Sample sizes for identifying the key types of container occupied by dengue-vector pupae: the use of entropy in analyses of compositional data.

A method has been developed for estimating the sample sizes needed to identify categories that comprise a large proportion of a compositional data-set. The method is to be used in the design of surveys of mosquito pupae, for identifying the key container types from which the majority of adult dengue vectors emerge. Although a finite-population correction was devised for estimating the mean of a negative binomial distribution, other complications of parametric approaches make them unlikely to yield methods simple enough to be practically applicable. The Shannon-Wiener index was therefore investigated as a more useful alternative, at the cost of theoretical generalizability, in an approach based on re-sampling methods in conjunction with the use of entropy. This index can be used to summarize the degree to which pupae are either concentrated in a few container types, or dispersed among many. An empirical relationship between the index and the repeatability of surveys of differing sample sizes was observed. A step-wise rule, based on the entropy of the cumulative data, was devised for determining the sample size, in terms of the number of houses positive for pupae, at which a pupal survey might reasonably be stopped.

Use of the pupal/demographic-survey technique to identify the epidemiologically important types of containers producing Aedes aegypti (L.) in a dengue-endemic area of Venezuela.

As dengue continues to emerge as a major public-health problem world-wide, efforts to control the dengue vector Aedes aegypti must become more effective and efficient. Results from larval and pupal surveys applied in Venezuela illustrate the uniqueness of the information gained from pupal surveys; information that is lost when traditional Stegomyia indices are calculated. As most Ae. aegypti pupae will emerge to become adults, controlling the containers that produce the most pupae could have the greatest impact on the adult population. Pupal-survey results in Venezuela showed that large (150- to 200-litre) water drums produce the greatest number of pupae throughout the year. In the rainy season, approximately 70% of all pupae are found in these drums or in tyres, buckets and tanks. Over 80% of pupae in the dry season are found in drums and tanks alone. By targeting only those domestic breeding containers that produce the greatest number of pupae, control efforts may be streamlined to have the greatest impact on reducing the local adult Ae. aegypti population.