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1.
J Safety Res ; 73: 25-35, 2020 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32563400

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Bicyclists are among vulnerable road users with their safety a key concern. This study generates new knowledge about their safety by applying a spatial modeling approach to uncover non-stationary correlates of bicyclist injury severity in traffic crashes. METHOD: The approach is Geographically Weighted Ordinal Logistic Regression (GWOLR), extended from the regular Ordered Logistic Regression (OLR) by incorporating the spatial perspective of traffic crashes. The GWOLR modeling approach allows the relationships between injury severity and its contributing factors to vary across the spatial domain, to account for the spatial heterogeneity. This approach makes use of geo-referenced data. This study explored more than 7,000 geo-referenced bicycle--motor-vehicle crashes in North Carolina. RESULTS: This study performed a series of non-stationarity tests to identify local relationships that vary substantially across the spatial domain. These local relationships are related to the bicyclist (bicyclist age, bicyclist behavior, bicyclist intoxication, bicycle direction, bicycle position), motorist (driver age, driver intoxication, driver behavior, vehicle speed, vehicle type) and traffic (traffic volume). CONCLUSIONS: Results from the regular OLR are in general consistent with previous findings. For example, an increased bicyclist injury severity is associated with older bicyclists, bicyclist being intoxicated, and higher motor-vehicle speeds. Results from the GWOLR show local (rather than global) relationships between contributing factors and bicyclist injury severity. Practical Applications: Researchers and practitioners may use GWOLR to prioritize cycling safety countermeasures for specific regions. For example, GWOLR modeling estimates in the study highlighted the west part (from Charlotte to Asheville) of North Carolina for increased bicyclist injury severity due to the intoxication of road users including both bicyclists and drivers. Therefore, if a countermeasure is concerned with the road user intoxication, there may be a priority for the region from Charlotte to Asheville (relative to other areas in North Carolina).


Assuntos
Acidentes de Trânsito/estatística & dados numéricos , Ciclismo/lesões , Mapeamento Geográfico , Escala de Gravidade do Ferimento , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Ciclismo/estatística & dados numéricos , Criança , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Adulto Jovem
2.
Int J Inj Contr Saf Promot ; 26(1): 30-36, 2019 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29798710

RESUMO

Unreported minor crashes have importance as a surrogate for more serious crashes that require infrastructure, education, and enforcement strategies; and they still inflict damages. To study factors that influence underreporting, cause, and severity of minor crashes; a survey was performed in Kunming and Beijing to collect self-reported personal characteristics and crash history data of the three major urban road users in China: automobile drivers, bicycle riders and electric bike (e-bike) riders. Underreporting rates of automobile to automobile, automobile to non-motorized vehicle, and non-motorized vehicle to non-motorized vehicle crashes are 56%, 77% and 94%, respectively. Minor crashes with higher reported injury severity levels are more likely to be reported. E-bike riders without a driver's license are more likely to cause crashes. Licensing and education could be an effective way to reduce their crashes. The party that is not at fault in a crash is more likely to sustain high level of injury.


Assuntos
Acidentes de Trânsito/estatística & dados numéricos , Condução de Veículo/estatística & dados numéricos , Ciclismo/estatística & dados numéricos , Motocicletas/estatística & dados numéricos , Ferimentos e Lesões/etiologia , Acidentes de Trânsito/prevenção & controle , Pequim , Ciclismo/educação , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Estudos Retrospectivos , Autorrelato , Índices de Gravidade do Trauma
3.
J Safety Res ; 67: 145-153, 2018 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30553417

RESUMO

PROBLEM: The increasing use of smartphones and low cost GPS have provided new sources for collecting data and using them to explain travel behavior. This study aims to use data collected from a smartphone application (CyclePhilly) to explain wrong-way riding behavior of cyclists on one-way segments to help better identify the demographic and network factors influencing the wrong-way riding decision making. METHODS: The data used in this study consist of two different sources: (a) Route trips data downloaded from the CyclePhilly Website contained trips detailed up to segment level, collected from May 2014 to April 2016 (12,202 trips by 300 unique users); and (b) Open Street Maps (OSM). Using ArcGIS, we calculate detour routes for each wrong way segment. We then built a mixed logistic regression model to identify the trip and riders' characteristics affecting wrong-way riding behavior. Next, we explore the characteristics of road facilities associated with wrong-way riding behavior. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION: Only 2.7% of travel distance is wrong-way, yet 42% of trips include a wrong-way segment. Commute trips have a higher chance of wrong-way riding. The longer the trips also include more wrong-way riding. Segments with higher detour ratios (ratio of distance with a detour to the wrong-way distance) are found to be associated with more wrong-way behavior. Compared to roads with no bike lane, roads with sharrow markings and buffered bike lane discourage wrong way riding. PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS: This study proposes new methods that can be adapted to use naturalistic and probe data and analyze city-wide aberrant riders' behavior. These help planners and engineers choose between various types of bike infrastructure. Wrong-way riding is one application that can be investigated, but probe bicycle datasets provide unprecedented resolution and volume of data that will allow for more sophisticated safety and planning analyses.


Assuntos
Ciclismo/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Philadelphia
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