Validation of ROPScore to predict retinopathy of prematurity among very low birth weight preterm infants in a southern Brazilian population / Validação de um escore (ROPScore) capaz de prever a ocorrência da retinopatia da prematuridade em prematuros de baixo peso no sul do Brasil

ABSTRACT Purposes: To evaluate the sensitivity, specificity, and cutoff points for the ROPScore, which is based on cumulative risk factors for the prediction of retinopathy of prematurity (ROP), in a population of very low birth weight (BW) preterm infants in southern Brazil. Methods: The medical records of all preterm infants with a very low birth weight ≤1,500 g and/or gestational age ≤32 weeks screened for retinopathy of prematurity in two Brazilian institutions between August 2009 and December 2015 were retrospectively reviewed. ROPScores were calculated using birth weight and gestational age, the use of oxygen therapy with mechanical ventilation, and weight gain proportional to birth weight, as measured at postpartum week six and the need for blood transfusions. Results: The study cohort included 322 infants with a mean birth weight of 1181.8 ± 292.5 g and mean gestational age of 29.5 ± 2.3 weeks. The incidences of any stage of retinopathy of prematurity and severe retinopathy of prematurity were 68.3% and 17%, respectively. ROPScore values ranged from 8.7 to 19.9. The best cutoff point for sensitivity and specificity was 11 for any stage of retinopathy of prematurity and 14.5 for severe retinopathy of prematurity. For any stage of retinopathy of prematurity, the sensitivity and specificity of the ROPScores were 98.6% (95% confidence interval = 97.9%-99.3%) and 35.3% (95% confidence interval= 32.3%-38.3%), with a positive predictive value of 76.6% (95% confidence interval= 74.0%-79.2%) and a negative predictive value of 92.3% (95% confidence interval= 90.6%-94.0%). For severe retinopathy of prematurity, the sensitivity was 100% and specificity was 57.3% (95% confidence interval= 54.2%-60.4%), with positive predictive value of 22% (95% confidence interval= 19.4%-24.6%) and negative predictive value of 100%. The cutoff points correctly identified all infants that developed severe retinopathy of prematurity in this cohort. Conclusions: The ROPScore was useful to identify preterm babies at risk for retinopathy of prematurity. In this population, the ROPScore detected all patients at risk for any stage retinopathy of prematurity and severe retinopathy of prematurity. The ROPScore values in this study were similar to those previously described, thereby successfully validating the ROPScore for early detection of retinopathy of prematurity in very low birth weight preterm infants.

RESUMO Objetivos: Avaliar a sensibilidade, especificidade e os valores de pontos de corte do ROPScore, um escore baseado em fatores de risco cumulativos capaz de prever a ocorrência da retinopatia da prematuridade em prematuros de baixo peso no sul do Brasil. Métodos: Estudo retrospectivo por meio de análise de prontuários de todos os prematuros com peso ao nascer ≤1500g e/ou idade gestacional ≤32 semanas selecionados para retinopatia da prematuridade em duas instituições brasileiras entre agosto de 2009 e dezembro de 2015. Resultados: O estudo incluiu 322 pacientes. A média do peso ao nascer foi de 1181,8 ± 292,5 gr e a idade gestacional média foi de 29,5 ± 2,3 semanas. A incidência de retinopatia da prematuridade em qualquer estágio e retinopatia da prematuridade grave foi de 68,3% e 17%, respectivamente. Os valores do ROPScore variaram de 8,7 a 19,9. O melhor ponto de corte para sensibilidade e especificidade foi estabelecido em 11 para retinopatia da prematuridade em qualquer estágio e 14,5 para retinopatia da prematuridade grave. Para retinopatia da prematuridade em qualquer estadiamento, o ROPScore apresentou sensibilidade de 98,6% (95%IC 97,9-99,3) e especificidade de 35,3% (95%IC 32,3-38,3), valor preditivo positivo (VPP) de 76,6% (95%IC 74,0-79,2) e valor preditivo negativo de 92,3% (IC95% 90,6-94,0). Para retinopatia da prematuridade grave, foi registrada sensibilidade de 100%, especificidade de 57,3% (95%IC 54,2-60,4), valor preditivo positivo de 22% (95%IC 19,4-24,6) e valor preditivo negativo de 100%. Os pontos de corte identificaram corretamente todos os pacientes que desenvolveram qualquer estágio ou retinopatia da prematuridade grave no estudo. Conclusão: O ROPScore foi importante para detectar pacientes prematuros com risco de retinopatia da prematuridade. Nesta população, o ROPScore detectou todos os pacientes em risco para qualquer retinopatia da prematuridade em estágio e retinopatia da prematuridade grave. Este estudo mostrou valores semelhantes aos descritos anteriormente, validando com sucesso a ROPScore para detecção precoce de retinopatia da prematuridade em prematuros de muito baixo peso.

Validation of ROPScore to predict retinopathy of prematurity among very low birth weight preterm infants in a southern Brazilian population.

PURPOSES: To evaluate the sensitivity, specificity, and cutoff points for the ROPScore, which is based on cumulative risk factors for the prediction of retinopathy of prematurity (ROP), in a population of very low birth weight (BW) preterm infants in southern Brazil. METHODS: The medical records of all preterm infants with a very low birth weight ≤1,500 g and/or gestational age ≤32 weeks screened for retinopathy of prematurity in two Brazilian institutions between August 2009 and December 2015 were retrospectively reviewed. ROPScores were calculated using birth weight and gestational age, the use of oxygen therapy with mechanical ventilation, and weight gain proportional to birth weight, as measured at postpartum week six and the need for blood transfusions. RESULTS: The study cohort included 322 infants with a mean birth weight of 1181.8 ± 292.5 g and mean gestational age of 29.5 ± 2.3 weeks. The incidences of any stage of retinopathy of prematurity and severe retinopathy of prematurity were 68.3% and 17%, respectively. ROPScore values ranged from 8.7 to 19.9. The best cutoff point for sensitivity and specificity was 11 for any stage of retinopathy of prematurity and 14.5 for severe retinopathy of prematurity. For any stage of retinopathy of prematurity, the sensitivity and specificity of the ROPScores were 98.6% (95% confidence interval = 97.9%-99.3%) and 35.3% (95% confidence interval= 32.3%-38.3%), with a positive predictive value of 76.6% (95% confidence interval= 74.0%-79.2%) and a negative predictive value of 92.3% (95% confidence interval= 90.6%-94.0%). For severe retinopathy of prematurity, the sensitivity was 100% and specificity was 57.3% (95% confidence interval= 54.2%-60.4%), with positive predictive value of 22% (95% confidence interval= 19.4%-24.6%) and negative predictive value of 100%. The cutoff points correctly identified all infants that developed severe retinopathy of prematurity in this cohort. CONCLUSIONS: The ROPScore was useful to identify preterm babies at risk for retinopathy of prematurity. In this population, the ROPScore detected all patients at risk for any stage retinopathy of prematurity and severe retinopathy of prematurity. The ROPScore values in this study were similar to those previously described, thereby successfully validating the ROPScore for early detection of retinopathy of prematurity in very low birth weight preterm infants.