A High-End Estimate of Sea Level Rise for Practitioners.

Sea level rise (SLR) is a long-lasting consequence of climate change because global anthropogenic warming takes centuries to millennia to equilibrate for the deep ocean and ice sheets. SLR projections based on climate models support policy analysis, risk assessment and adaptation planning today, despite their large uncertainties. The central range of the SLR distribution is estimated by process-based models. However, risk-averse practitioners often require information about plausible future conditions that lie in the tails of the SLR distribution, which are poorly defined by existing models. Here, a community effort combining scientists and practitioners builds on a framework of discussing physical evidence to quantify high-end global SLR for practitioners. The approach is complementary to the IPCC AR6 report and provides further physically plausible high-end scenarios. High-end estimates for the different SLR components are developed for two climate scenarios at two timescales. For global warming of +2°C in 2100 (RCP2.6/SSP1-2.6) relative to pre-industrial values our high-end global SLR estimates are up to 0.9 m in 2100 and 2.5 m in 2300. Similarly, for a (RCP8.5/SSP5-8.5), we estimate up to 1.6 m in 2100 and up to 10.4 m in 2300. The large and growing differences between the scenarios beyond 2100 emphasize the long-term benefits of mitigation. However, even a modest 2°C warming may cause multi-meter SLR on centennial time scales with profound consequences for coastal areas. Earlier high-end assessments focused on instability mechanisms in Antarctica, while here we emphasize the importance of the timing of ice shelf collapse around Antarctica. This is highly uncertain due to low understanding of the driving processes. Hence both process understanding and emission scenario control high-end SLR.

Characterization of Biostable Atomic Layer Deposited (ALD) Multilayer Passivation Coatings for Active Implants.

The next generation of flexible, electrically active implants, such as brain implants or retina chips require a flexible, biostable as well as biocompatible passivation, ensuring a degradation-free usage for long time periods on the order of several years. Until today, these passivations are prepared mostly by polyimides or parylene, both of which are water vapor permeable to a certain degree. To remedy this deficiency, Atomic Layer Deposited (ALD) thin films are characterized regarding their electrical passivating features under conditions of accelerated aging, such as elevated temperatures in a liquid environment. The initial electrical passivation by various ALD deposited multilayers, combining alternating thin Al2O3 and TiO2 layers is the goal of this research as well as the stability of these layers under induced degradation. Such layers, in combination with a parylene passivation, would ensure a water vapor impermeable and biocompatible coating.

Increased future ice discharge from Antarctica owing to higher snowfall.

Anthropogenic climate change is likely to cause continuing global sea level rise, but some processes within the Earth system may mitigate the magnitude of the projected effect. Regional and global climate models simulate enhanced snowfall over Antarctica, which would provide a direct offset of the future contribution to global sea level rise from cryospheric mass loss and ocean expansion. Uncertainties exist in modelled snowfall, but even larger uncertainties exist in the potential changes of dynamic ice discharge from Antarctica and thus in the ultimate fate of the precipitation-deposited ice mass. Here we show that snowfall and discharge are not independent, but that future ice discharge will increase by up to three times as a result of additional snowfall under global warming. Our results, based on an ice-sheet model forced by climate simulations through to the end of 2500 (ref. 8), show that the enhanced discharge effect exceeds the effect of surface warming as well as that of basal ice-shelf melting, and is due to the difference in surface elevation change caused by snowfall on grounded versus floating ice. Although different underlying forcings drive ice loss from basal melting versus increased snowfall, similar ice dynamical processes are nonetheless at work in both; therefore results are relatively independent of the specific representation of the transition zone. In an ensemble of simulations designed to capture ice-physics uncertainty, the additional dynamic ice loss along the coastline compensates between 30 and 65 per cent of the ice gain due to enhanced snowfall over the entire continent. This results in a dynamic ice loss of up to 1.25 metres in the year 2500 for the strongest warming scenario. The reported effect thus strongly counters a potential negative contribution to global sea level by the Antarctic Ice Sheet.

Lymph node topography of the head and neck in New Zealand White rabbits.

Investigations of the lymphogenic metastatic spread of VX2 carcinomas in New Zealand White rabbits require an exact knowledge of the topography of cervical and facial lymph nodes. The topography of neck lymph nodes was evaluated from 16 rabbits macroscopically, histologically and by lymphographic investigations, and the possibility of their surgical removal (neck dissection) was examined. The upper aerodigestive tract and the ear of New Zealand White rabbits drain via four consistent groups of 12-18 lymph nodes. Except for the paratracheal lymph node, they are all easily accessible to surgery. The data presented in this study encourage the use of induced VX2 carcinomas in New Zealand White rabbits as an animal model to study the lymphogenic metastatic spread of squamous cell carcinomas of the head and neck. Such investigations could lead to an improvement of surgical and pharmaceutical treatment of this tumour entity.

Thermodynamic formalism of the harmonic measure of diffusion limited aggregates: phase transition.

We study the nature of the phase transition in the multifractal formalism of the harmonic measure of diffusion limited aggregates. Contrary to previous work that relied on random walk simulations or ad hoc models to estimate the low probability events of deep fjord penetration, we employ the method of iterated conformal maps to obtain an accurate computation of the probability of the rarest events. We resolve probabilities as small as 10(-35). We show that the generalized dimensions D(q) are infinite for q

Laplacian growth and diffusion limited aggregation: different universality classes.

It had been conjectured that diffusion limited aggregates and Laplacian growth patterns (with small surface tension) are in the same universality class. Using iterated conformal maps we construct a one-parameter family of fractal growth patterns with a continuously varying fractal dimension. This family can be used to bound the dimension of Laplacian growth patterns from below. The bound value is higher than the dimension of diffusion limited aggregates, showing that the two problems belong to two different universality classes.

Convergent calculation of the asymptotic dimension of diffusion limited aggregates: scaling and renormalization of small clusters

Diffusion limited aggregation (DLA) is a model of fractal growth that had attained a paradigmatic status due to its simplicity and its underlying role for a variety of pattern forming processes. We present a convergent calculation of the fractal dimension D of DLA based on a renormalization scheme for the first Laurent coefficient of the conformal map from the unit circle to the expanding boundary of the fractal cluster. The theory is applicable from very small (2-3 particles) to asymptotically large (n-->infinity) clusters. The computed dimension is D=1.713+/-0.003.