RESUMO
BACKGROUND: Globally, pneumonia is the leading cause of children under age five morbidity and mortality with 98% of deaths in developing countries. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to identify the determinants of longitudinal measures of pneumonia and time to convalescence or recovery of under five admitted pneumonia patients at Felege Hiwot Referral Hospital, Bahir Dar, Ethiopia. METHODS: A prospective cohort study was conducted among a randomly selected sample of 101 pneumonia patients using simple random sampling who were on follow up from December 2019 to February 2020. A Linear mixed effect model were used for the longitudinal outcomes and joint model for modeling both longitudinal and time to event outcomes jointly respectively. RESULTS: The significant values of shared parameters in the survival sub model shows that the use of joint modeling of multivariate longitudinal outcomes with the time to event outcome is the best model compared to separate models. The estimated values of the association parameters: - 0.297(p-value = 0.0021), - 0.121) (p-value = < 0.001) and 0.5452 (p-value = 0.006) indicates association of respiratory rate, pulse rate and oxygen saturation respectively with time to recovery. The significant values show that there is an evidence to say that there is a negative relationship between longitudinal measures of respiratory rate and pulse rate with time to recovery and there is positive relationship between longitudinal measures of oxygen saturation with time to recovery. Variables age, birth order, dangerous signs, severity and visit time were significant factors on the longitudinal measure of pulse rate. The significant factors related to longitudinal measures of oxygen saturation were birth order, severity and visit. From this we can conclude that birth order, severity and visit were significant variables that simultaneously affect the longitudinal measures of respiratory rate, pulse rate and oxygen saturation of patients at 5% level of significance. CONCLUSION: Results of multivariate joint analysis shows that severity was significant variable that jointly affects the three longitudinal measures and time to recovery of pneumonia patients and we can conclude that patients with severe pneumonia have high values of respiratory rate and pulse rate as well as less amount of oxygen saturation and they need longer time to recover from the disease.
RESUMO
BACKGROUND: Stillbirth is one of general medical issues that could contribute significantly to creating nations like Ethiopia. This study aimed to determine the prevalence and related factors of stillbirth among deliveries at Amhara region, Ethiopia. METHODS: The study used the Ethiopian Mini Demographic and Health Survey (EMDHS) data collected from 2555 eligible Amhara region women in 2014. Bi-variable and multi-variable binary logistic regression analysis was used. RESULTS: The prevalence of stillbirth outcomes became 85 per 1000 (total live birth). Besides, majority of women did not attend any formal education and had no antenatal care follow up. Women whose age at first birth below 18 years were 1859(72.8%) and the mean preceding birth interval were 33.6 months. Even women who attended primary and above education were about 50% and they were less likely to have had stillbirth outcomes than those who had no education (AOR: 0.505, 95% CI 0.311-0.820) and women having higher household wealth index were less likely to have had stillbirth outcomes as it is compared to the reference category. Moreover, women having preceding birth interval above 36 months were about 89% of less likely to end up stillbirth outcomes as compared to women having preceding birth interval below 24 months (AOR: 0.109, 95% CI 0.071-8.0.168). CONCLUSIONS: It could be inferred that a stillbirth result is one of the general medical issues in Amhara Region. Among different factors considered in this study, age, age at first birth, wealth index, birth order number and preceding birth interval in months were found to be significantly associated factors for stillbirth. Therefore, more awareness of early birth, widening birth interval, enhancing maternal care (for aged women) and early birth order number could be recommended.
