Explainable Deep Learning Model for Predicting Serious Adverse Events in Hospitalized Geriatric Patients Within 72 Hours.

Background: The global aging population presents a significant challenge, with older adults experiencing declining physical and cognitive abilities and increased vulnerability to chronic diseases and adverse health outcomes. This study aims to develop an interpretable deep learning (DL) model to predict adverse events in geriatric patients within 72 hours of hospitalization. Methods: The study used retrospective data (2017-2020) from a major medical center in Taiwan. It included non-trauma geriatric patients who visited the emergency department and were admitted to the general ward. Data preprocessing involved collecting prognostic factors like vital signs, lab results, medical history, and clinical management. A deep feedforward neural network was developed, and performance was evaluated using accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Model interpretation utilized the Shapley Additive Explanation (SHAP) technique. Results: The analysis included 127,268 patients, with 2.6% experiencing imminent intensive care unit transfer, respiratory failure, or death during hospitalization. The DL model achieved AUCs of 0.86 and 0.84 in the validation and test sets, respectively, outperforming the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score. Sensitivity and specificity values ranged from 0.79 to 0.81. The SHAP technique provided insights into feature importance and interactions. Conclusion: The developed DL model demonstrated high accuracy in predicting serious adverse events in geriatric patients within 72 hours of hospitalization. It outperformed the SOFA score and provided valuable insights into the model's decision-making process.

RAPID-ED: A predictive model for risk assessment of patient's early in-hospital deterioration from emergency department.

Introduction: The objective of this multi-center retrospective cohort study was to devise a predictive tool known as RAPID-ED. This model identifies non-traumatic adult patients at significant risk for cardiac arrest within 48 hours post-admission from the emergency department. Methods: Data from 224,413 patients admitted through the emergency department (2016-2020) was analyzed, incorporating vital signs, lab tests, and administered therapies. A multivariable regression model was devised to anticipate early cardiac arrest. The efficacy of the RAPID-ED model was evaluated against traditional scoring systems like National Early Warning Score (NEWS) and Modified Early Warning Score (MEWS) and its predictive ability was gauged via the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) in both hold-out validation set and external validation set. Results: RAPID-ED outperformed traditional models in predicting cardiac arrest with an AUC of 0.819 in the hold-out validation set and 0.807 in the external validation set. In this critical care update, RAPID-ED offers an innovative approach to assessing patient risk, aiding emergency physicians in post-discharge care decisions from the emergency department. High-risk score patients (≥13) may benefit from early ICU admission for intensive monitoring. Conclusion: As we progress with advancements in critical care, tools like RAPID-ED will prove instrumental in refining care strategies for critically ill patients, fostering an improved prognosis and potentially mitigating mortality rates.

The Impact of Do-Not-Resuscitate Order in the Emergency Department on Respiratory Failure after ICU Admission.

(1) Background: It has been hypothesized that a discrepancy exists in the understanding of a do-not-resuscitate (DNR) order among physicians. We hypothesized that a DNR order signed in the emergency department (ED) could influence the patients' prognosis after intensive care unit (ICU) admission. (2) Methods: We included patients older than 17 years, who visited the emergency department for non-traumatic disease, who had respiratory failure, required ventilator support, and were admitted to the ICU between January 2010 and December 2016. The associations between DNR and mortality, hospital length of stay (LOS), and medical fees were analyzed. Prolonged hospital LOS was defined as hospital stay ≥75th percentile (≥26 days for the study). Patients were classified as those who did and did not sign a DNR order. A 1:4 propensity score matching was conducted for demographics, comorbidities, and etiology. (3) Results: The study enrolled a total of 1510 patients who signed a DNR and 6040 patients who did not sign a DNR. The 30-day mortality rates were 47.4% and 28.0% among patients who did and did not sign a DNR, respectively. A DNR order was associated with mortality after adjusting for confounding factors (hazard ratio, 1.9; confidence interval, 1.70−2.03). It was also a risk factor for prolonged hospital LOS in survivors (odds ratio, 1.2; confidence interval, 1.02−1.44). Survivors who signed a DNR order were charged higher medical fees than those who did not sign a DNR (217,159 vs. 245,795 New Taiwan Dollars, p < 0.001). (4) Conclusions: Signing a DNR order in the ED increased the ICU mortality rate among patients who had respiratory failure and needed ventilator support. It increased the risk of prolonged hospital LOS among survivors. Finally, signing a DNR order was associated with high medical fees among survivors.

Correction: Yau et al. Risk Factors for Early Return Visits to the Emergency Department in Patients Presenting with Nonspecific Abdominal Pain and the Use of Computed Tomography Scan. Healthcare 2021, 9, 1470.

The authors would like to make corrections to their published paper [...].

Utilization of Personalized Machine-Learning to Screen for Dysglycemia from Ambulatory ECG, toward Noninvasive Blood Glucose Monitoring.

Blood glucose (BG) monitoring is important for critically ill patients, as poor sugar control has been associated with increased mortality in hospitalized patients. However, constant BG monitoring can be resource-intensive and pose a healthcare burden in clinical practice. In this study, we aimed to develop a personalized machine-learning model to predict dysglycemia from electrocardiogram (ECG) data. We used the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III database as our source of data and obtained more than 20 ECG records from each included patient during a single hospital admission. We focused on lead II recordings, along with corresponding blood sugar data. We processed the data and used ECG features from each heartbeat as inputs to develop a one-class support vector machine algorithm to predict dysglycemia. The model was able to predict dysglycemia using a single heartbeat with an AUC of 0.92 ± 0.09, a sensitivity of 0.92 ± 0.10, and specificity of 0.84 ± 0.04. After applying 10 s majority voting, the AUC of the model's dysglycemia prediction increased to 0.97 ± 0.06. This study showed that a personalized machine-learning algorithm can accurately detect dysglycemia from a single-lead ECG.

Corrigendum: Shock Index, Pediatric Age-Adjusted Predicts Morbidity and Mortality in Children Admitted to the Intensive Care Unit.

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.3389/fped.2021.727466.].

Risk Factors for Early Return Visits to the Emergency Department in Patients Presenting with Nonspecific Abdominal Pain and the Use of Computed Tomography Scan.

Over a quarter of patients presenting with abdominal pain at emergency departments (EDs) are diagnosed with nonspecific abdominal pain (NSAP) at discharge. This study investigated the risk factors associated with return ED visits in Taiwanese patients with NSAP after discharge. We divided patients into two groups: the study group comprising patients with ED revisits after the index ED visit, and the control group comprising patients without revisits. During the study period, 10,341 patients discharged with the impression of NSAP after ED management. A regression analysis found that older age (OR [95%CI]: 1.007 [1.003-1.011], p = 0.004), male sex (OR [95%CI]: 1.307 [1.036-1.650], p = 0.024), and use of NSAIDs (OR [95%CI]: 1.563 [1.219-2.003], p < 0.001) and opioids (OR [95%CI]: 2.213 [1.643-2.930], p < 0.001) during the index visit were associated with increased return ED visits. Computed tomography (CT) scans (OR [95%CI]: 0.605 [0.390-0.937], p = 0.021) were associated with decreased ED returns, especially for those who were older than 60, who had an underlying disease, or who required pain control during the index ED visit.

Shock Index, Pediatric Age-Adjusted Predicts Morbidity and Mortality in Children Admitted to the Intensive Care Unit.

Background: The shock index, pediatric age-adjusted (SIPA), defined as the maximum normal heart rate divided by the minimum normal systolic blood pressure by age, can help predict the risk of morbidity and mortality after pediatric trauma. This study investigated whether the SIPA can be used as an early index of prognosis for non-traumatic children visiting the pediatric emergency department (ED) and were directly admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU). We hypothesized that an increase in SIPA values in the first 24 h of ICU admission would correlate with mortality and adverse outcomes. Methods: This multicenter retrospective study enrolled non-traumatic patients aged 1-17 years who presented to the pediatric ED and were directly admitted to the ICU from January 1, 2016, to December 31, 2018, in Taiwan. The SIPA value was calculated at the time of arrival at the ED and 24 h after ICU admission. Cutoffs included SIPA values >1.2 (patient age: 1-6), >1.0 (patient age: 7-12), and >0.9 (patient age: 12-17). The utility of the SIPA and the trends in the SIPA during the first 24 h of ICU admission were analyzed to predict outcomes. Results: In total, 1,732 patients were included. Of these, 1,050 (60.6%) were under 6 years old, and the median Pediatric Risk of Mortality score was 7 (5-10). In total, 4.7% of the patients died, 12.9% received mechanical ventilator (MV) support, and 11.1% received inotropic support. The SIPA value at 24 h after admission was associated with increased mortality [odds ratio (OR): 4.366, 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.392-7.969, p < 0.001], MV support (OR: 1.826, 95% CI: 1.322-2.521, p < 0.001), inotropic support (OR: 2.306, 95% CI: 1.599-3.326, p < 0.001), and a long hospital length of stay (HLOS) (2.903 days, 95% CI: 1.734-4.271, p < 0.001). Persistent abnormal SIPA value was associated with increased mortality (OR: 2.799, 95% CI: 1.566-5.001, p = 0.001), MV support (OR: 1.457, 95% CI: 1.015-2.092, p = 0.041), inotropic support (OR: 1.875, 95% CI: 1.287-2.833, p = 0.001), and a long HLOS (3.2 days, 95% CI: 1.9-4.6, p < 0.001). Patients with abnormal to normal SIPA values were associated with decreased mortality (OR: 0.258, 95% CI: 0.106-0.627, p = 0.003), while patients with normal to abnormal SIPA values were associated with increased mortality (OR: 3.055, 95% CI: 1.472-5.930, p = 0.002). Conclusions: In non-traumatic children admitted to the ICU from the ED, increased SIPA values at 24 h after ICU admission predicted high mortality and bad outcomes. Monitoring the trends in the SIPA could help with prognostication and optimize early management.

The Association of White Blood Cells and Air Pollutants-A Population-Based Study.

The links of air pollutants to health hazards have been revealed in literature and inflammation responses might play key roles in the processes of diseases. WBC count is one of the indexes of inflammation, however the l iterature reveals inconsistent opinions on the relationship between WBC counts and exposure to air pollutants. The goal of this population-based observational study was to examine the associations between multiple air pollutants and WBC counts. This study recruited community subjects from Kaohsiung city. WBC count, demographic and health hazard habit data were collected. Meanwhile, air pollutants data (SO2, NO2, CO, PM10, and O3) were also obtained. Both datasets were merged for statistical analysis. Single- and multiple-pollutants models were adopted for the analysis. A total of 10,140 adults (43.2% males; age range, 33~86 years old) were recruited. Effects of short-term ambient concentrations (within one week) of CO could increase counts of WBC, neutrophils, monocytes, and lymphocytes. However, SO2 could decrease counts of WBC, neutrophils, and monocytes. Gender, BMI, and smoking could also contribute to WBC count increases, though their effects are minor when compared to CO. Air pollutants, particularly SO2, NO2 and CO, may thus be related to alterations of WBC counts, and this would imply air pollution has an impact on human systematic inflammation.

Impact of Using a Non-Rebreathing Mask in Patients With Respiratory Failure.

BACKGROUND: Liberal oxygen therapy might increase the mortality rate of patients. Non-rebreathing masks (NRM) are a high-flow, non-invasive oxygen device that can provide oxygen concentration up to 95%. This study aimed to determine the impact of using NRM in patients with respiratory failure. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study was conducted in four medical institutions in Taiwan from January 2010 to December 2016. The association between mortality and NRM use before receiving ventilator support in patients with respiratory failure in the emergency department was analyzed. Patients were divided into the NRM treatment and no NRM treatment groups. A 1:4 propensity score matching was conducted. Regarding the duration of NRM use, treatments were grouped as 0 h, 0-1 h, 1-2 h, and >2 h. RESULTS: A total of 18,749 patients were included, with 1074 using NRM. After propensity score matching, 1028 patients using NRM (0-1 h: 508, 1-2 h: 193, and >2 h: 327) and 4112 patients not using NRM were analyzed. The 30-day mortality rates were 29.1%, 28.5%, 27.5%, and 35.5% in the 0 h, 0-1 h, 1-2 h, and >2 h treatment groups, respectively. Patients with respiratory failure due to pulmonary disease using NRM over 2 h had a higher mortality rate than patients not using NRM (hazard ratio: 1.3, 95% CI: 1.01-1.66). CONCLUSIONS: Prolonged use of NRM in patients with respiratory failure due to pulmonary disease possibly increases mortality.

Impact of estimated-weight-base dose of alteplase in acute stroke treatment on clinical outcome.

Dosing of recombinant tissue plasminogen activator (rt-PA) for acute ischemic stroke treatment is often based on estimated body weight (BW) worldwide in routine clinical practice due to infeasible of accurate BW measurement. The aim of our study is to explore the impact of estimated BW when dosing rt-PA in acute ischemic stroke treatment on clinical outcome. Between January 2013 to May 2018, 126 acute ischemic stroke patients received intravenous rt-PA treatment based on estimated BW dosage were recruited. All patients had actual BW measured in ward after treatment. Based on the dosage of rt-PA given, patients were categorized into three groups, standard dose (0.8-1.0 mg/kg), overdose (>1.0 mg/kg), and underdose (<0.8 mg/kg). Among all 126 patients, 101 (80.2%) patients were treated with standard dose, 12 (9.5%) patients with overdose, and 13 (10.3%) patients with underdose of rt-PA respectively. There was no significant difference between demographic characteristics, pre-morbid risk factors, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score at 24 h, NIHSS score at discharge, modified Rankin scale (mRS) within 0 to 2 in discharge or in 3 months after the event within the three groups. There was also no significant difference in hemorrhagic transformation and symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (SICH). In conclusion, calculation of the dose of rt-PA based upon the estimated BW to treat acute ischemic stroke patients had no negative impact on the clinical outcome in our study.

Association between liberal oxygen therapy and mortality in patients with paraquat poisoning: A multi-center retrospective cohort study.

Paraquat (N, N'-dimethyl-4, 4'-bipyridinium dichloride, PQ) intoxication is a common cause of lethal poisoning. This study aimed to identify the risk of using liberal oxygen therapy in patients with PQ poisoning. This was a multi-center retrospective cohort study involving four medical institutions in Taiwan. Data were extracted from the Chang Gung Research Database (CGRD) from January 2004 to December 2016. Patients confirmed to have PQ intoxication with a urine PQ concentration ≥ 5 ppm were analyzed. Patients who received oxygen therapy before marked hypoxia (SpO2 ≥ 90%) were defined as receiving liberal oxygen therapy. The association between mortality and patient demographics, blood paraquat concentration (ppm), and liberal oxygen therapy were analyzed. A total of 416 patients were enrolled. The mortality rate was higher in the liberal oxygen therapy group (87.8% vs. 73.7%, P = 0.007), especially in 28-day mortality (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]: 4.71, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.533-14.471) and overall mortality (aOR: 5.97, 95% CI: 1.692-21.049) groups. Mortality in patients with PQ poisoning was also associated with age (aOR: 1.04, 95% CI: 1.015-1.073), blood creatinine level (aOR: 1.49, 95% CI: 1.124-1.978), and blood paraquat concentration (ppm) (aOR, 1.51; 95% CI: 1.298-1.766). Unless the evidence of hypoxia (SpO2 < 90%) is clear, oxygen therapy should be avoided because it is associated with increased mortality.

Physicians' Risk Tolerance and Head Computed Tomography Use for Pediatric Patients With Minor Head Injury.

OBJECTIVES: Traumatic brain injury is the leading cause of death and disability in children worldwide. The objective of this study was to determine the association between physician risk tolerance and head computed tomography (CT) use in patients with minor head injury (MHI) in the emergency department (ED). METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed pediatric patients (<17 years old) with MHI in the ED and then administered 2 questionnaires (a risk-taking subscale [RTS] of the Jackson Personality Inventory and a malpractice fear scale [MFS]) to attending physicians who had evaluated these patients and made decisions regarding head CT use. The primary outcome was head CT use during ED evaluation; the secondary outcome was ED length of stay and final diagnosis of intracranial injury (ICI). RESULTS: Of 523 patients with MHI, 233 (44.6%) underwent brain CT, and 16 (3.1%) received a final diagnosis of ICI. Among the 16 emergency physicians (EPs), the median scores of the MFS and RTS were 22 (interquartile range, 17-26) and 23 (interquartile range, 19-25), respectively. Emergency physicians who were most risk averse tended to order more head CT scans compared with the more risk-tolerant EPs (56.96% vs 37.37%; odds ratio, 8.463; confidence interval, 2.783-25.736). The ED length of stay (P = 0.442 and P = 0.889) and final diagnosis (P = 0.155 and P = 0.835) of ICI were not significantly associated with the RTS and MFS scores. CONCLUSIONS: Individual EP risk tolerance, as measured by RTS, was predictive of CT use in pediatric patients with MHI.

Corrigendum: Shock Index, Pediatric Age-Adjusted Predicts Morbidity and Mortality in Children Admitted to the Intensive Care Unit.

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.3389/fped.2021.727466.].

Benefits of Early In-Hospital Antivenom Administration to Patients with Protobothrops mucrosquamatus Envenomation.

Protobothrops mucrosquamatus is one of the common venomous snakes in Southeast Asia. This retrospective cohort study conducted in six medical institutions in Taiwan aimed to obtain information on the optimal management strategies for P. mucrosquamatus snakebite envenomation. Data were extracted from the Chang Gung Research Database from January 2006 to December 2016. The association between early antivenom administration and patient demographics, pain requiring treatment with analgesic injections, and hospital length of stay was analyzed. A total of 195 patients were enrolled; 130 were administered antivenom within 1 hour after emergency department arrival (early group), whereas 65 were treated later than 1 hour after arrival (late group). No in-hospital mortality was identified. The difference in surgical intervention rates between the early and late groups was statistically insignificant (P = 0.417). Compared with the early group, the late group showed a higher rate of antivenom skin test performance (46.9% versus 63.1%, respectively, P = 0.033), longer hospital stay (42 ± 62 hours versus 99 ± 70 hours, respectively, P = 0.016), and higher rate of incidences of pain requiring treatment with analgesic injections (29.2% versus 46.2%, respectively, P = 0.019). After adjusting for confounding factors, early antivenom administration was associated with decreased pain requiring treatment with analgesic injections (adjusted odds ratio: 0.51, 95% CI: 0.260-0.985). Antivenom administration within 1 hour of arrival was associated with a decreased likelihood of experiencing pain and hospital length of stay in patients with P. mucrosquamatus snakebites. Antivenom skin testing was associated with delays in antivenom administration.

C-Reactive Protein Concentration Can Help to Identify Bacteremia in Children Visiting the Emergency Department: A Single Medical Center Experience.

BACKGROUND: For febrile children who are evaluated in a pediatric emergency department (PED), blood culture can be considered the laboratory criterion standard to detect bacteremia. However, high rates of negative, false-positive, or contaminated blood cultures in children often result in this testing being noncontributory. This study determined the factors associated with true-positive blood cultures in children. METHODS: This retrospective study was conducted at a tertiary medical center's PED. The blood culture use reports were prepared by an infectious disease specialist and were classified as bacteremia, nonbacteremia, and contamination. RESULTS: We registered a total of 239,459 PED visits during the 8-year period, and 21,841 blood culture samples were taken. Of the laboratory test studies, higher C-reactive protein (CRP) levels and lower hemoglobin levels were observed in the bacteremia group compared with other groups (all P < 0.001). The cut-off value calculated for each age group was adjusted for better clinical usage and significantly improved the blood culture clinical utility documented in the following age groups: 0 to 1 years (CRP level = 30 mg/L, odds ratio [OR] = 5.4, P < 0.001), 1 to 3 years (CRP level = 45 mg/L, OR = 3.7, P < 0.001), and 12 to 18 years (CRP level = 50 mg/L, OR = 6.3, P = 0.006). Using the CRP cut-off value established in this study, we could reduce the blood culture samples in the PED by 14,108 (64.6%). CONCLUSIONS: This study provides new evidence that CRP may be a useful indicator for blood culture sampling in certain age groups and may help improve the efficiency of blood culture in the PED.

Risk factors associated with snake antivenom reaction and the role of skin test.

Antivenom reactions are a common complication of snake antivenom. This study aimed to identify predicators of antivenom reaction and the involvement of antivenom skin test in antivenom reaction development. This retrospective cohort study was conducted in six medical institutions in Taiwan. Data were extracted from the Chang Gung Research Database (CGRD) from January 2006 to December 2016. The association between antivenom reaction and patient demographics, type and dose of antivenom, and skin test results was analyzed. The study enrolled 799 patients, including 219 who developed antivenom reactions. Compared to patients receiving both freeze-dried hemorrhagic (FH) and freeze-dried neurotoxic (FN) antivenom, those administered a single type had a lower antivenom reaction risk (adjusted odds ratios [aORs]: 0.5 and 0.4, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.35-0.74 and 0.24-0.69, FH and FN respectively). Patients administered a higher antivenom dose (≥ 5 vials) had higher antivenom reaction risk (aOR: 1.8, 95% CI: 1.23-2.76). A positive skin test result was also associated with antivenom reaction (aOR: 16.7, 95% CI: 5.42-51.22). The skin test showed high specificity (98.5%, 95% CI: 97.49%-99.83%) but low sensitivity (17.5%, 95% CI: 10.74%-24.18%). The antivenom skin test should be abolished because of the extremely low sensitivity and possible misinterpretation of results because of the limitation of this examination.

Comparison of Dopamine and Norepinephrine Use for the Treatment of Hypotension in Out-Of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest Patients with Return of Spontaneous Circulation.

In patients experiencing out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA), hypotension is common after return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC). Both dopamine and norepinephrine are recommended as inotropic therapeutic agents. This study aimed to determine the impact of the use of these two medications on hypotension. This is a multicenter retrospective cohort study. OHCA patients with ROSC were divided into three groups according to the post resuscitation inotropic agent used for treatment in the emergency department, namely, dopamine, norepinephrine, and dopamine and norepinephrine combined therapy. Thirty-day survival and favorable neurologic performance were analyzed among the three study groups. The 30-day survival and favorable neurologic performance rates in the three study groups were 12.5%, 13.0%, and 6.8% as well as 4.9%, 4.3%, and 1.2%, respectively. On controlling the potential confounding factors by logistic regression, there was no difference between dopamine and norepinephrine treatment in survival and neurologic performance (adjusted odds ratio (aOR): 1.0, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.48-2.06; aOR: 0.8, 95% CI: 0.28-2.53). The dopamine and norepinephrine combined treatment group had worse outcome (aOR: 0.6, 95% CI: 0.35-1.18; aOR: 0.2, 95% CI: 0.05-0.89). In conclusion, there was no significant difference in post-ROSC hypotension treatment between dopamine and norepinephrine in 30-day survival and favorable neurologic performance rates.

Comparison of Injury Severity Score, Glasgow Coma Scale, and Revised Trauma Score in Predicting the Mortality and Prolonged ICU Stay of Traumatic Young Children: A Cross-Sectional Retrospective Study.

INTRODUCTION: The purpose of this study was to examine the capacity of commonly used trauma scoring systems such as the Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), Injury Severity Score (ISS), and Revised Trauma Score (RTS) to predict outcomes in young children with traumatic injuries. METHODS: This retrospective study was conducted for the period from 2009 to 2016 in Kaohsiung Chang Gung Memorial Medical Hospital, a level I trauma center. We included all children under the age of 6 years admitted to the hospital via the emergency department with any traumatic injury and compared the trauma scores of GCS, ISS, and RTS on patients' outcome. The primary outcomes were mortality and prolonged Intensive Care Unit (ICU) stay, with the latter defined as an ICU stay longer than 14 days. The secondary outcome was the hospital length of stay (HLOS). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was also adopted with the value of the area under the ROC curve (AUC) for comparing trauma score prediction with patient mortality. Cutoff values from each trauma score for mortality prediction were also measured by determining the point along the ROC curve where Youden's index was maximum. RESULTS: We included a total of 938 patients in this study, with a mean age of 3.1 ± 1.82 years. The mortality rate was 0.9%, and 93 (9.9%) patients had a prolonged ICU stay. An elevated ISS (34 ± 19.9 vs. 5 ± 5.1, p=0.004), lower GCS (8 ± 5.0 vs. 15 ± 1.3, p=0.006), and lower RTS (5.58 ± 1.498 vs. 7.64 ± 0.640, p=0.006) were all associated with mortality. All three scores were considered to be independent risk factors of mortality and prolonged ICU stay and had a linear correlation with increased HLOS. With regard to predicting mortality, ISS has the highest AUC value (ISS: 0.975; GCS: 0.864; and RTS: 0.899). The prediction cutoff values of ISS, GCS, and RTS on mortality were 15, 11, and 7, respectively. CONCLUSION: Regarding traumatic injuries in young children, worse ISS, GCS, and RTS were all associated with increased mortality, prolonged ICU stay, and longer hospital LOS. Of these scoring systems, ISS was the best at predicting mortality.

Significant predictive factors of the severity and outcomes of the first attack of acute angioedema in children.

BACKGROUND: The initial episode of angioedema in children can be potential life-threatening due to the lack of prompt identification and treatment. We aimed to analyze the factors predicting the severity and outcomes of the first attack of acute angioedema in children. METHODS: This was a retrospective study with 406 children (< 18 years) who presented in the emergency department (ED) with an initial episode of acute angioedema and who had subsequent follow-up visits in the out-patient department from January 2008 to December 2014. The severity of the acute angioedema was categorized as severe (requiring hospital admission), moderate (requiring a stay in the short-term pediatric observation unit [POU]), or mild (discharged directly from the ED). The associations among the disease severity, patient demographics and clinical presentation were analyzed. RESULT: In total, 109 (26.8%) children had severe angioedema, and the majority of those children were male (65.1%). Most of the children were of preschool age (56.4%), and only 6.4% were adolescents. The co-occurrence of pyrexia or urticaria, etiologies of the angioedema related to medications or infections, the presence of respiratory symptoms, and a history of allergies (asthma, allergic rhinitis) were predictors of severe angioedema (all p < 0.05). Finally, the duration of angioedema was significantly shorter in children who had received short-term POU treatment (2.1 ± 1.1 days) than in those who discharged from ED directly (2.3 ± 1.4 days) and admitted to the hospital (3.5 ± 2.0 days) (p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: The co-occurrence of pyrexia or urticaria, etiologies related to medications or infections, the presence of respiratory symptoms, and a history of allergies were predictors of severe angioedema. More importantly, short-term POU observation and prompt treatment might be benefit for patients who did not require hospital admission.