Machine learning is an effective method to predict the 3-month prognosis of patients with acute ischemic stroke.

Background and objectives: Upwards of 50% of acute ischemic stroke (AIS) survivors endure varying degrees of disability, with a recurrence rate of 17.7%. Thus, the prediction of outcomes in AIS may be useful for treatment decisions. This study aimed to determine the applicability of a machine learning approach for forecasting early outcomes in AIS patients. Methods: A total of 659 patients with new-onset AIS admitted to the Department of Neurology of both the First and Second Affiliated Hospitals of Bengbu Medical University from January 2020 to October 2022 included in the study. The patient' demographic information, medical history, Trial of Org 10,172 in Acute Stroke Treatment (TOAST), National Institute of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) and laboratory indicators at 24 h of admission data were collected. The Modified Rankine Scale (mRS) was used to assess the 3-mouth outcome of participants' prognosis. We constructed nine machine learning models based on 18 parameters and compared their accuracies for outcome variables. Results: Feature selection through the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator cross-validation (Lasso CV) method identified the most critical predictors for early prognosis in AIS patients as white blood cell (WBC), homocysteine (HCY), D-Dimer, baseline NIHSS, fibrinogen degradation product (FDP), and glucose (GLU). Among the nine machine learning models evaluated, the Random Forest model exhibited superior performance in the test set, achieving an Area Under the Curve (AUC) of 0.852, an accuracy rate of 0.818, a sensitivity of 0.654, a specificity of 0.945, and a recall rate of 0.900. Conclusion: These findings indicate that RF models utilizing general clinical and laboratory data from the initial 24 h of admission can effectively predict the early prognosis of AIS patients.

Insight into the Feasibility of Fatty Acyl Chlorides with 10-18 Carbons for the Ball-Milling Synthesis of Thermoplastic Cellulose Esters.

Fatty acid cellulose esters (FACE) are common cellulose-based thermoplastics, and their thermoplasticity is determined by both the contents and the lengths of the side chains. Herein, various FACE were synthesized by the ball-milling esterification of cellulose and fatty acyl chlorides containing 10-18 carbons, and their structures and thermoplasticity were thoroughly studied. The results showed that FACE with high degrees of substitution (DS) and low melting flow temperatures (Tf) were achieved as the chain lengths of the fatty acyl chlorides were reduced. In particular, a cellulose decanoate with a DS of 1.85 and a Tf of 186 °C was achieved by feeding 3 mol of decanoyl chloride per mole anhydroglucose units of cellulose. However, cellulose stearate (DS = 1.53) synthesized by the same protocols cannot melt even at 250 °C. More interestingly, the fatty acyl chlorides with 10 and 12 carbons resulted in FACE with superior toughness (elongation at break up to 94.4%). In contrast, due to their potential crystallization of the fatty acyl groups with 14-18 carbons, the corresponding FACE showed higher tensile strength and Young's modulus than the others. This study provides some theoretical basis for the mechanochemical synthesis of thermoplastic FACE with designated properties.

Elevated plasma/serum levels of prolactin in patients with systemic sclerosis: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Prolactin (PRL), an inflammatory hormone with cytokine properties, has long been considered to play a crucial role in the pathogenesis of autoimmune diseases, including systemic sclerosis (SSc). However, the plasma/serum levels of PRL in SSc were inconsistent in published studies. The aim of this study was to evaluate the plasma/serum levels of PRL in patients with SSc accurately. METHODS: Electronic databases, including PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane Library, CNKI, VIP and WANFANG databases, were searched up to October 15, 2019. Pooled standard mean difference (SMD) with 95% confidence interval (CI) was calculated by fixed-effect or random-effects model analysis. All statistical analyses were conducted with STATA 12.0. RESULTS: Fifty three articles were obtained after searching databases, and 9 studies with 293 SSc patients and 282 controls were finally included. The meta-analysis showed that the plasma/serum PRL level in SSC patients was significantly increased compared with the healthy controls, with the SMD of 1.00 and 95% CI (0.56, 1.43). Subgroup analysis showed that female patients had higher plasma/serum PRL levels. However, no significant change in plasma/serum PRL levels was observed in male patients (P = .318). In subgroup analysis by detection type, electrochemiluminescence immunoassay (ECLIA) group and enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) group showed higher PRL levels among SSc patients. CONCLUSIONS: In summary, our meta-analysis showed a significantly higher plasma/serum PRL level in SSc patients than healthy controls, and it was associated with gender and detection method.

A large outbreak of acute gastroenteritis caused by the human norovirus GII.17 strain at a university in Henan Province, China.

BACKGROUND: Human noroviruses are a major cause of viral gastroenteritis and are the main etiological agents of acute gastroenteritis outbreaks. An increasing number of outbreaks and sporadic cases of norovirus have been reported in China in recent years. There was a large acute gastroenteritis outbreak at a university in Henan Province, China in the past five years. We want to identify the source, transmission routes of the outbreak by epidemiological investigation and laboratory testing in order to provide the effective control measures. METHODS: The clinical cases were investigated, and analysed by descriptive epidemiological methods according to factors such as time, department, grade and so on. Samples were collected from clinical cases, healthy persons, the environment, water, and food at the university. These samples were tested for potential bacteria and viruses. The samples that tested positive for norovirus were selected for whole genome sequencing and the sequences were then analysed. RESULTS: From 4 March to 3 April 2015, a total of 753 acute diarrhoea cases were reported at the university; the attack rate was 3.29%. The epidemic curve showed two peaks, with the main peak occurring between 10 and 20 March, accounting for 85.26% of reported cases. The rates of norovirus detection in samples from confirmed cases, people without symptoms, and environmental samples were 32.72%, 17.39%, and 9.17%, respectively. The phylogenetic analysis showed that the norovirus belonged to the genotype GII.17. CONCLUSIONS: This is the largest and most severe outbreak caused by genotype GII.17 norovirus in recent years in China. The GII.17 viruses displayed high epidemic activity and have become a dominant strain in China since the winter of 2014, having replaced the previously dominant GII.4 Sydney 2012 strain.

Dynamic properties of the energy loss of multi-MeV charged particles traveling in two-component warm dense plasmas.

The energy loss of multi-MeV charged particles moving in two-component warm dense plasmas (WDPs) is studied theoretically beyond the random-phase approximation. The short-range correlations between particles are taken into account via dynamic local field corrections (DLFC) in a Mermin dielectric function for two-component plasmas. The mean ionization states are obtained by employing the detailed configuration accounting model. The Yukawa-type effective potential is used to derive the DLFC. Numerically, the DLFC are obtained via self-consistent iterative operations. We find that the DLFC are significant around the maximum of the stopping power. Furthermore, by using the two-component extended Mermin dielectric function model including the DLFC, the energy loss of a proton with an initial energy of ∼15 MeV passing through a WDP of beryllium with an electronic density around the solid value n_{e}≈3×10^{23}cm^{-3} and with temperature around ∼40 eV is estimated numerically. The numerical result is reasonably consistent with the experimental observations [A. B. Zylsta et al., Phys. Rev. Lett. 111, 215002 (2013)PRLTAO0031-900710.1103/PhysRevLett.111.215002]. Our results show that the partial ionization and the dynamic properties should be of importance for the stopping of charged particles moving in the WDP.

[Clinical trial on the prevention of diarrhea by oral BIFICO for infants aged 1-6 years].

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the prevention of diarrhea by oral BIFICO for infants aged 1-6 years. METHODS: 490 cases of infants were randomly divided after age stratification: the experimental group (n = 247) and the control group (n = 243). Based on principles of randomized double-blind and placebo-controlled, the infants were given BIFICO (dedicated clinical research)therapy for 4 consecutive days, then observed for 21 days. 25 days composed a cycle. They were observed total 5 cycles. During the study period, principles for "the diarrhoea patients must be detected", follow-up visited the participant infants and conducted etiology detection by way of sampling for diarrhea infants. Evaluate the prevention efficacy of diarrhea by oral BIFICO for infants aged 1-6 years. RESULTS: A total of 480 completed all study. 120 and 95 infants in the control group and experimental group were detected with diarrhea. The incidence of diarrhea was 50.85% and 38.93% in these two guoup, respectively. The difference has statistical significance (chi2 = 4.175, P = 0.041). In the third observation period, the infants in the control group had a higer incidence of diarrhea compared with which in the experimental group (chi2 = 4.415, P = 0.036). 14 strains of rotavirus, 3 strains of norovirus, 3 strains of sappovirus, 2 strains of adenovirus, 5 strains of salmonella and 4 strains of Shigella were check out in 128 samples. CONCLUSION: Oral BIFICO can paly certain preventive role on diarrhea, and decrease the incidence of diarrhea in infants aged 1-6 years.

[Sero-prevalence and associated risk factors on hepatitis C in Maqiao township, Henan province of China].

OBJECTIVE: To describe the prevalence and risk factors of hepatitis C virus (HCV) occurred in Henan province, at the end of 2011. METHODS: Five villages round Maqiao township, including 5187 residents, were selected for the study. Five-milliliter-blood was drawn from every one of the interviewee. Clinical data including age, gender and anti-HCV antibody was recorded. Patients with positive antibodies against HCV were tested for HCV RNA. RESULTS: A total number of 5187 people from five villages were studied, with age span from 1 to 97. The average age was 48 years and the sex ratio was 1:1.34. The anti-HCV result showed that the prevalence was 2.27%, with 1-9 age group the lowest (1.55%) and the ≥ 50 year-olds the highest (4.93%). Different villages seemed to have significant differences on the prevalence of HCV, with the highest as 8.68% and the lowest as 0.55%. Under risk factors analysis and distance-infection rates linear regression analysis, data showed that the prevalence might have correlated to the behavior of a certain family-run clinic. RESULTS: from multivariate analysis indicated that factors as intravenous dropping, intravenous injection and the use of surgery/endoscope were associated with the HCV infection in this village. CONCLUSION: Although the public health care system had been developed for more than ten years, iatrogenic infection was yet responsible for the infection of HCV patients in the rural areas of China that called for further attention paid to the system.

[Studies on heredity rule of the first genealogy regarding fatal familial insomnia in Henan province].

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the epidemiological, genealogic characteristic, familial history of the families with fatal familial insomnia, its clinical and pathological features as well as the heredity rule of related genes. METHODS: 135 familial members of 7 eras were studied. Vein blood samples from patients as well as from some familial members were collected. PRNP gene was studied with PCR, its serial was determined and then authenticated with Nsp I . Brain tissue was obtained for neuropathological test and PrP(Sc) test with Western blot method. RESULTS: Clinical symptoms of the 2 diagnosed cases were typical. 11 familial members died of similar neural disease. 32 samples of their familial members, codon at D178N of PRNP of 11 members was mutated, with mutation rate as 34.38% while D129N showed as methionine. Brain tissue of both probands denaturalized into spongiform and the nerve fiber was absent but PrP(Sc) protein was identified. CONCLUSION: Genealogy was described in the family with fatal familial insomnia since the patients had typical clinical symptoms and pathological characteristics. It seemed necessary to confirm cases of fatal familial insomnia and their genealogy with epidemiological data and to investigate its gene characteristics as well as with neuropathological and Western blot tests.

[Surveillance on Rickettsia in epidemic areas of scrub typhus in Xinyang areas of Henan].

OBJECTIVE: To understand the epidemic status of Rickettsia in Xinyang areas of Henan province. METHODS: Samples including liver, spleen, kidney from mouse and chigger mites from Xinyang areas and serum samples were detected by nested-polymerase chain reaction (PCR) and indirect immunofluorescence assay (IFA). RESULTS: In 62 viscus samples from mice organs, the positive rates were 16.13%, 8.06% and 6.45% for Orientia tsutsugamushi, R. typhii and Spotted fever group rickettsiae respectively. In blood clots samples from mice, the positive rates were 8.06%, 6.45% and 1.61 % for O. tsutsugamushi, R. typhii and Spotted fever group rickettsiae respectively. Three out of 26 mouse serum samples were positive for the predicted fluorexcent intensity O. tsutsugamushi. CONCLUSION: Using nested-PCR and IFA methods, O. tsutsugamushi, R. typhii and Spotted fever group rickettsiae were detected in the captured mice living in Xinyang areas of Henan province. Results showed that there were intensive natural reserviors of Rickettsia in Henan province, suggesting that the risk of outbreak of Rickettsia in these areas was high.