Peak wall rupture index is associated with risk of rupture of abdominal aortic aneurysms, independent of size and sex.

BACKGROUND: Information on the predictive determinants of abdominal aortic aneurysm rupture from CT angiography are scarce. The aim of this study was to investigate biomechanical parameters in abdominal aortic aneurysms and their association with risk of subsequent rupture. METHODS: In this retrospective study, the digital radiological archive was searched for 363 patients with ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysms. All patients who underwent at least one CT angiography examination before aneurysm rupture were included. CT angiography results were analysed to determine maximum aneurysm diameter, aneurysm volume, and biomechanical parameters (peak wall stress and peak wall rupture index). In the primary survival analysis, patients with abdominal aortic aneurysms less than 70 mm were considered. Sensitivity analyses including control patients and abdominal aortic aneurysms of all sizes were performed. RESULTS: A total of 67 patients who underwent 109 CT angiography examinations before aneurysm rupture were identified. The majority were men (47, 70%) and the median age at the time of CTA examination was 77 (71-83) years. The median maximum aneurysm diameter was 56 (interquartile range 46-65) mm and the median time to rupture was 2.13 (interquartile range 0.64-4.72) years. In univariable analysis, maximum aneurysm diameter, aneurysm volume, peak wall stress, and peak wall rupture index were all associated with risk of rupture. Women had an increased HR for rupture when adjusted for maximum aneurysm diameter or aneurysm volume (HR 2.16, 95% c.i. 1.23 to 3.78 (P = 0.007) and HR 1.92, 95% c.i. 1.06 to 3.50 (P = 0.033) respectively). In multivariable analysis, the peak wall rupture index was associated with risk of rupture. The HR for peak wall rupture index was 1.05 (95% c.i. 1.03 to 1.08) per % (P < 0.001) when adjusted for maximum aneurysm diameter and 1.05 (95% c.i. 1.02 to 1.08) per % (P < 0.001) when adjusted for aneurysm volume. CONCLUSION: Biomechanical factors appear to be important in the prediction of abdominal aortic aneurysm rupture. Women are at increased risk of rupture when adjustments are made for maximum aneurysm diameter alone.

Biomechanics and early sac regression after endovascular aneurysm repair of abdominal aortic aneurysm.

Background: Sac regression after endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR) of abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAA) is regarded as a marker of successful response to treatment. Several factors influence sac behavior after EVAR, yet little is known about the value of preoperative biomechanics. The aim of this study was to investigate the difference in aortic biomechanics between patients with and without sac regression. Methods: Patients treated with standard EVAR for infrarenal AAA at the Karolinska University Hospital between 2009 and 2012 with one preoperative and a minimum of two postoperative computed tomography angiography (CTA) scans were considered for inclusion in this single-center retrospective cohort study. Biomechanical indices such as AAA wall stress and wall stress-strength ratio as well as intraluminal thrombus (ILT) thickness and stress were measured preoperatively in A4ClinicRE (VASCOPS GmbH). AAA diameter and volume were analyzed on preoperative, 30-day, and 1-year CTAs. Patients were dichotomized based on sac regression, defined as a ≥ 5 mm decrease in maximal AAA diameter between the first two postoperative CTA scans. Multivariable logistic regression was used for analysis of factors associated with early sac regression. Results: Of the 101 patients treated during the inclusion period, 64 were included. Thirty-nine (61%) demonstrated sac regression and 25 (39%) had a stable sac or sac increase. The mean patients age (73 years vs 76 years), male sex (85% vs 96%), and median AAA diameter (58 mm vs 58.5 mm) did not differ between patients with and without sac regression. Although no difference in preoperative biomechanics was seen between the groups, multivariable logistic regression revealed that a larger AAA diameter (odds ratio [OR], 1.27; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.06-1.51; P = .009) and smoking (OR, 22.1; 95% CI, 2.78-174; P = .003) were positively associated with sac regression. In contrast, the lumen diameter (OR, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.77-0.98; P = .023), ILT thickness (OR, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.75-0.97; P = .013), aspirin or direct-acting oral anticoagulant use (OR, 0.11; 95% CI, 0.02-0.61; P = .012), and mean ILT stress (OR, 0.35; 95% CI, 0.14-0.87; P = .024) showed a negative association. Patients with sac regression had fewer reinterventions (log-rank P = .010) and lower mortality (log-rank P = .012) at the 5-year follow-up. Conclusions: This study, characterizing preoperative biomechanics in patients with and without sac regression, demonstrated a negative association between mean ILT stress and ILT thickness with a change in sac diameter after EVAR. Given that the ILT is a highly dynamic entity, further studies focusing on the role of the thrombus are needed. Furthermore, patients presenting with early sac regression had improved outcomes after EVAR.

Therapeutic potential of the Proprotein Convertase Subtilisin/Kexin family in vascular disease.

Proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexins (PCSKs) constitute a family of nine related proteases: PCSK1-7, MBTPS1, and PCSK9. Apart from PCSK9, little is known about PCSKs in cardiovascular disease. Here, we aimed to investigate the expression landscape and druggability potential of the entire PCSK family for CVD. We applied an integrative approach, combining genetic, transcriptomic and proteomic data from three vascular biobanks comprising carotid atherosclerosis, thoracic and abdominal aneurysms, with patient clinical parameters and immunohistochemistry of vascular biopsies. Apart from PCSK4, all PCSK family members lie in genetic regions containing variants associated with human cardiovascular traits. Transcriptomic analyses revealed that FURIN, PCSK5, MBTPS1 were downregulated, while PCSK6/7 were upregulated in plaques vs. control arteries. In abdominal aneurysms, FURIN, PCSK5, PCSK7, MBTPS1 were downregulated, while PCSK6 was enriched in diseased media. In thoracic aneurysms, only FURIN was significantly upregulated. Network analyses of the upstream and downstream pathways related to PCSKs were performed on the omics data from vascular biopsies, revealing mechanistic relationships between this protein family and disease. Cell type correlation analyses and immunohistochemistry showed that PCSK transcripts and protein levels parallel each other, except for PCSK9 where transcript was not detected, while protein was abundant in vascular biopsies. Correlations to clinical parameters revealed a positive association between FURIN plaque levels and serum LDL, while PCSK6 was negatively associated with Hb. PCSK5/6/7 were all positively associated with adverse cardiovascular events. Our results show that PCSK6 is abundant in plaques and abdominal aneurysms, while FURIN upregulation is characteristic for thoracic aneurysms. PCSK9 protein, but not the transcript, was present in vascular lesions, suggesting its accumulation from circulation. Integrating our results lead to the development of a novel 'molecular' 5D framework. Here, we conducted the first integrative study of the proprotein convertase family in this context. Our results using this translational pipeline, revealed primarily PCSK6, followed by PCSK5, PCSK7 and FURIN, as proprotein convertases with the highest novel therapeutic potential.

Geometric and biomechanical modeling aided by machine learning improves the prediction of growth and rupture of small abdominal aortic aneurysms.

It remains difficult to predict when which patients with abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) will require surgery. The aim was to study the accuracy of geometric and biomechanical analysis of small AAAs to predict reaching the threshold for surgery, diameter growth rate and rupture or symptomatic aneurysm. 189 patients with AAAs of diameters 40-50 mm were included, 161 had undergone two CTAs. Geometric and biomechanical variables were used in prediction modelling. Classifications were evaluated with area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and regressions with correlation between observed and predicted growth rates. Compared with the baseline clinical diameter, geometric-biomechanical analysis improved prediction of reaching surgical threshold within four years (AUC 0.80 vs 0.85, p = 0.031) and prediction of diameter growth rate (r = 0.17 vs r = 0.38, p = 0.0031), mainly due to the addition of semiautomatic diameter measurements. There was a trend towards increased precision of volume growth rate prediction (r = 0.37 vs r = 0.45, p = 0.081). Lumen diameter and biomechanical indices were the only variables that could predict future rupture or symptomatic AAA (AUCs 0.65-0.67). Enhanced precision of diameter measurements improves the prediction of reaching the surgical threshold and diameter growth rate, while lumen diameter and biomechanical analysis predicts rupture or symptomatic AAA.

Tunica-Specific Transcriptome of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm and the Effect of Intraluminal Thrombus, Smoking, and Diameter Growth Rate.

OBJECTIVE: There is no medical treatment to prevent abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) growth and rupture, both of which are linked to smoking. Our objective was to map the tunica-specific pathophysiology of AAA with consideration of the intraluminal thrombus, age, and sex, and to subsequently identify which mechanisms were linked to smoking and diameter growth rate. Approach and Results: Microarray analyses were performed on 246 samples from 76 AAA patients and 13 controls. In media and adventitia, there were 5889 and 2701 differentially expressed genes, respectively. Gene sets related to adaptive and innate immunity were upregulated in both tunicas. Media-specific gene sets included increased matrix disassembly and angiogenesis, as well as decreased muscle cell development, contraction, and differentiation. Genes implicated in previous genome-wide association studies were dysregulated in media. The intraluminal thrombus had a pro-proteolytic and proinflammatory effect on the underlying media. Active smoking resulted in increased inflammation, oxidative stress, and angiogenesis in all tissues and enriched lipid metabolism in adventitia. Processes enriched with active smoking in control aortas overlapped to a high extent with those differentially expressed between AAAs and controls. The AAA diameter growth rate (n=24) correlated with T- and B-cell expression in media, as well as lipid-related processes in the adventitia. CONCLUSIONS: This tunica-specific analysis of gene expression in a large study enabled the detection of features not previously described in AAA disease. Smoking was associated with increased expression of aneurysm-related processes, of which adaptive immunity and lipid metabolism correlated with growth rate.

Dipeptidyl peptidase-4 is increased in the abdominal aortic aneurysm vessel wall and is associated with aneurysm disease processes.

BACKGROUND: Abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) is a potentially life-threatening disease, and until today there is no other treatment available than surgical intervention. Dipeptidyl peptidase-4 (DPP4)-inhibitors, used clinically to treat type 2 diabetes, have in murine models been shown to attenuate aneurysm formation and decrease aortic wall matrix degradation, inflammation and apoptosis. Our aim was to investigate if DPP4 is present, active and differentially expressed in human AAA. METHODS AND RESULTS: DPP4 gene expression was elevated in both media and adventitia of AAA tissue compared with control tissue, as measured by microarrays and qPCR, with consistent findings in external data. The plasma activity of DPP4 was however lower in male patients with AAA compared with age- and gender-matched controls, independently of comorbidity or medication. Immunohistochemical double staining revealed co-localization of DPP4 with cells positive for CD68, CD4 and -8, CD20, and SMA. Gene set enrichment analysis demonstrated that expression of DPP4 in AAA tissue correlated with expression of biological processes related to B- and T-cells, extracellular matrix turnover, peptidase activity, oxidative stress and angiogenesis whereas it correlated negatively with muscle-/actin-related processes. CONCLUSION: DPP4 is upregulated in both media and adventitia of human AAA and correlates with aneurysm pathophysiological processes. These results support previous murine mechanistic studies and implicate DPP4 as a target in AAA disease.

A large proportion of patients with small ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysms are women and have chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.

OBJECTIVE: In a population-based cohort of ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysms (rAAAs), our aim was to investigate clinical, morphological and biomechanical features in patients with small rAAAs. METHODS: All patients admitted to an emergency department in Stockholm and Gotland, a region with a population of 2.1 million, between 2009-2013 with a CT-verified rupture (n = 192) were included, and morphological measurements were performed. Patients with small rAAAs, maximal diameter (Dmax) ≤ 60 mm were selected (n = 27), and matched 2:1 by Dmax, sex and age to intact AAA (iAAAs). For these patients, morphology including volume and finite element analysis-derived biomechanics were assessed. RESULTS: The mean Dmax for all rAAAs was 80.8 mm (SD = 18.9 mm), women had smaller Dmax at rupture (73.4 ± 18.4 mm vs 83.1 ± 18.5 mm, p = 0.003), and smaller neck and iliac diameters compared to men. Aortic size index (ASI) was similar between men and women (4.1 ± 3.1 cm/m2 vs 3.8 ± 1.0 cm/m2). Fourteen percent of all patients ruptured at Dmax ≤ 60 mm, and a higher proportion of women compared to men ruptured at Dmax ≤ 60 mm: 27% (12/45) vs. 10% (15/147), p = 0.005. Also, a higher proportion of patients with a chronic obstructive pulmonary disease ruptured at Dmax ≤ 60 mm (34.6% vs 14.6%, p = 0.026). Supra-renal aortic size index (14.0, IQR 13.3-15.3 vs 12.8, IQR = 11.4-14.0) and peak wall rupture index (PWRI, 0.35 ± 0.08 vs 0.43 ± 0.11, p = 0.016) were higher for small rAAAs compared to matched iAAAs. Aortic size index, peak wall stress and aneurysm volume did not differ. CONCLUSION: More than one tenth of ruptures occur at smaller diameters, women continuously suffer an even higher risk of presenting with smaller diameters, and this must be considered in surveillance programs. The increased supra-renal aortic size index and PWRI are potential markers for rupture risk, and patients under surveillance with these markers may benefit from increased attention, and potentially from timely repair.

Aortic Lumen Area Is Increased in Ruptured Abdominal Aortic Aneurysms and Correlates to Biomechanical Rupture Risk.

PURPOSE: To investigate how 2-dimensional geometric parameters differ between ruptured and asymptomatic abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) and provide a biomechanical explanation for the findings. METHODS: The computed tomography angiography (CTA) scans of 30 patients (mean age 77±10 years; 23 men) with ruptured AAAs and 60 patients (mean age 76±8 years; 46 men) with asymptomatic AAAs were used to measure maximum sac diameter along the center lumen line, the cross-sectional lumen area, the total vessel area, the intraluminal thrombus (ILT) area, and corresponding volumes. The CTA data were segmented to create 3-dimensional patient-specific models for finite element analysis to compute peak wall stress (PWS) and the peak wall rupture index (PWRI). To reduce confounding from the maximum diameter, 2 diameter-matched groups were selected from the initial patient cohorts: 28 ruptured AAAs and another with 15 intact AAAs (diameters 74±12 vs 73±11, p=0.67). A multivariate model including the maximum diameter, the lumen area, and the ILT area of the 60 intact aneurysms was employed to predict biomechanical rupture risk parameters. RESULTS: In the diameter-matched subgroup comparison, ruptured AAAs had a significantly larger cross-sectional lumen area (1954±1254 vs 1120±623 mm2, p=0.023) and lower ILT area ratio (55±24 vs 68±24, p=0.037). The ILT area (2836±1462 vs 2385±1364 mm2, p=0.282) and the total vessel area (3956±1170 vs 4338±1388 mm2, p=0.384) did not differ statistically between ruptured and intact aneurysms. The PWRI was increased in ruptured AAAs (0.80 vs 0.48, p<0.001), but the PWS was similar (249 vs 284 kPa, p=0.194). In multivariate regression analysis, lumen area was significantly positively associated with both PWS (p<0.001) and PWRI (p<0.01). The ILT area was also significantly positively associated with PWS (p<0.001) but only weakly with PWRI (p<0.01). The lumen area conferred a higher risk increase in both PWS and PWRI when compared with the ILT area. CONCLUSION: The lumen area is increased in ruptured AAAs compared to diameter-matched asymptomatic AAAs. Furthermore, this finding may in part be explained by a relationship with biomechanical rupture risk parameters, in which lumen area, irrespective of maximum diameter, increases PWS and PWRI. These observations thus suggest a possible method to improve prediction of rupture risk in AAAs by measuring the lumen area without the use of computational modeling.

CD40L Deficiency Protects Against Aneurysm Formation.

OBJECTIVE: The mechanisms underlying formation of arterial aneurysms remain incompletely understood. Because inflammation is a common feature during the progressive degeneration of the aortic wall, we studied the role of the costimulatory molecule CD40L, a major driver of inflammation, in aneurysm formation. APPROACH AND RESULTS: Transcriptomics data obtained from human abdominal aortic aneurysms and normal aortas revealed increased abundance of both CD40L and CD40 in media of thrombus-free and thrombus-covered human abdominal aortic aneurysms samples. To further unravel the role of CD40L in aneurysm formation, apolipoprotein E-deficient (Apoe-/-) and Cd40l-/-Apoe-/- mice were infused with angiotensin II for 7 and 28 days. Only a minority of Cd40l-/-Apoe-/- mice (33% and 17%) developed (dissecting) aneurysms compared with 75% and 67% of Apoe-/- littermates after 7 and 28 days of infusion, respectively. Total vessel area of the aorta at the suprarenal level was 52% smaller in angiotensin II-infused Cd40l-/-Apoe-/- mice compared with that in angiotensin II-infused Apoe-/- mice. Chimeric Apoe-/- mice repopulated with Cd40l-/-Apoe-/- bone marrow afforded a similar protection against dissecting aneurysm formation. Moreover, lack of CD40L protected mice from fatal aneurysm rupture. T helper cell and macrophage accumulation in aneurysmal tissue was reduced in Cd40l-/-Apoe-/- mice with a concomitant decrease in expression of proinflammatory chemo- and cytokines. In addition, aneurysms of Cd40l-/-Apoe-/- mice displayed reduced abundance of matrix metalloproteinase-13 and an increase in tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinase-3 while activity of matrix metalloproteinase-2 and matrix metalloproteinase-9 was diminished. CONCLUSIONS: Deficiency of (hematopoietic) CD40L protects against dissecting aneurysm formation and reduces the incidence of fatal rupture. This is associated with a decreased accumulation and activation of inflammatory cells and a dampened protease activity in the arterial wall.

Neutrophil Elastase-Derived Fibrin Degradation Products Indicate Presence of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysms and Correlate with Intraluminal Thrombus Volume.

BACKGROUND: The intraluminal thrombi (ILT) of abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAA) contain neutrophils, which can secrete elastase. We evaluated whether plasma neutrophil elastase-derived cross-linked fibrin degradation products (E-XDP) could reveal the presence, size and mechanical stress of AAAs and its ILTs. METHODS: E-XDP and D-dimer were measured in plasma from 37 male patients with AAA and 42 male controls. The ILT volumes of the AAAs and any coexisting aneurysms could be measured in 29 patients and finite element analysis was performed to estimate mechanical stress of the ILT. E-XDP, neutrophil elastase and neutrophil marker CD66acd were evaluated in aortic tissue with immunohistochemistry (IHC). The association between ILT volume and E-XDP was validated in a separate cohort (n = 51). RESULTS: E-XDP levels were elevated in patients with AAA compared with controls (p = 5.8e-13), indicated AAA with 98% sensitivity, 86% specificity and increased with presence of coexisting aneurysms. The association between AAA and increased E-XDP was independent of smoking, comorbidities and medication. E-XDP correlated with volume of all ILTs (r = 0.76, p = 4.5e-06), mean ILT stress (r = 0.46, p = 0.013) and the volume of the AAA-associated ILT (r = 0.64, p = 0.00017). E-XDP correlated stronger with ILT volume compared with D-dimer (r = 0.76 vs. r = 0.64, p = 0.018). The correlation between E-XDP and ILT volume was validated in the separate cohort (r = 0.53, p = 7.6e-05). IHC revealed E-XDP expression in the ILT, spatially related to neutrophil elastase and neutrophils. CONCLUSION: E-XDP is a marker of the presence of AAA and coexisting aneurysms as well as the volume and mechanical stress of the ILT.

Resolution of Inflammation Through the Lipoxin and ALX/FPR2 Receptor Pathway Protects Against Abdominal Aortic Aneurysms.

An abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) is a progressive aortic dilation that may lead to rupture, which is usually lethal. This study identifies the state of failure in the resolution of inflammation by means of decreased expression of the pro-resolving receptor A lipoxin/formyl peptide receptor 2 (ALX/FPR2) in the adventitia of human AAA lesions. Mimicking this condition by genetic deletion of the murine ALX/FPR2 ortholog in hyperlipidemic mice exacerbated the aortic dilation induced by angiotensin II infusion, associated with decreased vascular collagen and increased inflammation. The authors also identified key roles of lipoxin formation through 12/15-lipoxygenase and neutrophil p38 mitogen-activated protein kinase. In conclusion, this study established pro-resolving signaling by means of the ALX/FPR2 receptor in aneurysms and vascular inflammation.

Biomechanical changes during abdominal aortic aneurysm growth.

The biomechanics-based Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm (AAA) rupture risk assessment has gained considerable scientific and clinical momentum. However, such studies have mainly focused on information at a single time point, and little is known about how AAA properties change over time. Consequently, the present study explored how geometry, wall stress-related and blood flow-related biomechanical properties change during AAA expansion. Four patients with a total of 23 Computed Tomography-Angiography (CT-A) scans at different time points were analyzed. At each time point, patient-specific properties were extracted from (i) the reconstructed geometry, (ii) the computed wall stress at Mean Arterial Pressure (MAP), and (iii) the computed blood flow velocity at standardized inflow and outflow conditions. Testing correlations between these parameters identified several nonintuitive dependencies. Most interestingly, the Peak Wall Rupture Index (PWRI) and the maximum Wall Shear Stress (WSS) independently predicted AAA volume growth. Similarly, Intra-luminal Thrombus (ILT) volume growth depended on both the maximum WSS and the ILT volume itself. In addition, ILT volume, ILT volume growth, and maximum ILT layer thickness correlated with PWRI as well as AAA volume growth. Consequently, a large ILT volume as well as fast increase of ILT volume over time may be a risk factor for AAA rupture. However, tailored clinical studies would be required to test this hypothesis and to clarify whether monitoring ILT development has any clinical benefit.

Gender, smoking, body size, and aneurysm geometry influence the biomechanical rupture risk of abdominal aortic aneurysms as estimated by finite element analysis.

OBJECTIVE: Finite element analysis (FEA) has been suggested to be superior to maximal diameter measurements in predicting rupture of abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs). Our objective was to investigate to what extent previously described rupture risk factors were associated with FEA-estimated rupture risk. METHODS: One hundred forty-six patients with an asymptomatic AAA of a 40- to 60-mm diameter were retrospectively identified and consecutively included. The patients' computed tomography angiograms were analyzed by FEA without (neutral) and with (specific) input of patient-specific mean arterial pressure (MAP), gender, family history, and age. The maximal wall stress/wall strength ratio was described as a rupture risk equivalent diameter (RRED), which translated this ratio into an average aneurysm diameter of corresponding rupture risk. RESULTS: In multivariate linear regression, RREDneutral increased with female gender (3.7 mm; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.13-7.3) and correlated with patient height (0.27 mm/cm; 95% CI, 0.11-0.43) and body surface area (BSA, 16 mm/m2; 95% CI, 8.3-24) and inversely with body mass index (BMI, -0.40 mm/kg m-2; 95% CI, -0.75 to -0.054) in a wall stress-dependent manner. Wall stress-adjusted RREDneutral was raised if the patient was currently smoking (1.1 mm; 95% CI, 0.21-1.9). Age, MAP, family history, and patient weight were unrelated to RREDneutral. In specific FEA, RREDspecific increased with female gender, MAP, family history positive for AAA, height, and BSA, whereas it was inversely related to BMI. All results were independent of aneurysm diameter. Peak wall stress and RRED correlated with aneurysm diameter and lumen volume. CONCLUSIONS: Female gender, current smoking, increased patient height and BSA, and low BMI were found to increase the mechanical rupture risk of AAAs. Previously described rupture risk factors may in part be explained by patient characteristic-dependent variations in aneurysm biomechanics.

Local Diameter, Wall Stress, and Thrombus Thickness Influence the Local Growth of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysms.

PURPOSE: To investigate the influence of the local diameter, the intraluminal thrombus (ILT) thickness, and wall stress on the local growth rate of abdominal aortic aneurysms. METHODS: The infrarenal aortas of 90 asymptomatic abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) patients (mean age 70 years; 77 men) were retrospectively reconstructed from at least 2 computed tomography angiography scans (median follow-up of 1 year) and biomechanically analyzed with the finite element method. Each individual AAA model was automatically sliced orthogonally to the lumen centerline and represented by 100 cross sections with corresponding diameters, ILT thicknesses, and wall stresses. The data were grouped according to these parameters for comparison of differences among the variables. RESULTS: Diameter growth was continuously distributed over the entire aneurysm sac, reaching absolute and relative median peaks of 3.06 mm/y and 7.3%/y, respectively. The local growth rate was dependent on the local baseline diameter, the local ILT thickness, and for wall segments not covered by ILT, also on the local wall stress level (all p<0.001). For wall segments that were covered by a thick ILT layer, wall stress did not affect the growth rate (p=0.08). CONCLUSION: Diameter is not only a strong global predictor but also a local predictor of aneurysm growth. In addition, and independent of the diameter, the ILT thickness and wall stress (for the ILT-free wall) also influence the local growth rate. The high stress sensitivity of nondilated aortic walls suggests that wall stress peaks could initiate AAA formation. In contrast, local diameters and ILT thicknesses determine AAA growth for dilated and ILT-covered aortic walls.

Volume growth of abdominal aortic aneurysms correlates with baseline volume and increasing finite element analysis-derived rupture risk.

BACKGROUND: The diagnosis and management of abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) currently relies on the aortic maximal diameter, which grows in an unpredictable manner. Infrarenal aortic volume has recently become clinically feasible to measure, and an estimate of biomechanical rupture risk derived from finite element analysis, the peak wall rupture index (PWRI), has been shown to predict AAA rupture. Our objective was to ascertain how well volume growth correlates with baseline volume and increasing PWRI, compared with the maximal diameter. METHODS: We retrospectively identified 41 AAA patients (nine women, 32 men) at our institution who had undergone two computed tomography angiographies with an interval of 8 to 17 months. Digital three-dimensional reproductions of the aneurysms were segmented from the 82 computed tomography angiographies. AAA diameter, volume, and PWRI were measured and calculated with finite element analysis software. Growth rates of diameter and volume were related to baseline diameter and volume as well as to change rates of PWRI. Significant growth was defined as growth exceeding our interobserver 95% limits of agreement. RESULTS: Diameter growth rate did not correlate with baseline diameter (r = 0.15, 95% confidence interval [CI], -0.17 to 0.45), but volume growth rate correlated with baseline volume (r = 0.56; 95% CI, 0.30-0.75). The correlation between baseline volume and volume growth rate was stronger than the correlation between baseline diameter and diameter growth rate (95% CI, 0.086-0.71). Increasing PWRI correlated with volume growth rate (r = 0.70; 95% CI, 0.40-0.87) but not with diameter growth rate (r = 0.044; 95% CI, -0.44 to 0.51), and the difference between the correlation coefficients was significant (95% CI, 0.11-1.16). CONCLUSIONS: Volume better predicts aneurysm growth rate and correlates stronger with increasing estimated biomechanical rupture risk compared with diameter. Our results support the notion of monitoring all three dimensions of an AAA.