How Good Are Cardiologists at Predicting Major Adverse Events in Fontan Patients?

Background: It is unknown how well cardiologists predict which Fontan patients are at risk for major adverse events (MAEs). Objectives: The purpose of this study was to examine the accuracy of cardiologists' ability to identify the "good Fontan" patient, free from MAE within the following year, and compare that predicted risk cohort to patients who experienced MAE. Methods: This prospective, multicenter study included patients ≥10 years with lateral tunnel or extracardiac Fontan. The cardiologist was asked the yes/no "surprise" question: would you be surprised if your patient has a MAE in the next year? After 12 months, the cardiologist was surveyed to assess MAE. Agreement between cardiologist predictions of MAE and observed MAE was determined using the simple kappa coefficient. Multivariable generalized linear mixed effects models were performed to identify factors associated with MAE. Results: Overall, 146 patients were enrolled, and 99/146 (68%) patients w`ere predicted to be a "good Fontan." After 12 months, 17 (12%) experienced a MAE. The simple kappa coefficient of cardiologists' prediction was 0.17 (95% CI: 0.02-0.32), suggesting prediction of MAE was 17% better than random chance. In the multivariable cardiologist-predicted MAE (N = 47) model, diuretic/beta-blocker use (P ≤ 0.001) and systolic dysfunction (P = 0.005) were associated with MAE. In the observed multivariable MAE (N = 17) model, prior unplanned cardiac admission (P = 0.006), diuretic/beta-blocker use (P = 0.028), and ≥moderate atrioventricular valve regurgitation (P = 0.049) were associated with MAE. Conclusions: Cardiologists are marginally able to predict which Fontan patients are at risk for MAE over a year. There was overlap between factors associated with a cardiologist's prediction of risk and observed MAE, namely the use of diuretic/beta-blocker.

Younger Age and Female Gender Are Associated with Delayed Antibiotics in Pediatric Sepsis.

Sepsis is a leading cause of pediatric mortality and timely antibiotic administration has been shown to improve outcomes. In this retrospective review of a single center sepsis dataset, we identified younger age and female sex as more likely to have delays in antibiotics.

Cohort study of patients with advanced cancer: outcomes associated with duration of antibiotic therapy for non-ventilator hospital-acquired pneumonia.

In this single-center observational study of 118 older adults with advanced cancer who developed non-ventilator hospital-acquired pneumonia, prolonged antibiotic durations (8-14 and ≥15 vs ≤7 d) were not associated with reduced adjusted odds of 90-day all-cause readmission or death. These data may inform antimicrobial stewardship efforts in palliative care settings.

Associations of Social Support With Physical and Mental Health Symptom Burden After COVID-19 Hospitalization Among Older Adults.

BACKGROUND: Despite significant support system disruptions during the coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, little is known about the relationship between social support and symptom burden among older adults following COVID-19 hospitalization. METHODS: From a prospective cohort of 341 community-living persons aged ≥60 years hospitalized with COVID-19 between June 2020 and June 2021 who underwent follow-up at 1, 3, and 6 months after discharge, we identified 311 participants with ≥1 follow-up assessment. Social support prehospitalization was ascertained using a 5-item version of the Medical Outcomes Study Social Support Survey (range, 5-25), with low social support defined as a score ≤15. At hospitalization and each follow-up assessment, 14 physical symptoms were assessed using a modified Edmonton Symptom Assessment System inclusive of COVID-19-relevant symptoms. Mental health symptoms were assessed using Patient Health Questionnaire-4. Longitudinal associations between social support and physical and mental health symptoms, respectively, were evaluated through multivariable regression. RESULTS: Participants' mean age was 71.3 years (standard deviation, 8.5), 52.4% were female, and 34.2% were of Black race or Hispanic ethnicity. 11.8% reported low social support. Over the 6-month follow-up period, low social support was independently associated with higher burden of physical symptoms (adjusted rate ratio [aRR], 1.26; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.05-1.52), but not mental health symptoms (aRR, 1.14; 95% CI, 0.85-1.53). CONCLUSIONS: Low social support is associated with greater physical, but not mental health, symptom burden among older survivors of COVID-19 hospitalization. Our findings suggest a potential need for social support screening and interventions to improve post-COVID-19 symptom management in this vulnerable group.

Emergency Physician-performed Echocardiogram in Non-ST Elevation Acute Coronary Syndrome Patients Requiring Coronary Intervention.

Introduction: Identification of patients not meeting catheterization laboratory activation criteria by electrocardiogram (ECG) but who would benefit from early coronary intervention remains challenging in the emergency department (ED). The purpose of this study was to evaluate whether emergency physician (EP)-performed point-of-care transthoracic echocardiography (POC TTE) could help identify patients who required coronary intervention within this population. Methods: This was a retrospective observational cohort study of adult patients who presented to two EDs between 2018-2020. Patients were included if they received a POC TTE and underwent diagnostic coronary angiography within 72 hours of ED presentation. We excluded patients meeting catheterization laboratory activation criteria on initial ED ECG. Ultrasound studies were independently reviewed for presence of regional wall motion abnormalities (RWMA) by two blinded ultrasound fellowship-trained EPs. We then calculated test characteristics for coronary intervention. Results: Of the 221 patient encounters meeting inclusion criteria, 104 (47%) received coronary intervention or coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) referral. Overall prevalence of RWMA on POC TTE was 35% (95% confidence interval [CI] 29-42%). Presence of RWMA had 38% (95% CI 29-49%) sensitivity and 68% (95% CI 58-76%) specificity for coronary intervention/CABG referral. Presence of "new" RWMA (presence on EP-performed POC TTE and prior normal echocardiogram) had 43% (95% CI 10-82%) sensitivity and 93% (95% CI 66-100%) specificity for coronary intervention/CABG referral. The EP-performed POC TTE interpretation of RWMA had 57% (95% CI 47-67%) sensitivity and 96% (95% CI 87-100%) specificity for presence of RWMA on subsequent cardiology echocardiogram during the same admission. Conclusion: Presence of RWMA on EP-performed POC TTE had limited sensitivity or specificity for coronary intervention or referral to CABG. The observed specificity appeared to trend higher in subjects with a prior echocardiogram demonstrating absence of RWMA, although a larger sample size will be required to confirm this finding. The EP-performed POC TTE RWMA had high specificity for presence of RWMA on subsequent cardiology echocardiogram. Further evaluation of the diagnostic performance of new RWMA on EP-performed POC TTE with a dedicated cohort is warranted.

Identifying Gender and Racial Bias in Pediatric Fellowship Letters of Recommendation: Do Word Choices Influence Interview Decisions?

OBJECTIVES: To describe linguistic differences in letters of recommendation (LORs) for pediatric fellowship candidates based on applicant and letter writer demographics and to examine if these differences influenced the decision to interview a candidate for a fellowship position. STUDY DESIGN: LORs for applicants to 8 pediatric subspecialty fellowships at a single academic center from the 2020 Match were analyzed in this cross-sectional study. Frequency of validated agentic and communal terms in each letter were determined by a language processing web application. Bias was determined as having a >5% surplus of agentic or communal terms. RESULTS: We analyzed 1521 LORs from 409 applicants: 69% were women, 28% were under-represented minorities in medicine (URM), and 50% were invited to interview. Overall, 66% of LORs were agentic biased, 16% communal biased, and 19% neutral. There was no difference in bias in LORs by an applicant's gender (woman 67% agentic vs man 62% agentic; P = .058), race, or ethnicity (non-URM 65% agentic vs URM 67% agentic; P = .660). Despite a lower frequency of agentic terms in LORs for applicants invited for interviews, when accounting for other components of an application and applicant demographics, no significant association was made between language bias in LORs and fellowship interview status. CONCLUSIONS: The frequency of agentic and communal terms in LORs for pediatric subspecialty fellowship candidates were not found to influence the decision to invite a candidate to interview. However, raising awareness of potential areas of bias within the pediatric fellowship selection process might lead to a more equitable and holistic approach to application review.

Differences in Mortality Among Patients With Asthma and COPD Hospitalized With COVID-19.

BACKGROUND: It remains unclear whether patients with asthma and/or chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) are at increased risk for severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). OBJECTIVE: Compare in-hospital COVID-19 outcomes among patients with asthma, COPD, and no airway disease. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted on 8,395 patients admitted with COVID-19 between March 2020 and April 2021. Airway disease diagnoses were defined using International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision codes. Mortality and sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) scores were compared among groups. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify and adjust for confounding clinical features associated with mortality. RESULTS: The median SOFA score in patients without airway disease was 0.32 and mortality was 11%. In comparison, asthma patients had lower SOFA scores (median 0.15; P < .01) and decreased mortality, even after adjusting for age, diabetes, and other confounders (odds ratio 0.65; P = .01). Patients with COPD had higher SOFA scores (median 0.86; P < .01) and increased adjusted odds of mortality (odds ratio 1.40; P < .01). Blood eosinophil count of 200 cells/µL or greater, a marker of type 2 inflammation, was associated with lower mortality across all groups. Importantly, patients with asthma showed improved outcomes even after adjusting for eosinophilia, indicating that noneosinophilic asthma was associated with protection as well. CONCLUSIONS: COVID-19 severity was increased in patients with COPD and decreased in those with asthma, eosinophilia, and noneosinophilic asthma, independent of clinical confounders. These findings suggest that COVID-19 severity may be influenced by intrinsic immunological factors in patients with airway diseases, such as type 2 inflammation.

The role of routine biopsy of the background liver in the management of hepatocellular carcinoma.

We sought to determine the influence of background liver biopsies on hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) management. The pathology database at a large university hospital was searched between 2013 and 2018 for all instances of when a separate biopsy of the nontumoral liver was performed within 6 months of an HCC biopsy. Patients were evaluated for baseline demographic and clinical characteristics, treatment proposed prior to biopsy, and impact of biopsy results on management. Among the 104 identified cases of paired liver biopsies, 22% were women; the median age was 64 years; and most were of earlier HCC stages at diagnosis (Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stages 0-A: 70%). Four patients among 10 in whom cirrhosis status was clinically unclear were confirmed to have cirrhosis on biopsy, and 4 patients did not have cirrhosis despite clinical suspicion. Treatment was altered by the background parenchymal findings for 5 patients (5%): management was less aggressive for 4 patients and more aggressive for 1 patient. A background liver biopsy can significantly impact the management of a small subset of HCC patients, especially those with early disease, and should be considered concurrently with the biopsy of the mass.

Quantitative cardiovascular magnetic resonance findings and clinical risk factors predict cardiovascular outcomes in breast cancer patients.

BACKGROUND: Cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) global longitudinal strain and circumferential strain abnormalities have been associated with left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) reduction and cardiotoxicity from oncologic therapy. However, few studies have evaluated the associations of strain and cardiovascular outcomes. OBJECTIVES: To assess CMR circumferential and global longitudinal strain (GLS) correlations with cardiovascular outcomes including myocardial infarction, systolic dysfunction, diastolic dysfunction, arrhythmias and valvular disease in breast cancer patients treated with and without anthracyclines and/or trastuzumab therapy. METHODS: Breast cancer patients with a CMR from 2013-2017 at Yale New Haven Hospital were included. Patient co-morbidities, medications, and cardiovascular outcomes were obtained from chart review. Biostatistical analyses, including Pearson correlations, competing risk regression model, and competing risk survival curves comparing the two groups were analyzed. RESULTS: 116 breast cancer with CMRs were included in our analysis to assess differences between Anthracycline/Trastuzumab (AT) (62) treated versus non anthracycline/trastuzumab (NAT) (54) treated patients in terms of imaging characteristics and outcomes. More AT patients 17 (27.4%) developed systolic heart failure compared to the NAT group 6 (10.9%), p = 0.025. Statin use was associated with a significant reduction in future arrhythmias (HR 0.416; 95% CI 0.229-0.755, p = 0.004). In a sub-group of 13 patients that underwent stress CMR, we did not find evidence of microvascular dysfunction by sub-endocardial/sub-epicardial myocardial perfusion index ratio after adjusting for ischemic heart disease. CONCLUSIONS: In our study, CMR detected signs of subclinical cardiotoxicity such as strain abnormalities despite normal LV function and abnormal circumferential strain was associated with adverse cardiovascular outcomes such as valvular disease and systolic heart failure. Thus, CMR is an important tool during and after cancer treatment to identity and prognosticate cancer treatment-related cardiotoxicity.

Sleep and cancer recurrence and survival in patients with resected Stage III colon cancer: findings from CALGB/SWOG 80702 (Alliance).

BACKGROUND: We sought to assess the influences of sleep duration, sleep adequacy, and daytime sleepiness on survival outcomes among Stage III colon cancer patients. METHODS: We conducted a prospective observational study of 1175 Stage III colon cancer patients enrolled in the CALGB/SWOG 80702 randomised adjuvant chemotherapy trial who completed a self-reported questionnaire on dietary and lifestyle habits 14-16 months post-randomisation. The primary endpoint was disease-free survival (DFS), and secondary was overall survival (OS). Multivariate analyses were adjusted for baseline sociodemographic, clinical, dietary and lifestyle factors. RESULTS: Patients sleeping ≥9 h-relative to 7 h-experienced a worse hazard ratio (HR) of 1.62 (95% confidence interval (CI), 1.01-2.58) for DFS. In addition, those sleeping the least (≤5 h) or the most (≥ 9 h) experienced worse HRs for OS of 2.14 (95% CI, 1.14-4.03) and 2.34 (95% CI, 1.26-4.33), respectively. Self-reported sleep adequacy and daytime sleepiness showed no significant correlations with outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Among resected Stage III colon cancer patients who received uniform treatment and follow-up within a nationwide randomised clinical trial, very long and very short sleep durations were significantly associated with increased mortality. Interventions targeting optimising sleep health among indicated colon cancer patients may be an important method by which more comprehensive care can be delivered. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01150045.

Words Used in Letters of Recommendation for Pediatric Residency Applicants: Demographic Differences and Impact on Interviews.

OBJECTIVE: To describe differences in agentic (achievement) and communal (relationship) terms in letters of recommendation (LORs) for pediatric residency candidates by applicant and letter writer demographics and to examine if LOR language is associated with interview status. METHODS: A random sample of applicant profiles and LORs submitted to one institution were analyzed from the 2020-21 Match. Letters of recommendation text was inputted into a customized natural language processing application which determined the frequency of agentic and communal words in each LOR. Neutral LORs were defined as having< 5% surplus of agentic or communal terms. RESULTS: We analyzed 2094 LORs from 573 applicants: 78% were women, 24% were under-represented in medicine (URiM), and 39% were invited to interview. Most letter writers were women (55%) and of senior academic rank (49%). Overall, 53% of LORs were agency biased, 25% communal biased, and 23% neutral. There was no difference in agency and communally biased LORs by an applicant's gender (men 53% agentic vs women 53% agentic, P = .424), race or ethnicity (non-URiM 53% agentic vs URiM 51% agentic, P = .631). Male letter writers used significantly more agentic terms (8.5%) compared to women (6.7% agentic) or writers of both genders (3.1% communal) (P = .008). Applicants invited to interview were more likely to have a neutral LOR; however, no significant association existed between language and interview status. CONCLUSIONS: No significant differences in language were found by applicant gender or race among pediatric residency candidates. Identifying potential biases within pediatric residency selection processes is important in creating an equitable approach to application review.

Nonutility of procalcitonin for diagnosing bacterial pneumonia in patients with severe COVID-19.

Background: Patients hospitalized with COVID-19 are at significant risk for superimposed bacterial pneumonia. However, diagnosing superinfection is challenging due to its clinical resemblance to severe COVID-19. We therefore evaluated whether the immune biomarker, procalcitonin, could facilitate the diagnosis of bacterial superinfection. Methods: We retrospectively identified 185 patients hospitalized with severe COVID-19 who underwent lower respiratory culture; 85 had evidence of bacterial superinfection. Receiver operating characteristic curve and area under the curve (AUC) analyses were performed to assess the utility of procalcitonin for diagnosing superinfection. Results: This approach demonstrated that procalcitonin measured at the time of culture was incapable of distinguishing patients with bacterial infection (AUC, 0.52). The AUC not affected by exposure to antibiotics, treatment with immunomodulatory agents, or timing of procalcitonin measurement. Conclusion: Static measurement of procalcitonin does not aid in the diagnosis of superinfection in severe COVID-19.

Evolution of care in cirrhosis: Preventing hepatic decompensation through pharmacotherapy.

Cirrhosis is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality, impacting more than 120 million people worldwide. Although geographic differences exist, etiologic factors such as alcohol use disorder, chronic viral hepatitis infections, and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease are prevalent in nearly every region. Historically, significant effort has been devoted to modifying these risks to prevent disease progression. Nevertheless, more than 11% of patients with compensated cirrhosis experience hepatic decompensation each year. This transition signifies the most important prognostic factor in the natural history of the disease, corresponding to a decline in median survival to below 2 years. Over the past decade, the need for pharmacotherapies aimed at reducing the risk for hepatic decompensation has been emphasized, and non-selective beta-blockers have emerged as the most effective option to date. However, a critical therapeutic gap still exists, and additional therapies have been proposed, including statins, rifaximin, and sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors. Based on the results of innovative retrospective analyses and small-scale prospective trials, these pharmacotherapies represent promising options, but further studies, including randomized controlled trials, are necessary before they can be incorporated into clinical use. This report highlights the potential impact of these agents and others in preventing hepatic decompensation and discusses how this paradigm shift may pave the way for guideline-directed medical therapy in cirrhosis.

Rationale, Design, and Characteristics of the VALIANT (COVID-19 in Older Adults: A Longitudinal Assessment) Cohort.

BACKGROUND: Most older adults hospitalized with COVID-19 survive their acute illness. The impact of COVID-19 hospitalization on patient-centered outcomes, including physical function, cognition, and symptoms, is not well understood. To address this knowledge gap, we collected longitudinal data about these issues from a cohort of older survivors of COVID-19 hospitalization. METHODS: We undertook a prospective study of community-living persons age ≥ 60 years who were hospitalized with COVID-19 from June 2020-June 2021. A baseline interview was conducted during or up to 2 weeks after hospitalization. Follow-up interviews occurred at one, three, and six months post-discharge. Participants completed comprehensive assessments of physical and cognitive function, symptoms, and psychosocial factors. An abbreviated assessment could be performed with a proxy. Additional information was collected from the electronic health record. RESULTS: Among 341 participants, the mean age was 71.4 (SD 8.4) years, 51% were women, and 37% were of Black race or Hispanic ethnicity. Median length of hospitalization was 8 (IQR 6-12) days. All but 4% of participants required supplemental oxygen, and 20% required care in an intensive care unit or stepdown unit. At enrollment, nearly half (47%) reported at least one preexisting disability in physical function, 45% demonstrated cognitive impairment, and 67% were pre-frail or frail. Participants reported a mean of 9 of 14 (SD 3) COVID-19-related symptoms. At the six-month follow-up interview, more than a third of participants experienced a decline from their pre-hospitalization function, nearly 20% had cognitive impairment, and burdensome symptoms remained highly prevalent. CONCLUSIONS: We enrolled a diverse cohort of older adults hospitalized with COVID-19 and followed them after discharge. Functional decline was common, and there were high rates of persistent cognitive impairment and symptoms. Future analyses of these data will advance our understanding of patient-centered outcomes among older COVID-19 survivors.

Potential Mediators of Oxaliplatin-Induced Peripheral Neuropathy From Adjuvant Therapy in Stage III Colon Cancer: Findings From CALGB (Alliance)/SWOG 80702.

PURPOSE: We sought to evaluate the independent and interactive associations of planned treatment duration, celecoxib use, physical activity, body mass index (BMI), diabetes mellitus, and vitamin B6 with oxaliplatin-induced peripheral neuropathy (OIPN) among patients with stage III colon cancer enrolled in a clinical trial. METHODS: We conducted a prospective, observational study of 2,450 patients with stage III colon cancer enrolled in the CALGB/SWOG 80702 trial, randomly assigned to 6 versus 12 cycles of adjuvant fluorouracil, leucovorin, and oxaliplatin chemotherapy with or without 3 years of celecoxib. OIPN was reported using the Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events (CTCAE) during and following completion of chemotherapy and the FACT/GOG-NTX-13 15-17 months after random assignment. Multivariate analyses were adjusted for baseline sociodemographic and clinical factors. RESULTS: Patients assigned to 12 treatment cycles, relative to 6, were significantly more likely to experience higher-grade CTCAE- and FACT/GOG-NTX-13-reported neuropathy and longer times to resolution, while neither celecoxib nor vitamin B6 intake attenuated OIPN. Exercising ≥ 9 MET-hours per week after treatment relative to < 9 was associated with improvements in FACT/GOG-NTX-13-reported OIPN (adjusted difference in means, 1.47; 95% CI, 0.49 to 2.45; P = .003). Compared with patients with baseline BMIs < 25, those with BMIs ≥ 25 were at significantly greater risk of developing higher-grade CTCAE-reported OIPN during (adjusted odds ratio, 1.18; 95% CI, 1.00 to 1.40; P = .05) and following completion (adjusted odds ratio, 1.23; 95% CI, 1.01 to 1.50; P = .04) of oxaliplatin treatment. Patients with diabetes were significantly more likely to experience worse FACT/GOG-NTX-13-reported neuropathy relative to those without (adjusted difference in means, -2.0; 95% CI, -3.3 to -0.73; P = .002). There were no significant interactions between oxaliplatin treatment duration and any of these potentially modifiable exposures. CONCLUSION: Lower physical activity, higher BMI, diabetes, and longer planned treatment duration, but not celecoxib use or vitamin B6 intake, may be associated with significantly increased OIPN severity.

Prevalence and treatment of postobstructive pneumonia among older adults with advanced cancer.

Among 124 older adults with advanced cancer who were hospitalized with pneumonia, 7.3% met criteria for postobstructive pneumonia. There were no differences in antibiotic duration, antibiotic spectrum, 30-day and 90-day readmissions, or mortality between those with and without postobstructive pneumonia. Bacteria were identified in 5 patients with postobstructive pneumonia.

Marital Status, Living Arrangement, and Cancer Recurrence and Survival in Patients with Stage III Colon Cancer: Findings from CALGB 89803 (Alliance).

BACKGROUND: Limited and conflicting findings have been reported regarding the association between social support and colorectal cancer (CRC) outcomes. We sought to assess the influences of marital status and living arrangement on survival outcomes among patients with stage III colon cancer. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We conducted a secondary analysis of 1082 patients with stage III colon cancer prospectively followed in the CALGB 89803 randomized adjuvant chemotherapy trial. Marital status and living arrangement were both self-reported at the time of enrollment as, respectively, married, divorced, separated, widowed, or never-married, and living alone, with a spouse or partner, with other family, in a nursing home, or other. RESULTS: Over a median follow-up of 7.6 years, divorced/separated/widowed patients experienced worse outcomes relative to those married regarding disease free-survival (DFS) (hazards ratio (HR), 1.44 (95% CI, 1.14-1.81); P =.002), recurrence-free survival (RFS) (HR, 1.35 (95% CI, 1.05-1.73); P = .02), and overall survival (OS) (HR, 1.40 (95% CI, 1.08-1.82); P =.01); outcomes were not significantly different for never-married patients. Compared to patients living with a spouse/partner, those living with other family experienced a DFS of 1.47 (95% CI, 1.02-2.11; P = .04), RFS of 1.34 (95% CI, 0.91-1.98; P = .14), and OS of 1.50 (95% CI, 1.00-2.25; P =.05); patients living alone did not experience significantly different outcomes. CONCLUSION: Among patients with stage III colon cancer who received uniform treatment and follow-up within a nationwide randomized clinical trial, being divorced/separated/widowed and living with other family were significantly associated with greater colon cancer mortality. Interventions enhancing social support services may be clinically relevant for this patient population. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT00003835.