Early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma screening in patients with chronic hepatitis B in China: a cost-effectiveness analysis.

Aim: To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of seven screening strategies for chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients in China. Methods: A discrete event simulation model combining a decision tree and Markov structure was developed to simulate a CHB cohort aged ≥40 years on a lifetime horizon and evaluate the costs and health outcomes (quality-adjusted life years [QALYs] gained) of ultrasonography (US), alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), protein induced by vitamin K absence-II (PIVKA-II), AFP+US, AFP+PIVKA-II, GAAD (a diagnostic algorithm based on gender and age combined with results of AFP and PIVKA-II) and GAAD+US. Epidemiologic, clinical performance, utility and cost data were obtained from the literature, expert interviews and real-world data. Uncertainties on key parameters were explored through deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses (DSA and PSA). Results: Compared with other strategies, GAAD+US detected the most HCC patients at early stage, and GAAD was the screening strategy with the lowest average cost per HCC case diagnosed. Using 3× China's 2022 GDP per capita ($38,233.34) as the threshold, the three strategies of US, GAAD and GAAD+US formed a cost-effectiveness frontier. Screening with US, GAAD, or GAAD+US was associated with costs of $6110.46, $7622.05 and $8636.32, and QALYs of 13.18, 13.48 and 13.52, respectively. The ICER of GAAD over US was $4993.39/QALY and the ICER of GAAD+US over GAAD was $26,691.45/QALY, which was less than 3× GDP per capita. Both DSA and PSA proved the stability of the results. Conclusion: GAAD+US was the most cost-effective strategy for early HCC diagnosis among CHB patients which could be considered as the liver cancer screening scheme for the high-risk population in China.

[Comparative analysis of the efficacies of entecavir capsules and lamivudine in chronic hepatitis B patients].

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the efficacy profile of entecavir capsule (ETV) as a chronic hepatitis B therapy, as compared to lamivudine (LAM). METHODS: In this multicenter, randomized, double-blind, parallel group evaluation of ETV, 232 subjects were administered a 96-week course of 0.5 mg/day ETV or 100 mg/day LAM. PCR measurement of hepatitis B virus (HBV) was conducted throughout the treatment course to determine achievement of complete virologic response (CVR; defined as less than 500 copies/ml of HBV DNA) or experience of virology rebound ( more than 500 copies/ml of HBV DNA after achievement of CVR). RESULTS: After week-48 of treatment, the ETV group showed a higher CVR rate (90.3% vs. LAM: 59.4%) and lower virology rebound rate (1.9% vs. LAM: 13.9%). After week-96 of treatment, the ETV group continued to have a higher CVR rate (86.0% vs. LAM: 71.4%), and virology rebound was experienced by significantly less subjects in the ETV group (1.2% vs. LAM: 11.9%, P = 0.005). CONCLUSION: ETV therapy can quickly and continuously suppress HBV replication in chronic hepatitis B patients, and has a lower resistance rate than LAM. Compared to LAM, ETV may be a superior long-term treatment choice for chronic hepatitis B.

[An economic evaluation of different treatments for HBeAg-positive chronic hepatitis B in China].

OBJECTIVE: To assess the economic evaluation of short- and long-term antiviral treatments of HBeAg-positive chronic hepatitis B from the perspective of the Chinese health care system. METHODS: A 10-health state Markov model was developed to estimate long-term cost and effectiveness of different treatments of HBeAg-positive CHB. Incremental cost-effectiveness analysis was then carried out. RESULTS: In comparison with no antiviral treatment, lamivudine administered for 1-year was a highly cost-effective short-course treatment for HBeAg-positive CHB. However, of the treatments evaluated, lamivudine plus adefovir as a rescue medication or adefovir plus lamivudine as a rescue medication administered for 5 years resulted in a more sustained decrease in the rate of disease progression. In comparison with 1 year lamivudine treatment, the incremental cost per Quality Adjusted Life Year (QALY) for treatment with lamivudine plus adefovir or adefovir plus lamivudine as a rescue medication for 5 years was CNY 25 115 and 35 577 respectively, which was 55.2% and 36.5% lower than the estimated international threshold value for China. CONCLUSION: In comparison with no antiviral treatment, lamivudine administered for 1-year is a highly cost-effective short-course treatment. Longer duration antiviral treatments, lamivudine plus adefovir or adefovir plus lamivudine as a rescue medication are both cost-effective strategies, resulting in a more sustained decrease in the rate of disease progression.