Decision rule to predict pneumonia in children presented with acute febrile respiratory illness.

BACKGROUND: It is a frequent challenge for physicians to identify pneumonia in patients with acute febrile respiratory symptoms, particularly in stable pediatric patients without respiratory distress. A decision rule is required to assist judgement on the need of ordering a chest radiograph. METHOD: This was a multicenter prospective study in 3 emergency departments. Children younger than 6 years old with an acute onset of fever and respiratory symptoms were recruited. Split sample method was adopted for derivation and validation of the Pediatric Acute Febrile Respiratory Illness rule (PAFRI Rule). PAFRI was derived from logistic regression with weighting based on adjusted odds ratios. RESULTS: Out of 967 children evaluated, 530 had taken chest radiograph examination, with 91 demonstrated evidence of pneumonia on radiograph. PAFRI Rule was derived from logistic regression with 5 weighed predictors: duration of fever <3 days (0 points), 3-4 days (2 points), 5-6 days (4 points), ≥7 days (5 points), chills (2 points), nasal symptoms (-2 points), abnormal chest examination (3 points), SpO2 ≤96% or tachypnea (3 points). The Area under ROC curve of the PAFRI Rule, the Bilkis Decision Rule and Bilkis Simpler Rule were 0.733, 0.600 and 0.579 respectively. A PAFRI score of ≥0 gives a sensitivity of 91.7% and negative predictive value of 97.7%. CONCLUSION: PAFRI rule can be used as a reference tool for guiding the need for taking Chest radiograph examination for pediatric patients. While promising, the PAFRI rule requires further validation. WHAT'S KNOWN ON THIS SUBJECT: It is often a challenge for physicians to identify pneumonia in children acutely febrile with respiratory symptoms, particularly in those who are stable without respiratory distress. The decision to order chest radiograph was based on clinical assessment with heterogenous practice. A valid and verified clinical prediction rule for ordering chest radiograph examination for stable febrile children without signs of respiratory distress would therefore assist in management of this group of patients. WHAT THIS STUDY ADDS: The PAFRI rule, based on parameters from clinical bedside assessment, can be used as a reference tool for guiding the need for referral to emergency department or taking use of chest radiograph for pediatric patients, and triaging for higher priority of clinical care.

Questionnaire survey on medical futility and termination of resuscitation in cardiac arrest patients among emergency physicians in Hong Kong.

INTRODUCTION: The perceptions of medical futility and decisions about termination of resuscitation (TOR) for out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) are highly heterogeneous and dependent on the practice of the attending emergency physicians. The objective of this study was to report and investigate the knowledge, attitudes, and practices regarding medical futility and TOR during management of OHCA in Hong Kong. METHODS: A cross-sectional survey was conducted among emergency medicine physicians in Hong Kong. The questionnaire assessed participants' background, knowledge, attitudes, and behaviours concerning medical futility and TOR in management of OHCA. Composite scores were calculated to reflect knowledge, attitudes, and practices of OHCA treatment. Subgroup analysis and multiple regression analysis were used to explore the relationship between participants' background, knowledge, attitudes, and behaviours. RESULTS: The response rate to this survey was 57% (140/247). Independent predictors of less aggressive resuscitation in OHCA patients included status as a Fellow of the Hong Kong College of Emergency Medicine (ß= -0.314, P=0.028) and being an Advanced Cardiac Life Support instructor (ß= -0.217, P=0.032). There was no difference in aggressiveness of resuscitation in terms of years of clinical experience (ß=0.015, P=0.921), knowledge of TOR (ß=0.057, P=0.509), or attitudes about TOR (ß= -0.103, P=0.214). The correlation between knowledge and attitudes was low (Spearman's coefficient=0.02, P=0.795). CONCLUSION: Clinical practice and behaviour of TOR was not demonstrated to have associations with knowledge or attitude. Status as a Fellow of the Hong Kong College of Emergency Medicine or Advanced Cardiac Life Support instructor were the only two parameters identified that had significant relationships with earlier TOR in medically futile patients with OHCA.

Hong Kong needs a territory-wide registry for out-of-hospital cardiac arrest.

Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) is an urgent disease entity, and the outcomes of OHCA are poor. This causes a significant public health burden, with loss of life and productivity throughout society. Internationally, successful programmes have adopted various survival enhancement measures to improve outcomes of OHCA. A territory-wide organised survival enhancement campaign is required in Hong Kong to maintain OHCA survival rates that are comparable to those of other large cities. One key component is to establish an OHCA registry, such as those in Asia, the United States, Europe, Australia, and New Zealand. An OHCA registry can provide benchmarking, auditing, and surveillance for identification of weak points within the chain of survival and evaluation of the effectiveness of survival enhancement measures. In Hong Kong, digitisation of records in prehospital and in-hospital care provides the infrastructure for an OHCA registry. Resources and governance to maintain a sustainable OHCA registry are necessary in Hong Kong as the first step to improve survival and outcomes of OHCA.

Validation and modification of the Ottawa subarachnoid haemorrhage rule in risk stratification of Asian Chinese patients with acute headache.

OBJECTIVE: To validate the Ottawa subarachnoid haemorrhage (SAH) rule in an Asian Chinese cohort and to explore the roles of blood pressure and vomiting in prediction of SAH in patients with nontraumatic acute headache. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted in two regional hospitals. All patients aged ≥16 years who presented with non-traumatic acute headache to the study centres from July 2013 to June 2016 were included. A logistic regression model was created for the variables of the Ottawa SAH rule and other potential predictors, including vomiting and systolic blood pressure (SBP) >160 mm Hg. Model discrimination was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. Net reclassification improvement and integrated discrimination improvement indices were evaluated. The model's diagnostic characteristics, including sensitivities and specificities, were evaluated. RESULTS: A total of 500 eligible headache cases were included, in 50 of which SAH was confirmed (10%). In addition to the predictors of the Ottawa SAH rule, vomiting and SBP >160 mm Hg were found to be significant independent predictors of SAH. Net reclassification improvement and integrated discrimination improvement indices indicated that including vomiting and SBP >160 mm Hg would improve the model prediction. The Ottawa SAH rule had 94% sensitivity and 32.9% specificity. The modified Ottawa SAH rule that included both vomiting and SBP >160 mm Hg as criteria improved sensitivity to 100%, specificity to 13.1%, positive predictive value to 11.3%, and negative predictive value to 100%. CONCLUSIONS: The Ottawa SAH rule demonstrated high sensitivity. Addition of vomiting and SBP >160 mm Hg to the Ottawa SAH rule may increase its sensitivity.

Public access defibrillation in Hong Kong in 2017.

The concept of public access defibrillation was proposed more than 20 years ago. Since then, various programmes have been implemented in many major cities although not all have been successful. Fourteen years ago, the question of whether Hong Kong needed public access defibrillation was raised. This article aimed to answer this question based on the best available evidence. Over the years, the clinical effectiveness of public access defibrillation in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest has been proven. Nonetheless various studies have indicated that among others, cost-effectiveness, knowledge and attitudes of the public, and incidence of ventricular fibrillation are important factors that will affect the likelihood of success of such programmes. In Hong Kong, because of the long interval between recognition of arrest and first defibrillation, public access defibrillation is probably needed. To ensure the success of such a programme, careful planning in addition to the installation of more automated external defibrillators are essential.

Prediction of en-route complications during interfacility transport by outcome predictive scores in ED.

OBJECTIVE: The objective was to determine the accuracy of the outcome predictive scores (Modified Early Warning Score [MEWS]; Hypotension, Low Oxygen Saturation, Low Temperature, Abnormal ECG, Loss of Independence [HOTEL] score; and Simple Clinical Score [SCS]) in predicting en-route complications during interfacility transport (IFT) in emergency department. DESIGN: This was a retrospective cohort study. METHODS: All IFT cases by ambulances with either nurse-led or physician-led escort, occurring between 1 January 2011 and 31 December 2012, were included. Obstetric and pediatric cases (age < 18 years) were excluded. The condition of patients was quantified by using the predictive scores (MEWS, HOTEL, and SCS) at triage station and on ambulance departure. The accuracy of predictive scores was compared by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. RESULTS: A total of 659 cases were included. Seventeen cases had en-route complications (2.6%). The complication rate in physician-escorted transport (2.2%) was similar to that in nurse-escorted transport (2.6%). None of the 57 intubated cases had en-route complications. The area under the ROC curve for MEWS was 0.662 (triage) and 0.479 (departure). The accuracy of MEWS at triage was better than that at departure (P = .049). The area under the ROC curve for HOTEL was 0.613 (triage) and 0.597 (departure), and that for SCS was 0.6 (triage) and 0.568 (departure). In general, the predictive scores at triage were better than those on departure. CONCLUSION: None of the scores had good accuracy in prediction of en-route complications during IFT. MEWS at triage was among the best one already but was not ideal.

Investigation of availability and accessibility of community automated external defibrillators in a territory in Hong Kong.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the availability and accessibility of community automated external defibrillators in a territory in Hong Kong. DESIGN: Cross-sectional study. SETTING: Two public hospitals in New Territories West Cluster in Hong Kong. PARTICIPANTS: Information about the locations of community automated external defibrillators was obtained from automated external defibrillator suppliers and through community search. Data on locations of out-of-hospital cardiac arrests from August 2010 to September 2013 were obtained from the local cardiac arrest registry of the emergency departments of two hospitals. Sites of both automated external defibrillators and out-of-hospital cardiac arrests were geographically coded and mapped. The number of out-of-hospital cardiac arrests within 100 m of automated external defibrillators per year and the proportion of out-of-hospital cardiac arrests with accessible automated external defibrillators (100 m) were calculated. The number of community automated external defibrillators per 10,000 population and public access defibrillation rate were also calculated and compared with those in other countries. RESULTS: There were a total of 207 community automated external defibrillators in the territory. The number of automated external defibrillators per 10,000 population was 1.942. All facilities with automated external defibrillators in this territory had more than 0.2 out-of-hospital cardiac arrests per automated external defibrillator per year within 100 m. Among all out-of-hospital cardiac arrests, 25.2% could have an automated external defibrillator reachable within 100 m. The public access defibrillation rate was 0.168%. CONCLUSIONS: The number and accessibility of community automated external defibrillators in this territory are comparable to those in other developed countries. The placement site of community automated external defibrillators is cost-effective. However, the public access defibrillation rate is low.

Comparison of different intubation techniques performed inside a moving ambulance: a manikin study.

OBJECTIVE. Airway management and endotracheal intubation may be required urgently when a patient deteriorates in an ambulance or aircraft during interhospital transfer or in a prehospital setting. The objectives of this study were: (1) to compare the effectiveness of conventional intubation by Macintosh laryngoscope in a moving ambulance versus that in a static ambulance; and (2) to compare the effectiveness of inverse intubation and GlideScope laryngoscopy with conventional intubation inside a moving ambulance. DESIGN. Comparative experimental study. SETTING. The experiment was conducted in an ambulance provided by the Auxiliary Medical Service in Hong Kong. PARTICIPANTS. A group of 22 doctors performed endotracheal intubation on manikins with Macintosh laryngoscope in a static and moving ambulance. In addition, they performed conventional Macintosh intubation, inverse intubation with Macintosh laryngoscope, and GlideScope intubation in a moving ambulance in both normal and simulated difficult airways. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES. The primary outcome was the rate of successful intubation. The secondary outcomes were time taken for intubation, subjective glottis visualisation grading, and eventful intubation (oesophageal intubation, intubation time >60 seconds, and incisor breakage) with different techniques or devices. RESULTS. In normal airways, conventional Macintosh intubation in a static ambulance (95.5%), conventional intubation in a moving ambulance (95.5%), as well as GlideScope intubation in a moving ambulance (95.5%) were associated with high success rates; the success rate of inverse intubation was comparatively low (54.5%; P=0.004). In difficult airways, conventional Macintosh intubation in a static ambulance (86.4%), conventional intubation in a moving ambulance (90.9%), and GlideScope intubation in a moving ambulance (100%) were associated with high success rates; the success rate of inverse intubation was comparatively lower (40.9%; P=0.034). CONCLUSIONS. En-route intubation in an ambulance by conventional Macintosh laryngoscopy is superior to inverse intubation unless the cephalad access is impossible. GlideScope laryngoscopy appears to be associated with lower rates of eventful intubation in difficult airways and has better laryngoscopic view versus inverse intubation.