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1.
Public Health ; 217: 41-45, 2023 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36848796

RESUMO

This case report examines the initial experience of Poland in responding to the refugee crisis triggered by the war in Ukraine. In the first 2 months of the crisis, more than 3 million Ukrainian refugees fled to Poland. The large influx of refugees rapidly overwhelmed local services and led to a complex humanitarian emergency. The initial priorities were to address basic human needs, such as shelter, infectious disease concerns and healthcare access, but evolved to include mental health, non-communicable diseases and protection needs. This necessitated a 'whole of society' response involving multiple agencies and civil society. Emerging lessons learned include the need for ongoing needs assessments, robust disease monitoring and surveillance, as well as flexible multisectoral responses that are culturally sensitive. Finally, Poland's efforts to integrate refugees may help mitigate some of the adverse consequences of the conflict-related migration.


Assuntos
Doenças Transmissíveis , Refugiados , Humanos , Refugiados/psicologia , Ucrânia , Acessibilidade aos Serviços de Saúde , Doenças Transmissíveis/epidemiologia , Saúde Mental
2.
Scand J Public Health ; 49(7): 681-688, 2021 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33764202

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: In mid-March 2020, the Norwegian government implemented measures to contain the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, and hospitals prepared to handle an unpredictable inflow of patients with COVID-19. AIM: The study was performed to describe the changes in hospital admissions during the first phase of the pandemic. METHODS: The Norwegian Institute of Public Health established a national preparedness register with daily updates on COVID-19 cases and the use of health services. We used individual-level information on inpatients from the electronic journal systems for all hospitals in Norway to estimate daily hospital admissions. RESULTS: Before the onset of the pandemic in March, there was an average of 2400 inpatient admissions per day in Norway, which decreased to approximately 1500 in the first few days after lockdown measures were implemented. The relative magnitudes of the decreases were similar in men and women and across all age groups. The decreases were substantial for both elective (54%) and emergency (29%) inpatient care. The admission rate gradually increased and reached pre-pandemic levels in June. However, the reductions in admissions for pneumonia and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease seemed to persist. CONCLUSIONS: The elective and emergency inpatient admission rates were substantially reduced a few days after the pandemic response measures were implemented. The ways in which the lack or postponement of care may have affected the health and well-being of patients is an important issue to be addressed in future research.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Pandemias , Controle de Doenças Transmissíveis , Feminino , Hospitais , Humanos , Masculino , SARS-CoV-2
3.
PLoS One ; 11(5): e0156075, 2016.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27203243

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The purpose of this study was to assess the validity of patient administrative data (PAS) for calculating 30-day mortality after hip fracture as a quality indicator, by a retrospective study of medical records. METHODS: We used PAS data from all Norwegian hospitals (2005-2009), merged with vital status from the National Registry, to calculate 30-day case-mix adjusted mortality for each hospital (n = 51). We used stratified sampling to establish a representative sample of both hospitals and cases. The hospitals were stratified according to high, low and medium mortality of which 4, 3, and 5 hospitals were sampled, respectively. Within hospitals, cases were sampled stratified according to year of admission, age, length of stay, and vital 30-day status (alive/dead). The final study sample included 1043 cases from 11 hospitals. Clinical information was abstracted from the medical records. Diagnostic and clinical information from the medical records and PAS were used to define definite and probable hip fracture. We used logistic regression analysis in order to estimate systematic between-hospital variation in unmeasured confounding. Finally, to study the consequences of unmeasured confounding for identifying mortality outlier hospitals, a sensitivity analysis was performed. RESULTS: The estimated overall positive predictive value was 95.9% for definite and 99.7% for definite or probable hip fracture, with no statistically significant differences between hospitals. The standard deviation of the additional, systematic hospital bias in mortality estimates was 0.044 on the logistic scale. The effect of unmeasured confounding on outlier detection was small to moderate, noticeable only for large hospital volumes. CONCLUSIONS: This study showed that PAS data are adequate for identifying cases of hip fracture, and the effect of unmeasured case mix variation was small. In conclusion, PAS data are adequate for calculating 30-day mortality after hip-fracture as a quality indicator in Norway.


Assuntos
Prontuários Médicos , Algoritmos , Fraturas do Quadril/mortalidade , Humanos , Modelos Teóricos , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Tempo
4.
Eur J Prev Cardiol ; 23(10): 1093-103, 2016 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26040999

RESUMO

AIMS: Estimation of cardiovascular disease risk, using SCORE (Systematic COronary Risk Evaluation) is recommended by European guidelines on cardiovascular disease prevention. Risk estimation is inaccurate in older people. We hypothesized that this may be due to the assumption, inherent in current risk estimation systems, that risk factors function similarly in all age groups. We aimed to derive and validate a risk estimation function, SCORE O.P., solely from data from individuals aged 65 years and older. METHODS AND RESULTS: 20,704 men and 20,121 women, aged 65 and over and without pre-existing coronary disease, from four representative, prospective studies of the general population were included. These were Italian, Belgian and Danish studies (from original SCORE dataset) and the CONOR (Cohort of Norway) study. The variables which remained statistically significant in Cox proportional hazards model and were included in the SCORE O.P. model were: age, total cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, systolic blood pressure, smoking status and diabetes. SCORE O.P. showed good discrimination; area under receiver operator characteristic curve (AUROC) 0.74 (95% confidence interval: 0.73 to 0.75). Calibration was also reasonable, Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit test: 17.16 (men), 22.70 (women). Compared with the original SCORE function extrapolated to the ≥65 years age group discrimination improved, p = 0.05 (men), p < 0.001 (women). Simple risk charts were constructed. On simulated external validation, performed using 10-fold cross validation, AUROC was 0.74 and predicted/observed ratio was 1.02. CONCLUSION: SCORE O.P. provides improved accuracy in risk estimation in older people and may reduce excessive use of medication in this vulnerable population.


Assuntos
Envelhecimento , Doenças Cardiovasculares/epidemiologia , Medição de Risco , Fatores Etários , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Bélgica/epidemiologia , Dinamarca/epidemiologia , Feminino , Seguimentos , Humanos , Incidência , Itália/epidemiologia , Masculino , Prognóstico , Estudos Prospectivos , Curva ROC , Fatores de Risco , Fatores de Tempo
6.
PLoS One ; 10(9): e0136547, 2015.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26352600

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The Norwegian Knowledge Centre for the Health Services (NOKC) reports 30-day survival as a quality indicator for Norwegian hospitals. The indicators have been published annually since 2011 on the website of the Norwegian Directorate of Health (www.helsenorge.no), as part of the Norwegian Quality Indicator System authorized by the Ministry of Health. Openness regarding calculation of quality indicators is important, as it provides the opportunity to critically review and discuss the method. The purpose of this article is to describe the data collection, data pre-processing, and data analyses, as carried out by NOKC, for the calculation of 30-day risk-adjusted survival probability as a quality indicator. METHODS AND FINDINGS: Three diagnosis-specific 30-day survival indicators (first time acute myocardial infarction (AMI), stroke and hip fracture) are estimated based on all-cause deaths, occurring in-hospital or out-of-hospital, within 30 days counting from the first day of hospitalization. Furthermore, a hospital-wide (i.e. overall) 30-day survival indicator is calculated. Patient administrative data from all Norwegian hospitals and information from the Norwegian Population Register are retrieved annually, and linked to datasets for previous years. The outcome (alive/death within 30 days) is attributed to every hospital by the fraction of time spent in each hospital. A logistic regression followed by a hierarchical Bayesian analysis is used for the estimation of risk-adjusted survival probabilities. A multiple testing procedure with a false discovery rate of 5% is used to identify hospitals, hospital trusts and regional health authorities with significantly higher/lower survival than the reference. In addition, estimated risk-adjusted survival probabilities are published per hospital, hospital trust and regional health authority. The variation in risk-adjusted survival probabilities across hospitals for AMI shows a decreasing trend over time: estimated survival probabilities for AMI in 2011 varied from 80.6% (in the hospital with lowest estimated survival) to 91.7% (in the hospital with highest estimated survival), whereas it ranged from 83.8% to 91.2% in 2013. CONCLUSIONS: Since 2011, several hospitals and hospital trusts have initiated quality improvement projects, and some of the hospitals have improved the survival over these years. Public reporting of survival/mortality indicators are increasingly being used as quality measures of health care systems. Openness regarding the methods used to calculate the indicators are important, as it provides the opportunity of critically reviewing and discussing the methods in the literature. In this way, the methods employed for establishing the indicators may be improved.


Assuntos
Mortalidade Hospitalar , Comorbidade , Grupos Diagnósticos Relacionados , Cuidado Periódico , Registros Hospitalares , Hospitais/normas , Hospitais/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Tempo de Internação , Noruega/epidemiologia , Admissão do Paciente/estatística & dados numéricos , Alta do Paciente/estatística & dados numéricos , Transferência de Pacientes , Probabilidade , Melhoria de Qualidade , Indicadores de Qualidade em Assistência à Saúde , Análise de Sobrevida
7.
BMJ Open ; 5(3): e006741, 2015 Mar 25.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25808167

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate survival curves (Kaplan-Meier) as a means of identifying areas in the clinical pathway amenable to quality improvement. DESIGN: Observational before-after study. SETTING: In Norway, annual public reporting of nationwide 30-day in-and-out-of-hospital mortality (30D) for three medical conditions started in 2011: first time acute myocardial infarction (AMI), stroke and hip fracture; reported for 2009. 12 of 61 hospitals had statistically significant lower/higher mortality compared with the hospital mean. PARTICIPANTS: Three hospitals with significantly higher mortality requested detailed analyses for quality improvement purposes: Telemark Hospital Trust Skien (AMI and stroke), Østfold Hospital Trust Fredrikstad (stroke), Innlandet Hospital Trust Gjøvik (hip fracture). OUTCOME MEASURES: Survival curves, crude and risk-adjusted 30D before (2008-2009) and after (2012-2013). INTERVENTIONS: Unadjusted survival curves for the outlier hospitals were compared to curves based on pooled data from the other hospitals for the 30-day period 2008-2009. For patients admitted with AMI (Skien), stroke (Fredrikstad) and hip fracture (Gjøvik), the curves suggested increased mortality from the initial part of the clinical pathway. For stroke (Skien), increased mortality appeared after about 8 days. The curve profiles were thought to reflect suboptimal care in various phases in the clinical pathway. This informed improvement efforts. RESULTS: For 2008-2009, hospital-specific curves differed from other hospitals: borderline significant for AMI (p=0.064), highly significant (p≤0.005) for the remainder. After intervention, no difference was found (p>0.188). Before-after comparison of the curves within each hospital revealed a significant change for Fredrikstad (p=0.006). For the three hospitals, crude 30D declined and they were non-outliers for risk-adjusted 30D for 2013. CONCLUSIONS: Survival curves as a supplement to 30D may be useful for identifying suboptimal care in the clinical pathway, and thus informing design of quality improvement projects.


Assuntos
Fraturas do Quadril/mortalidade , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Hospitais/normas , Infarto do Miocárdio/mortalidade , Melhoria de Qualidade , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/mortalidade , Sobreviventes/estatística & dados numéricos , Doença Aguda , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Infarto Miocárdico de Parede Anterior/mortalidade , Infarto Miocárdico de Parede Anterior/terapia , Estudos Controlados Antes e Depois , Feminino , Fraturas do Quadril/terapia , Hospitalização , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Infarto do Miocárdio/terapia , Noruega/epidemiologia , Avaliação de Resultados em Cuidados de Saúde , Indicadores de Qualidade em Assistência à Saúde , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/terapia , Adulto Jovem
8.
Eur J Prev Cardiol ; 20(6): 1013-21, 2013 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22642981

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Risk of cardiovascular disease varies between ethnic groups and the aim of this study was to investigate differences in cardiovascular risk factors, and total cardiovascular risk between ethnic groups in Norway. DESIGN: Cross-sectional study using data from the Cohort of Norway (CONOR). METHODS: A sample of 62,145 participants, 40-65 years of age, originating from 11 geographical regions, were included in our study. Self-reported variables, blood samples and physical measurements were used to estimate age- and time-adjusted mean values of cardiovascular risk factors for different ethnic groups. The 10-year risks of cardiovascular mortality and cardiovascular events were calculated using the Framingham and NORRISK risk models. RESULTS: We observed differences between ethnic groups for cardiovascular risk factors and both Framingham and NORRISK risk scores. NORRISK showed significant differences by ethnicity in women only. Immigrants from the Indian subcontinent had the lowest high-density lipoprotein (HDL) levels, the highest levels of blood glucose, triglycerides, total cholesterol/HDL ratio, waist hip ratio and diabetes prevalence. Immigrants from the former Yugoslavia had the highest Framingham scores, high blood pressure, high total cholesterol/HDL ratio, overweight measures and smoking. Low cardiovascular risk was observed among East Asian immigrants. CONCLUSION: The previously reported excess cardiovascular risk among immigrants from the Indian subcontinent was supported in this study. We also showed that immigrants from the former Yugoslavian countries had a higher total 10-year risk of cardiovascular events than other ethnic groups. This study adds information about ethnic groups in Norway which needs to be addressed in further research and targeted prevention strategies.


Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares/etnologia , Emigrantes e Imigrantes , Etnicidade , Adulto , Idoso , Ásia/etnologia , Doenças Cardiovasculares/diagnóstico , Doenças Cardiovasculares/mortalidade , Estudos Transversais , Diabetes Mellitus/etnologia , Dislipidemias/etnologia , Feminino , Humanos , Hipertensão/etnologia , Índia/etnologia , Estilo de Vida/etnologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Noruega/epidemiologia , Obesidade/etnologia , Prevalência , Fatores de Risco , Fatores Sexuais , Fatores de Tempo , Iugoslávia/etnologia
9.
Br J Nutr ; 108(4): 743-54, 2012 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22059639

RESUMO

Trans-fatty acids (TFA) have adverse effects on blood lipids, but whether TFA from different sources are associated with risk of CVD remains unresolved. The objective of the present study was to evaluate the association between TFA intake from partially hydrogenated vegetable oils (PHVO), partially hydrogenated fish oils (PHFO) and ruminant fat (rTFA) and risks of death of CVD, CHD, cerebrovascular diseases and sudden death in the Norwegian Counties Study, a population-based cohort study. Between 1974 and 1988, participants were examined for up to three times. Fat intake was assessed with a semi-quantitative FFQ. A total of 71,464 men and women were followed up through 2007. Hazard ratios (HR) and 95 % CI were estimated with Cox regression. Energy from TFA was compared to energy from all other sources, carbohydrates or unsaturated cis-fatty acids with different multivariable models. During follow-up, 3870 subjects died of CVD, 2383 of CHD, 732 of cerebrovascular diseases and 243 of sudden death. Significant risks, comparing highest to lowest intake category, were found for: TFA from PHVO and CHD (HR 1.23 (95 % CI 1.00, 1.50)) and cerebrovascular diseases (HR 0.65 (95 % CI 0.45, 0.94)); TFA from PHFO and CVD (HR 1.14 (95 % CI 1.03, 1.26)) and cerebrovascular diseases (HR 1.32 (95 % CI 1.04, 1.69)); and rTFA intake and CVD (HR 1.30 (95 % CI 1.05, 1.61)), CHD (HR 1.50 (95 % CI 1.11, 2.03)) and sudden death (HR 2.73 (95 % CI 1.19, 6.25)) in women. These associations with rTFA intake were not significant in men (P interaction ≥ 0.01). The present study supports that TFA intake, irrespective of source, increases CVD risk. Whether TFA from PHVO decreases risk of cerebrovascular diseases warrants further investigation.


Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares/mortalidade , Laticínios/análise , Óleos de Peixe/administração & dosagem , Carne/análise , Óleos de Plantas/administração & dosagem , Ácidos Graxos trans/administração & dosagem , Adulto , Animais , Doenças Cardiovasculares/etiologia , Estudos de Coortes , Laticínios/efeitos adversos , Feminino , Óleos de Peixe/efeitos adversos , Óleos de Peixe/química , Seguimentos , Manipulação de Alimentos , Humanos , Masculino , Programas de Rastreamento , Carne/efeitos adversos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Noruega/epidemiologia , Óleos de Plantas/efeitos adversos , Óleos de Plantas/química , Estudos Prospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Ruminantes , Caracteres Sexuais , Ácidos Graxos trans/efeitos adversos , Ácidos Graxos trans/análise , Adulto Jovem
10.
Eur J Epidemiol ; 25(11): 789-98, 2010 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20890636

RESUMO

The association between nonfasting triglycerides and cardiovascular disease (CVD) has recently been actualized. The aim of the present study was to investigate nonfasting triglycerides as a predictor of CVD mortality in men and women. A total of 86,261 participants in the Norwegian Counties Study 1974-2007, initially aged 20-50 years and free of CVD were included. We estimated hazard ratios (HRs) for deaths from CVD, ischemic heart disease (IHD), stroke and all causes by level of nonfasting triglycerides. Mean follow-up was 27.0 years. A total of 9,528 men died (3,620 from CVD, 2,408 IHD, 543 stroke), and totally 5,267 women died (1,296 CVD, 626 IHD, 360 stroke). After adjustment for CVD risk factors other than HDL-cholesterol, the HRs (95% CI) per 1 mmol/l increase in nonfasting triglycerides were 1.16 (1.13-1.20), 1.20 (1.14-1.27), 1.26 (1.19-1.34) and 1.09 (0.96-1.23) for all cause mortality, CVD, IHD, and stroke mortality in women. Corresponding figures in men were 1.03 (1.01-1.04), 1.03 (1.00-1.05), 1.03 (1.00-1.06) and 0.99 (0.92-1.07). In a subsample where HDL-cholesterol was measured (n = 40,144), the association between CVD mortality and triglycerides observed in women disappeared after adjustment for HDL-cholesterol. In a model including the Framingham CHD risk score the effect of triglycerides disappeared in both men and women. In conclusion, nonfasting triglycerides were associated with increased risk of CVD death for both women and men. Adjustment for major cardiovascular risk factors, however, attenuated the effect. Nonfasting triglycerides added no predictive information on CVD mortality beyond the Framingham CHD risk score in men and women.


Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares/mortalidade , Triglicerídeos/sangue , Adulto , Estudos de Coortes , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Noruega/epidemiologia , Medição de Risco , Adulto Jovem
12.
Eur J Cardiovasc Prev Rehabil ; 16(2): 229-34, 2009 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19276982

RESUMO

AIM: To compare the estimated 10-year risk of cardiovascular death between ethnic Norwegians and five immigrant groups in Norway, according to the European Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation (SCORE) system. METHODS: Data were obtained from the Oslo Health Study and the Oslo Immigrant Health Study (2000-2002). Fourteen thousand eight hundred and fifty-six individuals born between 1940 and 1971 in Norway, Turkey, Iran, Pakistan, Sri Lanka and Vietnam were included in the study. The European SCORE high-risk models, one including total cholesterol and the other including total cholesterol/HDL cholesterol ratio, were used to estimate 10-year cardiovascular mortality risk. A model assuming no smoking was also applied. Age was projected to 60 years and estimates were adjusted for age at screening. RESULTS: Norwegians had higher total cholesterol and systolic blood pressure, but lower triglycerides and higher HDL cholesterol compared with immigrants. The mean SCORE (total cholesterol model) varied between 6.6% (Turkey) and 5.4% (Sri Lanka) in men, and 2.1% (Norway) and 1.5% (Pakistan, Sri Lanka and Vietnam) in women. Application of the ratio model gave higher estimated risk in all immigrant groups except for Vietnamese, with 10-year risk varying between 7.7% (Turkey/Pakistan) and 5.7% (Vietnam) in men, and 2.0% (Norway) and 1.5% (Vietnam) in women. When the ratio model was applied assuming no smoking in all ethnic groups, the mean SCORE risk was reduced by 30% in Turkish men and 25% in Norwegian women, with less significant reductions observed in the other groups. CONCLUSION: Norwegians ranked high with the SCORE total cholesterol model and Norwegian men low with the SCORE ratio model. Although the predictive accuracy of the SCORE models for immigrants in Norway remains to be evaluated, our findings suggest that the ratio model could be more applicable to the entire population in Norway.


Assuntos
Povo Asiático , Doenças Cardiovasculares/etnologia , Doenças Cardiovasculares/mortalidade , Emigrantes e Imigrantes , População Branca , Adulto , Povo Asiático/estatística & dados numéricos , Biomarcadores/sangue , Doenças Cardiovasculares/etiologia , Colesterol/sangue , HDL-Colesterol/sangue , Emigrantes e Imigrantes/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Disparidades nos Níveis de Saúde , Indicadores Básicos de Saúde , Humanos , Irã (Geográfico)/etnologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Noruega/epidemiologia , Paquistão/etnologia , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco , Sri Lanka/etnologia , Fatores de Tempo , Turquia/etnologia , Vietnã/etnologia , População Branca/estatística & dados numéricos
13.
Tidsskr Nor Laegeforen ; 128(3): 286-90, 2008 Jan 31.
Artigo em Norueguês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18264151

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Guidelines for prevention of cardiovascular disease (CVD) include calculation of total risk. A new risk model based on updated Norwegian data is needed, as the European SCORE function overestimates the risk of fatal CVD in Norway. NORRISK for 10-year CVD mortality is presented. It includes gender, age and smoking and levels of systolic blood pressure and serumtotal cholesterol. MATERIAL AND METHODS: NORRISK is based on national age- and sex specific mortality rates from Statistics Norway (1999-2003), mean levels of risk factors from Norwegian Health Surveys (2000-03) and relative risks from mortality follow-up of Norwegian Cardiovascular Screenings (1985-2002). The model is adjusted to the mortality level in the period 1999-2003 and is compared with the SCORE model. RESULTS: 10-year risk estimates calculated from NORRISK fall between SCORE high- and low-risk estimates and increase strongly with age. Very few persons below 50 years of age have a 10-year risk above 5% (European limit for high risk). More than half of men aged 60 years have estimated risks above this limit, while only 7% of 60-year-old women exceed the limit. Even if the risk limit is reduced to 1% for younger age groups, very few women below 50 years of age have risks above the limit. INTERPRETATION: NORRISK is more adapted to the current situation in Norway than the SCORE model and may be a useful and relevant tool in Norwegian clinical practice.


Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares/etiologia , Modelos Cardiovasculares , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Medição de Risco/métodos , Adulto , Doenças Cardiovasculares/mortalidade , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Noruega/epidemiologia , Fatores de Risco , Análise de Sobrevida , Taxa de Sobrevida
14.
Eur J Cardiovasc Prev Rehabil ; 14(4): 501-7, 2007 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17667638

RESUMO

AIMS: To evaluate the predictive accuracy of the Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation (SCORE) project high-risk function in Norway. METHODS AND RESULTS: We included 57 229 individuals screened in 1985-1992 from two population-based surveys in Norway (age groups 40-49, 50-59, and 60-69 years). The data have been linked to the Norwegian Cause of Death Registry. The SCORE high-risk algorithm for the prediction of 10-year cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality was applied, and the risk factors entered into the model were age, sex, total cholesterol, systolic blood pressure, and smoking (yes/no). The number of expected events estimated by the SCORE model (E) was compared with the observed numbers (O). The SCORE low-risk algorithm was studied for comparison. In men, the observed number of CVD deaths was 718, compared with 1464 estimated by the SCORE high-risk function (O/E ratios 0.53, 0.53 and 0.45, for age groups 40-49, 50-59 and 60-69, respectively). In women, the observed and expected numbers were 226 and 547. The O/E ratios decreased with age (ratios 0.60, 0.45 and 0.37, respectively), i.e. the overestimation increased with age. The low-risk function predicted reasonably well for men (ratios 0.85, 0.92 and 0.79, respectively), whereas an overestimation was found for women aged 50-59 and 60-69 years (ratios 0.69 and 0.56, respectively). CONCLUSION: The SCORE high-risk model overestimated the number of CVD deaths in Norway. Before implementation in clinical practice, proper adjustments to national levels are required.


Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares/mortalidade , Medição de Risco/métodos , Adulto , Idoso , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Noruega/epidemiologia , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Curva ROC , Sistema de Registros
15.
Eur J Cardiovasc Prev Rehabil ; 13(5): 731-7, 2006 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17001212

RESUMO

AIMS: To compare the predictions of the Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation (SCORE) high- and low-risk functions applied to a recent population study with observed cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality estimated from annual official mortality statistics in Norway. METHODS: Data were obtained from large epidemiological surveys conducted in five Norwegian counties in 2000-2003. RESULTS: A total of 32 251 men and women were investigated (aged 30-31, 40-41, 45-46, and 59-61). For men aged >or=59, more than 75% qualified for preventive treatment by having a 10-year risk >or=5%. Few women and practically no men younger than 46 years can be considered at high risk according to the SCORE risk prediction models. For men, the high-risk function overestimated and the low-risk model underestimated the CVD mortality as compared to the 10-year risks calculated from official mortality statistics (1999-2003). For women, however, both functions underestimated mortality in young individuals, whereas in the elderly an overestimation was observed. CONCLUSIONS: The risk predictions depended strongly on age and gender. The SCORE high-risk function overestimates the risk of fatal CVD for men in Norway, and before implementation in clinical practice, proper adjustments to national levels are required.


Assuntos
Doença das Coronárias/diagnóstico , Doença das Coronárias/mortalidade , Adulto , Idoso , Envelhecimento , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Noruega/epidemiologia , Fatores de Risco , Caracteres Sexuais , Fatores de Tempo
17.
Thromb Haemost ; 91(6): 1097-104, 2004 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15175795

RESUMO

The aim of the present study was to investigate the effect of long-term diet and very long chain n-3 fatty acids (VLC n-3) intervention on plasma coagulation factor VII (FVII), choline-containing phospholipids (PC) and triglycerides (TG), especially related to the R353Q polymorphism of the FVII gene. The present investigation included 219 subjects from the Diet and Omega-3 Intervention Trial on atherosclerosis (DOIT), a 2x2 factorial designed study in elderly men with long-standing hypercholesterolemia. The subjects were randomly allocated to receive placebo capsules (corn oil) (control), placebo capsules and dietary advice ("Mediterranean type" diet), VLC n-3 capsules, or VLC n-3 capsules and dietary advice combined. The R353Q genotype and the levels of FVIIc, FVIIag, FVIIa, PC, and TG at baseline and after 6 months were determined. Diet intervention was followed by a significant reduction of 5.1% in the levels of FVIIag and 2.4 mU/ml in FVIIa (95% CI -7.4, -2.9, and -3.8, -1.1, respectively) (both p<0.001) compared to the no diet group, independent of genotype. No effects of diet intervention on FVIIc, PC or TG were observed. After VLC n-3 supplementation the TG levels were significantly reduced compared to placebo (p=0.01), whereas all FVII levels and PC remained unchanged. Dietary advice towards a "Mediterranean type" diet, but not VLC n-3 supplementation, was shown to reduce the levels of FVIIag and FVIIa after 6 months, independent of genotype. The results indicate the dietary advice to be more favourable in reducing this risk factor for CVD as compared to specific VLC n-3 supplementation.


Assuntos
Suplementos Nutricionais , Fator VII/efeitos dos fármacos , Fator VII/genética , Ácidos Graxos Ômega-3/farmacologia , Fosfolipídeos/sangue , Polimorfismo de Nucleotídeo Único , Idoso , Arteriosclerose/tratamento farmacológico , Doença das Coronárias/prevenção & controle , Fator VII/análise , Ácidos Graxos Ômega-3/administração & dosagem , Humanos , Masculino , Mutação de Sentido Incorreto , Fosfatidilcolinas/sangue , Risco , Triglicerídeos/sangue
18.
Thromb Res ; 113(1): 57-65, 2004.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15081566

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Elevated levels of coagulation factor VII (FVII) have been associated with increased risk for myocardial infarction (MI). The R353Q polymorphism of the FVII gene has been shown to modify plasma levels of FVII, and has in some studies also been associated with reduced risk for MI. OBJECTIVES: To examine the R353Q polymorphism of the FVII gene and the relation to myocardial infarction (MI), cardiovascular disease (CVD), and diabetes, and furthermore, to elucidate the association between the polymorphism and plasma levels of FVII coagulant activity (FVIIc), FVII antigen (FVIIag), activated FVII (FVIIa), and serum choline-containing phospholipids (PC). METHODS: In 560 elderly men characterised as hypercholesterolemic in 1972, we examined the R353Q polymorphism by melting curve analysis after real-time PCR. In a subgroup of 205 individuals, FVIIc, FVIIag, FVIIa, and PC were analysed. RESULTS: There were no significant associations between genotype and the disease states, although we observed a lower number of MI cases among subjects with the Q allele, compared to the RR individuals (14% vs. 19%). FVIIag and FVIIc levels were lower in RQ compared to RR subjects, whereas for FVIIa the opposite was observed (p<0.001 for all). PC correlated positively with FVIIag (r=0.24, p<0.001), but negatively with FVIIa (r=-0.25, p<0.001). No genotype specific interactions were found for the association between FVII and PC. CONCLUSION: No significant associations between the R353Q polymorphism and MI, CVD, or diabetes were observed, although the polymorphism strongly influenced plasma levels of FVII. Serum PC correlated significantly with FVIIag and inversely with FVIIa, independently of genotype.


Assuntos
Colina/sangue , Doença das Coronárias/epidemiologia , Fator VII/genética , Fator VII/metabolismo , Fosfolipídeos/sangue , Polimorfismo Genético/genética , Idoso , Comorbidade , Doença das Coronárias/sangue , Diabetes Mellitus/sangue , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiologia , Fator VII/análise , Seguimentos , Genótipo , Humanos , Hipercolesterolemia/epidemiologia , Hipercolesterolemia/genética , Masculino , Análise Multivariada , Noruega/epidemiologia , Fosfolipídeos/análise , Análise de Regressão , Fatores de Risco
19.
J Nutr ; 133(11): 3422-7, 2003 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-14608053

RESUMO

The effects of high and low fat diets with identical polyunsaturated/saturated fatty acid (P/S) ratios on plasma postprandial levels of some hemostatic variables and on fasting lipoprotein (a) [Lp(a)] are not known. This controlled crossover study compared the effects of a high fat diet [38.4% of energy (E%) from fat; HSAFA-diet, P/S ratio 0.14], a low fat diet (19.7 E% from fat; LSAFA-diet, P/S ratio 0.17), both based on coconut oil, and a diet with a high content of monounsaturated fatty acids (MUFA) and PUFA (38.2 E% from fat; HUFA-diet, P/S ratio 1.9) on diurnal postprandial levels of some hemostatic variables (n = 11) and fasting levels of Lp(a) (n = 25). The postprandial plasma concentration of tissue plasminogen activator antigen (t-PA antigen) was decreased when the women consumed the HSAFA-diet compared with the HUFA-diet (P = 0.02). Plasma t-PA antigen was correlated with plasminogen activator inhibitor type 1 (PAI-1) activity when the participants consumed all three diets (Rs = 0.78, P < 0.01; Rs = 0.76, P < 0.01; Rs = 0.66, P = 0.03; on the HSAFA-, the LSAFA- and the HUFA-diet, respectively), although the diets did not affect the PAI-1 levels. There were no significant differences in postprandial variations in t-PA activity, factor VII coagulant activity or fibrinogen levels due to the diets. Serum fasting Lp(a) levels were lower when women consumed the HSAFA-diet (13%, P < 0.001) and tended to be lower when they consumed the LSAFA-diet (5.3%, P = 0.052) than when they consumed the HUFA-diet. Serum Lp(a) concentrations did not differ when the women consumed the HSAFA- and LSAFA-diets. In conclusion, our results indicate that a coconut oil-based diet (HSAFA-diet) lowers postprandial t-PA antigen concentration, and this may favorably affect the fibrinolytic system and the Lp(a) concentration compared with the HUFA-diet. The proportions of dietary saturated fatty acids more than the percentage of saturated fat energy seem to have a beneficial influence on Lp(a) levels.


Assuntos
Gorduras Insaturadas na Dieta/farmacologia , Gorduras na Dieta/farmacologia , Lipoproteína(a)/sangue , Óleos de Plantas/farmacologia , Ativador de Plasminogênio Tecidual/sangue , Adulto , Ritmo Circadiano/efeitos dos fármacos , Óleo de Coco , Jejum , Feminino , Humanos , Período Pós-Prandial/efeitos dos fármacos , Ativador de Plasminogênio Tecidual/efeitos dos fármacos
20.
Br J Nutr ; 90(2): 329-36, 2003 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-12908893

RESUMO

Dietary fat influences plasma levels of coagulation factor VII (FVII) and serum phospholipids (PL). It is, however, unknown if the fat-mediated changes in FVII are linked to PL. The present study aimed to investigate the effects of dietary fat on fasting and postprandial levels of activated FVII (FVIIa), FVII coagulant activity (FVIIc), FVII protein (FVIIag) and choline-containing PL (PC). In a randomized single-blinded crossover-designed study a high-fat diet (HSAFA), a low-fat diet (LSAFA), both rich in saturated fatty acids, and a high-fat diet rich in unsaturated fatty acids (HUFA) were consumed for 3 weeks. Twenty-five healthy females, in which postprandial responses were studied in a subset of twelve, were included. The HSAFA diet resulted in higher levels of fasting FVIIa and PC compared with the LSAFA and the HUFA diets (all comparisons P< or =0.01). The fasting PC levels after the LSAFA diet were also higher than after the HUFA diet (P<0.001). Postprandial levels of FVIIa and PC were highest on the HSAFA diet and different from LSAFA and HUFA (all comparisons P< or =0.05). Postprandial FVIIa was higher on the HUFA compared with the LSAFA diet (P<0.03), whereas the HUFA diet resulted in lower postprandial levels of PC than the LSAFA diet (P<0.001). Significant correlations between fasting levels of PC and FVIIc were found on all diets, whereas FVIIag was correlated to PC on the HSAFA and HUFA diet. The present results indicate that dietary fat, both quality and quantity, influences fasting and postprandial levels of FVIIa and PC. Although significant associations between fasting FVII and PC levels were found, our results do not support the assumption that postprandial FVII activation is linked to serum PC.


Assuntos
Gorduras na Dieta/metabolismo , Fator VII/metabolismo , Jejum/sangue , Fosfolipídeos/sangue , Período Pós-Prandial/fisiologia , Adulto , Colina/sangue , Estudos Cross-Over , Gorduras na Dieta/administração & dosagem , Metabolismo Energético , Ácidos Graxos/administração & dosagem , Feminino , Humanos , Método Simples-Cego
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