Multi-objective optimization methodology for green-gray coupled runoff control infrastructure adapting spatial heterogeneity of natural endowment and urban development.

Cost-effective runoff control scheme drafting involves localization, multi-sector coordination, and configuration of multifunctional infrastructures. Numerous independent variables, parameters, weights, and objectives make runoff control optimization quantitatively arduous. This study innovatively proposed a multi-objective optimization methodology for green-gray coupled runoff control infrastructure adapting spatial heterogeneity of natural endowment and urban development. The quantitative methods of multi-objective evaluation, hydrological feature partition, and pressure-adapted multi-objective weight assignment were proposed. Remote sensing inversion of water quality, hydrological model simulation (using SWAT and SWMM software), landscape pattern index calculation, life cycle cost (LCC), life cycle assessment (LCA) on ecological impact, and NSGA-II optimization algorithm were applied. Wuhan, the most water-sensitive city in China, was studied as a case. Runoff control function (RCF), capital investment (CI), and ecological return on investment (EROI) served as optimized objectives. High, medium, and low built-up regions in Wuhan urban development planning district were extracted by topographic factors and landscape patterns, which comprised 28, 34, and 38% of the case area, respectively. Three corresponding hydrological models were then built to illustrate distinct runoff control cost-efficiency in each region. Pressure distributions on runoff control, economic constraints, and ecological resource scarcity were quantitatively evaluated. And four pressure zones were clustered, which occupied 36, 29, 16, and 19% of the case area, respectively. Then the zonal weighted optimization decision-making matrix (with 3 hydrological models and 5 wt) was established by overlaying the pressure zone and built-up zone. In high, medium, and low built-up regions, optimized solutions reduced annual runoff volume by 86, 82%, and 77%The average runoff investments per square meter of impervious underlying surface in high, medium, and low built-up regions were 34.2, 18.7, and 7.9 RMB yuan, respectively. Medium and low built-up regions may only need 55 and 23% of the high built-up region for the unitary impervious underlying surface to balance runoff control and ecological benefits. Runoff control and financial utilization efficiency enhance with hydrological differentiation zones. Thus, the optimization solutions are zonal adaptive, refined, comparable, replicable, and implementable.

Incorporating receiving waters responses into the framework of spatial optimization of LID-BMPs in plain river network region.

Deep insights into the receiving waters responses to optimal spatial allocation of LID-BMPs are considered extremely important. This study addressed the urgent need to incorporate receiving waters responses into the spatial allocation optimization of LID-BMPs and demonstrated the efficiency of the approach to guide watershed management. The integration of an overland-river coupling model and the NSGA-III algorithm resulted in the proposal of a general simulation-optimization framework for the optimal layout of LID-BMPs. The coupled model was swapped out for the surrogates to increase computational efficiency. When 40.71%, 36.06%, and 61.80% reductions in runoff volume, flood volume, and TP concentration are achieved, the newly proposed framework can save 34.44% and 16.31% cost compared to the approach that does not consider receiving waters responses and refined spatial allocation, respectively. Results indicate that the incorporation of receiving waters responses and refined spatial allocation are essential for the optimal design of LID-BMPs. This new framework offers the potential for more cost-effective high-cost solutions. The results of spatial optimization are significantly influenced by imperviousness.

Comprehensive modelling and cost-benefit optimization for joint regulation of algae in urban water system.

Algal blooms in urban water system is an international concern, which especially in China, have become a major obstacle to the urban water environment improvement since the preliminary achievements were made in the treatment of black and odorous water bodies. The complex blooming mechanisms require a joint regulation plan. This study established a framework that consisted of three steps, i.e., simulation, optimization, and verification, to build an optimal joint regulation plan. By taking the urban river network in Suzhou Pingjiang Xincheng as a case study, the cost-benefits of six alternative regulation measures were assessed using an algal bloom mechanism model and the discounted cash flow model based on 70 regulation scenarios. The joint regulation plan was optimized using the marginal-cost-based greedy strategy on the basis of the cost-benefits of different measures. The optimized joint plans, which were verified to be global optima, were more cost-effective than the designed regulation scenarios, and reduced the average chlorophyll-a concentrations by 55.3%-60.1% compared with the status quo. Applying the optimized cost allocation ratios of each measure to adjust the existing regulation scheme of another similar case verified that the optimization results had great generalizability.

Multi-factor analysis of algal blooms in gate-controlled urban water bodies by data mining.

Intense human disturbance has made algal bloom a prominent environmental problem in gate-controlled urban water bodies. Urban water bodies present the characteristics of natural rivers and lakes simultaneously, whose algal blooms may manifest multi-factor interactions. Hence, effective regulation strategies require a multi-factor analysis to understand local blooming mechanisms. This study designed a holistic multi-factor analysis framework by integrating five data mining techniques. First, the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test was conducted to screen out the possible explanatory variables. Then, correlation analyses and principal component analyses were performed to identify variable collinearity and mutual causality, respectively. After collinearity and mutual causality were treated prudently by using orthogonalization and instrumental variables, multilinear regression can be properly conducted to quantify factor contributions to algae growth. Lastly, a decision tree was used innovatively to depict the limiting threshold curves of each driving factor that restricts algae growth under different circumstances. The driving factors, their contributions, and the limiting threshold curves compose the complete blooming mechanisms, thus providing a clear direction for the targeted regulation task. A typical case study was performed in Suzhou, a Chinese city with an intricate gate-controlled river network. Results confirmed that climatic factors (i.e., water temperature and solar radiation), hydrodynamic factors (i.e., flow velocity), nutrients (i.e., phosphorus and nitrogen), and external loadings contributed 49.3%, 21.7%, 21.3%, and 7.7%, respectively, to algae growth. These results indicate that a joint regulation strategy is urgently required. Future studies can focus on coupling the revealed mechanisms with an ecological model to provide a comprehensive toolkit for the optimization of an adaptive joint regulation plan under the background of global warming.

Performance assessment of coupled green-grey-blue systems for Sponge City construction.

In recent years, Sponge City has gained significant interests as a way of urban water management. The kernel of Sponge City is to develop a coupled green-grey-blue system which consists of green infrastructure at the source, grey infrastructure (i.e. drainage system) at the midway and receiving water bodies as the blue part at the terminal. However, the current approaches for assessing the performance of Sponge City construction are confined to green-grey systems and do not adequately reflect the effectiveness in runoff reduction and the impacts on receiving water bodies. This paper proposes an integrated assessment framework of coupled green-grey-blue systems on compliance of water quantity and quality control targets in Sponge City construction. Rainfall runoff and river system models are coupled to provide quantitative simulation evaluations of a number of indicators of land-based and river quality. A multi-criteria decision-making method, i.e., Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) is adopted to rank design alternatives and identify the optimal alternative for Sponge City construction. The effectiveness of this framework is demonstrated in a typical plain river network area of Suzhou, China. The results demonstrate that the performance of Sponge City strategies increases with large scale deployment under smaller rainfall events. In addition, though surface runoff has a dilution effect on the river water quality, the control of surface pollutants can play a significant role in the river water quality improvement. This framework can be applied to Sponge City projects to achieve the enhancement of urban water management.

Integrated 1D and 2D model for better assessing runoff quantity control of low impact development facilities on community scale.

This study proposes a modelling framework of integrated one-dimensional (1D) and two-dimensional (2D) hydrodynamic modelling to evaluate the effectiveness of sponge city construction at community scale. Through a case study in Zhuhai, we integrate Stormwater Management Model (SWMM) and Cellular Automata Dual-DraInagE Simulation (CADDIES) 2D model to analyze the rainfall-runoff process involving green infrastructures. SWMM is applied to analyze the change of surface runoff control effects before and after the implementation of sponge city low impact development (LID) facilities, and CADDIES is adopted to simulate the propagation of excess runoff on the surface. The results show that the LID facilities can effectively reduce the runoff volume of small and medium-sized rainfall events since the maximum runoff reduction rate is 94.4%. For long-term operation, the LID can capture 52.9% of annual rainfall volume and reduce annual runoff by 28.0%. However, the CADDIES 2D model simulations indicate that LID facilities have little effect on flood alleviation in specific regions under extreme rainfall conditions. In addition, we compared the modelling performance using four different terrain Digital Elevation Model (DEM) resolutions and found that 1 m terrain DEM resolution can produce comparable results to 0.25 m DEM with a fraction of computational time. We also find that the MIKE FLOOD model and the integrated model of SWMM and CADDIES 2D can obtain similar simulation results, the p-value = 0.09 which is >0.05, but SWMM-CADDIES integrated model is more suitable for small-scale simulation.

Optimal adaptation pathway for sustainable low impact development planning under deep uncertainty of climate change: A greedy strategy.

Robustness and cost effectiveness are major concerns for sustainable stormwater management under deep uncertainty of climate change. Given that many traditional static planning strategies are not working with unpredictable future conditions, the possibility of system failure, and the lock-in effects, the Adaptation Pathway (AP) approach was adopted for dynamically robust and cost-effective planning in this paper. In order to increase optimization accuracy of multi-staged planning, a continuous definition of the AP optimization problem was raised by improving the simplified versions in existing studies. A case study in Suzhou, a provincial pilot Sponge City in China undergoing increasing annual rainfall and severe water environment deterioration, was included by integrating Long-Term Hydrologic Impact Assessment-Low Impact Development model with optimization methods, aiming to persistently control the non-point source total phosphorus loading below an acceptable amount in the following unforeseen 20 years via multi-staged low-impact development (LID) construction. A novel optimization method developed by the authors in a companion paper, namely marginal-cost-based greedy strategy (MCGS), was successfully applied to efficiently solve the continuous version of the AP optimization problem. The popular genetic algorithm (GA) was used as a contrast. A weather generator was elaborated based on four Representative Concentration Pathway scenarios and 17 spatial downscaled general circulation models to simulate the unforeseen future annual rainfalls that helped with evaluating cost effectiveness of each prospective LID plan. Results showed that the adaptation pathways optimized by MCGS could save the whole life net present cost of an LID plan by 1%-60% compared with those optimized by GA, and the computational efficiency of MCGS was over 13 times faster than GA.

Marginal-cost-based greedy strategy (MCGS): Fast and reliable optimization of low impact development (LID) layout.

Cost effectiveness is a major concern when implementing low impact development (LID) practices for urban stormwater management (USWM). To optimize LID layout, an efficient and more reliable method, namely, the Marginal-Cost-based Greedy Strategy (MCGS) was developed based on the economic law of increasing marginal costs (MCs) and the stepwise minimization of MCs. To verify its broad applicability, MCGS was applied in three case studies in China with different system settings and environmental goals. Both Cases I and II were watershed-scale studies in Suzhou City urban districts, but in Case II, the impact of future uncertainties (i.e., climate change, urban expansion, and LID performance degradation) on USWM system performance was considered. Case III was a block-scale study of the Xixian New District (a pilot "Sponge City" in China), which involved a rainwater pipe network and a complicated environmental goal. Compared with the extensively used but complicated NSGA-II, the MCGS performed better in terms of yielding more converged performance trade-offs, providing more choices for city planners, and requiring much less computational resources in all three cases. Meanwhile, MCGS established an optimal pathway for multi-stage LID layout planning. The success of MCGS indicated that the MC of a LID practice determined its favorability in an USWM system.