Lowering systolic blood pressure to less than 120 mm Hg versus less than 140 mm Hg in patients with high cardiovascular risk with and without diabetes or previous stroke: an open-label, blinded-outcome, randomised trial.

BACKGROUND: Uncertainty exists about whether lowering systolic blood pressure to less than 120 mm Hg is superior to that of less than 140 mm Hg, particularly in patients with diabetes and patients with previous stroke. METHODS: In this open-label, blinded-outcome, randomised controlled trial, participants with high cardiovascular risk were enrolled from 116 hospitals or communities in China. We used minimised randomisation to assign participants to intensive treatment targeting standard office systolic blood pressure of less than 120 mm Hg or standard treatment targeting less than 140 mm Hg. The primary outcome was a composite of myocardial infarction, revascularisation, hospitalisation for heart failure, stroke, or death from cardiovascular causes, assessed by the intention-to-treat principle. This trial was registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04030234. FINDINGS: Between Sept 17, 2019, and July 13, 2020, 11 255 participants (4359 with diabetes and 3022 with previous stroke) were assigned to intensive treatment (n=5624) or standard treatment (n=5631). Their mean age was 64·6 years (SD 7·1). The mean systolic blood pressure throughout the follow-up (except the first 3 months of titration) was 119·1 mm Hg (SD 11·1) in the intensive treatment group and 134·8 mm Hg (10·5) in the standard treatment group. During a median of 3·4 years of follow-up, the primary outcome event occurred in 547 (9·7%) participants in the intensive treatment group and 623 (11·1%) in the standard treatment group (hazard ratio [HR] 0·88, 95% CI 0·78-0·99; p=0·028). There was no heterogeneity of effects by diabetes status, duration of diabetes, or history of stroke. Serious adverse events of syncope occurred more frequently in the intensive treatment group (24 [0·4%] of 5624) than in standard treatment group (eight [0·1%] of 5631; HR 3·00, 95% CI 1·35-6·68). There was no significant between-group difference in the serious adverse events of hypotension, electrolyte abnormality, injurious fall, or acute kidney injury. INTERPRETATION: For hypertensive patients at high cardiovascular risk, regardless of the status of diabetes or history of stroke, the treatment strategy of targeting systolic blood pressure of less than 120 mm Hg, as compared with that of less than 140 mm Hg, prevents major vascular events, with minor excess risk. FUNDING: The Ministry of Science and Technology of China and Fuwai Hospital. TRANSLATION: For the Mandarin translation of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

Prognostic Value of a Multi-mRNA Signature for 1-Year All-Cause Death in Hospitalized Patients With Heart Failure With a Preserved Ejection Fraction.

BACKGROUND: Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction is a major global public health problem, while effective risk stratification tools are still lacking. We sought to construct a multi-mRNA signature to predict 1-year all-cause death. METHODS: We selected 30 patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction who died during 1-year follow-up and 30 who survived in the discovery set. One hundred seventy-one and 120 patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction were randomly selected as a test set and a validation set, respectively. We performed mRNA microarrays in all patients. RESULTS: We constructed a 5-mRNA signature for predicting 1-year all-cause death. The scores of the 5-mRNA signature were significantly associated with the 1-year risk of all-cause death in both the test set (hazard ratio, 2.72 [95% CI, 1.98-3.74]; P<0.001) and the validation set (hazard ratio, 3.95 [95% CI, 2.40-6.48]; P<0.001). Compared with a reference model, which included sex, ASCEND-HF (Acute Study of Clinical Effectiveness of Nesiritide in Decompensated Heart Failure) score, history of HF and NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide), the 5-mRNA signature had a better discrimination capability, with an increased area under the curve from 0.696 to 0.813 in the test set and from 0.712 to 0.848 in the validation set. A composite model integrating the 5-mRNA risk score and variables in the reference model demonstrated an excellent discrimination capability, with an area under the curve of 0.861 (95% CI, 0.784-0.939) in the test set and an area under the curve of 0.859 (95% CI, 0.755-0.963) in the validation set. The net reclassification improvement and integrated discrimination improvement indicated that the composite model significantly improved patient classification compared with the reference model in both sets (P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The 5-mRNA signature is a promising predictive tool for 1-year all-cause death and shows improved prognostic power over the established risk scores and NT-proBNP in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction.

Design and rationale of the Comprehensive intelligent Hypertension managEment SyStem (CHESS) evaluation study: A cluster randomized controlled trial for hypertension management in primary care.

BACKGROUND: Hypertension management in China is suboptimal with high prevalence and low control rate due to various barriers, including lack of self-management awareness of patients and inadequate capacity of physicians. Digital therapeutic interventions including mobile health and computational device algorithms such as clinical decision support systems (CDSS) are scalable with the potential to improve blood pressure (BP) management and strengthen the healthcare system in resource-constrained areas, yet their effectiveness remains to be tested. The aim of this report is to describe the protocol of the Comprehensive intelligent Hypertension managEment SyStem (CHESS) evaluation study assessing the effect of a multifaceted hypertension management system for supporting patients and physicians on BP lowering in primary care settings. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The CHESS evaluation study is a parallel-group, cluster-randomized controlled trial conducted in primary care settings in China. Forty-one primary care sites from 3 counties of China are randomly assigned to either the usual care or the intervention group with the implementation of the CHESS system, more than 1,600 patients aged 35 to 80 years with uncontrolled hypertension and access to a smartphone by themselves or relatives are recruited into the study and followed up for 12 months. In the intervention group, participants receive patient-tailored reminders and alerts via messages or intelligent voice calls triggered by uploaded home blood pressure monitoring data and participants' characteristics, while physicians receive guideline-based prescription instructions according to updated individual data from each visit, and administrators receive auto-renewed feedback of hypertension management performance from the data analysis platform. The multiple components of the CHESS system can work synergistically and have undergone rigorous development and pilot evaluation using a theory-informed approach. The primary outcome is the mean change in 24-hour ambulatory systolic BP from baseline to 12 months. DISCUSSION: The CHESS trial will provide evidence and novel insight into the effectiveness and feasibility of an implementation strategy using a comprehensive digital BP management system for reducing hypertension burden in primary care settings. TRIAL REGISTRATION: https://www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov, NCT05605418.

Iron Metabolic Biomarkers and the Mortality Risk in the General Population: A Nationwide Population-Based Cohort Study.

Context: Iron is an essential element in the human body and plays a critical role in many physiological and cellular processes. However, the association between iron status and the risk of all-cause or cause-specific mortality has not been well-investigated. And it is unclear whether the association between iron metabolic biomarkers and the risk of mortality differs between people with and without diabetes mellitus (DM). Objective: This work aimed to investigate associations between iron metabolic biomarkers and all-cause and cause-specific mortality risk in the general population, and heterogeneities in the associations among population with and without DM.. Methods: A total of 29 166 adults from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) III and NHANES 1999 to 2010 were included, with linkage to the National Death Index to December 31, 2019. Cox proportional-hazard models and Fine-Gray subdistribution hazard models were used to estimate associations between iron metabolic biomarkers and outcomes. Results: During a median follow-up of 18.83 years, 9378 deaths were observed, including 3420 cardiovascular disease (CVD) deaths and 1969 cancer deaths. A significant linear association between serum ferritin (SF) and all-cause mortality was observed among the overall population and those without DM. J-shaped associations between transferrin saturation (TSAT) and all-cause and CVD mortality were observed among all populations. In the overall population, compared to the first quartile (Q1) group, the adjusted hazard ratio (HR) (95% CI) for all-cause mortality was 1.07 (1.00-1.15), 1.05 (0.98-1.12), 1.13 (1.05-1.21) in Q2, Q3, and Q4 groups for SF, while the HR was 0.94 (0.88-0.99), 0.92 (0.86-0.97), and 0.93 (0.88-0.99) for TSAT. In individuals without DM, the adjusted HR of the Q4 of SF were 1.19 (1.03-1.37) for CVD mortality and 1.25 (1.05-1.48) for cancer mortality. In individuals with DM, the adjusted HRs of the Q4 of TSAT were 0.76 (0.62-0.93) for CVD mortality and 1.47 (1.07-2.03) for cancer mortality. Conclusion: Iron metabolism abnormalities increase mortality risk in the general population. The associations of iron status with mortality were significantly different between individuals with and without DM, which indicated tailored strategies for iron homeostasis are needed.

Development of a machine learning-based model for predicting individual responses to antihypertensive treatments.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Personalized antihypertensive drug selection is essential for optimizing hypertension management. The study aimed to develop a machine learning (ML) model to predict individual blood pressure (BP) responses to different antihypertensive medications. METHODS AND RESULTS: We used data from a pragmatic, cluster-randomized trial on hypertension management in China. Each patient's multiple visit records were included, and two consecutive visits were paired as the index and subsequent visits. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator method was used to select index visit variables for predicting subsequent BP. The dataset was randomly divided into training and test sets in a 7:3 ratio. Model performance was evaluated using mean absolute error (MAE) and R-square in the test set. A total of 19,013 hypertension management visit records (6282 patients) were included. The mean age of the study population was 63.9 years, and 2657 (42.3%) were females. A total of 12 phenotypical features (age, sex, smoking within seven days, body mass index, waist circumference, index visit systolic BP, diastolic BP, heart rate, comorbidities of diabetes, dyslipidemia, coronary heart disease, and stroke), together with currently taking any prescribed antihypertensive medication regimens and visits time interval were selected to build the model. The Extreme Gradient Boost model performed best among all candidate algorithms, with an MAE of 8.57 mmHg and an R2 = 0.28 in the test set. CONCLUSION: The ML techniques exhibit significant potential for predicting individual responses to antihypertensive treatments, thereby aiding clinicians in achieving optimal BP control safely and efficiently. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03636334. Registered July 3, 2018, https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT03636334.

Postprocedural Anticoagulation After Primary Percutaneous Coronary Intervention for ST-Segment-Elevation Myocardial Infarction: A Multicenter, Randomized, Double-Blind Trial.

BACKGROUND: Postprocedural anticoagulation (PPA) is frequently administered after primary percutaneous coronary intervention in ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction, although no conclusive data support this practice. METHODS: The RIGHT trial (Comparison of Anticoagulation Prolongation vs no Anticoagulation in STEMI Patients After Primary PCI) was an investigator-initiated, multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, superiority trial conducted at 53 centers in China. Patients with ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention were randomly assigned by center to receive low-dose PPA or matching placebo for at least 48 hours. Before trial initiation, each center selected 1 of 3 PPA regimens (40 mg of enoxaparin once daily subcutaneously; 10 U·kg·h of unfractionated heparin intravenously, adjusted to maintain activated clotting time between 150 and 220 seconds; or 0.2 mg·kg·h of bivalirudin intravenously). The primary efficacy objective was to demonstrate superiority of PPA to reduce the primary efficacy end point of all-cause death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, nonfatal stroke, stent thrombosis (definite), or urgent revascularization (any vessel) within 30 days. The key secondary objective was to evaluate the effect of each specific anticoagulation regimen (enoxaparin, unfractionated heparin, or bivalirudin) on the primary efficacy end point. The primary safety end point was Bleeding Academic Research Consortium 3 to 5 bleeding at 30 days. RESULTS: Between January 10, 2019, and September 18, 2021, a total of 2989 patients were randomized. The primary efficacy end point occurred in 37 patients (2.5%) in both the PPA and placebo groups (hazard ratio, 1.00 [95% CI, 0.63 to 1.57]). The incidence of Bleeding Academic Research Consortium 3 to 5 bleeding did not differ between the PPA and placebo groups (8 [0.5%] vs 11 [0.7%] patients; hazard ratio, 0.74 [95% CI, 0.30 to 1.83]). CONCLUSIONS: Routine PPA after primary percutaneous coronary intervention was safe but did not reduce 30-day ischemic events. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT03664180.

Healthy lifestyle, statin, and mortality in people with high CVD risk: A nationwide population-based cohort study.

Objective: To examine the joint association of healthy lifestyles and statin use with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in high-risk individuals, and evaluate the survival benefits by life expectancy. Methods: During 2015-2021, participants aged 35-75 years were recruited by the China Health Evaluation And risk Reduction through nationwide Teamwork. Based on number of healthy lifestyles related to smoking, alcohol drinking, physical activity, and diet, we categorized them into: very healthy (3-4), healthy (2), and unhealthy (0-1). Statin use was determined by self-report taking statin in last two weeks. Results: Among the 265,209 included participants at high risk, 6979 deaths were observed, including 3236 CVD deaths during a median 3.6 years of follow-up. Individuals taking statin and with a very healthy lifestyle had the lowest risk of all-cause (HR: 0.70; 95 %CI: 0.57-0.87) and cardiovascular mortality (0.56; 0.40-0.79), compared with statin non-users with an unhealthy lifestyle. High-risk participants taking statin and with a very healthy lifestyle had the highest years of life gained (5.90 years at 35-year-old [4.14-7.67; P < 0.001]) compared with statin non-users with an unhealthy lifestyle among high-risk people. And their life expectancy was comparable with those without high risk but with a very healthy lifestyle (4.49 vs. 4.68 years). Conclusion: The combination of preventive medication and multiple healthy lifestyles was associated with lower risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality and largest survival benefits. Integrated strategy to improve long-term health for high-risk people was urgently needed.

Association of high-density lipoprotein cholesterol with all-cause and cause-specific mortality in a Chinese population of 3.3 million adults: a prospective cohort study.

Background: High-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) has been inversely associated with cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk, but recent evidence suggests that extremely high levels of HDL-C are paradoxically related to increased CVD incidence and mortality. This study aimed to comprehensively examine the associations of HDL-C with all-cause and cause-specific mortality in a Chinese population. Methods: The China Health Evaluation And risk Reduction through nationwide Teamwork (ChinaHEART) project included 3,397,547 participants aged 35-75 years with a median follow-up of 3.9 years. Baseline HDL-C levels were measured, and mortality data was ascertained from the National Mortality Surveillance System and Vital Registration of Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention. Findings: This study found U-shaped associations of HDL-C with all-cause, cardiovascular and cancer mortality. When compared with the groups with the lowest risk, the adjusted hazard ratios (95% CIs) for HDL-C <30 mg/dL was 1.23 (1.17-1.29), 1.33 (1.23-1.45) and 1.18 (1.09-1.28) for all-cause, CVD and cancer mortality, respectively. For HDL-C >90 mg/dL, the corresponding HR (95% CIs) was 1.10 (1.05-1.15), 1.09 (1.01-1.18) and 1.11 (1.03-1.19). Similar U-shaped patterns were also found in associations of HDL-C with ischemic heart disease, ischemic stroke, and liver cancer. About 3.25% of all-cause mortality could be attributed to abnormal levels of HDL-C. The major contributor to mortality was ischemic heart disease (16.06 deaths per 100,000 persons, 95% UI: 10.30-22.67) for HDL-C <40 mg/dL and esophageal cancer (2.29 deaths per 100,000 persons, 95% UI: 0.57-4.77) for HDL-C >70 mg/dL. Interpretation: Both low and high HDL-C were associated with increased mortality risk. We recommended 50-79 mg/dL as the optimal range of HDL-C among Chinese adults. Individuals with dyslipidemia might benefit from proper management of both low and high HDL-C. Funding: The CAMS Innovation Fund for Medical Science (2021-1-I2M-011), the National High Level Hospital Clinical Research Funding (2022-GSP-GG-4), the Ministry of Finance of China and National Health Commission of China, and the 111 Project from the Ministry of Education of China (B16005), the Program for Guangdong Introducing Innovative and Enterpreneurial Teams (2019ZT08Y481), Sanming Project of Medicine in Shenzhen (SZSM201811096), the Young Talent Program of the Academician Fund, Fuwai Hospital Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Shenzhen (YS-2022-006) and Guangdong Basic and Applied Basic Research Foundation (2023A1515010076 & 2021A1515220173).

Sociodemographic Factors, Leisure-Time Physical Activity and Mortality.

INTRODUCTION: Exploring sociodemographic effect modification is important to provide evidence for developing targeted recommendations and reducing health inequalities. This study evaluated how sociodemographic factors including age, sex, race/ethnicity and socioeconomic status (SES) modify the association between leisure-time physical activity (LTPA) and all-cause and major cause-specific mortality. METHODS: The study sample included 471,992 people from the 1997-2018 National Health Interview Survey (NHIS) and 41,830 people from the 1999-2018 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). Data were analyzed in December 2022. Mortality data from the National Death Index were available to December 31, 2019. Sufficient LTPA was defined as at least 150 minutes of moderate and/or vigorous intensity per week. RESULTS: There were 46,289 deaths in NHIS participants and 4,617 deaths in NHANES participants during a mean follow-up of 10 years. Individuals with sufficient LTPA had lower risk of all-cause (NHIS: hazard ratio, 0.74, 95% CI: [0.74-0.74]; NHANES: 0.73 [0.68-0.79]) and cardiovascular mortality (NHIS: 0.75 [0.75-0.75]; NHANES: 0.80 [0.69-0.93]) compared with inactive participants. The subgroup analysis showed significant interactions between LTPA and all sociodemographic factors. Associations between LTPA and mortality were weaker among younger individuals, males, Hispanic adults or those of low SES, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Sociodemographic factors significantly modified the associations between LTPA and mortality. The health benefits of sufficient LTPA were smaller in younger individuals, males, Hispanic adults or those of low SES. These findings can help identify target populations for promotion of physical activity to reduce health inequalities and the development of physical activity guidelines.

Associations of remnant cholesterol with cardiovascular and cancer mortality in a nationwide cohort.

The health significance of triglyceride-rich lipoproteins, also known as remnant cholesterol, has been increasingly recognized. However, evidence of their associations with cause-specific mortality in the general population was previously insufficient. To explore these associations and their heterogeneities across subgroups, a prospective cohort study was conducted including 3,403,414 community-based participants from ChinaHEART, an ongoing government-funded public health program throughout China, from November 2014 through December 2022. The study assessed mortality risk of all-cause mortality, cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality (including mortality from ischemic heart diseases (IHD), ischemic stroke (IS), and hemorrhagic stroke (HS), separately), and cancer mortality (including lung cancer, stomach cancer, and liver cancer, separately). During the 4-year follow-up, 23,646 individuals died from CVD (including 8807 from IHD, 3067 from IS, and 5190 from HS), and 20,318 from cancer (including 6208 from lung cancer, 3013 from liver cancer, and 2174 from stomach cancer). Compared with individuals with remnant cholesterol <17.9 mg/dL, multivariable-adjusted mortality hazard ratios (HRs) for individuals with remnant cholesterol ≥27.7 mg/dL were 1.03 (1.00-1.05) for all-cause mortality, 1.17 (1.12-1.21) for CVD (1.19 (1.12-1.27) for IHD mortality, and 1.22 (1.09-1.36) for IS mortality), and 0.90 (0.87-0.94) for all-cancer mortality (0.94 (0.87-1.02) for lung cancer, 0.59 (0.53-0.66) for liver cancer, and 0.73 (0.64-0.83) for stomach cancer). In summary, this study revealed a correlation between increased remnant cholesterol levels and an elevated risk of cardiovascular disease mortality, as well as a reduced risk of mortality for certain types of cancer.

Influence of Socioeconomic Gender Inequality on Sex Disparities in Prevention and Outcome of Cardiovascular Disease: Data From a Nationwide Population Cohort in China.

Background Knowledge gaps remain in how gender-related socioeconomic inequality affects sex disparities in cardiovascular diseases (CVD) prevention and outcome. Methods and Results Based on a nationwide population cohort, we enrolled 3 737 036 residents aged 35 to 75 years (2014-2021). Age-standardized sex differences and the effect of gender-related socioeconomic inequality (Gender Inequality Index) on sex disparities were explored in 9 CVD prevention indicators. Compared with men, women had seemingly better primary prevention (aspirin usage: relative risk [RR], 1.24 [95% CI, 1.18-1.31] and statin usage: RR, 1.48 [95% CI, 1.39-1.57]); however, women's status became insignificant or even worse when adjusted for metabolic factors. In secondary prevention, the sex disparities in usage of aspirin (RR, 0.65 [95% CI, 0.63-0.68]) and statin (RR, 0.63 [95% CI, 0.61-0.66]) were explicitly larger than disparities in usage of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors/angiotensin receptor blockers (RR, 0.88 [95% CI, 0.84-0.91]) or ß blockers (RR, 0.67 [95% CI, 0.63-0.71]). Nevertheless, women had better hypertension awareness (RR, 1.09 [95% CI, 1.09-1.10]), similar hypertension control (RR, 1.01 [95% CI, 1.00-1.02]), and lower CVD mortality (hazard ratio, 0.46 [95% CI, 0.45-0.47]). Heterogeneities of sex disparities existed across all subgroups. Significant correlations existed between regional Gender Inequality Index values and sex disparities in usage of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors/angiotensin receptor blockers (Spearman correlation coefficient, r=-0.57, P=0.0013), hypertension control (r=-0.62, P=0.0007), and CVD mortality (r=0.45, P=0.014), which remained significant after adjusting for economic factors. Conclusions Notable sex disparities remain in CVD prevention and outcomes, with large subgroup heterogeneities. Gendered socioeconomic factors could reinforce such disparities. A sex-specific perspective factoring in socioeconomic disadvantages could facilitate more targeted prevention policy making.

Educational inequalities in mortality and their mediators among generations across four decades: nationwide, population based, prospective cohort study based on the ChinaHEART project.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the different educational inequalities in mortality among generations born between 1940 and 1979 in China, and to investigate the role of socioeconomic, behavioural, and metabolic factors as potential contributors to the reduction of educational inequalities. DESIGN: Nationwide, population based, prospective cohort study. SETTING: The ChinaHEART (China Health Evaluation And risk Reduction through nationwide Teamwork) project in all 31 provinces in the mainland of China. PARTICIPANTS: 1 283 774 residents aged 35-75 years, divided into four separate cohorts born in 1940s, 1950s, 1960s, and 1970s. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Relative index of inequality and all cause mortality. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 3.5 years (interquartile range 2.1-4.7), 22 552 deaths were recorded. Among the four generations, lower education levels were found to be associated with a higher risk of all cause death: Compared with participants with college level education or above, the hazard ratio for people with primary school education and below was 1.4 (95% confidence interval 1.2 to 1.7) in the 1940s cohort, 1.8 (1.5 to 2.1) in the 1950s cohort, 2.0 (1.7 to 2.4) in the 1960s cohort, and 1.8 (1.4 to 2.4) in the 1970s cohort. Educational relative index of inequality in mortality increased from 2.1 (95% confidence interval 1.9 to 2.3) in the 1940s cohort to 2.6 (2.1 to 3.3) in the 1970s cohort. Overall, the mediation proportions were 37.5% (95% confidence interval 32.6% to 42.8%) for socioeconomic factors, 13.9% (12.0% to 16.0%) for behavioural factors, and 4.7% (3.7% to 5.8%) for metabolic factors. Except for socioeconomic measurements, the mediating effects by behavioural and metabolic factors decreased in younger generations. CONCLUSION: Educational inequalities in mortality increased over generations in China. Improving healthy lifestyles and metabolic risk control for less educated people, especially for younger generations, is essential to reduce health inequalities.

Age-Related Trends in the Predictive Value of Carotid Intima-Media Thickness for Cardiovascular Death: A Prospective Population-Based Cohort Study.

Background The age-related trends in the predictive ability of carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT) for cardiovascular risk remain unclear. We aimed to identify the age-related trends in the predictive value of CIMT for cardiovascular death. Methods and Results In a prospective cohort of adults aged 35 to 75 years without history of cardiovascular disease who were enrolled between 2014 and 2020, we measured CIMT at baseline and collected the vital status and cause of death. We divided the study population into 4 age groups (35-44, 45-54, 55-64, and 65-75 years). Competing risk models were fitted to estimate the associations between CIMT and cardiovascular death. The added values of CIMT in prediction were assessed by the differences of the Harrell's concordance index and the net reclassification improvement index. We included 369 478 adults and followed them for a median of 4.7 years. A total of 4723 (1.28%) cardiovascular deaths occurred. After adjusting for the traditional risk factors, the hazard ratios for CIMTmean per SD decreased with age, from 1.27 (95% CI, 1.17-1.37) in the 35 to 44 years age group to 1.14 (95% CI, 1.10-1.19) in the 65 to 75 years age group (P for interaction <0.01). Meanwhile, the net reclassification improvement indexes for CIMTmean were attenuated with age, from 22.60% (95% CI, 15.56%-29.64%) in the 35 to 44 years age group to 7.00% (95% CI, -6.82% to 20.83%) in the 65 to 75 years age group. Similar results were found for maximum CIMT in all age groups. Conclusions CIMT may improve cardiovascular risk prediction in the young and middle-aged populations, rather than those aged ≥55 years.

A novel polygenic risk score improves prognostic prediction of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction in the Chinese Han population.

AIMS: Mortality risk assessment in patients with heart failure (HF) with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) presents a major challenge. We sought to construct a polygenic risk score (PRS) to accurately predict the mortality risk of HFpEF. METHODS AND RESULTS: We first carried out a microarray analysis of 50 HFpEF patients who died and 50 matched controls who survived during 1-year follow-up for candidate gene selection. The HF-PRS was developed using the independent common (MAF > 0.05) genetic variants that showed significant associations with 1-year all-cause death (P < 0.05) in 1442 HFpEF patients. Internal cross-validation and subgroup analyses were performed to evaluate the discrimination ability of the HF-PRS. In 209 genes identified by microarray analysis, 69 independent variants (r < 0.1) were selected to develop the HF-PRS model. This model yielded the best discrimination capability for 1-year all-cause mortality with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.852 (95% CI 0.827-0.877), which outperformed the clinical risk score consisting of 10 significant traditional risk factors for 1-year all-cause mortality (AUC 0.696, 95% CI 0.658-0.734, P = 4 × 10-11), with net reclassification improvement (NRI) of 0.741 (95% CI 0.605-0.877; P < 0.001) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) of 0.181 (95% CI 0.145-0.218; P < 0.001). Individuals in the medium and the highest tertile of the HF-PRS had nearly a five-fold (HR = 5.3, 95% CI 2.4-11.9; P = 5.6 × 10-5) and 30-fold (HR = 29.8, 95% CI 14.0-63.5; P = 1.4 × 10-18) increased risk of mortality compared to those in the lowest tertile, respectively. The discrimination ability of the HF-PRS was excellent in cross validation and throughout the subgroups regardless of comorbidities, gender, and patients with or without a history of heart failure. CONCLUSION: The HF-PRS comprising 69 genetic variants provided an improvement of prognostic power over the contemporary risk scores and NT-proBNP in HFpEF patients.

We performed integrated analyses of mRNA transcriptional and genetic data to construct an HF-PRS comprised of 69 genetic variants in 1442 HFpEF patients from the China PEACE 5p-HF study. We found that the HF-PRS yielded a satisfactory discrimination capability with an AUC of 0.852, which outperformed the clinical risk score consisting of 10 significant traditional risk factors by 15.6% for 1-year all-cause mortality. The discrimination ability of the HF-PRS was excellent in cross validation and throughout the subgroups regardless of comorbidities, gender and patients with or without history of heart failure.

Primary care institutional characteristics associated with hypertension awareness, treatment, and control in the China PEACE-Million Persons Project and primary health-care survey: a cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND: Since 2010, China has made vast financial investments and policy changes to the primary care system. We aimed to assess how hypertension awareness, treatment, and control might be used to assess quality of primary care systems, which reflect the outcomes of public health services and medical care. METHODS: We used The China Patient-centred Evaluative Assessment of Cardiac Events Million Persons Project, a government-funded public health project that focuses on cardiovascular disease risk in China. We linked primary care institution characteristics that were captured in the survey between 2016 and 2017 to the participant-level data gathered in baseline visits between 2014 and 2021. Participants were included if they had hypertension and lived in the towns or streets that took part in the primary care survey. Participants were excluded if they had missing data for blood pressure measurement, history of hypertension, sex, or age. Primary care institutions were excluded if the catchment area had fewer than 100 participants with hypertension. Hypertension awareness was defined as the proportion of participants with hypertension who self-reported a hypertension diagnosis. Hypertension treatment was defined as the proportion of participants who currently use antihypertensive medications among those who were aware. Hypertension control was defined as the proportion of participants with an average systolic blood pressure less than 140 mm Hg and an average diastolic blood pressure less than 90 mm Hg over two readings among those who were treated during the study. All patients were included in the analysis. This trial was registered at ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT02536456. FINDINGS: Between Sept 15, 2014, and March 16, 2021, we assessed 503 township-level primary care institutions for eligibility. 70 institutions were excluded as they could not be linked with individual data or because their catchment area had fewer than 100 participants with hypertension. We analysed 433 township-level primary care institutions across all 31 provinces of mainland China, including 660 565 individuals with hypertension in their catchment areas. Across townships, age-sex standardised hypertension awareness varied from 8·2% to 81·0%, treatment varied from 2·6% to 96·5%, and control proportions varied from 0% to 62·4%. Hypertension awareness, treatment, and control were significantly associated with the following institutional characteristics: government funding through balance allocation (ie, institutions have their human resources funded by local government, but need to be self-supporting in other aspects; awareness odds ratio 0·88, 95% CI 0·78-0·99; p=0·027), having financial problems that interrupted routine service delivery (awareness 0·81, 0·72-0·92; p=0·0007, control 0·84; 0·75-0·94, p=0·0034), setting performance-based bonus (treatment 1·39, 1·07-1·80; p=0·013), basic salary defined by number of patient visits (control 0·85, 0·76-0·95; p=0·0053), using electronic referrals (treatment 1·41, 1·14-1·73; p=0·0012, control 1·17; 1·03-1·33, p=0·014), implementing family physician contract services (awareness 1·13, 1·00-1·28; p=0·045, control 1·30; 1·15-1·46, p<0·0001), and proportion of physicians who are formally licensed (awareness per 10% increase 1·04, 1·01-1·08; p=0·019, treatment 1·08; 1·02-1·14, p=0·0077; control per 10% increase 1·07, 1·03-1·10; p=0·0006). INTERPRETATION: The role of primary care role in hypertension management might benefit from new strategies that promote best practices in institutional financing, performance appraisal, service delivery, and information technology. FUNDING: Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences Innovation Fund for Medical Science, and the National High Level Hospital Clinical Research Funding. TRANSLATION: For the Chinese translation of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

Cardiovascular disease prevention and mortality across 1 million urban populations in China: data from a nationwide population-based study.

BACKGROUND: China has been undergoing a rapid urbanisation. There are substantial disparities between old and new urban citizens in access to health care. We aimed to compare cardiovascular disease prevention and death risks among four distinct urban groups. METHODS: Urban residents aged 35-75 years living in 96 prefecture-level cities from 31 provinces in mainland China were enrolled in the national population-based cohort China Patient-centered Evaluative Assessment of Cardiac Events Million Persons Project. They were categorised into four groups by their former and current places of residence as follows: old-urban in situ residents (local residents in established urban areas since birth), new-urban in situ residents (local residents in newly urbanised areas established during urbanisation), urban-to-urban migrants (migrants from other urban areas), and rural-to-urban migrants (migrants from rural areas). We excluded participants with missing data for former and current places of residence, medical history, socioeconomic status, or lifestyle information. After adjusting for demographic and socioeconomic characteristics, relative risks (RRs) of cardiovascular disease prevention indicators and hazard ratios (HRs) of cardiovascular mortality and all-cause mortality of the other three population groups were estimated by modified log-Poisson models with robust standard error and Cox proportional hazard models, with old-urban in situ residents as the reference group. FINDINGS: From Sept 1, 2015, to Aug 17, 2020, 1 339 329 residents were enrolled, 270 606 were excluded for missing data in key variables, and 1 068 723 were subsequnetly included in the study. Compared with old-urban in situ residents, new-urban in situ residents were less likely to adhere to a healthy diet (RR 0·72 [95% CI 0·62-0·83]), while no significant results were observed in rural-to-urban migrants; new-urban in situ residents were less likely to use statins as primary prevention (RR 0·60 [0·46-0·79]), angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEIs) or angiotensin receptor blockers (ARBs; RR 0·78 [0·65-0·93]) and ß-blockers (RR 0·68 [0·53-0·88]) as secondary prevention; and rural-to-urban migrants were less likely to use aspirin as a primary (RR 0·67 [0·46-0·96]) and secondary (RR 0·71 [0·54-0·94]) prevention and statins (RR 0·70 [0·51-0·97]) and ACEIs or ARBs (RR 0·68 [0·50-0·93]) as secondary prevention. Furthermore, in people diagnosed with hypertension, new-urban in situ residents were less likely to have their blood pressure controlled (RR 0·79 [95% CI 0·72-0·87]), while no significant results were observed in rural-to-urban migrants. New-urban in situ residents had higher risk of cardiovascular mortality (HR 1·16 [95% CI 1·05-1·29]; p=0·005) than did old-urban in situ residents, after a median follow-up of 2·7 years (IQR 2·0-4·2). INTERPRETATION: New-urban in situ residents and rural-to-urban migrants both showed poorer utilisation of primary and secondary prevention medications than did old-urban in situ residents, while new-urban in situ residents also had lower adherence to healthy lifestyles and higher death risks. Comprehensive measures should be taken to strengthen the primary health-care system in newly urbanised areas, and promote interprovincial medical insurance reimbursement. FUNDING: Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences Innovation Fund for Medical Science and the National High Level Hospital Clinical Research Funding. TRANSLATION: For the Chinese translation of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

Prevalence, treatment, and attributed mortality of elevated blood pressure among a nationwide population-based cohort of stroke survivors in China.

Background: Elevated blood pressure (BP) is associated with substantial morbidity and mortality in stroke survivors. China has the highest prevalence of stroke survivors and accounts for one-third of stroke-related deaths worldwide. We aimed to describe the prevalence and treatment of elevated BP across age, sex, and region, and assess the mortality attributable to elevated BP among stroke survivors in China. Materials and methods: Based on 3,820,651 participants aged 35-75 years from all 31 provinces in mainland China recruited from September 2014 to September 2020, we assessed the prevalence and treatment of elevated BP (systolic BP ≥ 140 mmHg or diastolic BP ≥ 90 mmHg) among those with self-reported stroke and stratified by age group, sex, and geographic region. We estimated the age- and sex-specific population attributable fractions of death from elevated BP. Results: Among 91,406 stroke survivors, the mean (SD) age was 62 (8) years, and 49.0% were male. The median interquartile range (IQR) stroke duration was 4 (2, 7) years. The prevalence of elevated BP was 61.3% overall, and increased with age (from 47.5% aged 35-44 years to 64.6% aged 65-75 years). The increment of prevalence was larger in female patients than male patients. Elevated BP was more prevalent in northeast (66.8%) and less in south (54.3%) China. Treatment rate among patients with elevated BP was 38.1%, and rates were low across all age groups, sexes, and regions. Elevated BP accounted for 33 and 21% of cardiovascular and all-cause mortality among stroke survivors, respectively. The proportion exceeded 50% for cardiovascular mortality among patients aged 35-54 years. Conclusion: In this nationwide cohort of stroke survivors from China, elevated BP and its non-treatment were highly prevalent across all age groups, sexes, and regions. Elevated BP accounted for nearly one-third cardiovascular mortality in stroke survivors, and particularly higher in young and middle-aged patients. National strategies targeting elevated BP are warranted to address the high stroke burden in China.

Impact of Non-cardiac Comorbidities on Long-Term Clinical Outcomes and Health Status After Acute Heart Failure in China.

Background: Individual non-cardiac comorbidities are prevalent in HF; however, few studies reported how the aggregate burden of non-cardiac comorbidities affects long-term outcomes, and it is unknown whether this burden is associated with changes in health status. Aims: To assess the association of the overall burden of non-cardiac comorbidities with clinical outcomes and quality of life (QoL) in patients hospitalized for heart failure (HF). Methods: We prospectively enrolled patients hospitalized for HF from 52 hospitals in China. Eight key non-cardiac comorbidities [diabetes, chronic renal disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), anemia, stroke, cancer, peripheral arterial disease (PAD), and liver cirrhosis] were included, and patients were categorized into four groups: none, one, two, and three or more comorbidities. We fitted Cox proportional hazards models to assess the burden of comorbidities on 1-year death and rehospitalization. Results: Of the 4,866 patients, 25.3% had no non-cardiac comorbidity, 32.2% had one, 22.9% had two, and 19.6% had three or more in China. Compared with those without non-cardiac comorbidities, patients with three or more comorbidities had higher risks of 1-year all-cause death [heart rate, HR 1.89; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.48-2.39] and all-rehospitalization (HR 1.35; 95%CI 1.15-1.58) after adjustment. Although all patients with HF experienced a longitudinal improvement in QoL in the 180 days after discharge, those with three or more non-cardiac comorbidities had an unadjusted 11.4 (95%CI -13.4 to -9.4) lower Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire (KCCQ) scores than patients without comorbidities. This difference decreased to -6.4 (95%CI -8.6 to -4.2) after adjustment for covariates. Conclusion: Among patients hospitalized with HF in this study, a higher burden of non-cardiac comorbidities was significantly associated with worse health-related QoL (HRQoL), increased risks of death, and rehospitalization post-discharge. The findings highlight the need to address the management of comorbidities effectively in standardized HF care.

Association between clustering of cardiovascular risk factors and resting heart rate in Chinese population: a cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND: Epidemiologic studies have explored the association between a single cardiovascular risk factor (CVRF) and resting heart rate (RHR), but the research on the relation of multiple risk factors with RHR remains scarce. This study aimed to explore the associations between CVRFs clustering and the risk of elevated RHR. METHODS: In this cross-sectional study, adults aged 35-75 years from 31 provinces were recruited by the China PEACE Million Persons Projects from September 2015 to August 2020. We focused on seven risk factors: hypertension, diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia, obesity, smoking, alcohol use, and low physical activity. Multivariate logistic regression was used to calculate odds ratios (OR) for elevated RHR (> 80 beats/min). RESULTS: Among 1,045,405 participants, the mean age was 55.67 ± 9.86 years, and 60.4% of participants were women. The OR (95% CI) for elevated RHR for the groups with 1, 2, 3, 4 and ≥ 5 risk factor were 1.11 (1.08-1.13), 1.36 (1.33-1.39), 1.68 (1.64-1.72), 2.01 (1.96-2.07) and 2.58 (2.50-2.67), respectively (P trend < 0.001). The association between the CVRFs clustering number and elevated RHR was much more pronounced in young males than in other age-sex subgroups. Clusters comprising more metabolic risk factors were associated with a higher risk of elevated RHR than those comprising more behavioral risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: There was a significant positive association between the CVRFs clustering number and the risk of elevated RHR, particularly in young males. Compared clusters comprising more behavioral risk factors, clusters comprising more metabolic risk factors were associated with a higher risk of elevated RHR. RHR may serve as an indicator of the cumulative effect of multiple risk factors.