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1.
Lancet Infect Dis ; 22(3): 357-366, 2022 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34562375

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: On Dec 20, 2020, Israel initiated a nationwide COVID-19 vaccination campaign for people aged 16 years and older and exclusively used the Pfizer-BioNTech BNT162b2 mRNA COVID-19 vaccine (tozinameran). We provide estimates of the number of SARS-CoV-2 infections and COVID-19-related admissions to hospital (ie, hospitalisations) and deaths averted by the nationwide vaccination campaign. METHODS: In this retrospective surveillance study, we used national surveillance data routinely collected by the Israeli Ministry of Health from the first 112 days (Dec 20, 2020, up to our data cutoff of April 10, 2021) of Israel's vaccination campaign to estimate the averted burden of four outcomes: SARS-CoV-2 infections and COVID-19-related hospitalisations, severe or critical hospitalisations, and deaths. As part of the campaign, all individuals aged 16 years and older were eligible for inoculation with the BNT162b2 vaccine in a two-dose schedule 21 days apart. We estimated the direct effects of the immunisation programme for all susceptible individuals (ie, with no previous evidence of laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection) who were at least partly vaccinated (at least one dose and at least 14 days of follow-up after the first dose). We estimated the number of SARS-CoV-2 infection-related outcomes averted on the basis of cumulative daily, age-specific rate differences, comparing rates among unvaccinated individuals with those of at least partly vaccinated individuals for each of the four outcomes and the (age-specific) size of the susceptible population and proportion that was at least partly vaccinated. FINDINGS: We estimated that Israel's vaccination campaign averted 158 665 (95% CI 144 640-172 690) SARS-CoV-2 infections, 24 597 (18 942-30 252) hospitalisations, 17 432 (12 770-22 094) severe or critical hospitalisations, and 5532 (3085-7982) deaths. 16 213 (65·9%) of 24 597 hospitalisations and 5035 (91·0%) of 5532 of deaths averted were estimated to be among those aged 65 years and older. We estimated 116 000 (73·1%) SARS-CoV-2 infections, 19 467 (79·1%) COVID-19-related hospitalisations, and 4351 (79%) deaths averted were accounted for by the fully vaccinated population. INTERPRETATION: Without the national vaccination campaign, Israel probably would have had triple the number of hospitalisations and deaths compared with what actually occurred during its largest wave of the pandemic to date, and the health-care system might have become overwhelmed. Indirect effects and long-term benefits of the programme, which could be substantial, were not included in these estimates and warrant future research. FUNDING: Israel Ministry of Health and Pfizer.


Assuntos
Vacina BNT162/administração & dosagem , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Hospitalização/tendências , Programas de Imunização , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , COVID-19/mortalidade , Feminino , Humanos , Israel , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Vigilância da População , Estudos Retrospectivos , SARS-CoV-2/isolamento & purificação
2.
EClinicalMedicine ; 42: 101190, 2021 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34870134

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: SARS-CoV-2 variant Beta (B.1.351) was designated as a Variant of Concern (VoC) after becoming the dominant strain in South Africa and spreading internationally. BNT162b2 showed lower levels of neutralizing antibodies against Beta than against other strains raising concerns about effectiveness of vaccines against infections caused by Beta. We estimated BNT162b2 vaccine effectiveness (VE) against Beta infections in Israel, a country with high vaccine uptake. METHODS: The Ministry of Health (MoH) identified Beta cases through mandatory reporting of SARS-CoV-2 cases and whole genome sequencing (WGS) of specimens from vaccination-breakthrough infections, reinfections, arriving international travelers, and a selection of other infected persons. A cohort analysis was conducted of exposure events of contacts of primary Beta cases. WGS was conducted on available PCR-positive specimens collected from contacts. VE estimates with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) against confirmed and probable Beta infections were determined by comparing infection risk between unvaccinated and fully-vaccinated (≥7 days after the second dose) contacts, and between unvaccinated and partially-vaccinated (<7 days after the second dose) contacts. FINDINGS: MoH identified 310 Beta cases through Jun 27, 2021. During the study period (Dec 11, 2020 - Mar 25, 2021), 164 non-institutionalized primary Beta cases, with 552 contacts aged ≥16 years, were identified. 343/552 (62%) contacts were interviewed and tested. 71/343 (21%) contacts were PCR-positive. WGS was performed on 7/71 (10%) PCR-positive specimens; all were Beta. Among SARS-CoV-2-infected contacts, 48/71 (68%) were symptomatic, 10/71 (14%) hospitalized, and 2/71 (3%) died. Fully-vaccinated VE against confirmed or probable Beta infections was 72% (95% CI -5 - 97%; p=0·04) and against symptomatic confirmed or probable Beta infections was 100% (95% CI 19 - 100%; p=0·01). There was no evidence of protection in partially-vaccinated contacts. INTERPRETATION: In a prospective observational study, two doses of BNT162b2 were effective against confirmed and probable Beta infections. Through the end of June 2021, introductions of Beta did not interrupt control of the pandemic in Israel. FUNDING: Israel Ministry of Health and Pfizer.

3.
Lancet ; 397(10287): 1819-1829, 2021 05 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33964222

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Following the emergency use authorisation of the Pfizer-BioNTech mRNA COVID-19 vaccine BNT162b2 (international non-proprietary name tozinameran) in Israel, the Ministry of Health (MoH) launched a campaign to immunise the 6·5 million residents of Israel aged 16 years and older. We estimated the real-world effectiveness of two doses of BNT162b2 against a range of SARS-CoV-2 outcomes and to evaluate the nationwide public-health impact following the widespread introduction of the vaccine. METHODS: We used national surveillance data from the first 4 months of the nationwide vaccination campaign to ascertain incident cases of laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infections and outcomes, as well as vaccine uptake in residents of Israel aged 16 years and older. Vaccine effectiveness against SARS-CoV-2 outcomes (asymptomatic infection, symptomatic infection, and COVID-19-related hospitalisation, severe or critical hospitalisation, and death) was calculated on the basis of incidence rates in fully vaccinated individuals (defined as those for whom 7 days had passed since receiving the second dose of vaccine) compared with rates in unvaccinated individuals (who had not received any doses of the vaccine), with use of a negative binomial regression model adjusted for age group (16-24, 25-34, 35-44, 45-54, 55-64, 65-74, 75-84, and ≥85 years), sex, and calendar week. The proportion of spike gene target failures on PCR test among a nationwide convenience-sample of SARS-CoV-2-positive specimens was used to estimate the prevelance of the B.1.1.7 variant. FINDINGS: During the analysis period (Jan 24 to April 3, 2021), there were 232 268 SARS-CoV-2 infections, 7694 COVID-19 hospitalisations, 4481 severe or critical COVID-19 hospitalisations, and 1113 COVID-19 deaths in people aged 16 years or older. By April 3, 2021, 4 714 932 (72·1%) of 6 538 911 people aged 16 years and older were fully vaccinated with two doses of BNT162b2. Adjusted estimates of vaccine effectiveness at 7 days or longer after the second dose were 95·3% (95% CI 94·9-95·7; incidence rate 91·5 per 100 000 person-days in unvaccinated vs 3·1 per 100 000 person-days in fully vaccinated individuals) against SARS-CoV-2 infection, 91·5% (90·7-92·2; 40·9 vs 1·8 per 100 000 person-days) against asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection, 97·0% (96·7-97·2; 32·5 vs 0·8 per 100 000 person-days) against symptomatic COVID-19, 97·2% (96·8-97·5; 4·6 vs 0·3 per 100 000 person-days) against COVID-19-related hospitalisation, 97·5% (97·1-97·8; 2·7 vs 0·2 per 100 000 person-days) against severe or critical COVID-19-related hospitalisation, and 96·7% (96·0-97·3; 0·6 vs 0·1 per 100 000 person-days) against COVID-19-related death. In all age groups, as vaccine coverage increased, the incidence of SARS-CoV-2 outcomes declined. 8006 of 8472 samples tested showed a spike gene target failure, giving an estimated prevalence of the B.1.1.7 variant of 94·5% among SARS-CoV-2 infections. INTERPRETATION: Two doses of BNT162b2 are highly effective across all age groups (≥16 years, including older adults aged ≥85 years) in preventing symptomatic and asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infections and COVID-19-related hospitalisations, severe disease, and death, including those caused by the B.1.1.7 SARS-CoV-2 variant. There were marked and sustained declines in SARS-CoV-2 incidence corresponding to increasing vaccine coverage. These findings suggest that COVID-19 vaccination can help to control the pandemic. FUNDING: None.


Assuntos
Vacinas contra COVID-19 , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Vacinação em Massa , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Infecções Assintomáticas/epidemiologia , Vacina BNT162 , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/mortalidade , COVID-19/virologia , Feminino , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Incidência , Israel/epidemiologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Pandemias , Vigilância da População , RNA Mensageiro , SARS-CoV-2 , Adulto Jovem
4.
Isr Med Assoc J ; 9(3): 149-52, 2007 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17402323

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Most Israeli males aged 16-17 undergo a thorough medical examination prior to recruitment into the army. During the last 50 years, extensive data have been gathered enabling a study of time trends in the prevalence of common diseases in this age group. OBJECTIVES: To examine the current prevalence of common diseases, compare the results with those of previous cohorts, and assess the influence of the massive immigration during the 1990s. METHODS: The health examination at the recruitment centers includes a medical history, complete physical examination, and review of medical documentation provided by the family physician. If needed, additional tests and referral to specialists are ordered. The prevalence of selected diseases and severity was drawn from the computerized database of the classification board. Two cohorts, 1992-94 and 2003-04, were examined and compared with three previous cohort studies in 1957-61, 1977-78 and 1982-84. Data were stratified according to origin and country of birth. RESULTS: The prevalence of asthma increased dramatically during the years from 10.2 per 1000 examinees in 1957-61 to 111.6 per 1000 examinees in 2003-04. The prevalence of tuberculosis declined and then increased from 0.6 per 1000 adolescents in 1982-84 to 2.4 per 1000 adolescents in 2003-04. The prevalence of type 1 diabetes mellitus increased from 0.2 cases per 1000 examinees in 1957-61 to 0.8 cases in 1977-78 and 1982-84 and 0.9 cases per 1000 examinees in 2003-04. The prevalence of severe heart defects and severe epilepsy declined in the last 20 years (1.4 and 1.7 cases per 1000 examinees in the 1982-84 cohort to 0.4 and 0.3 cases per 1000 examinees in the 2003-4 cohort respectively). The patterns of disease prevalence were different for immigrants: tuberculosis was more common while asthma and allergic rhinitis were less prevalent. CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of common diseases among adolescents in Israel has changed over the last 50 years. There is a different pattern for immigrants and for those born in Israel.


Assuntos
Emigração e Imigração , Morbidade/tendências , Adolescente , Estudos de Coortes , Indicadores Básicos de Saúde , Humanos , Israel/epidemiologia , Masculino , Exame Físico , Prevalência
5.
Harefuah ; 144(8): 530-3, 600, 2005 Aug.
Artigo em Hebraico | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16146146

RESUMO

UNLABELLED: According to the Security Service Law in Israel, a pregnant soldier serving her compulsory military service, who decides to continue with the pregnancy, is discharged from military service. If she wishes to terminate the pregnancy (TOP) and continue serving in the army, she is referred to a civilian pregnancy termination committee. OBJECTIVE: This article aims to examine the incidence of pregnancies amongst soldiers during their compulsory military service (ages 18-20 years) and characterize the populations at risk. METHODS: Data reflecting yearly incidence of pregnancies, number of TOPs, discharges from military duty as a result of continuation of pregnancy and missed abortions amongst soldiers during their compulsory military duty were derived from the military social services records for the period 1997-2003. Socio-demographic variables, number of prior pregnancies, age of pregnancy, means of TOP, relationship with the other parent and his involvement regarding the pregnancy, were obtained from military records between the years 2002-2003. RESULTS: The reported yearly incidence of pregnancies in 1997 was 18.6 per 1000 soldiers during their compulsory military service. In 2003, the incidence rose to 21.5 per 1000. The incidence of continuation of pregnancy, TOPs and missed abortions remained unchanged. Number-wise, the pregnancies occurred most often in Israeli-born, high-school educated young women. When stratifying by country of birth, however, the percentage of pregnancies within subgroups varied significantly. Half of the pregnancies were terminated by pharmaceutical means. In the majority of cases, the pregnancy resulted from a relationship lasting over half a year with a male partner, who was aware of the pregnancy and involved with the decisions regarding its outcome. CONCLUSION: In recent years there has been a rise in the reported yearly incidence of pregnancies among soldiers aged 18-20 years serving their compulsory military service. These findings reiterate the need to increase the efforts in implementing sex education programs amongst educators and the responsible military authorities.


Assuntos
Militares/estatística & dados numéricos , Gravidez não Planejada , Feminino , Humanos , Israel , Gravidez
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