Randomized phase 2b trial of tofacitinib (CP-690,550) in de novo kidney transplant patients: efficacy, renal function and safety at 1 year.

In this Phase 2b study, 331 low-to-moderate risk de novo kidney transplant patients (approximately 60% deceased donors) were randomized to a more intensive (MI) or less intensive (LI) regimen of tofacitinib (CP-690, 550), an oral Janus kinase inhibitor or cyclosporine (CsA). All patients received basiliximab induction, mycophenolic acid and corticosteroids. Primary endpoints were: incidence of biopsy-proven acute rejection (BPAR) with a serum creatinine increase of ≥0.3 mg/dL and ≥20% (clinical BPAR) at Month 6 and measured GFR at Month 12. Similar 6-month incidences of clinical BPAR (11%, 7% and 9%) were observed for MI, LI and CsA. Measured GFRs were higher (p < 0.01) at Month 12 for MI and LI versus CsA (65 mL/min, 65 mL/min vs. 54 mL/min). Fewer (p < 0.05) patients in MI or LI developed chronic allograft nephropathy at Month 12 compared with CsA (25%, 24% vs. 48%). Serious infections developed in 45%, 37% and 25% of patients in MI, LI and CsA, respectively. Anemia, neutropenia and posttransplant lymphoproliferative disorder occurred more frequently in MI and LI compared with CsA. Tofacitinib was equivalent to CsA in preventing acute rejection, was associated with improved renal function and less chronic allograft histological injury, but had side-effects at the doses evaluated.

Irreproducibility of the activity and chronicity indices limits their utility in the management of lupus nephritis. Lupus Nephritis Collaborative Study Group.

Histological indices of renal pathology in lupus nephritis have been proposed as prognostic signs and as a method to quantitate therapeutic response. We tested the reproducibility of the activity (AI) and chronicity indices (CI) in the renal biopsies from 83 patients with lupus nephritis, enrolled in a controlled therapeutic trial. The AI/CI were calculated separately by four renal pathologists using published criteria. Pair-wise Spearman's rank correlation coefficient was used to examine the relationship among the scores of the four raters, and their degree of reproducibility was evaluated using the coefficient of reliability. The mean CI scores ranged from 2.84 to 4.61, and the mean AI ranged from 9.64 to 12.89. The correlation among the different pathologist's scores ranged from 0.44 to 0.63 for the AI and 0.60 to 0.76 for the CI. One pathologist (M.M.S.) rated the biopsies twice, and the correlation between the two ratings was 0.58 for the AI and 0.74 for the CI. Thus, the AI and CI calculated by different pathologists and the temporally separate observations of a single observer were only moderately correlated. The reproducibility of a single rating was low, showing a reliability coefficient of 0.48 for the AI and 0.57 for the CI. The low reliability coefficient suggests that the variability among pathologists was the result of interpretative differences. We conclude that the AI/CI are too subjective to be used as therapeutic guides or as prognosticators.

Role of pathology indices in the management of severe lupus glomerulonephritis. Lupus Nephritis Collaborative Study Group.

The principal value of the renal biopsy in patients with SLE is as a therapeutic guide. Although semiquantitative indices of nephron loss (chronicity = CI) and acute potentially reversible inflammation (activity = AI) are reported by some to have separate values from traditional classifications of glomerular pathology as predictors of outcome and therapeutic guides, this point remains controversial. We have tested the predictive value of the AI and CI in a large group of patients with severe lupus glomerulonephritis (SLE GN) and a mean follow-up of 281 weeks +/- 116 (mean +/- SD). A total of 86 patients entered into the study of plasmapheresis in severe SLE GN by the Lupus Nephritis Collaborative Study Group, and long-term follow-up was available in 83. The predictive value of the AI and the CI was described over the entire range of cut-off points by the method of receiver operator characteristics (ROC). ROC analysis demonstrated that there was no level of either AI or CI that predicted the outcome of death or renal failure with sufficient sensitivity and specificity to be useful in the individual patient. The CI signifies renal damage and nephron loss, whereas the AI describes potentially reversible pathology. Neither the CI nor the AI taken by itself predicts individual outcomes of renal failure or death in patients with aggressively treated SLE GN. Since the indices fail to identify the patient whose disease will progress to renal failure, they are both insufficient as therapeutic guides and add little to the management of the patient with severe SLE GN.

A controlled trial of plasmapheresis therapy in severe lupus nephritis. The Lupus Nephritis Collaborative Study Group.

BACKGROUND: The prognosis of patients with systemic lupus erythematosus who have glomerulonephritis is poor, despite treatment with immunosuppressive therapy. Plasmapheresis therapy has been used, but there have been few controlled clinical observations of its efficacy. METHODS: We carried out a randomized, controlled trial comparing a standard-therapy regimen of prednisone and cyclophosphamide (standard therapy) with a regimen of standard therapy plus plasmapheresis in 86 patients with severe lupus nephritis in 14 medical centers. The patients underwent plasmapheresis three times weekly for four weeks. Drug therapy was standardized, with strict adherence to nine detailed medical-management protocols. RESULTS: Forty-six patients received standard therapy, and 40 patients received standard therapy plus plasmapheresis. The mean follow-up was 136 weeks. Six patients (13 percent) in the standard-therapy group and eight patients (20 percent) in the plasmapheresis group died. Renal failure developed in 8 patients (17 percent) in the standard-therapy group, as compared with 10 (25 percent) in the plasmapheresis group. Thirty patients (35 percent) reached stopping points--14 (30 percent) in the standard-therapy group and 16 (40 percent) in the plasmapheresis group. A similar number of patients in each group had a decrease in both the serum creatinine concentration and urinary protein excretion to approximately normal values. Patients treated with plasmapheresis had a significantly more rapid reduction of serum concentrations of antibodies against double-stranded DNA and cryoglobulins. CONCLUSIONS: Treatment with plasmapheresis plus a standard regimen of prednisone and cyclophosphamide therapy does not improve the clinical outcome in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus and severe nephritis, as compared with the standard regimen alone.

Termination of a clinical trial with no treatment group difference: the Lupus Nephritis Collaborative Study.

The Lupus Nephritis Collaborative Study (LNCS) was a multicenter randomized clinical trial designed to assess the effects of standard drug therapy alone versus drug therapy plus plasmapheresis (plasma exchange) on the incidence of fatal or nonfatal renal failure associated with lupus nephritis. After 86 patients had been entered, with a mean of 97 weeks of follow-up, the trial was terminated partly due to lack of a beneficial effect of plasmapheresis. Although there are numerous methods for the statistical analysis of emerging results in a clinical trial, there have been relatively few descriptions of the application of these methods to the termination of a clinical trial when no favorable difference exists between groups. This report presents a review of the statistical methods employed for the pivotal interim analyses of the LNCS that were performed in order to help reach the decision to terminate the trial. These included the assessment of unconditional power post-hoc and the assessment of conditional power using an exact method appropriate for small sample sizes. Conditional power was used to assess the likelihood of detecting a significant treatment effect in the future given the data thus far observed and given reasonable hypotheses regarding the nature of the possible differences between the treatment groups. In addition, weighted-likelihood ratios (Bayes odds ratios) were computed to assess the likelihood of various alternative hypotheses given the present data. We show how such analyses can be useful in reaching a decision to terminate a trial that fails to show a treatment effect.

Progression and remission of renal disease in the Lupus Nephritis Collaborative Study. Results of treatment with prednisone and short-term oral cyclophosphamide.

OBJECTIVE: To describe the clinical course of severe lupus nephritis and to identify the risk factors for progression to renal failure among patients treated with prednisone and short-term courses of low-dose oral cyclophosphamide. DESIGN: Ancillary analyses of data from the Lupus Nephritis Collaborative Study (LNCS). SETTING: University hospital medical centers (14). PATIENTS: The 86 patients who participated in the LNCS (mean follow-up, 136 weeks [2.6 years]) and a subgroup of 63 patients with follow-up of more than 48 weeks (mean follow-up, 160 weeks [3.1 years]). MEASUREMENTS: Initial clinical and pathologic features, response to therapy within 48 weeks, and subsequent clinical events, including development of renal failure. MAIN RESULTS: Renal failure developed in 18 patients (21%). An observed elevation in serum creatinine concentration was the only initial feature predictive of subsequent renal failure. Mean (+/- SD) initial serum creatinine levels were higher in patients who subsequently developed renal failure (244 +/- 134 mumol/L [2.76 +/- 1.52 mg/dL] compared with 163 +/- 103 mumol/L [1.85 +/- 1.17 mg/dL]; P = 0.007). The risk for renal failure was higher among patients with initial serum creatinine levels greater than 106 mumol/L (1.2 mg/dL) (29% compared with 6.5%; P = 0.014). Response to therapy (defined as resolution of initial serum creatinine elevations within 48 weeks) refined the prognosis based on initial serum creatinine determinations. The risk for subsequent renal failure was higher among patients who failed to respond to therapy within 48 weeks (30% compared with 0%; P = 0.015). By comparison, 9% of patients with normal initial serum creatinine levels progressed to renal failure after 48 weeks. CONCLUSIONS: Initial serum creatinine levels and responses to initial therapy with prednisone and short-term cyclophosphamide, as used in the LNCS, can guide further therapy. Patients with normal initial serum creatinine levels or resolution of initial serum creatinine elevations within 48 weeks have a low risk for renal failure and may not require long-term treatment with cyclophosphamide.

The lack of relationship between hepatotoxicity and lithocholic-acid sulfation in biliary bile acids during chenodiol therapy in the National Cooperative Gallstone Study.

To test whether hepatotoxicity occurring in National Cooperative Gallstone Study patients was caused by a toxic effect of chenodiol per se or of lithocholate caused by defective sulfation, bile samples were analyzed using a new high-performance liquid chromatography method that measures the proportions of the four individual lithocholate amidates (sulfated and unsulfated lithocholylglycine and lithocholyltaurine) and all common bile acid amidates. Samples were obtained from National Cooperative Gallstone Study patients (n = 17) with abnormal light microscopic liver biopsy results or major aminotransferase elevations and from a matched control group of patients (n = 14) who received similar chenodiol doses but had no evidence of liver injury. Bile samples from 45 healthy subjects were also analyzed. The analytical method was validated by showing that the percentage of chenodiol and cholic and deoxycholic acid obtained by high-performance liquid chromatography correlated highly (r greater than 0.94) with previous gas-liquid chromatography analyses of these samples by the National Cooperative Gallstone Study Reference Laboratory. No significant differences were seen between gallstone patients with and without evidence of liver injury for percent total lithocholate amidates, percent sulfated or unsulfated lithocholate amidates or percent chenodiol amidates. Lithocholate was partially sulfated in all bile samples (52% +/- 17% [mean +/- S.D., n = 50]), but the extent of sulfation varied widely between and within patients during the course of therapy. Mean values of healthy subjects were similar and also showed a wide range in the extent of lithocholate sulfation. It is concluded that (a) liver injury caused by these doses of chenodiol could not be attributed to the accumulation of unsulfated lithocholate per se in circulating bile acids; (b) liver injury appeared to be, directly or indirectly, caused by enrichment in circulating bile acids with chenodiol or chenodiol together with lithocholate, suggesting that the hepatocytes of those patients with hepatotoxicity were injured by the change induced in bile-acid metabolism by the feeding of chenodiol; and (c) about half of lithocholate amidates in bile samples were sulfated, but the extent of sulfation was highly variable both in gallstone patients and healthy subjects.

Plasmapheresis does not increase the risk for infection in immunosuppressed patients with severe lupus nephritis. The Lupus Nephritis Collaborative Study Group.

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether plasmapheresis increases the risk for infection in immunosuppressed patients. DESIGN: Randomized, controlled trial. SETTING: Multicenter. PATIENTS: Eighty-six patients enrolled in a trial of plasmapheresis for severe diffuse proliferative lupus nephritis. INTERVENTIONS: Forty-six of the patients received high-dose steroid therapy plus cyclophosphamide therapy for 8 weeks. Thereafter, cyclophosphamide therapy was discontinued, and steroid therapy was tapered (standard treatment group). Forty patients received identical treatment and had 12 plasmapheresis procedures during the first 4 weeks of the treatment. MEASUREMENTS: Patients were examined for the development of infection. MAIN RESULTS: No statistical difference in age, sex, race, serum creatinine level, proteinuria, or complement levels was found between the two groups. Over a follow-up period of 5376 patient-weeks, 74% of patients in the standard treatment group had 62 infections, yielding an aggregate infection rate of 1.15 infections per 100 weeks (median individual infection rate, 1.08; 25th and 75th percentiles, 0.0 and 2.44). This rate was comparable to that seen in the plasmapheresis-treated patients who were followed for 4187 patient-weeks: 68% had 51 infections, for an aggregate infection rate of 1.22 infections per 100 weeks (median individual infection rate, 0.94; 25th and 75th percentiles, 0.0 and 2.32). The infection rate was also comparable in the initial acute phase of the study, despite the fact that patients who received plasmapheresis then had significantly lower immunoglobulin (IgG) levels (P less than 0.001). Neither the site (superficial compared with systemic) nor the nature (conventional compared with unconventional) of infection differed statistically between the two groups. Of 14 patient deaths, 7 were from infection (4 in control group and 3 in the plasmapheresis group). CONCLUSION: Plasmapheresis did not increase the risk for infection in immunosuppressed patients with severe lupus nephritis.

Clinical outcome of three discrete histologic patterns of injury in severe lupus glomerulonephritis.

There is a spectrum of glomerular pathology in patients with severe lupus glomerulonephritis (GN) that includes (1) severe segmental GN (SEG) with greater than or equal to 50% of glomeruli involved by active segmental inflammation, (2) diffuse GN, and (3) membranous GN with associated severe SEG or diffuse GN (MGN + PGN). The clinical and laboratory characteristics at entry and at follow-up of 85 patients in a prospective therapeutic trial of plasmapheresis were examined to determine if these morphologic variants had prognostic implications. Addition of plasmapheresis to the therapeutic regimen did not affect outcome, and the two treatment groups were analyzed together. Patients with the three patterns of lupus GN were similar demographically and clinically, and they had similar serum creatinines at entry (SEG, 1.87 +/- 0.28 mg/dL [mean +/- SE], v diffuse GN, 2.11 +/- 0.21, v MGN + PGN, 2.12 +/- 0.26; P = 0.75). Although significant differences were found in the initial serum C3 (SEG, 46 +/- 5 mg/dL, v diffuse GN, 34 +/- 3, v MGN + PGN, 45 +/- 3; P = 0.02) and urinary protein excretion (SEG, 3.6 +/- 0.6 g/24 h, v diffuse GN, 6.0 +/- 0.7, v MGN + PGN, 6.7 +/- 0.9; p = 0.03), none of the clinical or laboratory data predicted the morphologic pattern of the glomerular lesion. Adverse outcomes included defined clinical stop points, nonfatal renal failure, and death. One half of the patients with MGN + PGN (13/26) had an adverse outcome, compared with 5/24 patients with SEG and 11/35 patients with diffuse GN. This trend was supported by actuarial analysis of outcomes showing that patients with MGN + PGN had the lowest cumulative proportion without adverse outcome after 175 weeks of follow-up (MGN + PGN, 0.40, v SEG, 0.77, v diffuse GN, 0.64; P = 0.04). We concluded that (1) at presentation, the specific glomerular lesion in severe lupus GN cannot be predicted on clinical or serological criteria alone; (2) on the basis of morbidity and mortality, cases with all three morphologic variants should be classified as severe lupus GN; and (3) patients with MGN + PGN appear to experience more adverse outcomes than patients with SEG or diffuse GN.

The effects of chenodiol on biliary lipids and their association with gallstone dissolution in the National Cooperative Gallstone Study (NCGS).

The National Cooperative Gallstone Study was a double-masked trial conducted to determine the efficacy and safety of chenodeoxycholic acid (chenodiol) for dissolution of cholesterol gallstones. Patients with radiolucent gallstones were randomly allocated to either a high dose (750 mg/d, n = 305) or low dose (375 mg/d, n = 306) of chenodiol or placebo (n = 305) administered for 2 yr. Specimens of gallbladder bile were obtained for biliary lipid analysis on 50% of all white obtained for biliary lipid analysis on 50% of all white patients at base line and after 3-mo therapy, on 45% at 12 mo, and on 36% at 24 mo. Among these specimens, 20% were inadequate for analysis. For analysis of data, available values during therapy were averaged up to time of dissolution, study exit, or study termination. In the high-dose group, percent chenodiol (molar percent of all bile acids) increased markedly and remained high during the 2 yr of follow-up. Also, molar percent cholesterol decreased significantly and remained low during the 2 yr of follow-up. In the low-dose group, percent chenodiol increased and remained significantly increased. Percent cholesterol saturation decreased at 3 mo, but at 24 mo it was not different from that in the placebo group, suggesting a physiological adaptation to the low dose by 2 yr. 79% of patients on high dose had greater than 70% chenodiol. Among these, half showed unsaturated bile (less than 100% cholesterol saturation) while the remainder were supersaturated; in the former group with unsaturated bile, 23% had complete dissolution and 51% had partial (greater than 50% reduction in stone size) or complete dissolution. In contrast, those with over 70% chenodiol and supersaturated bile had only 5% complete dissolution. Thus, development of unsaturated bile was a major factor associated with gallstone dissolution. The data also indicate that values for percent cholesterol saturation were a better predictor of gallstone dissolution than molar percent chenodiol, although a high percent chenodiol usually was required to obtain unsaturation.

Low-dose chenodiol to prevent gallstone recurrence after dissolution therapy.

Chenodiol is a safe and effective agent for the medical dissolution of gallstones in selected patients; however, after dissolution and cessation of treatment, gallstones recur. This study was done to determine the recurrence rate after successful medical treatment and cessation of chenodiol therapy; compare the efficacy and safety of low-dose chenodiol, as compared to placebo, for prophylaxis against recurrence; and identify factors predictive of recurrence. In a randomized, double-blind fashion, 53 patients with gallstone dissolution received either chenodiol, 375 mg/d, or placebo, for at least 2 years. Standardized oral cholecystograms were done at 6 months, 1 year, and then yearly thereafter. Routine laboratory testing was done every 6 months. The cumulative rate of recurrence (life-table) was 27% in patients followed for up to 3.5 years. Chenodiol, 375 mg/d, was ineffective in preventing the recurrence of gallstones. No demographic, clinical, roentgenographic, or biochemical characteristics were predictive of recurrence.

Ultrastructural evidence of intrahepatic cholestasis before and after chenodeoxycholic acid therapy in patients with cholelithiasis: the national cooperative gallstone study.

Electron microscopy was performed to assess potential hepatotoxicity before and after 9 and 24 months of chenodeoxycholic acid (CDCA) therapy (375 or 750 mg, daily) in 103 patients with cholelithiasis. Prior to treatment, 64% of the biopsies demonstrated ultrastructural evidence of intrahepatic cholestasis, manifested by abnormal bile canaliculi, thickened pericanalicular ectoplasm, and retention of biliary material within liver cells or pericellular spaces. After 9 months of CDCA therapy, several changes (including increased free cytoplasmic "biliary pigment," decreased canalicular microvilli, and increased pericanalicular ectoplasm) consistent with intrahepatic cholestasis became more prevalent (63% prior to therapy, 89% at 9 months, p less than 0.01) regardless of CDCA dose. After 24 months of therapy, canalicular microvilli and pericanalicular ectoplasm continued to be abnormal (p less than 0.01). This study indicates that ultrastructural evidence of intrahepatic cholestasis is a common subclinical abnormality in patients with cholelithiasis which increases during CDCA therapy, changes which could represent either the natural history of cholelithiasis or CDCA toxicity. A drug effect is suggested by the lack of correlation of these abnormalities with the duration of cholelithiasis prior to CDCA treatment and their "increasing" prevalence after only 9 months of therapy. In addition, canalicular membrane lesions developed in two patients which were similar to lithocholate toxicity in animals. It is not known whether these abnormalities would result in clinically significant hepatoxicity if therapy is continued for longer than 24 months.

Pretreatment biliary lipid composition in white patients with radiolucent gallstones in the National Cooperative Gallstone Study.

Biliary lipid classes (bile acids, phospholipids, cholesterol) as well as individual biliary bile acids were measured in duodenal bile samples obtained before treatment from 284 white men and 264 white women participating in the National Cooperative Gallstone Study. The patients had radiolucent gallstones present in visualizing gallbladders. Calculated biliary cholesterol saturation was significantly higher in women (143 +/- 43, mean +/- SD, vs. 132 +/- 39 for men). Chenodeoxycholic acid was the major biliary bile acid in both sexes (40.0 +/- 9.9 in men; 38.8 +/- 9.3 in women, NS). Cholic acid was the second most common bile acid, constituting 32.9 +/- 8.8 in men and 31.8 +/- 8.9 in women (NS). When other demographic and clinical characteristics, including serum lipids, were related with biliary lipid composition, only percent ideal body weight correlated significantly. The partial correlation coefficient adjusted for percent ideal body weight indicated that the proportion of chenodeoxycholic acid correlated negatively with the mole fraction of cholesterol in bile in men, but not in women. Multiple regression analyses showed that bile saturation could not be predicted reliably from any clinical, chemical, or radiologic measurement in either sex. Published data for biliary lipid composition in individuals with biliary disease showed considerable overlap with the National Cooperative Gallstone Study data reported here, suggesting that cholesterol gallstone disease is not caused solely by increased biliary cholesterol saturation.

A study of acute respiratory disease in families exposed to different levels of Air pollution in the Great Salt Lake basin, Utah, 1971-1972 and 1972-1973.

The reported incidence of acute respiratory illness in families exposed to different concentrations of air pollution was studied during two consecutive school years. The purpose of the study was to determine the effect of increased exposure to sulfur dioxide and suspended particulate matter. In each of four study communities, the mothers of approximately 250 white families were contacted biweekly to obtain information regarding the occurrence of respiratory symptoms in each family member. Annual mean ambient sulfur dioxide concentrations in one community for the three years included in the study (1971-1973) were well above the current air quality standard of 80 micrograms/m3, while in the other three communities the annual sulfur dioxide concentrations were much lower (usually less than 40 micrograms/m3). Suspended particulate matter concentrations in high sulfur dioxide community were close to the limit designated by the annual standard (75 micrograms/m3) but actual exposures in the four communities probably were not excessive. Regression analyses of the data collected showed inconsistent associations between illness rates and educational attainment of the head of household, crowding in the home, bronchitis in parents or smoking of parents. However, once the effects of these factors were removed the adjusted rates showed little association with community of residence. It was concluded that the higher concentrations of sulfur dioxide in the Utah atmosphere could not be the cause of increases in acute respiratory illness in the exposed populations.

Acute respiratory illness in families exposed to nitrogen dioxide ambient air pollution in Chattanooga, Tennessee.

The incidence of acute respiratory illness in families in Chattanooga, Tennessee was studied in 1972 and 1973 to determine if residents of a formerly high nitrogen dioxide exposure community continued to experience a high incidence of illness after ambient air concentrations of the pollutant had been reduced substantially. Illness data were collected by telephone at 2-wk intervals and illness rates per 100 person weeks of observation were contrasted with air pollution concentrations measured no more than 3.2 km from the home. Data were contrasted by communities designated as high, intermediate, or low pollution exposure. In 1972, higher rates of respiratory illness continued to occur in the designated high pollution area. These were associated with current higher short-term concentrations of nitrogen dioxide even though the long-term mean concentrations of the pollutant were little higher than those in the low pollution area. It was not possible to attribute the excesses in illness to specific pollutants or to specific exposure periods. However, reduction of the illness rate in 1973 associated with a strike at the primary source industry that curtailed nitrogen dioxide pollution in the high exposure community suggested that the short-term exposure may be more important than long-term exposure.

Effect of air pollution on chronic respiratory disease in the New York city metropolitan area, 1972.

The effect of air pollution on chronic respiratory diseases (CRD) was examined in a study in the New York metropolitan area in 1972. Four study communities, sites A, B, C and D, were selected for the similarity of socioeconomic and demographic characteristics. Historically, these communities represented an increasing gradient of air pollution levels. However, after air quality improvement in the metropolitan area, Site A had only slightly lower pollution levels than sites B, C and D. In the examination of chronic respiratory symptoms, study hypotheses were established to correspond with historical levels of air pollution. The study population was drawn from parents of children attending elementary school in each site. Information was obtained by means of a questionnaire modified from the 1966 BMRC questionnaire. The analysis was based on 5416 white long-term residents without occupational exposure to irritant dust and fumes. Confounding factors, including smoking status, age, level of education of head-of-household and crowding within the home, were examined. Smoking was found to be the most important factor in determining the level of severity of CRD. The effect of air pollution showed differential patterns among the smokers and nonsmokers. Among the smokers, no air pollution effect was observed. However, among nonsmokers, a statistically significant difference was observed among females. Further, among male nonsmokers a similar pattern was observed, but the effect was not statistically significant. Other possible factors that could contribute to the difference are discussed.

The incidence and severity of acute respiratory illness in families exposed to different levels of air pollution, New York metropolitan area, 1971-1972.

The incidence and severity of acute respiratory disease was studied in families in three New York communities with different ambient levels of SO2 and particulate air pollution. Upper, lower, and total respiratory disease rates in fathers, mothers, and school children tended to be higher in the communities with higher pollution levels. Similar higher rates, however, were not observed among preschool children. Regression analyses were used to adjust rates for socioeconomic status, parental smoking, chronic bronchitis in parents, and possible indoor pollution resulting from the use of a gas stove for cooking. After these adjustments the community differences were still significant (P less than .01), for schoolchildren. The indoor pollution related to gas stoves was a significant covariate among children. The effects of smoking were inconsistent. It was not possible to attribute the higher rates observed to any specific pollutant, since both SO2 and particulate matter levels were higher in the high pollution communities, nor was it possible to attribute the excesses to current levels of exposure or to a residual effect of previous higher exposure concentrations. The fact that young children did not follow the pattern suggests the latter. It was concluded, however, that current or previous exposures to the complexity of air pollutants in New York City was at least partially responsible for increased incidences of acute respiratory disease.