RESUMO
This study assessed the severity of the disease through the preoperative clinical manifestations and inflammatory reaction indicators of acute appendicitis, and established a score table to predict complicated appendicitis (CA).The clinical data of 238 patients with acute appendicitis in our hospital were retrospectively analyzed, which included 18 patients with acute simple appendicitis (7.6%), 170 patients with acute purulent appendicitis (72.0%), and 48 patients with acute gangrene and perforation (20.3%). The clinical manifestations and inflammatory reaction indicators were analyzed by univariate logistic regression. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to screen out the independent risk factors of CA. The ß coefficients of independent risk factors entering the multivariate model were assigned by rounding, and the total score was the sum of values of all factors. Finally, verification and analysis were performed for the predictive model, and the operating characteristic curve (ROC) curve was drawn. Then, the area under the curve (AUC) was compared with the THRIVE scale, and the Hosmer-Lemeshow method was used to evaluate whether the model fitted well.The multivariate logistic regression analysis of independent risk factors was performed, and the values were rounded to the variable assignment based on the ß coefficient values. The plotted ROC and AUC was calculated as 0.857 (Pâ<â.001). Using the Hosmer-Lemeshow method, the X-value was 12.430, suggesting that the prediction model fitted well.The scoring system can quickly determine whether this is a CA, allowing for an earlier and correct diagnosis and treatment. Furthermore, the scoring system was convenient, economical, and affordable. Moreover, it is easy to popularized and promote.
