Importance of GWAS risk loci and clinical data in predicting asthma using machine-learning approaches.

INTRODUCTION: To understand the risk factors of asthma, we combined genome-wide association study (GWAS) risk loci and clinical data in predicting asthma using machine-learning approaches. METHODS: A case-control study with 123 asthmatics and 100 controls was conducted in the Zhuang population in Guangxi. GWAS risk loci were detected using polymerase chain reaction, and clinical data were collected. Machine-learning approaches were used to identify the major factors that contribute to asthma. RESULTS: A total of 14 GWAS risk loci with clinical data were analyzed on the basis of 10 times the 10-fold cross-validation for all machine-learning models. Using GWAS risk loci or clinical data, the best performances exhibited area under the curve (AUC) values of 64.3% and 71.4%, respectively. Combining GWAS risk loci and clinical data, the XGBoost established the best model with an AUC of 79.7%, indicating that the combination of genetics and clinical data can enable improved performance. We then sorted the importance of features and found the top six risk factors for predicting asthma to be rs3117098, rs7775228, family history, rs2305480, rs4833095, and body mass index. CONCLUSION: Asthma-prediction models based on GWAS risk loci and clinical data can accurately predict asthma, and thus provide insights into the disease pathogenesis.

Associations between the HLA-A/B/DRB1 polymorphisms and aplastic anemia: evidence from 17 case-control studies.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the associations between HLA-A/B/DRB1 polymorphisms and aplastic anemia (AA), we carried out the meta-analysis. METHODS: In this meta-analysis, all publications in English and Chinese were considered up to 30 September 2015. The electronic databases we searched were Pubmed, Science Direct, Embase, Web of Science, CNKI, Wanfang Data and VIP. We conducted all statistical data analyses in the Stata11.0 software. RESULTS: A total of 17 studies including 9164 subjects (containing 1372 cases and 7792 controls) were retrieved, which studied the relationship between HLA-A/B/DRB1 and AA. Odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the comparisons between cases and controls were calculated. The result revealed that HLA-A*02 and HLA-DRB1 (*0407, *15 and *1501) polymorphisms might increase the risk of AA. Otherwise, HLA-DRB1 (*0301, *04, *0406, *0802, *1301, *1302 and *14) were protective against AA. But, other sites of HLA-A/B/DRB1 in our study had no correlations with AA (all Pc > 0.05). CONCLUSION: In conclusion, HLA-A/B/DRB1 polymorphisms may play an important role in AA, but higher quality and larger sample studies are needed to confirm.

The incidence and risk factors for central lymph node metastasis in cN0 papillary thyroid microcarcinoma: a meta-analysis.

Although there have been many studies identifying clinical and pathologic factors that may predict central lymph node metastases (CLNM) in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) patients without clinically cervical lymph node metastasis (cN0), the results were inconsistent. And whether prophylactic central lymph node dissection (pCLND) should be performed in cN0 PTMC remains controversial. The EMBASE, PubMed, MEDLINE and the Cochrane Library were searched until Oct 2015 to identify relevant studies. Primary outcomes were clinical and pathologic factors for CLNM. Secondary outcomes included CLNM rate, surgical complications of hypocalcaemia and recurrent laryngeal nerve(RLN) injury and neck recurrences. Statistical analysis was performed using Stata 12.0. Fourteen eligible studies enrolling 4573 patients were included in this meta-analysis. The overall incidence of CLNM was 33 % (95 % CI 29-37). An elevated risk of CLNM was significantly associated with male gender (OR 2.33, 95 % CI 1.71-3.17), age <45 years (OR 1.27, 95 % CI 1.08-1.48), tumor size >5 mm (OR 2.16, 95 % CI 1.87-2.50), multifocality (OR 1.73, 95 % CI 1.45-2.05), extrathyroidal extension (OR 1.99, 95 % CI 1.66-2.37) and lymphovascular invasion (OR 3.87, 95 % CI 1.64-9.10), but not with thyroid bilaterality (OR 1.41, 95 % CI 0.89-2.22) and chronic lymphocytic thyroiditis (OR 0.98, 95 % CI 0.66-1.47). The pooled frequency of permanent hypocalcaemia, permanent RLN injury and neck recurrences was 1.1, 0.5 and 2.8 %, respectively. cN0 PTMC patients have a considerable CLNM rate and have a low pooled incident of surgical complications and neck recurrences with pCLND. Six unfavorable clinical and pathologic factors, which were significantly associated with CLNM, were identified. These findings may help guide the application of pCLND or subsequent treatment in cN0 PTMC.

The prevalence and incidence of Parkinson's disease in China: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Parkinson's disease (PD) is a chronic neurodegenerative disorder affecting older individuals. There is inconsistent evidence about the prevalence and incidence of PD in China at present. The aim of the meta-analysis was to estimate the prevalence and incidence of PD and its relation to age, gender, and stage in China. The literature search was conducted using PubMed, EMBASE, Chinese Biological Medical Literature database (CBM), Chinese National Knowledge Infrastructure database (CNKI), Chinese Wanfang and Chongqing VIP database for studies investigating the prevalence and incidence of PD in China from the commencement of the database until August 2012; both English and Chinese publications were included. We estimated the prevalence and incidence of PD using meta-analysis. Thirteen eligible articles were collected. The results showed that the pooled prevalence and incidence of PD were 2 per 100,000 population and 797 per 100,000 person-years. A higher prevalence of PD was found in males than in females (OR 1.29, 95 % CI 1.05-1.57). The prevalence of PD increased with age: the highest was 1,663 per 100,000 in those aged 80 and older. The overall prevalence of PD is lower in China than in developed countries, but the incidence is higher than in some developed countries. Overall, the prevalence of PD appears to increase with age and there are sex differences evident in Chinese individuals.

The significance of combining radiotherapy with chemotherapy for early stage extranodal natural killer/T-cell lymphoma, nasal type: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Abstract Radiotherapy is regarded as a primary treatment for early stage extranodal natural killer (NK)/T-cell lymphoma, nasal type (ENKTL). However, whether combined modality treatment (CMT) comprising radiotherapy and chemotherapy is necessary remains controversial. A systematic review and meta-analysis of studies was performed to evaluate the significance of combining radiotherapy with chemotherapy for early stage ENKTL. Comparison of CMT and radiotherapy alone (RT) showed no significant difference by the measurement of complete response (CR) (odds ratio [OR] 1.07; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.73-1.58; p = 0.73), 5-year overall survival rate (OS) (HR 0.73; 95% CI 0.45-1.19; p = 0.21) and progression-free survival rate (PFS) (HR 0.76; 95% CI 0.50-1.17; p = 0.21). Additional chemotherapy did not decrease systemic failure (OR 1.52; 95% CI 0.97-2.40; p = 0.07), as well as locoregional failure (OR 0.94; 95% CI 0.52-1.73; p = 0.85). The results may support the assertion that the combination of radiotherapy with chemotherapy cannot improve treatment outcomes, but rather it increases adverse effects and financial costs. However, these results should be interpreted with caution.

Trends in prevalence, awareness, treatment, and control of diabetes mellitus in mainland china from 1979 to 2012.

Diabetes mellitus (DM) is one of the primary causes of premature death and disability worldwide. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of the published literature regarding the trends in prevalence, awareness, treatment, and control of diabetes mellitus in mainland China. PUBMED, EMBASE, Chinese Biomedical Database, China National Infrastructure database, Chinese Wan Fang database, and Chongqing VIP database were searched. Fifty-six eligible studies were included. Increasing trends in the prevalence, treatment, and control of diabetes in mainland China from 1979 to 2012 were observed. The pooled prevalence, awareness, treatment, and control of diabetes mellitus were 6.41%, 45.81%, 42.54%, and 20.87%, respectively. A higher prevalence of diabetes mellitus was found in urban (7.48%, 95%CI = 5.45~9.50) than rural (6.53%, 95%CI = 4.30~8.76) areas. Furthermore, an increasing chronological tendency was shown in different subgroups of age with regard to the prevalence of diabetes. A higher awareness of DM was found in urban (44.25%, 95%CI = 32.60~55.90) than rural (34.27%, 95%CI = 21.00~47.54) populations, and no significant differences were found in the treatment, and control of diabetes among the subgroups stratified by gender and location. From 1979 to 2012, the prevalence, treatment, and control of diabetes mellitus increased; nevertheless, there was no obvious improvement in the awareness of diabetes.