Rates and predictors of stroke-associated case fatality in black Central African patients.

OBJECTIVE: To identify case fatality rates and predictors of stroke in a private clinic in Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of Congo. METHODS: Two hundred and twelve black Africans were consecutively admitted to a clinic and prospectively assessed during the first 30 days by CT scan-proven stroke types and outcome. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to estimate the in-hospital mortality risk for the following baseline characteristics: age, gender, education, arterial hypertension, diabetes, stroke types, leukocyte count, and haematocrit, blood glucose, uric acid, fibrinogen and total cholesterol levels. RESULTS: Haemorrhagic and ischaemic strokes were present in 52 and 48% of the study population, respectively; and 44% of all stroke type patients, 29% of haemorrhagic stroke and 31% of ischaemic stroke patients died. Compared to the survivors, deceased patients were significantly (p < 0.001) older with higher leukocyte counts and haematocrit, haemoglobin and fibrinogen levels, but lower glycaemic levels. The variable significantly associated with all stroke type mortalities in the multivariate model was ischaemic stroke (HR = 4.28, p < 0.001). The univariate risk factors of mortality in patients with ischaemic stroke were higher fibrinogenaemia (RR = 6.4; 95% CI = 4.8-8.2 for tertile 3 and RR = 12.9; 95% CI = 7.8-18.4 for tertile 4; p < 0.001) and higher glycaemia (RR = 3.3; 95% CI = 1.4-5.7 for tertile 3 and RR = 6.7; 95% CI = 5.2-9.2 for tertile 4; p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: We have shown that all acute stroke types remain a deadly nosological entity, and ischaemic stroke, baseline haematocrit and fibrinogen levels, and dependency on others' care were significantly associated with all stroke mortalities. Moreover, hyperfibrinogaemia and hyperglycaemia were the significant predictors of case fatality in ischaemic stroke patients. In Africa, the top priority for resource allocation for stroke services should go to the primary prevention of stroke.

Hematocrit and stroke in black Africans under tropical climate and meteorological influence.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the relationship between hematocrit and risk of fatal and non-fatal stroke in conjunction with meteorological variations. DESIGN: Prospective study of a series of Africans living in Kinshasa, Congo, followed up for 5 years. SUBJECTS: A total of 1,032 unselected patients consecutively admitted to hospitals for acute stroke. Main outcome measures. Fatal and non-fatal ischemic or hemorrhagic strokes. The association of hematocrit with stroke morbidity and mortality and meteorological variables were evaluated by simple or multiple linear regression and logistic regression. RESULTS: Patients were aged 53.7 +/- 12.1 years. Hematocrit was mostly correlated with mean ambient air temperature (r = 0.124; p < 0.001) and atmospheric pressure at 6 a.m GMT (r = 0.157; p < 0.001). Patients with hematocrit > 40% presented the highest levels of systolic blood pressure, fibrinogen, body temperature, resting heart rate, duration of coma and incidence of all stroke types and ischemic stroke (p < 0.001). Hematocrit > 40% was associated with stroke mortality (Odds ratio, 6.2, 4.5-8.6; p < 0.001). The risk of stroke mortality was multiplied by 21, 18.3 and 4.2 in conditions of a mean ambient air temperature > 28 degrees C, atmospheric pressure 975-977 mm Hg and body temperature > 37 degrees C respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Our study suggests that higher hematocrit is associated with an increased risk of stroke morbidity and mortality, particularly ischemic stroke at noon. This risk is probably mediated by increased susceptibility of African older hypertensive subjects to meteorological variations.