The Impact of Primary Care Clinic and Family Physician Continuity on Patient Health Outcomes: A Retrospective Analysis From Alberta, Canada.

PURPOSE: Continuity of care is broadly associated with better patient health outcomes. The relative contributions of continuity with an individual physician and with a practice, however, have not generally been distinguished. This retrospective observational study examined the impact of continuity of care for patients seen at their main clinic but by different family physicians. METHODS: We analyzed linked health administrative data from 2015-2018 from Alberta, Canada to explore the association of physician and clinic continuity with rates of emergency department (ED) visits and hospitalizations across varying levels of patient complexity. Physician continuity was calculated using the known provider of care index and clinic continuity with an analogous measure. We developed zero-inflated negative binomial models to assess the association of each with all-cause ED visits and hospitalizations. RESULTS: High physician continuity was associated with lower ED use across all levels of patient complexity and with fewer hospitalizations for highly complex patients. Broadly, no (0%) clinic continuity was associated with increased use and complete (100%) clinic continuity with decreased use, with the largest effect seen for the most complex patients. Levels of clinic continuity between 1% and 50% were generally associated with slightly higher use, and levels of 51% to 99% with slightly lower use. CONCLUSIONS: The best health care outcomes (measured by ED visits and hospitalizations) are associated with consistently seeing one's own primary family physician or seeing a clinic partner when that physician is unavailable. The effect of partial clinic continuity appears complex and requires additional research. These results provide some reassurance for part-time and shared practices, and guidance for primary care workforce policy makers.

A population-based analysis of rheumatology care patterns for inflammatory arthritis during COVID-19 in Alberta, Canada.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of the study was to understand the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on inflammatory arthritis (IA) rheumatology care in Alberta, Canada. METHODS: We used linked provincial health administrative datasets to establish an incident cohort of individuals with rheumatoid arthritis (RA), psoriatic arthritis (PsA) and Ankylosing Spondylitis (AS) seen at least once by a rheumatologist. We examined incidence rates (IR) per 100,000 population, and patterns of follow-up care between 2011 and 2022. In a subset of individuals diagnosed five years prior to the pandemic, we report on those lost to follow-up during the pandemic, and those with virtual care visits followed by in-person visit within 30 days. Multivariable logistic regression was used to examine patient characteristics associated with these patterns of care. RESULTS: The IR for RA in 2020 declined compared to previous years (44.6), but not for AS (9.2) or PsA (9.1). In 2021 IRs rose (RA 49.5; AS 11.8; PsA 11.8). Among those diagnosed within 5 years of the pandemic, 632 (6.0 %) were lost to follow-up, with characteristics of those lost to follow-up differing between IA types. 1444 individuals had at least one virtual visit followed within 30 days by an in-person follow-up. This was less common in males (OR 0.69-0.79) and more common for those with a higher frequency of physician visits prior to the pandemic (OR 1.27-1.32). CONCLUSION: Impacts of patterns of care during the pandemic should be further explored for healthcare planning to uphold optimal care access and promote effective use of virtual care.

Quality of Life After Intravenous Thrombolysis for Acute Ischemic Stroke: Results From the AcT Randomized Controlled Trial.

BACKGROUND: Recent evidence from thrombolysis trials indicates the noninferiority of intravenous tenecteplase to intravenous alteplase with respect to good functional outcomes in patients with acute stroke. We examined whether the health-related quality of life (HRQOL) of patients with acute stroke differs by the type of thrombolysis treatment received. In addition, we examined the association between the modified Rankin Scale score 0 to 1 and HRQOL and patient-reported return to prebaseline stroke functioning at 90 days. METHODS: Data were from all patients included in the AcT trial (Alteplase Compared to Tenecteplase), a pragmatic, registry-linked randomized trial comparing tenecteplase with alteplase. HRQOL at 90-day post-randomization was assessed using the 5-item EuroQOL questionnaire (EQ5D), which consists of 5 items and a visual analog scale (VAS). EQ5D index values were estimated from the EQ5D items using the time tradeoff approach based on Canadian norms. Tobit regression and quantile regression models were used to evaluate the adjusted effect of tenecteplase versus alteplase treatment on the EQ5D index values and VAS score, respectively. The association between return to prebaseline stroke functioning and the modified Rankin Scale score 0 to 1 and HRQOL was quantified using correlation coefficient (r) with 95% CI. RESULTS: Of 1577 included in the intention-to-treat analysis patients, 1503 (95.3%) had complete data on the EQ5D. Of this, 769 (51.2%) were administered tenecteplase and 717 (47.7%) were female. The mean EQ5D VAS score and EQ5D index values were not significantly higher for those who received intravenous tenecteplase compared with those who received intravenous alteplase (P=0.10). Older age (P<0.01), more severe stroke assessed using the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (P<0.01), and longer stroke onset-to-needle time (P=0.004) were associated with lower EQ5D index and VAS scores. There was a strong association (r, 0.85 [95% CI, 0.81-0.89]) between patient-reported return to prebaseline functioning and modified Rankin Scale score 0 to 1 Similarly, there was a moderate association between return to prebaseline functioning and EQ5D index (r, 0.45 [95% CI, 0.40-0.49]) and EQ5D VAS scores (r, 0.42 [95% CI, 0.37-0.46]). CONCLUSIONS: Although there is no differential effect of thrombolysis type on patient-reported global HRQOL and EQ 5D-5L index values in patients with acute stroke, sex- and age-related differences in HRQOL were noted in this study. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT03889249.

Family physician count and service provision in Ontario and Alberta between 2005/06 and 2017/18: a cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND: Five million Canadians lack a family doctor or primary care team. Our goal was to examine trends over time in family physician workforce and service provision in Ontario and Alberta, with a view to informing policy discussions on primary care supply and delivery of services. METHODS: We used cross-sectional analyses in Ontario and Alberta for 2005/06, 2012/13 and 2017/18 to examine family physician provision of service days by provider demographic characteristics and geographic location. A service day was defined as 10 or more clinic visits worth $20 or more on the same calendar day. We included all active family physicians who had evidence of billing in each fiscal year analyzed. RESULTS: From 2005/06 to 2017/18, the number of family physicians increased by 35.3% in Ontario and 48.7% in Alberta; however, annual average service days per physician declined by 10.6% in Ontario and 5.9% in Alberta. The average daily patient volume remained stable in Ontario and declined in Alberta, and services per population kept pace modestly with population growth in both provinces. Rural areas had the smallest increases in physician counts and largest declines in average annual service days per physician. Physicians in both provinces who had graduated from medical school at least 30 years earlier accounted for more than one-third of the workforce in 2017/18. INTERPRETATION: Ontario and Alberta experienced rapid growth in the number of family physicians, with the largest increases among those in late career and the lowest increases in rural areas. The decline in service provision among physicians overall and in subgroups in both provinces highlights the importance of measuring activity to inform workforce planning.

Assessing the appropriateness of community-based antibiotic prescribing in Alberta, Canada, 2017-2020, using ICD-9-CM codes: a cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND: Antimicrobial resistance is a rising threat to human health, and, with up to 90% of antibiotics prescribed in the community, it is critical to examine Canadian antibiotic stewardship practices in outpatient settings. We carried out a large-scale analysis of appropriateness in community-based prescribing of antibiotics to adults in Alberta, reporting on 3 years of data from physicians practising in the province. METHODS: The study cohort was composed of all adult (age 18-65 yr) Alberta residents who filled at least 1 antibiotic prescription written by a community-based physician between Apr. 1, 2017, and Mar. 6, 2020. We linked diagnosis codes from the clinical modification of the International Classification of Diseases, 9th Revision (ICD-9-CM), as used for billing purposes by the province's fee-for-service community physicians, to drug dispensing records, as maintained in the province's pharmaceutical dispensing database. We included physicians practising in community medicine, general practice, generalist mental health, geriatric medicine and occupational medicine. Following an approach used in previous research, we linked diagnosis codes with antibiotic drug dispensations, classified across a spectrum of appropriateness (always, sometimes never, no diagnosis code). RESULTS: We identified 3 114 400 antibiotic prescriptions dispensed to 1 351 193 adult patients by 5577 physicians. Of these prescriptions, 253 038 (8.1%) were "always appropriate," 1 168 131 (37.5%) were "potentially appropriate," 1 219 709 (39.2%) were "never appropriate," and 473 522 (15.2%) were not associated with an ICD-9-CM billing code. Among all dispensed antibiotic prescriptions, amoxicillin, azithromycin and clarithromycin were the most commonly prescribed drugs labelled "never appropriate." INTERPRETATION: We found that nearly 40% of prescriptions dispensed to 1.35 million adult patients in Alberta's community-based settings over a 35-month period were inappropriate. This finding suggests that additional policies and programs to improve stewardship among physicians prescribing antibiotics for adult outpatients in Alberta may be warranted.

Hyperchloremia and association with acute kidney injury in critically ill children.

BACKGROUND: Hyperchloremia has been associated with acute kidney injury (AKI) in critically ill adult patients. Data is limited in pediatric patients. Our study sought to determine if an association exists between hyperchloremia and AKI in pediatric patients admitted to the intensive care unit (PICU). METHODS: This is a single-center retrospective cohort study of pediatric patients admitted to the PICU for greater than 24 h and who received intravenous fluids. Patients were excluded if they had a diagnosis of kidney disease or required kidney replacement therapy (KRT) within 6 h of admission. Exposures were hyperchloremia (serum chloride ≥ 110 mmol/L) within the first 7 days of PICU admission. The primary outcome was the development of AKI using the Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) criteria. Secondary outcomes included time on mechanical ventilation, new KRT, PICU length of stay, and mortality. Outcomes were analyzed using multivariate logistic regression. RESULTS: There were 407 patients included in the study, 209 in the hyperchloremic group and 198 in the non-hyperchloremic group. Univariate analysis demonstrated 108 (51.7%) patients in the hyperchloremic group vs. 54 (27.3%) in the non-hyperchloremic group (p = < .001) with AKI. On multivariate analysis, the odds ratio of AKI with hyperchloremia was 2.24 (95% CI 1.39-3.61) (p = .001). Hyperchloremia was not associated with increased odds of mortality, need for KRT, time on mechanical ventilation, or length of stay. CONCLUSION: Hyperchloremia was associated with AKI in critically ill pediatric patients. Further pediatric clinical trials are needed to determine the benefit of a chloride restrictive vs. liberal fluid strategy. A higher resolution version of the Graphical abstract is available as Supplementary information.

Intravenous tenecteplase compared with alteplase for acute ischaemic stroke in Canada (AcT): a pragmatic, multicentre, open-label, registry-linked, randomised, controlled, non-inferiority trial.

BACKGROUND: Intravenous thrombolysis with alteplase bolus followed by infusion is a global standard of care for patients with acute ischaemic stroke. We aimed to determine whether tenecteplase given as a single bolus might increase reperfusion compared with this standard of care. METHODS: In this multicentre, open-label, parallel-group, registry-linked, randomised, controlled trial (AcT), patients were enrolled from 22 primary and comprehensive stroke centres across Canada. Patients were eligible for inclusion if they were aged 18 years or older, with a diagnosis of ischaemic stroke causing disabling neurological deficit, presenting within 4·5 h of symptom onset, and eligible for thrombolysis per Canadian guidelines. Eligible patients were randomly assigned (1:1), using a previously validated minimal sufficient balance algorithm to balance allocation by site and a secure real-time web-based server, to either intravenous tenecteplase (0·25 mg/kg to a maximum of 25 mg) or alteplase (0·9 mg/kg to a maximum of 90mg; 0·09 mg/kg as a bolus and then a 60 min infusion of the remaining 0·81 mg/kg). The primary outcome was the proportion of patients who had a modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score of 0-1 at 90-120 days after treatment, assessed via blinded review in the intention-to-treat (ITT) population (ie, all patients randomly assigned to treatment who did not withdraw consent). Non-inferiority was met if the lower 95% CI of the difference in the proportion of patients who met the primary outcome between the tenecteplase and alteplase groups was more than -5%. Safety was assessed in all patients who received any of either thrombolytic agent and who were reported as treated. The trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03889249, and is closed to accrual. FINDINGS: Between Dec 10, 2019, and Jan 25, 2022, 1600 patients were enrolled and randomly assigned to tenecteplase (n=816) or alteplase (n=784), of whom 1577 were included in the ITT population (n=806 tenecteplase; n=771 alteplase). The median age was 74 years (IQR 63-83), 755 (47·9%) of 1577 patients were female and 822 (52·1%) were male. As of data cutoff (Jan 21, 2022), 296 (36·9%) of 802 patients in the tenecteplase group and 266 (34·8%) of 765 in the alteplase group had an mRS score of 0-1 at 90-120 days (unadjusted risk difference 2·1% [95% CI - 2·6 to 6·9], meeting the prespecified non-inferiority threshold). In safety analyses, 27 (3·4%) of 800 patients in the tenecteplase group and 24 (3·2%) of 763 in the alteplase group had 24 h symptomatic intracerebral haemorrhage and 122 (15·3%) of 796 and 117 (15·4%) of 763 died within 90 days of starting treatment INTERPRETATION: Intravenous tenecteplase (0·25 mg/kg) is a reasonable alternative to alteplase for all patients presenting with acute ischaemic stroke who meet standard criteria for thrombolysis. FUNDING: Canadian Institutes of Health Research, Alberta Strategy for Patient Oriented Research Support Unit.

Travel Distance to Subspecialty Clinic and Outcomes in Patients with Fibrotic Interstitial Lung Disease.

Rationale: Early access to subspecialty care is associated with improved outcomes for patients with fibrotic interstitial lung disease (ILD). Access to ILD care may be limited for patients living far from subspecialty clinics. Objectives: To test the hypothesis that greater travel distance to access ILD clinical care would be associated with more severe disease at time of referral and worse clinical outcomes. Methods: Patients with fibrotic ILD were recruited from a multicenter national pulmonary fibrosis registry. Residential postal codes were geocoded to estimate travel distance from the home to the clinic. Travel distance was dichotomized at ⩽70 km (near) and >70 km (far). Demographics and disease severity at the initial referral, changes in lung function, and the risk of death or lung transplant were analyzed in unadjusted and adjusted models for their association with travel distance. Results: The cohort included 1,162 patients, of whom 856 lived near to their ILD clinic and 306 lived far from their ILD clinic. Patients residing farther from their clinic were younger, more likely to have smoked, had a greater 6-minute-walk distance, and had lower composite risk scores than patients residing closer to their clinic. In models adjusted for age, sex, and baseline forced vital capacity, patients from farther away had a greater risk of death or lung transplant than patients residing closer (hazard ratio, 1.52; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.10-2.11), a finding predominantly driven by patients with connective tissue disease-related ILD (hazard ratio, 2.14; 95% CI, 1.16-3.94). Conclusions: Patients with fibrotic ILD with a longer travel distance to their ILD clinic had better prognostic indices at baseline but had a higher risk of death or lung transplant in the total cohort and in patients with connective tissue disease-related ILD. Assuming that disease epidemiology and severity are distributed evenly across geographic regions, these findings raise important questions about equitable access to patient care in large healthcare regions with centralized subspecialty programs.

Gastro-oesophageal reflux disease in children with neurological impairment: a retrospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the incidence and prevalence of gastro-oesophageal reflux disease (GERD) diagnosis and treatment in children with neurological impairment (NI) along with relationship to key variables. DESIGN: This is a population-based retrospective cohort study. SETTING: This study takes place in Alberta, Canada. PATIENTS: Children with NI were identified by hospital-based International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes from 2006 to 2018. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Incidence and prevalence of a GERD diagnosis identified by: (1) hospital-based ICD-10 codes; (2) specialist claims; (3) dispensation of acid-suppressing medication (ASM). Age, gender, complex chronic conditions (CCC) and technology assistance were covariates. RESULTS: Among 10 309 children with NI, 2772 (26.9%) met the GERD definition. The unadjusted incidence rate was 52.1 per 1000 person-years (50.2-54.1). Increasing numbers of CCCs were associated with a higher risk of GERD. The HR for GERD associated with a gastrostomy tube was 4.56 (95% CI 4.15 to 5.00). Overall, 2486 (24.1%) of the children were treated with ASMs of which 1535 (61.7%) met no other GERD criteria. The incidence rate was 16.9 dispensations per year (95% CI 16.73 to 17.07). The prevalence of gastrojejunostomy tubes was 1.1% (n=121), surgical jejunostomy tubes was 0.7% (n=79) and fundoplication was 3.4% (n=351). CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of GERD in children with NI greatly exceeds that of the general paediatric population. Similarly, incidence rate of medication dispensations was closer to the rates seen in adults particularly in children with multiple CCCs and gastrostomy tubes. Further research is needed to determine the appropriate use of ASMs balancing the potential for adverse effects in this population.

Predictors of family impact of juvenile localized scleroderma.

OBJECTIVE: To measure the impact juvenile localized scleroderma (jLS) has on family quality of life and to identify predictors of family impact in this population which may inform the development of tailored resources to enhance family functioning for patients with jLS. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study of pediatric patients with jLS and their families was conducted. Five questionnaires were administered at each visit: Pediatric Quality of Life Inventory Family Impact Module (PedsQL-FIM), PedsQL 4.0 Generic Core Scales (PedsQL-Generic), PedsQL Rheumatology Module (PedsQL-RM), Child Health Assessment Questionnaire (CHAQ), and Children's Dermatology Life Quality Index (CDLQI). Linear mixed models with random intercepts for each patient were used to find relationships between family impact scores and clinically relevant variables over time. Variables of interest included disease activity status, methotrexate use, jLS distribution, and scores for PedsQL-Generic and PedsQL-RM. RESULTS: The median baseline PedsQL-FIM total score was 80.9 (IQR = 76.6-97.4). Adjusting for age and sex, the most significant predictors of family impact were PedsQL-Generic scores and four of five PedsQL-RM dimensions (all P < .001); methotrexate use had borderline significance (P = .06). Family impact increased more significantly over time in older patients. In multivariable modeling, PedsQL-Generic total score and jLS "other" distribution were significant for predicting an increased PedsQL-FIM score (P = .003 and P = .03, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: JLS has a moderate family impact. Family impact is predicted by patients' general and disease-specific health-related quality of life (HRQL) and their jLS subtype. There is a trend toward increased family impact with methotrexate treatment. This study emphasizes the importance of family-centered care in jLS.

Impact of major depression and antidepressant use on alcoholic and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: A population-based study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The effect of major depression and antidepressant use on patient survival in chronic liver disease is unknown. We evaluated the impact of major depressive disorder (MDD) and antidepressants on survival among patients with alcoholic liver disease (ALD) and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). METHODS: The Health Improvement Network database, the largest medical database in the United Kingdom, was used to identify incident ALD (n = 4148) and NAFLD (n = 19 053) in patients between 1986 and 2017. Our primary outcome was development of decompensated cirrhosis or death. MDD and each class of antidepressants were assessed in multivariate Cox proportional hazards models as time-varying covariates. Models were adjusted for age, sex, socio-economic status and comorbidities. RESULTS: MDD rate was higher among patients with ALD (22.8%) compared to those with NAFLD (16.1%), P < .01. Antidepressant usage was common in patients with ALD (47.4%) and NAFLD (40.8%). After adjusting for covariates, MDD (adjusted hazard ratio [AHR]: 0.80, 95% CI: 0.63-1.02 for NAFLD; and AHR 1.01, 0.88-1.15 for ALD) was not associated with improved decompensated cirrhosis-free survival. The antidepressant mirtazapine was associated with worse decompensated cirrhosis-free survival among NAFLD (AHR 2.16, 95% CI: 1.32-3.52) and ALD (AHR 1.53, 1.09-2.15) cohorts. Similarly, mirtazapine was associated with mortality in both cohorts. CONCLUSIONS: MDD was not associated with worse outcomes for ALD or NAFLD. Mirtazapine was associated with an increased risk of decompensated cirrhosis or death, which was not observed with other antidepressants. Prospective studies are warranted to confirm these findings.

Visit-to-visit blood pressure variability is common in primary care patients: Retrospective cohort study of 221,803 adults.

OBJECTIVE: Although high visit-to-visit blood pressure variability (BPV) is an independent risk factor for cardiovascular events, the frequency of high BPV is unknown. We conducted this study to define the frequency of high BPV in primary care patients, clinical correlates, and association with antihypertensive therapies. METHODS: Retrospective cohort study using electronic medical record data (with previously validated case definitions based on billing codes, free text analysis of progress notes, and prescribing data) from the Canadian Primary Care Sentinel Surveillance Network of 221,803 adults with multiple clinic visits over a 2-year period. We a priori defined a standard deviation>13.0 mm Hg in visit-to-visit systolic blood pressure (SBP) as "high BPV" based on prior literature. RESULTS: Overall, 85,455 (38.5%) patients had hypertension (mean 6.56 visits with SBP measurement, mean SBP 134.4 with Standard Deviation [SD] 11.3, 33.2% exhibited high BPV) and 136,348 did not (mean 3.96 visits with SBP measurement, mean SBP 120.9 with SD 8.2, 16.5% had high BPV). BPV increased with age regardless of whether individuals had hypertension or not; at all ages BPV varied across antihypertensive treatment regimens and was greater in those receiving renin angiotensin blockers or beta-blockers (p<0.001). High BPV was more frequent in patients with diabetes, chronic kidney disease, dementia, depression, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, or Parkinson's disease. CONCLUSIONS: High visit-to-visit BPV is present in one sixth of non-hypertensive adults and one third of hypertensive individuals and is more common in those with comorbidities. The frequency of high BPV varies across antihypertensive treatment regimens.

Characterization of Focal Liver Masses: A Multicenter Comparison of Contrast-Enhanced Ultrasound, Computed Tomography, and Magnetic Resonance Imaging.

OBJECTIVES: To demonstrate the usefulness of contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) for the evaluation of focal liver masses via a direct comparison to standard ultrasound and computed tomography/magnetic resonance imaging (CT/MRI). METHODS: A cohort of 214 patients with previously undiagnosed focal liver masses were included from 5 different centers. Each patient was imaged using CEUS and CT and/or MRI. Anonymized and randomized images were interpreted by 4 separate blind readers from 3 of the participating centers (2 readers for CEUS and 2 readers for CT/MRI). Readers were blinded to patient demographics and past medical history. Readers were asked to decide if the lesion was benign or malignant, provide a final diagnosis for the lesion, and provide a confidence interval. Results were compared to truth standard from pathology or expert consensus. RESULTS: In determination of malignancy, CEUS had a sensitivity of 95%, specificity of 82%, PPV of 82%, NPV of 95%, statistically better than standard ultrasound (sensitivity 82%, specificity 56%, PPV 60%, NPV 78%) with P < .01 and not statistically different from CT (sensitivity 90%, specificity 73% PPV 81%, NPV 86%) or MRI (sensitivity 85%, specificity 79%, PPV 68%, NPV 91%) with P ≥ .01. In assigning a final diagnosis, CEUS had an accuracy of 78% statistically better than standard ultrasound (46%) with P < .01 and not statistically different from CT (68%) or MRI (71%) with P > .01. CONCLUSIONS: In the evaluation of focal liver lesions, both for determination of malignancy and in accuracy of final diagnosis, CEUS performs better than standard ultrasound and at least equivalent to both CT and MRI.

Calculating physician supply using a service day method and the income percentiles method: a descriptive analysis.

BACKGROUND: It is important to have an accurate count of physicians and a measurable understanding of their service provision for physician resource planning. Our objective was to compare 2 methods (income percentiles [IP] and service day activities [SVD]) for calculating the supply of full-time (FT) and part-time (PT) primary care physicians (PCPs) as measures of both physician supply counts and level of provider continuity. METHODS: Using an observational study design, we compared 2 methods of calculating the supply of PT and FT PCPs for 2011-2015. For the IP approach, the Canadian Institute for Health Information's method was applied to Alberta Health billing data. The SVD method calculated annual service days for fee-for-service PCPs. A simple descriptive analysis was conducted of the supply of PT and FT PCPs. RESULTS: The 2 methods agreed on the FT versus PT status of 85.2% of PCPs in 2015 but disagreed on the status of 490 PCPs. A total of 239 PCPs were classified as working FT by the IP method but PT by the SVD method. Two hundred and fifty-one PCPs were classified as working PT according by the IP method but FT by the SVD method. The former group of 239 PCPs worked fewer days per week (3.22 v. 4.1) and fewer weekend days per year (8.6 v. 24.1), billed more per year ($300 327 v. $201 834) and saw more patients per day (26.8 v. 17.8) with less continuity of care (38.0% v. 72.0%) than the latter group of 251 PCPs. INTERPRETATION: The SVD method provides a valid alternative to calculating GP supply that distinguishes groups of physicians that the standard IP methodology does not. Those groups provide very different service; policy-makers may benefit from distinguishing them.

Developing and Validating a Primary Care EMR-based Frailty Definition using Machine Learning.

INTRODUCTION: Individuals who have been identified as frail have an increased state of vulnerability, often leading to adverse health events, increased health spending, and potentially detrimental outcomes. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this work is to develop and validate a case definition for frailty that can be used in a primary care electronic medical record database. METHODS: This is a cross-sectional validation study using data from the Canadian Primary Care Sentinel Surveillance Network (CPCSSN) in Southern Alberta. 52 CPCSSN sentinels assessed a random sample of their own patients using the Rockwood Clinical Frailty scale, resulting in a total of 875 patients to be used as reference standard. Patients must be over the age of 65 and have had a clinic visit within the last 24 months. The case definition for frailty was developed using machine learning methods using CPCSSN records for the 875 patients. RESULTS: Of the 875 patients, 155 (17.7%) were frail and 720 (84.2%) were not frail. Validation metrics of the case definition were: sensitivity and specificity of 0.28, 95% CI (0.21 to 0.36) and 0.94, 95% CI (0.93 to 0.96), respectively; PPV and NPV of 0.53, 95% CI (0.42 to 0.64) and 0.86, 95% CI (0.83 to 0.88), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The low sensitivity and specificity results could be because frailty as a construct remains under-developed and relatively poorly understood due to its complex nature. These results contribute to the literature by demonstrating that case definitions for frailty require expert consensus and potentially more sophisticated algorithms to be successful.

Cardiovascular risk factor control in British adults with diabetes mellitus: Retrospective cohort study.

Using primary care electronic medical records (the United Kingdom Health Improvement Network Database 2003-2015), we examined the control of cardiovascular risk factors in the first year after diagnosis in British adults with diabetes mellitus. Among 292 170 individuals with diabetes receiving frequent outpatient management (median of 16 primary care visits in the prior year), control of cardiovascular risk factors a median of 354 days after diagnosis was suboptimal: 14.7% had HbA1C < 7%, SBP < 140 mm Hg, LDL cholesterol ≤1.8 mmol/L or taking a statin, and were nonsmokers (the proportion dropped to 7.5% if the SBP target was defined as <130 mm Hg). While 90.4% had an LDL cholesterol ≤1.8 mmol/L or were taking a statin, and 86.0% were nonsmokers, only 52.0% had HbA1C < 7% and 53.1% had SBP < 140 mm Hg (29.8% had SBP < 130 mm Hg) despite 71.4% taking antihypertensive agents. Thus, there is still a need for quality improvement strategies that target all atherosclerotic risk factors in individuals with diabetes and not just glycaemic control.

Assessment of Endoscopic Healing by Using Advanced Technologies Reflects Histological Healing in Ulcerative Colitis.

BACKGROUND: Several studies have reported that ulcerative colitis [UC] patients with endoscopic mucosal healing may still have histological inflammation. We investigated the relationship between mucosal healing defined by modified PICaSSO [Paddington International Virtual ChromoendoScopy ScOre], Mayo Endoscopic Score [MES] and probe-based confocal laser endomicroscopy [pCLE] with histological indices in UC. METHODS: A prospective study enrolling 82 UC patients [male 66%] was conducted. High-definition colonoscopy was performed to evaluate the activity of the disease with MES assessed with High-Definition MES [HD-MES] and modified PICaSSO and targeted biopsies were taken; pCLE was then performed. Receiver operating characteristic [ROC] curves were plotted to determine the best thresholds for modified PICaSSO and pCLE scores that predicted histological healing according to the Robarts Histopathology Index [RHI] and ECAP 'Extension, Chronicity, Activity, Plus' histology score. RESULTS: A modified PICaSSO of ≤ 4 predicted histological healing at RHI ≤ 3, with sensitivity, specificity, accuracy and area under the ROC curve [AUROC] of 89.8%, 95.7%, 91.5% and 95.9% respectively. The sensitivity, specificity, accuracy and AUROC of HD-MES to predict histological healing by RHI were 81.4%, 95.7%, 85.4% and 92.1%, respectively. A pCLE ≤ 10 predicted histological healing with sensitivity of 94.9%, specificity of 91.3%, accuracy of 93.9% and AUROC of 96.5%. An ECAP of ≤ 10 was predicted by modified PICaSSO ≤ 4 with accuracy of 91.5% and AUROC of 95.9%. CONCLUSION: Histological healing by RHI and ECAP is accurately predicted by HD-MES and modified virtual electronic chromoendoscopy PICaSSO, endoscopic score; and the use of pCLE did not improve the accuracy any further.

Prophylactic Endoscopic Clipping Does Not Prevent Delayed Postpolypectomy Bleeding in Routine Clinical Practice: A Propensity Score-Matched Cohort Study.

INTRODUCTION: Delayed postpolypectomy bleeding (DPPB) is a relatively common adverse event. Evidence is conflicting on the efficacy of prophylactic clipping to prevent DPPB, and real-world effectiveness data are lacking. We aimed to determine the effectiveness of prophylactic clipping in preventing DPPB in a large screening-related cohort. METHODS: We manually reviewed records of patients who underwent polypectomy from 2008 to 2014 at a screening facility. Endoscopist-, patient- and polyp-related data were collected. The primary outcome was DPPB within 30 days. All unplanned healthcare visits were reviewed; DPPB cases were adjudicated by committee using a criterion-based lexicon. Multivariable logistic regression was performed, yielding adjusted odds ratios (AORs) for the association between clipping and DPPB. Secondary analyses were performed on procedures where one polyp was removed, in addition to propensity score-matched and subgroup analyses. RESULTS: In total, 8,366 colonoscopies involving polypectomy were analyzed, yielding 95 DPPB events. Prophylactic clipping was not associated with reduced DPPB (AOR 1.27; 0.83-1.96). These findings were similar in the single-polyp cohort (n = 3,369, AOR 1.07; 0.50-2.31). In patients with one proximal polyp ≥20 mm removed, there was a nonsignificant AOR with clipping of 0.55 (0.10-2.66). Clipping was not associated with a protective benefit in the propensity score-matched or other subgroup analyses. DISCUSSION: In this large cohort study, prophylactic clipping was not associated with lower DPPB rates. Endoscopists should not routinely use prophylactic clipping in most patients. Additional effectiveness and cost-effectiveness studies are required in patients with proximal lesions ≥20 mm, in whom there may be a role for prophylactic clipping.

Patient-Reported Pain Outcomes for Children Attending an Emergency Department With Limb Injury.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to describe patient-reported pain outcomes at various stages of an emergency department (ED) visit for pediatric limb injury. METHODS: This prospective cohort consisted of 905 patients aged 4 to 17 years with acute limb injury and a minimum initial pain score of 4/10. Patients reported pain scores and treatments offered and received at each stage of their ED visit. Multiple logistic regression was used to identify predictors for severe pain on initial assessment and moderate or severe pain at ED discharge. RESULTS: The initial median pain score was 6/10 (interquartile range, 4-6) and decreased at discharge to 4/10 (interquartile range, 2-6). Stages of the ED visit where the highest proportion of patients reported severe pain (score, ≥8 of 10) were fracture reduction (26.0% [19/73]; 95% confidence interval [CI], 17.1%-37.5%), intravenous insertion (24.4% [11/45]; 95% CI, 13.8%-39.6%), and x-ray (23.7% [158/668]; 95% CI, 20.6%-27.0%). Predictors of severe pain at initial assessment included younger age (odds ratio [OR], 0.92; 95% CI, 0.87-0.97), female sex (OR, 0.58; 95% CI, 0.40-0.84), and presence of fracture (OR, 1.58; 95% CI, 1.07-2.33) whereas, at discharge, older age (OR, 1.14; 95% CI, 1.06-1.23) predicted moderate/severe pain (score, ≥4 of 10). CONCLUSIONS: These results on the location and predictors of severe pain during an ED visit for limb injury can be used to target interventions to improve pain management and patient outcomes.