A longitudinal evaluation of the effect of Medi-Cal managed care on supplemental security income and aid to families with dependent children enrollees in two California counties.

OBJECTIVE: We examined the differential effect of Medicaid managed care (MMC) among Aid to Families With Dependent Children (AFDC) and Supplemental Security Income (SSI) enrollees over time by comparing the experiences of adult nonelderly enrollees in the Health Plan of San Mateo in California versus Ventura County's fee-for-service (FFS) enrollees. RESEARCH DESIGN: Four years of administrative claims data were used to construct a longitudinal data set and estimate panel data models to decompose the effect of managed care over time. RESULTS: AFDC MMC enrollees exhibited generally fewer ambulatory visits, lower expenditures, and higher monthly probabilities of a preventable hospitalization relative to comparably enrolled FFS patients. SSI MMC enrollees had more emergency department visits and higher monthly probabilities of hospitalization. However, SSI MMC enrollees had more ambulatory visits and more medications during the first year of enrollment relative to SSI FFS enrollees, although levels were similar in subsequent years. SSI MMC enrollees did not exhibit a significantly higher level of expenditures in the first year of enrollment, although in subsequent years, expenditure levels were significantly lower. CONCLUSIONS: The results for emergency department visits and preventable hospitalizations presented a decidedly downbeat picture of access to care for AFDC and SSI enrollees in MMC. However, some aspects of utilization under managed care exhibited results consistent with long-term- oriented treatment for enrollees with a greater likelihood of remaining in the system for a longer period of time (SSI enrollees). By contrast, enrollees more likely to be enrolled for shorter periods (AFDC enrollees) tended to exhibit care patterns under MMC consistent with lower levels of care relative to FFS.

Incidence and duration of hospitalizations among persons with AIDS: an event history approach.

OBJECTIVE: To analyze hospitalization patterns of persons with AIDS (PWAs) in a multi-state/multi-episode continuous time duration framework. DATA SOURCES: PWAs on Medicaid identified through a match between the state's AIDS Registry and Medicaid eligibility files; hospital admission and discharge dates identified through Medicaid claims. STUDY DESIGN: Using a Weibull event history framework, we model the hazard of transition between hospitalized and community spells, incorporating the competing risk of death in each of these states. Simulations are used to translate these parameters into readily interpretable estimates of length of stay, the probability that a hospitalization will end in death, and the probability that a nonhospitalized person will be hospitalized within 90 days. PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: In multivariate analyses, participation in a Medicaid waiver program offering case management and home care was associated with hospital stays 1.3 days shorter than for nonparticipants. African American race and Hispanic ethnicity were associated with hospital stays 1.2 days and 1.0 day longer than for non-Hispanic whites; African Americans also experienced more frequent hospital admissions. Residents of the high-HIV-prevalence area of the state had more frequent admissions and stays two days longer than those residing elsewhere in the state. Older PWAs experienced less frequent hospital admissions but longer stays, with hospitalizations of 55-year-olds lasting 8.25 days longer than those of 25-year-olds. CONCLUSIONS: Much socioeconomic and geographic variability exists both in the incidence and in the duration of hospitalization among persons with AIDS in New Jersey. Event history analysis provides a useful statistical framework for analysis of these variations, deals appropriately with data in which duration of observation varies from individual to individual, and permits the competing risk of death to be incorporated into the model. Transition models of this type have broad applicability in modeling the risk and duration of hospitalization in chronic illnesses.

Beyond cost: 'responsible purchasing' of managed care by employers.

We explore the extent of "responsible purchasing" by employers--the degree to which employers collect and use nonfinancial information in selecting and managing employee health plans. Most firms believe that they have some responsibility for assessing the quality of the health plans they offer. Some pay attention to plan characteristics such as the ability to provide adequate access to providers and services and scores on enrollee satisfaction surveys. A more limited but still notable number of firms take specific actions based on responsible purchasing information. Because of countervailing pressures, however, it is not clear whether or not the firms most involved in responsible purchasing are signaling a developing trend.