Estimating the changing disease burden attributable to smoking in South Africa for 2000, 2006 and 2012.

BACKGROUND: Ongoing quantification of the disease burden attributable to smoking is important to monitor and strengthen tobacco control policies. OBJECTIVES: To estimate the attributable burden due to smoking in South Africa for 2000, 2006 and 2012. METHODS: We estimated attributable burden due to smoking for selected causes of death in South African (SA) adults aged ≥35 years for 2000, 2006 and 2012. We combined smoking prevalence results from 15 national surveys (1998 - 2017) and smoking impact ratios using national mortality rates. Relative risks between smoking and select causes of death were derived from local and international data. RESULTS: Smoking prevalence declined from 25.0% in 1998 (40.5% in males, 10.9% in females) to 19.4% in 2012 (31.9% in males, 7.9% in females), but plateaued after 2010. In 2012 tobacco smoking caused an estimated 31 078 deaths (23 444 in males and 7 634 in females), accounting for 6.9% of total deaths of all ages (17.3% of deaths in adults aged ≥35 years), a 10.5% decline overall since 2000 (7% in males; 18% in females). Age-standardised mortality rates (and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs)) similarly declined in all population groups but remained high in the coloured population. Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease accounted for most tobacco-attributed deaths (6 373), followed by lung cancer (4 923), ischaemic heart disease (4 216), tuberculosis (2 326) and lower respiratory infections (1 950). The distribution of major causes of smoking-attributable deaths shows a middle- to high-income pattern in whites and Asians, and a middle- to low-income pattern in coloureds and black Africans. The role of infectious lung disease (TB and LRIs) has been underappreciated. These diseases comprised 21.0% of deaths among black Africans compared with only 4.3% among whites. It is concerning that smoking rates have plateaued since 2010. CONCLUSION: The gains achieved in reducing smoking prevalence in SA have been eroded since 2010. An increase in excise taxes is the most effective measure for reducing smoking prevalence. The advent of serious respiratory pandemics such as COVID-19 has increased the urgency of considering the role that smoking cessation/abstinence can play in the prevention of, and post-hospital recovery from, any condition.

Estimating the changing burden of disease attributable to unsafe water and lack of sanitation and hygiene in South Africa for 2000, 2006 and 2012.

BACKGROUND: The incidence of diarrhoeal disease is closely linked to socioeconomic and environmental factors, household practices and access to health services. South African (SA) district health information and national survey data report wide variation in the incidence and prevalence of diarrhoeal episodes in children under 5 years of age. These differentials indicate potential for reducing the disease burden through improvements in provision of water and sanitation services and changes in hygiene behaviour. OBJECTIVES: To estimate the burden of disease attributed to unsafe water, sanitation and hygiene (WASH) by province, sex and age group for SA in 2000, 2006 and 2012. METHODS: Comparative risk assessment methodology was used to estimate the disease burden attributable to an exposure by comparing the observed risk factor distribution with a theoretical lowest possible population distribution. The study adapts the original World Health Organization scenario-based approach for estimating diarrhoeal disease burden from unsafe WASH, by assigning different standards of household water and sanitation-specific geographical classification to capture SA living conditions in rural, urban and informal settlements. RESULTS: SA experienced an improvement in water and sanitation supply in eight of the nine provinces between 2001 and 2011, with the exception of Northern Cape Province. In 2011, 41% of South Africans lived with poor water and sanitation conditions; however, wide provincial inequalities exist. In 2012, it was estimated that 84.1% of all deaths due to diarrhoeal disease were attributable to unsafe WASH; this equates to 13 757 deaths (95% uncertainty interval (UI) 13 015 - 14 300). Of these diarrhoeal disease deaths, 48.2% occurred in children under 5 years of age, accounting for 13.9% of all deaths in this age group (95% UI 13.1 - 14.4). Between 2000 and 2012, the proportion of deaths attributable to diarrhoea reduced from 3.6% to 2.6%. Gauteng and Western Cape provinces experienced much lower WASHattributable death rates than the more rural, poorer provinces. CONCLUSION: Unsafe WASH remains an important risk factor for disease in SA, especially in children. High priority needs to be given to the provision of safe and sustainable sanitation and water facilities and promoting safe hygiene behaviours. The COVID-19 pandemic has reinforced the critical importance of clean water for preventing and containing disease.

Estimating the changing burden of disease attributable to childhood stunting, wasting and underweight in South Africa for 2000, 2006 and 2012.

BACKGROUND: National estimates of childhood undernutrition display uncertainty; however, it is known that stunting is the most prevalent deficiency. Child undernutrition is manifest in poor communities but is a modifiable risk factor. The intention of the study was to quantify trends in the indicators of child undernutrition to aid policymakers. OBJECTIVES: To estimate the burden of diseases attributable to stunting, wasting and underweight and their aggregate effects in South African (SA) children under the age of 5 years during 2000, 2006 and 2012. METHODS: The study applied comparative risk assessment methodology. Data sources for estimates of prevalence and population distribution of exposure in children under 5 years were the National Food Consumption surveys and the SA National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey conducted close to the target year of burden. Childhood undernutrition was estimated for stunting, wasting and underweight and their combined 'aggregate effect' using the World Health Organization (WHO) 2006 standard. Population-attributable fractions for the disease outcomes of diarrhoea, lower respiratory tract infections, measles and protein-energy malnutrition were applied to SA burden of disease estimates of deaths, years of life lost, years lived with a disability and disability-adjusted life years for 2000, 2006 and 2012. RESULTS: Among children aged under 5 years between 1999 and 2012, the distribution of anthropometric measurements <‒2 standard deviations from the WHO median showed little change for stunting (28.4% v. 26.6%), wasting (2.6% v. 2.8%) and underweight (7.6% v. 6.1%). In the same age group in 2012, attributable deaths due to wasting and aggregated burden accounted for 21.4% and 33.2% of the total deaths, respectively. Attributable death rates due to wasting and aggregate effects decreased from ~310 per 100 000 in 2006 to 185 per 100 000 in 2012. CONCLUSION: The study shows that reduction of childhood undernutrition would have a substantial impact on child mortality. We need to understand why we are not penetrating the factors related to nutrition of children that will lead to reducing levels of stunting.

The impact of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic on mortality in South Africa in 2020.

BACKGROUND: The impacts on mortality of both the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic and the interventions to manage it differ between countries. The Rapid Mortality Surveillance System set up by the South African Medical Research Council based on data from the National Population Register (NPR) provides a means of tracking this impact on mortality in South Africa. OBJECTIVES: To report on the change in key metrics of mortality (numbers of deaths, life expectancy at birth, life expectancy at age 60, and infant, under-5, older child and adolescent, young adult, and adult mortality) over the period 2015 - 2020. The key features of the impact are contrasted with those measured in other countries. METHODS: The numbers of registered deaths by age and sex recorded on the NPR were increased to account for both registered deaths that are not captured by the NPR and an estimate of deaths not reported. The estimated numbers of deaths together with estimates of the numbers in the population in the middle of each of the years were used to produce life tables and calculate various indicators. RESULTS: Between 2019 and 2020, the number of deaths increased by nearly 53 000 (65% female), and life expectancy at birth fell by 1 year for females and by only 2.5 months for males. Life expectancy at age 60 decreased by 1.6 years for females and 1.2 years for males. Infant mortality, under-5 mortality and mortality of children aged 5 - 14 decreased by 22%, 20% and 10%, respectively, while that for older children and adolescents decreased by 11% for males and 5% for females. Premature adult mortality, the probability of a 15-year-old dying before age 60, increased by 2% for males and 9% for females. CONCLUSIONS: COVID-19 and the interventions to manage it had differential impacts on mortality by age and sex. The impact of the epidemic on life expectancy in 2020 differs from that in most other, mainly developed, countries, both in the limited decline and also in the greater impact on females. These empirical estimates of life expectancy and mortality rates are not reflected by estimates from agencies, either because agency estimates have yet to be updated for the impact of the epidemic or because they have not allowed for the impact correctly. Trends in weekly excess deaths suggest that the drop in life expectancy in 2021 will be greater than that in 2020.

Determinants of diarrhoeal disease in children living in low-income households in a periurban community in Cape Town, South Africa

Background. Water, sanitation and hygiene are critically important in reducing morbidity and mortality from childhood diarrhoeal disease and malnutrition in low-income settings.Objectives. To assess the association of diarrhoeal disease with factors relating to domestic hygiene, the environment, sociodemographic status and anthropometry in children <2 years of age.Methods. This was a case-control study conducted in a periurban community 35 km from the centre of Cape Town, South Africa. The study included 100 children with diarrhoeal disease and 100 age-matched controls without diarrhoea, who were recruited at primary healthcare clinics. Sociodemographic status, environmental factors and domestic hygiene were assessed using a structured questionnaire; anthropometry was assessed using the World Health Organization's child growth standards. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify the factors associated with diarrhoea. Results. The results of the univariate logistic regression showed significant susceptibility to diarrhoea in study cases compared with controls when the caregiver was ≥25 years old (odds ratio (OR) 1.82; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.02 - 3.23; p=0.042); when children were in day care or cared for by a family member or a relative than when cared for by their mother (OR 1.97; 95% CI 1.06 - 3.65; p=0.032); and when the mothers were employed rather than at home (OR 2.23; 95% CI 1.21 - 4.12; p=0.01). Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify predictors of diarrhoea, which entailed relaxing the inclusion criteria for the univariate analysis variables (p<0.25). The predictors significantly associated with diarrhoea were household problems relating to rat infestation (OR 2.44; 95% CI 1.13 - 5.28; p=0.027); maternal employment (OR 2.47; 95% CI 1.28 - 4.76; p=0.007); and children in day care or cared for by a relative (OR 2.34; 95% CI 1.21 - 4.54; p=0.01). Significantly more of the mothers who were employed than those who were unemployed had children in day care or cared for by a relative. Conclusion. Practices relating to employment, childcare and the domestic environment were significant predictors of diarrhoea. Effective policy implementation on water, sanitation and domestic hygiene could prevent diarrhoeal disease and reduce its impact on children's growth, especially during the annual diarrhoeal surge season in this and similar periurban communities.

Unnatural deaths, alcohol bans and curfews: Evidence from a quasi-natural experiment during COVID-19.

BACKGROUND: Coronavirus disease-19 (COVID-19) restrictions, particularly relating to the sale of alcohol and hours of curfew, have had a marked effect on the temporal pattern of unnatural deaths in South Africa. Methods. Death data were collected over 68 weeks from January 2020 to April 2021, together with information on the nature of restrictions (if any) on the sale of alcohol, and hours of curfew. Data were analysed using a simple ordinary least square (OLS) regression model to estimate the relative contribution of restrictions on the sale of alcohol and hours of curfew to the pattern of excess unnatural deaths. Results. The complete restriction on the sale of alcohol resulted in a statistically significant reduction in unnatural deaths regardless of the length of curfew. To the contrary, periods where no or limited restrictions on alcohol were in force had no significant effect, or resulted in significantly increased unnatural deaths. Conclusions. The present study highlights an association between alcohol availability and the number of unnatural deaths and demonstrates the extent to which those deaths might be averted by disrupting the alcohol supply. While this is not a long-term solution to addressing alcohol-related harm, it further raises the importance of implementing evidence-based alcohol control measures.

Tracking mortality in near to real time provides essential information about the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic in South Africa in 2020.

BACKGROUND: Producing timely and accurate estimates of the impact of COVID-19 on mortality is challenging for most countries, but impossible for South Africa (SA) from cause-of-death statistics. Objectives. To quantify the excess deaths and likely magnitude of COVID-19 in SA in 2020 and draw conclusions on monitoring the epidemic in 2021. Methods. Basic details of deaths registered on the National Population Register by the Department of Home Affairs (DoHA) are provided to the South African Medical Research Council weekly. Adjustments are made to the numbers of weekly deaths to account for non-registration on the population register, as well as late registration of death with the DoHA. The weekly number of deaths is compared with the number predicted based on the Holt-Winters time-series analysis of past deaths for provinces and metropolitan areas. Excess deaths were calculated for all-causes deaths and natural deaths, using the predicted deaths as a baseline. In addition, an adjustment was made to the baseline for natural deaths to account for the drop in natural deaths due to lockdown. Results. We estimated that just over 550 000 deaths occurred among persons aged ≥1 year during 2020, 13% higher than the 485 000 predicted before the pandemic. A pronounced increase in weekly deaths from natural causes peaked in the middle of July across all ages except <20 years, and across all provinces with slightly different timing. During December, it became clear that SA was experiencing a second wave of COVID-19 that would exceed the death toll of the first wave. In 2020, there were 70 000 - 76 000 excess deaths from natural causes, depending on the base. Using the adjusted base, the excess death rate from natural causes was 122 per 100 000 population, with a male-to-female ratio of 0.78. Deaths from unnatural causes halved for both males and females during the stringent lockdown level 5. The numbers reverted towards the predicted number with some fluctuations as lockdown restrictions varied. Just under 5 000 unnatural deaths were averted. Conclusions. Tracking the weekly numbers of deaths in near to real time has provided important information about the spatiotemporal impact of the pandemic and highlights that the ~28 000 reported COVID-19 deaths during 2020 substantially understate the death toll from COVID-19. There is an urgent need to re-engineer the system of collecting and processing cause-of-death information so that it can be accessed in a timely way to inform public health actions.

Uptake of antenatal care in high HIV-prevalence settings: Results from three population-based surveys in South Africa.

BACKGROUND: Despite substantial progress in reducing pregnancy-related preventable morbidity and mortality, these remain unacceptably high in developing countries. In 2016, the World Health Organization (WHO) revised recommendations for antenatal care (ANC) from a 4-visit model to a minimum of 8 ANC contacts to reduce perinatal mortality further and improve women's experience of care. The guidelines also recommend that the first ANC visit (ANC-1) should occur during the first trimester. OBJECTIVES: To describe the uptake of routine ANC and its associated factors in South Africa (SA) prior to the 2016 WHO recommendations, when the country recommended 4 ANC visits, to bring to light potential challenges in achieving the current recommendations. METHODS: Secondary data analyses were performed from 3 facility-based, cross-sectional national surveys, conducted to measure 6-week mother-to-child transmission of HIV and coverage of related interventions in SA. These surveys recruited mother-infant pairs attending selected public primary healthcare facilities for their infants' 6-week immunisation in 2010, 2011 -2012 and 2012 -2013. Quantitative questionnaires were used to gather sociodemographic and antenatal-to-peripartum information from Road to Health cards and maternal recall. The inclusion criteria for this secondary assessment were at least 1 ANC visit, the primary outcome being uptake of ≥4 ANC visits. A multivariable logistic regression model was used to: (i) identify maternal factors associated with ANC visits; and (ii) establish whether receiving selected ANC activities was associated with frequency or timing of ANC-1. RESULTS: Of the 9 470, 9 646 and 8 763 women who attended at least 1 ANC visit, only 47.5% (95% confidence interval (CI) 45.4 -49.6), 55.6% (95% CI 53.2 -58.0) and 56.7% (95% CI 54.3 -59.1) adhered to ≥4 ANC visits, while 36.0% (95% CI 34.5 -37.5), 43.5% (95% CI 42.0 -45.1) and 50.8% (95% CI 49.3 -52.2) attended ANC-1 early (before 20 weeks' gestation) in 2010, 2011 -2012 and 2012 -2013, respectively. Multiparity and lower socioeconomic status were significantly associated with non-adherence to the 4-visit ANC recommendation, while a later survey year, higher education, being married, >19 years old, HIV-positive, planned pregnancy and knowing how HIV is transmitted vertically were strongly related to ≥4 ANC visits. The number of women who received selected ANC activities increased significantly with survey year and ≥4 ANC visits, but was not associated with timing of ANC-1. CONCLUSIONS: Despite increases in the uptake of ≥4 ANC visits and early ANC-1 rates between 2010 and 2013, these practices remain suboptimal. Adhering to ≥4 ANC visits improved coverage of selected ANC activities, implying that strengthening efforts to increase the uptake of ANC from at least 4 to 8, could improve overall outcomes.

HIV/AIDS mortality trends pre and post ART for 1997 - 2012 in South Africa - have we turned the tide?

BACKGROUND: South Africa (SA) has one of the largest HIV/AIDS epidemics in the world and the most extensive antiretroviral therapy (ART) programme globally, which was rolled out from 2004. This paper reports the trends in HIV/AIDS mortality pre and post ART rollout in SA. Methods. Vital registration cause-of-death data from Statistics South Africa were adjusted for under-reporting of deaths using demographic methods. Misattributed HIV/AIDS deaths were identified by regressing excess mortality on a lagged indicator HIV antenatal clinic prevalence for causes found to be associated with HIV/AIDS. Background trends in the source-cause mortality rates were estimated from the trend in cause-specific mortality experienced among 75 - 84-year-olds. Mortality rates were calculated using mid-year population estimates and the World Health Organization world standard age-weights. Results. We estimated over 3 189 000 HIV/AIDS deaths for 1997 - 2012. In 1997, 60 336 (14.5%) of deaths were attributed to HIV/AIDS; this number peaked in 2006 at 283 564 (41.9%) and decreased to 153 661 (29.1%) by 2012; female mortality rates peaked in 2005 and those of males in 2006. Men aged 35 years and older had higher mortality rates than did women. While the rates at ages below 65 years in 2012 were lower than those in 2006, rates of those age 65 years and older remained unchanged. Conclusion. The number of HIV/AIDS deaths has almost halved since the ART rollout. Of concern is the high mortality in men 45 years and older and the high mortality of men compared with women in the older ages by 2012; this gap has increased with age. Treatment and prevention programmes should strategise how to target men.

Burden of disease in South Africa: Protracted transitions driven by social pathologies.

For several decades, researchers from the South African Medical Research Council have made invaluable contributions towards improving the health of the population through the analysis and interpretation of cause of death data. This article reflects the mortality trends in pre-and post-apartheid South Africa (SA), and describes efforts to improve vital statistics, innovations to fill data gaps, and studies to estimate the burden of disease after adjusting for data deficiencies. The profound impact of HIV/AIDS, particularly among black African children and young adults, is striking, within a protracted epidemiological transition and the current reversals of multiple epidemics. Over the next 20 years, it will be important to sustain and enhance the country's capacity to collect, analyse and utilise cause of death data. SA needs to support development in the region, harnessing new data platforms and approaches such as including verbal autopsy tools in the official system and improving data linkage.

Validating homicide rates in the Western Cape Province, South Africa: Findings from the 2009 Injury Mortality Survey.

BACKGROUND: The Western Cape Province had the highest homicide rates in South Africa during the early 2000s. South African Police Service (SAPS) data suggested a significant decline in homicide rates in the Western Cape since 2007. It ranked second highest to the Eastern Cape Province until 2013 and ranked highest again at 52.1/100 000 in 2015. A recent national injury mortality survey offers an alternative data source to assess whether the decline in homicide rates in the Western Cape was real. METHODS: A retrospective record review of autopsies was conducted from 45 state mortuaries in eight provinces for 2009. In addition, mortality data for the Western Cape were sourced from the Provincial Injury Mortality Surveillance System. Age-standardised mortality rates and crude homicide rates per 100 000 population were calculated to compare with the SAPS crude rates. RESULTS: Our study found that the Western Cape had a provincial age-standardised homicide rate of 40.1/100 000 in 2009 and ranked fourth highest among the nine provinces. The crude homicide rate of 43/100 000 for the Western Cape was similar to the SAPS provincial homicide rate of 42.4/100 000. The Northern Cape Province was the only notable exception to our provincial homicide rate ranking comparison with the SAPS for 2009. CONCLUSIONS:  Conclusions. The Western Cape is fortunate to have alternative data sources to monitor trends in homicides over time. The latest release of the 2014/2015 SAPS crime statistics should be assessed in a similar manner, with a more recent data source, to validate accuracy of the provincial rates on a regular basis.

Emerging Trends in Non-Communicable Disease Mortality in South Africa; 1997 - 2010

OBJECTIVES:National trends in age-standardised death rates (ASDRs) for non-communicable diseases (NCDs) in South Africa (SA) were identified between 1997 and 2010.METHODS:As part of the second National Burden of Disease Study; vital registration data were used after validity checks; proportional redistribution of missing age; sex and population group; demographic adjustments for registration incompleteness; and identification of misclassified AIDS deaths. Garbage codes were redistributed proportionally to specified codes by age; sex and population group. ASDRs were calculated using mid-year population estimates and the World Health Organization world standard.RESULTS:Of 594 071 deaths in 2010; 38.9% were due to NCDs (42.6% females). ASDRs were 287/100 000 for cardiovascular diseases (CVDs); 114/100 000 for cancers (malignant neoplasms); 58/100 000 for chronic respiratory conditions and 52/100 000 for diabetes mellitus. An overall annual decrease of 0.4% was observed resulting from declines in stroke; ischaemic heart disease; oesophageal and lung cancer; asthma and chronic respiratory disease; while increases were observed for diabetes; renal disease; endocrine and nutritional disorders; and breast and prostate cancers. Stroke was the leading NCD cause of death; accounting for 17.5% of total NCD deaths. Compared with those for whites; NCD mortality rates for other population groups were higher at 1.3 for black Africans; 1.4 for Indians and 1.4 for coloureds; but varied by condition.CONCLUSIONS:NCDs contribute to premature mortality in SA; threatening socioeconomic development. While NCD mortality rates have decreased slightly; it is necessary to strengthen prevention and healthcare provision and monitor emerging trends in cause-specific mortality to inform these strategies if the target of 2% annual decline is to be achieved

Detrimental effects of acute hyperglycaemia on the rat heart.

AIM: Hyperglycaemia is an important risk factor for acute myocardial infarction. It can lead to increased induction of non-oxidative glucose pathways (NOGPs) - polyol and hexosamine biosynthetic pathways, advanced glycation end products and protein kinase C - that may contribute to cardiovascular diseases onset. However, the precise underlying mechanisms remain poorly understood. Here we hypothesized that acute hyperglycaemia increases myocardial oxidative stress and NOGP activation resulting in cardiac dysfunction during ischaemia-reperfusion and that inhibition of, and/or shunting flux away from NOGPs [by benfotiamine (BFT) treatment], leads to cardioprotection. METHODS: We employed several experimental systems: (i) Isolated rat hearts were perfused ex vivo with Krebs-Henseleit buffer containing 33 mm glucose vs. controls (11 mm glucose) ± global ischaemia and reperfusion ± BFT (first 20 min of reperfusion); (ii) Infarct size determination as per the ischaemic protocol, but with regional ischaemia and reperfusion ± BFT treatment; in separate experiments, NOGP inhibitors were also employed for (i) and (ii); and (iii) In vivo coronary ligations performed on streptozotocin-treated rats ± BFT treatment (early reperfusion). RESULTS: Acute hyperglycaemia generated myocardial oxidative stress, NOGP activation and apoptosis, but caused no impairment of cardiac function during pre-ischaemia, thereby priming hearts for later damage. Following ischaemia-reperfusion (under hyperglycaemic conditions), such effects were exacerbated together with cardiac contractile dysfunction. Moreover, inhibition of respective NOGPs and shunting away by BFT treatment (in part) improved cardiac function during ischaemia-reperfusion. CONCLUSION: Coordinate NOGP activation in response to acute hyperglycaemia results in contractile dysfunction during ischaemia-reperfusion, allowing for the development of novel cardioprotective agents.

Using Different Approaches to Assess the Reproducibility of a Culturally Sensitive Quantified Food Frequency Questionnaire

Objective: To report on the use of different approaches to assess the reproducibility of a culturally sensitive quantified food frequency questionnaire (QFFQ) used for assessment of the habitual dietary intake of Setswana-speaking adults in the North West Province of South Africa.Method: A previously developed and validated QFFQ was completed by trained fieldworkers. Portion sizes were estimated using different methods. Food intake was coded and analysed for nutrient intake per day for each subject. The first interview (n = 1 888) took place during the baseline data collection period. For the second interview (n = 175); a convenient sample from the subjects who had completed the first interview was collected and the interview was conducted within four to six weeks of the first interview.Results: There were good correlations between the first and second QFFQ for all the nutrients (p 0.0001). The Wilcoxon signed-rank test showed that there were no significant differences in the median intake between the two administrations; except for energy and total fat. The Bland-Altman plots showed good agreement. Between 41 and 58 of the subjects were correctly classified into the same quartile; with less than 3 grossly misclassified. The weighted ? statistics showed moderate agreement between the two applications.Conclusion: Our results show that more than one statistical approach is needed to assess the reproducibility of a QFFQ. The reproducibility of this culturally sensitive QFFQ was good

Demographic and circumstantial accounts of burn mortality in Cape Town, South Africa, 2001-2004: an observational register based study.

BACKGROUND: Burns are a persisting public health problem in low- and middle-income countries; however, epidemiologic data for these settings is scarce. South Africa is no exception although there is an emerging knowledge base, especially for paediatric burns. The current study describes the epidemiology of burn mortality across the lifespan in Cape Town (2.9 million inhabitants in 2001), one of the six South African metropolitan centres. METHODS: The distribution of burn mortality across socio-demographic groups and also their circumstances of occurrence were investigated using four year (2001 to 2004) surveillance data from the National Injury Mortality Surveillance System (n = 1024 cases). RESULTS: Burn mortality occurred at a rate of 7.9 per 100,000 person-years (95% CI: 7.3-8.3). Males sustained fatal rates 2.2 times more than that for females (p < 0.001), with rates significantly higher in the 25 to 38 and 39 to 50 age groups than at other ages (p < 0.001). The greatest difference between male and female deaths was observed in the 25 to 38 year age group, when almost three male deaths occurred for every female one. The vast majority of fatal burns were registered as accidental and occurred in the home, either over the cold and wet months or during recreational periods over weekends and across the year. Alcohol intoxication was reported for the majority of those adults whose alcohol blood levels were tested (i.e. 52.6% of cases aged 16+ years). CONCLUSION: Besides paediatric burns, the high prevalence and circumstances of occurrence of burns among middle age men are a source of concern. There are reasons to believe that this over-representation is a reflection of detrimental living conditions, life-style and poor socio-economic status. It is recommended that there be greater prioritisation of prevention activities that involve the control or management of kerosene heat sources, the provision of alternatives to flammable housing materials, and the implementation of strategies to reduce harmful drinking practices.

The use of the South African Food Composition Database System (SAFOODS) and its Products in Assessing Dietary Intake Data. Part II

Objectives: This study set out to determine the following in relation to the nutrition information on the food labels of selected fat spreads: the demographic profile of female consumers using the food label; reasons for food label use and whether the use of the food label leads to the purchase of the selected fat spreads. Methods: One hundred and fifty women aged 25 to 45 years were chosen using an accidental; non-probability sample of consumers shopping at selected supermarkets in Pietermaritzburg. Consenting subjects were presented with a questionnaire to determine their demographic characteristics as well as their reasons for purchasing the selected fat spreads. Descriptive statistics and principal component analyses were used to analyse the results of this study. Results: Fifty-five per cent (n = 82) of this study sample reported using the nutrition information label to assist with their purchases and 68(n = 102) found the nutrition information important when purchasing a new product. Conclusions: The female consumer most likely to use the nutrition information on the food label had a tertiary education; was a primary food purchaser; lived with other people; had more money per month to spend on food; and was conscious of choosing the healthier option. Principal component analysis revealed that the purchase of a selected fat spread was influenced by a number of variables reflecting health awareness; the selected fat spread's marketing; presentation and popularity; and familiarity with and cost awareness of the selected fat spread

Voluntary consumption of substances of unknown palatability by vervet monkeys: a refinement.

BACKGROUND: Pure compounds and herbal medicines, had to be administered orally to vervet monkeys for testing. A reliable method was sought to avoid daily gavaging. METHODS: Substances were incorporated into the maize meal based diet of this facility for voluntary consumption. Food intake was monitored. RESULTS: In all but one case, consumption of the treated food was in excess of 90%. In all cases, the purpose of the study was achieved. Habituation was usually only required to the vehicle, and was accomplished by incremental increases to the desired concentration. Aversion was overcome by the addition of a small amount of honey. Plasma concentrations of a compound metabolite could be measured in one case after gavage and food consumption, and were similar for both methods. CONCLUSION: The method enables reliable voluntary consumption of diverse substances. Since stressful gavaging is avoided, it is a valuable contribution to the 3Rs.

Wheeze, asthma diagnosis and medication use: a national adult survey in a developing country.

BACKGROUND: As relatively little is known about adult wheeze and asthma in developing countries, this study aimed to determine the predictors of wheeze, asthma diagnosis, and current treatment in a national survey of South African adults. METHODS: A stratified national probability sample of households was drawn and all adults (>14 years) in the selected households were interviewed. Outcomes of interest were recent wheeze, asthma diagnosis, and current use of asthma medication. Predictors of interest were sex, age, household asset index, education, racial group, urban residence, medical insurance, domestic exposure to smoky fuels, occupational exposure, smoking, body mass index, and past tuberculosis. RESULTS: A total of 5671 men and 8155 women were studied. Although recent wheeze was reported by 14.4% of men and 17.6% of women and asthma diagnosis by 3.7% of men and 3.8% of women, women were less likely than men to be on current treatment (OR 0.6; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.5 to 0.8). A history of tuberculosis was an independent predictor of both recent wheeze (OR 3.4; 95% CI 2.5 to 4.7) and asthma diagnosis (OR 2.2; 95% CI 1.5 to 3.2), as was occupational exposure (wheeze: OR 1.8; 95% CI 1.5 to 2.0; asthma diagnosis: OR 1.9; 95% CI 1.4 to 2.4). Smoking was associated with wheeze but not asthma diagnosis. Obesity showed an association with wheeze only in younger women. Both wheeze and asthma diagnosis were more prevalent in those with less education but had no association with the asset index. Independently, having medical insurance was associated with a higher prevalence of diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS: Some of the findings may be to due to reporting bias and heterogeneity of the categories wheeze and asthma diagnosis, which may overlap with post tuberculous airways obstruction and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease due to smoking and occupational exposures. The results underline the importance of controlling tuberculosis and occupational exposures as well as smoking in reducing chronic respiratory morbidity. Validation of the asthma questionnaire in this setting and research into the pathophysiology of post tuberculous airways obstruction are also needed.

Serum electrolyte concentrations and hydration status are not associated with exercise associated muscle cramping (EAMC) in distance runners.

OBJECTIVES: To determine whether acute exercise associated muscle cramping (EAMC) in distance runners is related to changes in serum electrolyte concentrations and hydration status. METHODS: A cohort of 72 runners participating in an ultra-distance road race was followed up for the development of EAMC. All subjects were weighed before and immediately after the race. Blood samples were taken before the race, immediately after the race, and 60 minutes after the race. Blood samples were analysed for glucose, protein, sodium, potassium, calcium, and magnesium concentrations, as well as serum osmolality, haemoglobin, and packed cell volume. Runners who suffered from acute EAMC during the race formed the cramp group (cramp, n = 21), while runners with no history of EAMC during the race formed the control group (control, n = 22). RESULTS: There were no significant differences between the two groups for pre-race or post-race body weight, per cent change in body weight, blood volume, plasma volume, or red cell volume. The immediate post-race serum sodium concentration was significantly lower (p = 0.004) in the cramp group (mean (SD), 139.8 (3.1) mmol/l) than in the control group (142.3 (2.1) mmol/l). The immediate post-race serum magnesium concentration was significantly higher (p = 0.03) in the cramp group (0.73 (0.06) mmol/l) than in the control group (0.67 (0.08) mmol/l). CONCLUSIONS: There are no clinically significant alterations in serum electrolyte concentrations and there is no alteration in hydration status in runners with EAMC participating in an ultra-distance race.