the largest contributor to the increase in planned procedures from 3.8% to 9.0% of all births, and 29% of all cesarean deliveries. Primary cesarean delivery for planned antenatal fetal indications, previous pregnancy problems, multiple gestation and maternal choice all increased substantially in combined rate from 0.7% to 4.9%. Cesarean rates in Robson groups 6, 7 and 8 (term breech and multiple gestations) increased most over time. CONCLUSIONS: The increased rate of cesarean delivery is mainly attributable to a greater number of procedures performed for slow progress in labor, breech presentation or repeat cesarean section.

Evaluation of platelet lymphocyte ratio and 90-day mortality in patients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.

BACKGROUND: Acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) have high mortality and health care costs. The platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR) is a marker of inflammation and has been reported to be elevated in patients with AECOPD compared to stable state. In this study, we sought to evaluate the association of the PLR in patients with AECOPD with 90-day mortality. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of patients admitted to our institution with a primary diagnosis of AECOPD between January 2014 and July 2014. Blood test results on admission were recorded. The primary outcomes were 90-day mortality. RESULTS: One hundred and eighty-one AECOPD patients were considered for the study. Death had occurred in 16 (9%) patients within 90 days of hospital discharge. Univariable analysis identified age, haemoglobin, neutrophil count, and urea level, neutrophil lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and PLR as being associated with increased 90-day mortality. Multivariable logistic regression analysis variables demonstrated that only PLR (P=0.03) was significantly associated with death at 90 days. Receiver operator characteristic analysis identified PLR ≥235 had a sensitivity of 63% and specificity of 74% in predicting 90-day mortality. PLR was ≥235 was also associated with worse survival (days) [mean ± standard deviation (SD): PLR ≥235 vs. PLR <235: 512±358 vs. 626±346, P=0.004]. CONCLUSIONS: A PLR ≥235 was significantly associated with 90-day mortality, which may provide prognostic guidance to clinicians.

Malnutrition screening in patients admitted to hospital with an exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and its association with patient outcomes.

OBJECTIVES: There is a paucity of information on the prevalence and clinical implications of malnutrition in patients hospitalised for management of acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD). This study aimed to fill this gap in knowledge. METHODS: We performed a retrospective observational cohort study of 100 hospitalised AECOPD patients. The Malnutrition Screening Tool (MST) was used to identify patients at risk of malnutrition (MST ≥2). Patient characteristics, length of stay, readmission rate, 12-month survival and overall survival were collected using a proforma. RESULTS: MST scores were available in 90 patients, of whom 22% of patients had a MST score of ≥2. There were no significant differences in COPD severity, treatment received and biochemical parameters between the groups of patients 'at risk of malnutrition' and those 'not at risk of malnutrition'. Length of stay in hospital was longer in patients 'at risk of malnutrition' (median (IQR): 3.5 (2-7.5) vs. 3.0 (1-5), p = 0.048). Overall survival was significantly reduced in patients with 'at risk of malnutrition' compared to those patients 'not at risk of malnutrition' (337 ± 245 vs. 670 ± 292, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Using the MST we found that one-fifths of our hospitalised AECOPD patients are at 'at risk of malnutrition'. Moreover, this cohort of patients had worse outcomes both during and extending beyond hospitalisation compared to patients 'not at risk of malnutrition'. Our study illustrates the need for routine malnutrition screening for hospitalised AECOPD patients because it has implications for potentially reducing morbidity and mortality in COPD.