Projections of temperature-associated mortality risks under the changing climate in an ageing society.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to project future temperature-associated mortality risk and additional deaths among Taiwan's elderly (aged >65 years) population. STUDY DESIGN: This study investigated retrospective temperature-mortality risk associations and future mortality projections. METHODS: A distributed lag non-linear model and random effect meta-analyses were employed to assess the risk of daily temperature-associated deaths in all-cause, circulatory, and respiratory diseases. Using the statistical downscaling temperature projections of the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs; i.e. RCP2.6, RCP6.0 and RCP8.5), future risk of mortalities were projected among the elderly for 2030-2039, 2060-2069 and 2090-2099, with a 30%, 40% and 50% expected increase in elderly population proportions, respectively. RESULTS: The baseline analysis from 2005 to 2018 identified that Taiwan's population is more vulnerable to cold effects than heat, with the highest cold-related mortality risk being attributed to circulatory diseases, followed by all-cause and respiratory diseases. However, future projections suggest a declining trend in cold-related mortalities and a significant rise in heat-related mortalities under different RCP scenarios. Heat-attributable mortalities under the RCP8.5 scenario by 2090-2099 would account for almost 170,360, 36,557 and 29,386 additional annual deaths among the elderly due to all-cause, circulatory and respiratory diseases, respectively. Heat-attributable all-cause mortalities among the elderly would increase by 3%, 11% and 30% under RCP2.6, RCP6.0 and RCP8.5, respectively, by 2090-2099. CONCLUSIONS: The findings of this study provide predictions on future temperature-related mortality among the elderly in a developed, ageing society with a hot and humid climate. The results from this study can guide public health interventions and policies for climate change and ageing society-associated health risks.

Association of betel nut chewing with exercise performance in a military male cohort: the CHIEF study.

INTRODUCTION: Betel nut chewing may cause obesity, neurohormonal activation and inflammation, possibly impairing exercise performances. METHODS: We examined the cross-sectional association in 4388 military male adults aged 18-50 years from the cardiorespiratory fitness in armed forces study in Taiwan between 2013 and 2014. The status of betel nut chewing was classified as current and former/never based on each participant's response to a questionnaire. Physical fitness was evaluated by three basic exercise tests including 3000 m running, 2 min sit-ups and 2 min push-ups. Multiple logistic regression for the best 10% and the worst 10% performers in each exercise, and linear regression were used to determine the relationship. RESULTS: There were 564 current chewers and 3824 non-current chewers for the analysis. The linear regression shows that current betel nut chewing was positively correlated with 3000 m running duration (r=0.37, p=0.042) after adjusting for age, service specialty, body mass index, exercise frequency and alcohol intake. In addition, the logistic regression shows that as compared with non-current chewers, current chewers had lower odds of being the top 10% performers in 2 min push-ups and higher odds of being the bottom 10% performers in 2 min sit-ups (ORs and 95% CIs: 0.71 (0.50 to 0.99) and 1.32 (1.00 to 1.75), respectively). However, the associations between betel nut chewing and physical fitness were all insignificant after further adjusting for current smoking. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that the impairment of physical fitness associated with betel nut chewing of military young men might be mainly mediated or moderated by the coexisted cigarette smoking.

Comparison of indirubin concentrations in indigo naturalis ointment for psoriasis treatment: a randomized, double-blind, dosage-controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Indigo naturalis and its refined formulation, Lindioil, are effective in treating psoriatic symptoms topically. Indirubin is the active ingredient in indigo naturalis. OBJECTIVES: To determine the efficacy and safety of different concentrations of indirubin in Lindioil ointment for treating psoriasis. METHODS: In this randomized, double-blind trial, adult patients presenting with chronic plaque psoriasis for > 1 year and with < 20% of the body surface area (BSA) affected were randomized to apply Lindioil ointment containing 200, 100, 50 or 10 µg g-1 of indirubin twice daily for 8 weeks followed by an additional 12-week safety/extension period. The primary end point was the mean percentage change in Psoriasis Area and Severity Index (PASI) score along with the proportion of participants achieving 75% and 90% reductions in PASI scores (PASI 75 and PASI 90, respectively) from baseline to week 8. RESULTS: The results from week 8 revealed that the 200 µg g-1 group had the greatest reduction in PASI score [69·2%, 95% confidence interval (CI) 55·5-82·8], followed by the 100 µg g-1 group (63·1%, 95% CI 52·8-73·5), the 10 µg g-1 group (53·4%, 95% CI 42·8-64·0) and the 50 µg g-1 group (50·3%, 95% CI 37·4-63·2), with a between-group comparison of P = 0·0445. The group with the highest proportion of the patients achieving PASI 75 (57%, P = 0·0474) and PASI 90 (30%, P = 0·0098) was the 200 µg g-1 group. No severe treatment-related adverse events were reported during the 20-week evaluation. CONCLUSIONS: An amount of 200 µg g-1 of indirubin in Lindioil ointment is the most effective concentration studied so far for treating psoriasis topically, and is safe.

The potential impact of sleep-related movement disorders on stroke risk: a population-based longitudinal study.

BACKGROUND: Sleep-related movement disorders (SRMD) have been shown to increase the risk of cardiovascular diseases. However, the relationship between SRMD and stroke remains unclear. AIM: To explore the relationship between SRMD and stroke in the general population. DESIGN: Two cohorts of patients with SRMD and without SRMD were followed up for the occurrence of hemorrhagic and ischemic stroke. METHODS: The study cohort enrolled 604 patients who were initially diagnosed as SRMD between 2000 and 2005. 2,416 age- and sex-matched patients without prior stroke were selected as the comparison cohort. A Cox-proportional hazard regression analysis was performed for multivariate adjustment. RESULTS: Patients with SRMD had a higher risk for developing all-cause stroke [adjusted hazard ratio (HR) = 2.29, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.42-3.80]. Patients of below 45 years old had the greatest stroke risk (HR = 4.03, 95% CI = 3.11-5.62), followed by patients aged ≥65 years (HR = 2.64, 95% CI = 1.12-3.44) and 45-64 years (HR = 1.07, 95% CI = 1.02-1.71). The age-stratified analysis suggested that the increased risk of hemorrhagic stroke was more significant than ischemic stroke among all age groups. Furthermore, males with SRMD were at greater risk to develop all-cause stroke (HR = 2.98, 95% CI = 1.74-4.50) than that of females (HR = 1.94, 95% CI = 1.01-3.77). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with SRMD were found to have an increased risk of all-cause stroke along with a higher possibility of hemorrhagic stroke over ischemic stroke.

A comparison of left and right atrial fibroblasts reveals different collagen production activity and stress-induced mitogen-activated protein kinase signalling in rats.

AIM: Atrial fibrosis plays a pivotal role in the pathophysiology of heart failure (HF). The left atrium (LA) experiences greater fibrosis than the right atrium (RA) during HF. It is not clear whether LA cardiac fibroblasts contain distinctive activities that predispose LA to fibrosis. METHODS: LA and RA fibrosis were evaluated in healthy and isoproterenol-induced HF Sprague Dawley rats. Rat LA and RA primary isolated fibroblasts were subjected to proliferation assay, oxidative stress assay, cell migration analysis, collagen measurement, cytokine array and Western blot. RESULTS: Healthy rat LA and RA had a similar extent of collagen deposition. HF significantly increased fibrosis to a greater severity in LA than in RA. Compared to isolated RA fibroblasts, the in vitro experiments showed that isolated LA fibroblasts had higher oxidative stress and exhibited higher collagen, transforming growth factor-ß1, connective tissue growth factor production and less vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) production, but had similar migration, myofibroblast differentiation and proliferation activities. VEGF significantly increased the collagen production ability of LA fibroblasts, but not RA fibroblasts. LA fibroblasts had more phosphorylated ERK1/2 and P38 expression. ERK inhibitor (PD98059, 50 µmol L-1 ) significantly attenuated collagen production and increased VEGF production in RA fibroblasts but not in LA fibroblasts. P38 inhibitor (SB203580, 30 µmol L-1 ) significantly attenuated collagen production in LA fibroblasts but not in RA fibroblasts. P38 inhibitor also significantly increased VEGF production in RA and LA fibroblasts. CONCLUSIONS: Differences in profibrotic activity between LA and RA fibroblasts may be caused by different responses to mitogen-activated protein kinase signalling.