Predicting outcomes in older patients undergoing vascular surgery using the Hospital Frailty Risk Score.

BACKGROUND: Frailty may explain why some older patients having vascular surgery are at high risk of adverse outcomes. The Hospital Frailty Risk Score (HFRS) has been designed specifically for use with administrative data and has three categories of frailty risk (low, intermediate and high). The aim of this study was to evaluate the HFRS in predicting mortality, and hospital use in older patients undergoing vascular surgery. METHODS: Routinely collected hospital data linked to death records were analysed for all patients aged 75 years or older who had undergone either endovascular or open vascular surgery between 2010 and 2012 in New South Wales, Australia. Multilevel logistic regression models were used to compare outcomes adjusted for patient and procedural factors, with and without frailty. RESULTS: Some 9752 patients were identified, of whom 1719 (17·6 per cent) had a high-risk HFRS. Patients in the high-risk frailty category had an adjusted odds ratio for death by 30 days after surgery of 4·15 (95 per cent c.i. 2·99 to 5·76) compared with those in the low-risk frailty category, and a similarly increased odds of death by 2 years (odds ratio 4·27, 3·69 to 4·95). Adding the HFRS to a model adjusted for age, sex, co-morbidity score, socioeconomic status, previous hospitalization and vascular procedure type improved the prediction of 2-year mortality and prolonged hospital stay, but there was minimal improvement for 30-day mortality and readmission. CONCLUSION: Adjusting for the HFRS in addition to other patient and procedural risk factors provided greater discrimination of outcomes in this cohort of older patients undergoing vascular surgery.

Exploring disparities in acute myocardial infarction events between Aboriginal and non-Aboriginal Australians: roles of age, gender, geography and area-level disadvantage.

We investigated disparities in rates of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) between Aboriginal and non-Aboriginal people in the 199 Statistical Local Areas (SLAs) in New South Wales, Australia. Using routinely collected and linked hospital and mortality data from 2002 to 2007, we developed multilevel Poisson regression models to estimate the relative rates of first AMI events in the study period accounting for area of residence. Rates of AMI in Aboriginal people were more than two times that in non-Aboriginal people, with the disparity greatest in more disadvantaged and remote areas. AMI rates in Aboriginal people varied significantly by SLA, as did the Aboriginal to non-Aboriginal rate ratio. We identified almost 30 priority areas for universal and targeted preventive interventions that had both high rates of AMI for Aboriginal people and large disparities in rates.

OS010. Use of retinal imaging to characterise physiological vascularchanges throughout pregnancy.

INTRODUCTION: Visualisation of the microcirculation through retinal imaging can provide information on the health of systemic vasculature. Characterisation of the retinal vasculature throughout pregnancy using retinal imaging is a novel approach to examine physiological changes to the cardiovascular system, and may be useful to predict early pathophysiological signs of adverse maternal outcomes. OBJECTIVES: To characterise the retinal vascular and blood pressure (BP) changes that occur throughout a healthy pregnancy. METHODS: Data was collected from women recruited at 13±2 weeks of gestation from Royal Prince Alfred Hospital, a major tertiary referral hospital in Sydney, Australia. Retinal images centred on the optic disc and BP readings were collected throughout pregnancy. Postnatal data was collected from medical records, and women with hypertensive disorders of pregnancy and gestational diabetes mellitus were excluded. This left a final group of 19 women. Retinal images from 13±2, 19±2, 29±2 and 38±2 weeks gestation were graded using semi-automated retinal vascular calibre measurement (IVAN) software and the central retinal arteriolar equivalent (CRAE), and central retinal venular equivalent (CRVE). BP data was collected at the same time points as the retinal images. Analysis of data was performed using paired t-tests and repeated measures analysis of variance (ANOVA). Women with missing data points were excluded from the analysis at the relevant time points. RESULTS: Over the course of pregnancy, there was a significant dilatation of retinal arterioles between 13±2 and 19±2weeks (from 166.4 to 172.7µm, SE: 3.7µm, n=19, p=0.01), corresponding to a significant fall in diastolic BP during this time (from 64.6 to 60.2mmHg, SE: 1.5mmHg, p=0.01). No significant changes in venular diameter or systolic BP were noted. Between 19±2 and 29±2weeks (n=4), no significant changes to retinal arteriolar or venular diameter were seen although there were significant increases in both systolic and diastolic BP (SBP: from 100.3 to 109.9mmHg, SE: 1.9mmHg, p=0.01; DBP: from 59.3 to 64.6mmHg, SE: 6.9mmHg, p=0.01). Between 29±2 and 38±2weeks (n=3), no significant changes in retinal arteriolar, and venular diameter or BP were observed. CONCLUSION: An increase in retinal arteriolar diameter between 13±2 and 19±2 weeks gestation was observed, which corresponded to a decrease in both systolic and diastolic BP. However, between 19±2 and 29±2 weeks there was no change in vasculature, even though there was a significant increase in BP. By characterising the changes to retinal vessels that occur throughout a healthy pregnancy, we can further our understanding of the response of the systemic vasculature to pregnancy, which may provide clues to early vascular disease of pregnancies.

OS016. Retinal vascular changes in hypertensive disorders of pregnancy.

INTRODUCTION: Hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDP) are characterised by vascular dysfunction. Retinal vascular imaging is a novel, non-invasive way to characterise early microvascular changes in pregnancy, and as a result has the potential to be used to predict the onset of HDP. OBJECTIVES: To characterise retinal vascular changes that occur in HDP, and compare these changes to those in healthy pregnancies. METHODS: Women were recruited at 13±2 weeks of gestation from Royal Prince Alfred Hospital, a major metropolitan tertiary referral hospital in Sydney, Australia. Retinal images centred on the optic disc and blood pressure (BP) readings were collected at 13±2, 19±2, 29±2 and 38±2 weeks gestation. Retinal images were graded using semi-automated retinal vascular calibre measurement software (IVAN) and the central retinal arteriolar equivalent (CRAE) and central retinal venular equivalent (CRVE) were calculated. Within and between subject repeat measures analysis was performed on images from each trimester, using paired t-tests and repeated measures analysis of variance (ANOVA). Multiple linear regressions were used to model the average arteriole diameter adjusted for age, tobacco consumption and body mass index (BMI). All tests were two-sided using a 5% level of significance. A clinical diagnosis of HDP was obtained from postnatal medical record data. Women with missing data points were excluded from the analysis at that time point. RESULTS: Of the 39 women included in the study, 6 (15%) were diagnosed with HDP. In the HDP cohort, repeated measures ANOVA revealed no significant changes in arteriolar or venular diameter measurements throughout pregnancy. Paired t-tests indicated no significant differences in any of the outcome measures between HDP and healthy pregnancies at 13±2 (n=36) and 19±2 (n=39)weeks. At 29±2weeks (n=39), there was a significantly smaller venular diameter in HDP pregnancies (220.4±6.9µm vs 239.1± 5.4µm in healthy pregnancies, p=0.03). At 38±2weeks (n=39), arteriolar diameter was significantly smaller in HDP pregnancies (148.6±6.0µm vs 164.1±4.6µm in healthy pregnancies, p=0.04). Similar results persisted following adjustments for cardiovascular risk factors (age, tobacco use and BMI). CONCLUSION: Significant differences in the retinal vasculature develop in HDP as compared to healthy pregnancies. These differences appear at29±2weeks gestation and persist throughout the rest of the pregnancy. Retinal vascular imaging is a promising tool for the detection of the early microvascular changes in HDP, prior to diagnosis.

Single Question in Delirium (SQiD): testing its efficacy against psychiatrist interview, the Confusion Assessment Method and the Memorial Delirium Assessment Scale.

UNLABELLED: In this study we address the research question; How sensitive is a single question in delirium case finding? Of 33 'target' admissions, consent was obtained from 21 patients. The single question: 'Do you think [name of patient] has been more confused lately?' was put to friend or family. Results of the Single Question in Delirium (SQiD) were compared to psychiatrist interview (ΨI) which was the reference standard. The Confusion Assessment Method (CAM) and two other tools were also applied. Compared with ΨI, the SQiD achieved a sensitivity and specificity of 80% (95% CI 28.3-99.49%) and 71% (41.90-91.61%) respectively. The CAM demonstrated a negative predictive value (NPV) of 80% (51.91-95.67%) and the SQiD showed a NPV of 91% (58.72-99.77%). Kappa correlation of SQiD with the ΨI was 0.431 (p = 0.023). The CAM had a kappa value of 0.37 (p = 0.050). A further important finding in our study was that the CAM had only 40% sensitivity in the hands of minimally trained clinical users. CONCLUSION: The SQiD demonstrates potential as a simple clinical tool worthy or further investigation.

Laparoscopic hysterectomy in the presence of previous caesarean section: a review of one hundred forty-one cases in the Sydney West Advanced Pelvic Surgery Unit.

OBJECTIVE: To examine whether laparoscopic hysterectomy is safe in the presence of previous caesarean section (CS). DESIGN: Canadian Task Force Classification II-2. SETTING: Laparoscopic hysterectomies performed for nonmalignant conditions by 7 gynecologic surgeons in public and private hospitals in Western Sydney. PATIENTS: Data were collected from January 2001 through December 2007, involving 574 patients, of which 141 patients had 1 or more previous CS. INTERVENTION: Laparoscopic hysterectomy. MEASUREMENTS: Conversions to laparotomy and major intraoperative and postoperative complications (within 6 weeks of surgery) were recorded and compared between cohorts of patients with and without previous caesarean sections. MAIN RESULTS: Of the 574 laparoscopic hysterectomies identified, 141 (24.6%) patients had at least 1 previous CS. Most women with previous CS had only 1 CS (51.8%), whereas 13.5% had 3 or more CS. The overall major complication rate among patients undergoing laparoscopic hysterectomy was 10.1%. The most common complication was hemorrhage (7.3% of patients) and inadvertent cystotomy (2.1%). The rate of major complications varied between the CS and non-CS groups. Among the non-CS group, the complication rate was 8.8%, whereas the complication rate among the CS group was 14.2%. The rate of inadvertent cystotomy in the group with no previous CS was 5 in 433 patients (1.2%). The rate of bladder complications showed an increase with the number of previous CS: 2.5% of patients with 1 or 2 previous CS and 21.1% of patients with 3 or more previous CS. The rate of inadvertent cystotomy in patients with 3 or more CS was 18 times that of patients with no CS (95% CI 5.1, 66.0). Twenty-four (5.5%) patients without previous CS and 15 (10.6%) patients with previous CS required conversion to laparotomy because of dense bladder or bowel adhesions. CONCLUSION: Laparoscopic hysterectomy in the setting of previous CS is recommended because long-term sequelae are rare. There are higher rates of major complications in patients undergoing laparoscopic hysterectomy with previous CS; the higher the number of previous CS, the higher the rate of complications. The most significant increase is seen in patients with more than 2 previous CS.