Current Surgical Risk Scores Overestimate Risk in Minimally Invasive Aortic Valve Replacement.

OBJECTIVE: Risk-scoring systems for surgical aortic valve replacement (AVR) were largely derived from sternotomy cases. We evaluated the accuracy of current risk scores in predicting outcomes after minimally invasive AVR (mini-AVR). Because transcatheter AVR (TAVR) is being considered for use in low-risk patients with aortic stenosis, accurate mini-AVR risk assessment is necessary. METHODS: We reviewed 1,018 consecutive isolated mini-AVR cases (2009 to 2015). After excluding patients with Society of Thoracic Surgeons Predicted Risk of Mortality (STS-PROM) scores ≥4, we calculated each patient's European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation (EuroSCORE) II, TAVR Risk Score (TAVR-RS), and age, creatinine, and ejection fraction score (ACEF). We compared all 4 scores' accuracy in predicting mini-AVR 30-day mortality by computing each score's observed-to-expected mortality ratio (O:E). Area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves tested discrimination, and the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit tested calibration. RESULTS: Among 941 patients (mean age, 72 ± 12 years), 6 deaths occurred within 30 days (actual mortality rate, 0.6%). All 4 scoring systems overpredicted expected mortality after mini-AVR: ACEF (1.4%), EuroSCORE II (1.9%), STS-PROM (2.0%), and TAVR-RS (2.1%). STS-PROM best estimated risk for patients with STS-PROM scores 0 to <1 (0.6 O:E), ACEF for patients with STS-PROM scores 2 to <3 (0.6 O:E), and TAVR-RS for patients with STS-PROM scores 3 to <4 (0.7 O:E). ROC curves showed only fair discrimination and calibration across all risk scores. CONCLUSIONS: In low-risk patients who underwent mini-AVR, current surgical scoring systems overpredicted mortality 2-to-3-fold. Alternative dedicated scoring systems for mini-AVR are needed for more accurate outcomes assessment.

Del Nido cardioplegia in coronary surgery: a propensity-matched analysis.

OBJECTIVES: Del Nido cardioplegia (DNC) has been shown to be safe in adults with normal coronary arteries who are undergoing valve surgery. This study compared the effects of DNC versus traditional blood-based cardioplegia on postoperative complications in patients who underwent coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG). METHODS: A retrospective analysis was performed on 863 patients who underwent CABG with DNC (n = 420) or control cardioplegia (CC) (n = 443) between 2014 and 2017. The full cohort of DNC and CC recipients, as well as propensity score-matched pairs, was compared regarding preoperative risk variables and outcomes. RESULTS: The DNC and CC groups showed no significant differences in mean cardiopulmonary bypass time (53.09 vs 52.10 min, P = 0.206) or aortic cross-clamp time (32.82 vs 33.28 min, P = 0.967). The groups also showed no difference in operative mortality (2.1% vs 2.5%, P = 0.734); however, DNC use resulted in lower rates of overall infections (1.7% vs 4.3%, P = 0.024), total sternal infections (0.9% vs 3.2%, P = 0.023), postoperative atrial fibrillation (23.8% vs 30.7%, P = 0.023) and postoperative ventricular tachycardia (0.5% vs 3.4%, P = 0.002). A propensity-matching analysis (n = 335 pairs) showed similar statistically significant decreases with DNC. CONCLUSIONS: In this large cohort of CABG patients, DNC was shown as a safe alternative to CC and was associated with lower postoperative dysrhythmia and infection rates. These findings show that DNC is safe and effective in patients whose operative interventions may require only single-dosing cardioplegia; its use in longer cases should be further explored given its low complication rate.

Association of Chromosome 9p21 With Subsequent Coronary Heart Disease Events.

BACKGROUND: Genetic variation at chromosome 9p21 is a recognized risk factor for coronary heart disease (CHD). However, its effect on disease progression and subsequent events is unclear, raising questions about its value for stratification of residual risk. METHODS: A variant at chromosome 9p21 (rs1333049) was tested for association with subsequent events during follow-up in 103 357 Europeans with established CHD at baseline from the GENIUS-CHD (Genetics of Subsequent Coronary Heart Disease) Consortium (73.1% male, mean age 62.9 years). The primary outcome, subsequent CHD death or myocardial infarction (CHD death/myocardial infarction), occurred in 13 040 of the 93 115 participants with available outcome data. Effect estimates were compared with case/control risk obtained from the CARDIoGRAMplusC4D consortium (Coronary Artery Disease Genome-wide Replication and Meta-analysis [CARDIoGRAM] plus The Coronary Artery Disease [C4D] Genetics) including 47 222 CHD cases and 122 264 controls free of CHD. RESULTS: Meta-analyses revealed no significant association between chromosome 9p21 and the primary outcome of CHD death/myocardial infarction among those with established CHD at baseline (GENIUS-CHD odds ratio, 1.02; 95% CI, 0.99-1.05). This contrasted with a strong association in CARDIoGRAMPlusC4D odds ratio 1.20; 95% CI, 1.18-1.22; P for interaction <0.001 compared with the GENIUS-CHD estimate. Similarly, no clear associations were identified for additional subsequent outcomes, including all-cause death, although we found a modest positive association between chromosome 9p21 and subsequent revascularization (odds ratio, 1.07; 95% CI, 1.04-1.09). CONCLUSIONS: In contrast to studies comparing individuals with CHD to disease-free controls, we found no clear association between genetic variation at chromosome 9p21 and risk of subsequent acute CHD events when all individuals had CHD at baseline. However, the association with subsequent revascularization may support the postulated mechanism of chromosome 9p21 for promoting atheroma development.

Subsequent Event Risk in Individuals With Established Coronary Heart Disease.

BACKGROUND: The Genetics of Subsequent Coronary Heart Disease (GENIUS-CHD) consortium was established to facilitate discovery and validation of genetic variants and biomarkers for risk of subsequent CHD events, in individuals with established CHD. METHODS: The consortium currently includes 57 studies from 18 countries, recruiting 185 614 participants with either acute coronary syndrome, stable CHD, or a mixture of both at baseline. All studies collected biological samples and followed-up study participants prospectively for subsequent events. RESULTS: Enrollment into the individual studies took place between 1985 to present day with a duration of follow-up ranging from 9 months to 15 years. Within each study, participants with CHD are predominantly of self-reported European descent (38%-100%), mostly male (44%-91%) with mean ages at recruitment ranging from 40 to 75 years. Initial feasibility analyses, using a federated analysis approach, yielded expected associations between age (hazard ratio, 1.15; 95% CI, 1.14-1.16) per 5-year increase, male sex (hazard ratio, 1.17; 95% CI, 1.13-1.21) and smoking (hazard ratio, 1.43; 95% CI, 1.35-1.51) with risk of subsequent CHD death or myocardial infarction and differing associations with other individual and composite cardiovascular endpoints. CONCLUSIONS: GENIUS-CHD is a global collaboration seeking to elucidate genetic and nongenetic determinants of subsequent event risk in individuals with established CHD, to improve residual risk prediction and identify novel drug targets for secondary prevention. Initial analyses demonstrate the feasibility and reliability of a federated analysis approach. The consortium now plans to initiate and test novel hypotheses as well as supporting replication and validation analyses for other investigators.

A left ventricular end-diastolic dimension less than 6.0 cm is associated with mortality after implantation of an axial-flow pump.

OBJECTIVE: The effects of having a lower left ventricular end-diastolic dimension before HeartMate II (Thoratec Corp, Pleasanton, Calif) left ventricular assist device implantation remain unclear. We analyzed our single-center data on HeartMate II implantation to determine whether having a lower left ventricular end-diastolic dimension preoperatively was associated with inferior outcomes. METHODS: From November 2003 to March 2016, 393 patients with chronic heart failure underwent primary HeartMate II implantation. We compared the preoperative left ventricular end-diastolic dimension and associated survival outcomes of these patients to determine the left ventricular end-diastolic dimension cutoff for worse overall survival. Then, we compared the preoperative demographics, stroke rate, and mortality of patients with a left ventricular end-diastolic dimension above the cutoff for worse survival with those of patients with a left ventricular end-diastolic dimension below the cutoff. RESULTS: A Cox multivariate regression model showed that low left ventricular end-diastolic dimension was an independent predictor of mortality (hazard ratio, 1.49; P = .02). The Contal and O'Quigley method showed that overall survival postimplantation was decreased in patients with a left ventricular end-diastolic dimension less than 6.0 cm (n = 91). Kaplan-Meier analysis confirmed that the left ventricular end-diastolic dimension less than 6.0 cm group had lower overall survival than the left ventricular end-diastolic dimension 6.0 cm or greater group (P = .04). Furthermore, a competing-risk analysis showed that postoperative stroke was more common in the left ventricular end-diastolic dimension less than 6.0 cm group than in the left ventricular end-diastolic dimension 6.0 cm or greater group (P < .01). CONCLUSIONS: Overall survival was decreased and postoperative stroke was increased in HeartMate II recipients with a preoperative left ventricular end-diastolic dimension less than 6.0 cm. Future research should determine the left ventricular end-diastolic dimension cutoff values for safely implanting other support devices, and device designs should be improved to better accommodate the needs of patients with a limited left ventricle size.

Predictive value of preoperative serum albumin levels on outcomes in patients undergoing LVAD implantation.

BACKGROUND: We performed a single-center retrospective analysis to determine whether preoperative serum albumin levels were associated with postoperative adverse events and short- and long-term survival in patients who underwent continuous-flow left ventricular assist device (CF-LVAD) implantation. METHODS: From November 2003 through March 2016, 526 patients underwent CF-LVAD implantation. Patients whose preoperative serum albumin level was normal (≥3.5 g/dL) were compared to patients with preoperative hypoalbuminemia (<3.5 g/dL), which was further categorized as moderate (2.5-3.5 g/dL) or severe (<2.5 g/dL). These groups were compared regarding preoperative demographics, incidence of postoperative complications, and long-term survival. RESULTS: Patients with hypoalbuminemia had higher serum levels of liver enzymes (P < 0.05) and total bilirubin (P < 0.001) and significantly lower platelet counts (P = 0.02) and prealbumin levels (P < 0.001) than patients with normal preoperative albumin levels. Survival in patients with moderate and severe preoperative hypoalbuminemia was significantly decreased compared with patients with normal preoperative serum albumin levels (P < 0.001). Preoperative hypoalbuminemia was also associated with higher incidences of postoperative infection, gastrointestinal bleeding, neurological dysfunction, and acute kidney injury (P ≤ 0.01 for all) but did not affect the success of bridge to transplantation or survival after transplantation. CONCLUSIONS: Our data demonstrated that there is a significant association of preoperative low serum albumin levels with postoperative adverse outcomes and lower survival rates. This highlights the importance of a patient's preoperative nutritional status on postoperative outcomes after CF-LVAD implantation.

Effect of Dose and Timing of Preoperative Statins on Mortality After Coronary Artery Bypass Surgery.

BACKGROUND: Preoperative statin administration is associated with reduced mortality risk after a coronary artery bypass graft operation. However, the optimal dose and timing are unknown. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed data from 3,025 primary isolated coronary artery bypass graft surgery patients at our institution. Patients were divided into three groups, according to timing of their preoperative statin: 24 hours or less (n = 1,788), 24 to 72 hours (n = 452), or more than 72 hours before operation or no dose (n = 781). We then grouped patients by preoperative dose: no statin (n = 739), 20 mg or less (n = 920), or more than 20 mg (n = 1,284) atorvastatin or equivalent. Primary outcome was 30-day all-cause postoperative mortality. RESULTS: Thirty-day all-cause mortality was significantly lower for patients taking a statin 24 hours or less preoperatively (1.7%) compared with 24 to 72 hours (2.9%), more than 72 hours, or no dose (3.8%). Multivariate analysis of a propensity-matched cohort showed taking statins 24 hours or less preoperatively was associated with reduced 30-day all-cause mortality (odds ratio 0.52, 95% confidence interval: 0.28 to 0.98, p = 0.04) versus more than 24 hours or no dose. For preoperative statin dose, 30-day all-cause mortality was significantly lower when taking 20 mg or less(1.8%) or more than 20 mg atorvastatin or equivalent (2.1%) than when taking none (3.8%). In multivariate analysis of the propensity-matched cohort, more than 20 mg preoperative dose was associated with a 68% reduction of 30-day all-cause mortality (odds ratio 0.32, 95% confidence interval: 0.13 to 0.82, p = 0.02) compared with no preoperative statin. However, a 20 mg or less preoperative dose showed no mortality reduction. CONCLUSIONS: Both statin use 24 hours or less preoperatively and preoperative statin dose of more than 20 mg were independently associated with decreased 30-day all-cause mortality after coronary artery bypass graft surgery.

Comparative Efficacy of Nebivolol and Metoprolol to Prevent Tachycardia-Induced Cardiomyopathy in a Porcine Model.

Chronic tachycardia is a well-known cause of nonischemic cardiomyopathy. We hypothesized that nebivolol, a ß-blocker with nitric oxide activity, would be superior to a pure ß-blocker in preventing tachycardia-induced cardiomyopathy in a porcine model. Fifteen healthy Yucatan pigs were randomly assigned to receive nebivolol, metoprolol, or placebo once a day. All pigs underwent dual-chamber pacemaker implantation. The medication was started the day after the pacemaker implantation. On day 7 after implantation, each pacemaker was set at atrioventricular pace (rate, 170 beats/min), and the pigs were observed for another 7 weeks. Transthoracic echocardiograms, serum catecholamine levels, and blood chemistry data were obtained at baseline and at the end of the study. At the end of week 8, the pigs were euthanized, and complete histopathologic studies were performed. All the pigs developed left ventricular cardiomyopathy but remained hemodynamically stable and survived to the end of the study. The mean left ventricular ejection fraction decreased from baseline by 34%, 20%, and 20% in the nebivolol, metoprolol, and placebo groups, respectively. These changes did not differ significantly among the 3 groups (P =0.51). Histopathologic analysis revealed mild left ventricular perivascular fibrosis with cardiomyocyte hypertrophy in 14 of the 15 pigs. Both nebivolol and metoprolol failed to prevent cardiomyopathy in our animal model of persistent tachycardia and a high catecholamine state.

Short-Term Repeatability of Magnetic Resonance Elastography at 3.0T: Effects of Motion-Encoding Gradient Direction, Slice Position, and Meal Ingestion.

PURPOSE: Magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) can estimate liver stiffness (LS) noninvasively. We prospectively assessed whether motion-encoding gradient (MEG) direction, slice position, or high-caloric food intake affects the repeatability of MRE measurements of LS. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Twenty healthy volunteers (8 women, 12 men; age, 48 ± 12 years) were imaged in a 3.0T scanner at four timepoints: twice after overnight fasting (B1 , B2 ) and twice after consuming a 1050-calorie standardized meal (A1 , A2 ; after 30 and 60 min, respectively). Each session comprised sequential MRE acquisitions in which MEG was applied in three orthogonal directions with three slices positioned over the liver for each. Between sessions, the participants were repositioned to assess test-retest reproducibility. RESULTS: The LS measurements before/after food intake were 3.36 ± 1.31 kPa/3.22 ± 1.03 kPa, 2.04 ± 0.33 kPa/2.27 ± 0.38 kPa, and 2.47 ± 0.50 kPa/2.64 ± 0.76 kPa for MEG superimposed along the anterior-posterior (AP), foot-head (FH), and right-left (RL) directions, respectively. Before and after food intake, LS estimates were lower and more reproducible (<10% coefficient of variation) when the MEG was in the FH direction, not the AP or RL direction. Liver stiffness estimates were significantly elevated after meal consumption when the MEG was in the FH direction (P < 0.05 for B1 vs. A1 , B1 vs. A2 , B2 vs. A1 , and B2 vs. A2 ). CONCLUSION: MRE estimates of LS were highly reproducible, particularly when MEG was applied in the FH direction, suggesting that this method could be used for long-term monitoring of antifibrotic therapy without repeated biopsies. High-caloric food intake resulted in slightly elevated LS on MRE.

Protocol-Driven Allied Health Post-Discharge Transition Clinic to Reduce Hospital Readmissions in Heart Failure.

BACKGROUND: Heart failure (HF) patients have high rates of hospitalization and rehospitalization. METHODS AND RESULTS: A protocol-driven clinic staffed by an allied health care team was designed for patients discharged from the hospital with a diagnosis of congestive HF. The clinic provided follow-up visits 1 week and 4 to 6 weeks after hospital discharge. One-hundred and fourteen patients were observed at least 1 time, and 80% of these patients completed the 2-visit protocol. Clinical evaluations were provided by a nurse practitioner specializing in HF and a clinical pharmacist; these evaluations included physical examination, laboratory evaluation, medical education and reconciliation, medication adjustment and titration, and care coordination. Referrals to home health and appropriate services were provided. At visit 1, 25% of patients were hypervolemic and 13% were hypovolemic. At visit 2, 20% were hypervolemic and 13% were hypovolemic. Medicine reconciliation errors were common, with an average of 2.1 and 0.8 errors per person recorded for visits 1 and 2, respectively. Clinic participants showed a 44.3% reduction in 30-day readmission rates, as compared to the hospital's average 30-day readmission rates. CONCLUSIONS: Protocol-driven postdischarge transition care delivered by allied health staff addressed multiple transition issues and was associated with a dramatic reduction in readmission rates.

Association Between Preoperative Aspirin-dosing Strategy and Mortality After Coronary Artery Bypass Graft Surgery.

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether preoperative aspirin-acetylsalicylic acid (ASA)-timing or dose independently affects 30-day all-cause mortality. BACKGROUND: Preoperative ASA administration is associated with reduced morbidity and mortality after coronary artery bypass graft (CABG). However, data are lacking regarding optimal timing and dosing of ASA. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed data from 3018 consecutive patients who underwent CABG surgery between July 2005 and May 2011. Patients were assigned to 3 groups according to the time of the last preoperative ASA dose: (1) 24 hours or less preoperatively (n = 1173), (2) between 24 and 72 hours (n = 876), and (3) more than 72 hours or none (n = 969). In a separate analysis, patients were grouped according to ASA dose: 81 mg (n = 1285), 325 mg (n = 1004), and none (n = 543). The primary outcome was 30-day all-cause mortality. RESULTS: The 30-day mortality rate was significantly lower in patients who took ASA 24 hours or less preoperatively (1.5%) than in those who took it between 24 and 72 hours (3.2%) or more than 72 hours or none (2.9%). Multivariate analysis showed that ASA within 24 hours preoperatively was associated with reduced mortality (odds ratio [OR], 0.41; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.20-0.82; P = 0.01). Moreover, mortality was significantly reduced for patients taking 81 mg of ASA (1.4%) compared with 325 mg (2.9%) or none (3.9%). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that 81 mg of ASA decreased mortality risk by 66% (OR, 0.34; 95% CI, 0.18-0.66; P < 0.01), whereas 325 mg of ASA had no mortality benefit (OR, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.41-1.35; P = 0.33) compared with no ASA. CONCLUSIONS: Low-dose ASA use within 24 hours of CABG is independently associated with decreased early postoperative mortality.

Association between cell-derived microparticles and adverse events in patients with nonpulsatile left ventricular assist devices.

BACKGROUND: Continuous-flow left ventricular assist devices (LVADs) expose blood cells to high shear stress, potentially resulting in the production of microparticles that express phosphatidylserine (PS+) and promote coagulation and inflammation. In this prospective study, we attempted to determine whether PS+ microparticle levels correlate with clinical outcomes in LVAD-supported patients. METHODS: We enrolled 20 patients undergoing implantation of the HeartMate II LVAD (Thoratec Corp, Pleasanton, CA) and 10 healthy controls who provided reference values for the microparticle assays. Plasma was collected before LVAD implantation, at discharge, at the 3-month follow-up, and when an adverse clinical event occurred. We quantified PS+ microparticles in the plasma using flow cytometry. RESULTS: During the study period, 8 patients developed adverse clinical events: ventricular tachycardia storm in 1, non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction in 2, arterial thrombosis in 2, gastrointestinal bleeding in 2, and stroke in 3. Levels of PS+ microparticles were higher in patients at baseline than in healthy controls (2.11% ± 1.26% vs 0.69% ± 0.46%, p = 0.007). After LVAD implantation, patient PS+ microparticle levels increased to 2.39% ± 1.22% at discharge and then leveled to 1.97% ± 1.25% at the 3-month follow-up. Importantly, levels of PS+ microparticles were significantly higher in patients who developed an adverse event than in patients with no events (3.82% ± 1.17% vs 1.57% ± 0.59%, p < 0.001), even though the 2 patient groups did not markedly differ in other clinical and hematologic parameters. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that an elevation of PS+ microparticle levels may be associated with adverse clinical events. Thus, measuring PS+ microparticle levels in LVAD-supported patients may help identify patients at increased risk for adverse events.

Low serum sodium level during cardiopulmonary bypass predicts increased risk of postoperative stroke after coronary artery bypass graft surgery.

OBJECTIVE: Rapid decreases in serum sodium levels are associated with altered mental status, seizures, and coma. During cardiac surgery, serum sodium levels decrease rapidly when cardiopulmonary bypass is initiated because cardiopulmonary bypass causes hemodilution. However, whether this decrease influences neurologic outcome after cardiac surgery remains unclear. We investigated whether the average serum sodium level during cardiopulmonary bypass is independently predictive of postoperative stroke or 30-day all-cause mortality in patients who undergo primary coronary artery bypass grafting. METHODS: In a single-institution, retrospective cohort of 2348 consecutive patients who underwent primary, isolated coronary artery bypass grafting, sequential multivariate logistic regression was performed to determine the threshold below which the average serum sodium level during cardiopulmonary bypass independently predicts postoperative stroke or early death. To further test the validity of this threshold and to control for selection bias, stepwise multivariate logistic regression was also performed on propensity score-matched patients (n = 924). RESULTS: An average serum sodium level less than 130 mEq/L during cardiopulmonary bypass was independently predictive of stroke, both in the entire study cohort (1.44% vs 2.92%; odds ratio, 2.09; 95% confidence interval, 1.1-4.1; P = .03) and in the propensity-matched patients (0.9% vs 3.0%; odds ratio, 4.1; 95% confidence interval, 1.3-13.0; P = .02). The average serum sodium level during cardiopulmonary bypass was not independently associated with early death, regardless of what threshold value was used. CONCLUSIONS: An average serum sodium level of less than 130 mEq/L during cardiopulmonary bypass is independently associated with an increased risk of postoperative stroke in patients who undergo primary coronary artery bypass grafting.

Single nucleotide polymorphisms in cholesteryl ester transfer protein gene and recurrent coronary heart disease or mortality in patients with established atherosclerosis.

It is not known whether genetic variants in the cholesteryl ester transfer protein (CETP) gene are associated with recurrent coronary heart disease events or mortality in secondary prevention patients. Among 3,717 patients with acute coronary syndrome or coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) enrolled in a prospective genetic registry, we evaluated whether CETP gene variants previously shown to be associated with reduced CETP activity and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol increase ("A" allele for both TaqIB [rs708272] and rs12149545) are associated with a reduction in recurrent myocardial infarction (MI), recurrent revascularization, or death. At 4.5 years of follow-up, 439 recurrent MI, 698 recurrent revascularizations, and 756 deaths occurred. Using an additive model of inheritance, the "A" allele for rs708272 was not associated with recurrent MI (hazard ratio [HR] 0.95, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.78 to 1.17 for AG; HR 0.89, 95% CI 0.67 to 1.19 for AA; compared with GG genotype), recurrent revascularization (HR 1.13, 95% CI 0.95 to 1.33 for AG; HR 1.05, 95% CI 0.84 to 1.32 for AA), or mortality (HR 1.02, 95% CI 0.86 to 1.19 for AG; HR 1.11, 95% CI 0.91 to 1.37 for AA) in the overall cohort. Similar results were seen for the "A" allele for rs12149545. In the CABG subgroup, AG genotype for rs708272 was associated with an increased mortality (HR 1.38, 95% CI 1.06 to 1.79) compared with GG genotype. Results remained consistent using dominant model of inheritance. In conclusion, genetic CETP variants were not associated with recurrent MI or recurrent revascularization in overall cohort with a possible mortality increase in patients who underwent CABG.

Predicting early death after cardiovascular surgery by using the Texas Heart Institute Risk Scoring Technique (THIRST).

Preoperative risk-prediction models are an important tool in contemporary surgical practice. We developed a risk-scoring technique for predicting in-hospital death for cardiovascular surgery patients. From our institutional database, we obtained data on 21,120 patients admitted from 1995 through 2007. The outcome of interest was early death (in-hospital or within 30 days of surgery). To identify mortality predictors, multivariate logistic regression was performed on data from 14,030 patients from 1995 through 2002 and risk scores were computed to stratify patients (low-, medium-, and high-risk). A recalibrated model was then created from the original risk scores and validated on data from 7,090 patients from 2003 through 2007. Significant predictors of death included urgent surgery within 48 hours of admission, advanced age, renal insufficiency, repeat coronary artery bypass grafting, repeat aortic aneurysm repair, concomitant aortic aneurysm or left ventricular aneurysm repair with coronary bypass or valvular surgery, and preoperative intra-aortic balloon pump support. Because the original model overpredicted death for operations performed from 2003 through 2007, this was adjusted for by applying the recalibrated model. Applying the recalibrated model to the validation set revealed predicted mortality rates of 1.7%, 4.2%, and 13.4% and observed rates of 1.1%, 5.1%, and 13%, respectively. Because our model discriminates risk groups by using preoperative clinical criteria alone, it can be a useful bedside tool for identifying patients at greater risk of early death after cardiovascular surgery, thereby facilitating clinical decision-making. The model can be recalibrated for use in other types of patient populations.

Moderate hypothermia during aortic arch surgery is associated with reduced risk of early mortality.

OBJECTIVE: Selective antegrade cerebral perfusion (ACP) during hypothermic circulatory arrest (HCA) provides cerebral protection during aortic arch surgery. However, the ideal temperature for HCA during ACP remains unknown. Clinical outcomes were compared in patients who underwent moderate (nasopharyngeal temperature, ≥ 20 °C) versus deep (nasopharyngeal temperature, <20 °C) HCA with ACP during aortic arch repair. METHODS: By using a prospectively maintained clinical database, we analyzed data from 221 consecutive patients who underwent aortic arch replacement with HCA and ACP between December 2006 and May 2009. Seventy-eight patients underwent deep hypothermia (mean lowest temperature, 16.8 °C ± 1.7 °C) and 143 patients underwent moderate hypothermia (mean, 22.9 °C ± 1.4 °C) before systemic circulatory arrest was initiated. Multivariate stepwise logistic and linear regressions were performed to determine whether depth of hypothermia independently predicted postoperative outcomes and blood-product use. RESULTS: Compared with moderate hypothermia, deep hypothermia was associated independently with a greater risk of in-hospital death (7.7% vs 0.7%; odds ratio [OR], 9.3; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.1-81.6; P = .005) and 30-day all-cause mortality (9.0% vs 2.1%; OR, 4.7; 95% CI, 1.2-18.6; P = .02), and with longer cardiopulmonary bypass time (154 ± 62 vs 140 ± 46 min; P = .008). Deep hypothermia also was associated with a higher incidence of stroke, although this association was not statistically significant (7.6% vs 2.8%; P = .073; OR, 4.3; 95% CI, 0.9-12.5). No difference was seen in acute kidney injury, blood product transfusion, or need for surgical re-exploration. CONCLUSIONS: Moderate hypothermia with ACP is associated with lower in-hospital and 30-day mortality, shorter cardiopulmonary bypass time, and fewer neurologic sequelae than deep hypothermia in patients who undergo aortic arch surgery with ACP.

Combined clopidogrel and aspirin therapy in patients undergoing carotid endarterectomy is associated with an increased risk of postoperative bleeding.

This present study investigated the influence of combined preoperative clopidogrel and aspirin (ASA) administration on adverse postoperative outcomes and bleeding risk in patients undergoing carotid endarterectomy (CEA). A retrospective cohort study of all consecutive patients undergoing isolated CEA (n = 1488) between 1998 and 2005 was performed. Patients were classified into three groups: patients receiving combined preoperative clopidogrel/ASA therapy (n = 315), patients receiving preoperative ASA only (n = 639) and patients receiving no preoperative antiplatelet therapy (n = 518). Multivariate logistic regression was performed to determine if combined preoperative clopidogrel and ASA therapy is independently associated with improved perioperative outcomes after CEA in the absence of significant bleeding risk. Clopidogrel/ASA therapy was independently associated with a five-fold increased risk of postoperative bleeding after CEA (odds ratios = 5.1; 95% confidence intervals: 1.8­14.2; P < 0.002). No increase in bleeding risk or reoperation was observed in patients receiving ASA alone. However, the postoperative length of hospital stay (PLOHS) was significantly shorter (P = 0.01) for patients receiving combined clopidogrel/ASA therapy (2.5 ± 2.3 days) versus those receiving no antiplatelet agents (3.2 ± 5.9 days). Preoperative clopidogrel/ASA therapy increases risk of postoperative bleeding after CEA, yet reduces overall PLOHS.

Association between preoperative diuretic use and in-hospital outcomes after cardiac surgery.

BACKGROUND: There is a paucity of evidence on the association between preoperative diuretics use and outcomes following cardiac surgery. We hypothesized that diuretic use prior to cardiac surgery will be associated with adverse in-hospital clinical outcomes. METHODS: We evaluated patients undergoing cardiac surgery at a single institution between January 1, 2000, and December 31, 2011. Patients were grouped as follows: isolated coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) (n = 8759), CABG plus valve surgery (n = 1188), and valve surgery only (n = 2646). A fourth group "All cardiac surgery" is comprised of patients from all three groups. Preoperative diuretic use was defined as patient on any diuretic till the day of surgery. Primary outcome was the incidence of major adverse events (MAEs) defined as the composite of mortality, postoperative renal dysfunction, myocardial infarction, stroke, and new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF). Logistic regression analysis and propensity score matching were performed. RESULTS: We included 12,593 patients [3546 on diuretic (28%)]. After logistic regression analyses, preoperative diuretic use was associated with an increased risk of the following: (1) MAE among all groups except the concomitant CABG and valve surgery group, (2) AF in "All cardiac surgery" and isolated CABG groups, (3) postoperative renal dysfunction in all groups. After propensity score matching (n = 3050 in each group), preoperative diuretic use was significantly associated with MAE (48% vs. 43%; P < 0.0001), postoperative renal dysfunction (19% vs. 14%; P < 0.0001), and AF (34% vs. 32%; P = 0.03) in the "All cardiac surgery" group. CONCLUSION: Preoperative diuretics use is associated with an increased incidence of MAEs after cardiac surgery.

Complications of cerebrospinal fluid drainage after thoracic aortic surgery: a review of 504 patients over 5 years.

BACKGROUND: Cerebrospinal fluid drainage, a well-established means of preventing paraplegia after thoracic aortic aneurysm surgery, can result in serious, sometimes lethal complications. In a large group of patients who underwent surgical thoracic aortic aneurysm repair with cerebrospinal fluid drainage, we examined the incidences of and potential risk factors for these outcomes. METHODS: The records were reviewed of 504 patients who underwent surgical thoracic aortic aneurysm repair with cerebrospinal fluid drainage at the Texas Heart Institute at St. Luke's Episcopal Hospital between February 2005 and December 2009. All historical data, inpatient records, and billing data were searched for evidence of complications. RESULTS: Of the 504 patients, 14 (2.8%) had intracranial hemorrhage, of whom 10 (72%) had subdural hematoma. Postdural puncture headache developed in 49 patients (9.7%), of whom 17 (34.6%) required epidural blood patch placement for resolution. Multivariable analysis identified having a connective tissue disorder (odds ratio, 3.08; 95% confidence interval, 1.33-7.13) as an independent predictor of postdural puncture headache, but not age less than 40 years (odds ratio, 0.97; 95% confidence interval, 0.94-0.99). CONCLUSIONS: Cerebrospinal fluid drainage, as performed by our method, seems to be associated with a modest rate of intracranial bleeding in patients who undergo surgical thoracic aortic aneurysm repair. In contrast, postdural puncture headache is not uncommon, particularly in patients with connective tissue disease. Clinicians caring for these patients should consider the likelihood of postdural puncture headache, and any such patient with postoperative headache should be assessed for epidural blood patch placement.

Association of gender with morbidity and mortality after isolated coronary artery bypass grafting. A propensity score matched analysis.

INTRODUCTION: There is conflicting evidence about the impact of gender on outcomes after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG). METHODS: We performed a multivariate logistic regression and propensity score matched analyses in 13,115 patients (75% men) who underwent CABG between January 1, 1995 and December 31, 2009. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. Secondary outcomes included post-operative respiratory failure, stroke, myocardial infarction, sternal and leg wound infections, atrial fibrillation (AF), renal failure, need for postoperative intra-aortic balloon pump (IABP) support, and length of hospital stay. RESULTS: A higher proportion of women (184; 5.6%) suffered in-hospital death compared to men (264; 2.7%), p<0.0001. After propensity score matching (n=3600 total, 1800 in each group), female gender was an independent predictor of mortality after isolated CABG (odds ratio [OR]=1.84; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.22-2.78). Women also experienced a higher incidence of postoperative complications including stroke (3.8% vs. 2.3%, OR 1.37; 95% CI 1.08-1.73) and leg wound infection (3.4% vs. 1.7%, OR 1.75; 95% CI 1.36-2.54) on multivariate regression analyses. However, these differences were not significant after propensity score matching. We also observed a lower risk of post-operative AF (21.2% vs. 22.1%, OR 0.78; 95% CI 0.70-0.86) in women that remained significant after propensity matching (O.R. 0.76; 95% C.I. 0.65-0.90). Length of hospital stay was longer in women compared with men (11.9 ± 9.0 vs. 10.4 ± 9.2 days, p<0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: Female gender is an independent predictor of increased mortality and a lower incidence of post-operative AF after isolated CABG.