Temporal trend and survival impact of infection source among patients with sepsis: a nationwide study.

BACKGROUND: To determine the temporal trends of incidence and outcome based on different sources of sepsis using a nationwide administrative database. METHODS: From 2002 to 2012, the entire Taiwan's health insurance claims data of emergency-treated and hospital-treated sepsis were analysed for incidence and mortality trends. The information about patients with sepsis and sources of sepsis was identified using a set of validated International Classification of Diseases, ninth revision, clinical modification (ICD-9-CM) codes. The 30-day all-cause mortality was verified by linked death certificate database. RESULTS: A total of 1 259 578 episodes of sepsis were identified during the 11-year study period. Lower respiratory tract infection is the most common source of sepsis in patients, with the highest mortality rate. The incidence of genitourinary tract infection has the fastest growing rate. The sepsis mortality was declining at different rates for each source of sepsis. Co-infections in patients with sepsis are associated with higher mortality rate. CONCLUSION: The temporal trends of sepsis incidence and mortality varied among different sources of sepsis, with lower respiratory tract being the highest burden among patients with sepsis. Furthermore, sources of sepsis and the presence of co-infection are independent predictors of mortality. Our results support source-specific preventive and treatment strategies for future sepsis management.

Combining procalcitonin with the qSOFA and sepsis mortality prediction.

To investigate whether procalcitonin (PCT) can improve the performance of quick sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score in predicting sepsis mortality, we conducted a retrospective multicenter cohort study with independent validation in a prospectively collected cohort in 3 tertiary medical centers. Patients with presumed sepsis were included. Serum PCT levels were measured at admission. Quick SOFA score and systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) criteria were calculated for each patient. PCT levels were assigned into 0, 1, and 2 points for a serum level of <0.25, 0.25 to 2, and >2 ng/mL, and added to the quick sepsis-related organ failure assessment (qSOFA) score. The incremental value of PCT to qSOFA was then evaluated by logistic regression, receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve, and reclassification analysis.In all, 1318 patients with presumed severe infection were enrolled with a 30-day mortality of 13.5%. Serum level of PCT showed a high correlation with qSOFA score and 30-day inhospital mortality. The area under the ROC curve was 0.56 for SIRS criteria, 0.67 for qSOFA score, and 0.73 for qSOFA_PCT in predicting 30-day mortality. The risk prediction improvement was reflected by a net reclassification improvement of 35% (17%-52%). Incorporation of PCT into the qSOFA model could raise the sensitivity to 86.5% (95% confidence interval 80.6%-91.2%). In the validation cohort, qSOFA_PCT greatly improved the sensitivity to 90.9%.A simple modification of qSOFA score by adding the ordinal scale of PCT value to qSOFA could greatly improve the suboptimal sensitivity problem of qSOFA and may serve as a quick screening tool for early identification of sepsis.