Dengue versus COVID-19: comparing the incidence of cardiovascular, neuropsychiatric and autoimmune complications.

BACKGROUND: While persistence of chronic symptoms following dengue infection has been documented in small prospective cohorts, population-based studies are limited. The post-acute risk of new-incident multi-systemic complications following dengue infection was contrasted against that following severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection in a multi-ethnic adult Asian population. METHODS: National testing and healthcare claims that databases in Singapore were utilized to build a retrospective population-based adult cohort with laboratory-confirmed infection during overlapping waves of SARS-CoV-2 and dengue transmission (1 July 2021 to 31 October 2022). Risks of new-incident cardiovascular/neuropsychiatric/autoimmune complications 31-300 days of post-dengue infection, contrasted with SARS-CoV-2 infection, were estimated using Cox regression with overlap weights. Risks were reported in terms of adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) and excess burden per 1000 persons. RESULTS: 11 707 dengue-infected individuals and 1 248 326 contemporaneous coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases were included; the majority had mild initial infection not requiring hospitalization. Amongst dengue-infected individuals, there was 21% [aHR = 1.21 (1.06-1.38)] increased risk of any sequelae, with 55% [aHR = 1.55 (1.27-1.89)] increased risk of cardiovascular sequelae. Specifically, increased risk of dysrhythmias [aHR = 1.79(1.35-2.37)], ischemic heart disease [aHR = 1.45(1.12-1.89)], other cardiac disorders [aHR = 2.21(1.54-3.16)] and thrombotic disorders [aHR = 2.55(1.50-4.35)] was noted. Elevated risk of individual neuropsychiatric sequelae, including cerebrovascular disorders [aHR = 1.49(1.09-2.13)], cognition/memory disorders [aHR = 2.13(1.55-2.93)], extrapyramidal/movement disorders [aHR = 1.98(1.33-2.94)] and anxiety disorders [aHR = 1.61(1.01-2.56)], was observed in dengue-infected individuals compared to COVID-19 cases. Elevated risks of post-acute sequelae in dengue survivors were observed when contrasted against COVID-19 survivors infected during Delta/Omicron predominance, as well as across vaccination strata. CONCLUSION: Increased risk of post-acute cardiovascular/neuropsychiatric complications was observed in dengue survivors, when contrasted against COVID-19 survivors infected during Delta/Omicron predominance.

Intravenous fluid therapy in hospitalized adult dengue patients without shock: Impact on subsequent severe dengue and potential adverse effects.

There is a lack of evidence on the optimal administration of intravenous (IV) fluids in hospitalized adult dengue patients without compensated and hypotensive shock. This study utilized a well-established cohort of dengue patients to compare risks of progressing to severe dengue (SD) over time for patients who were administered IV fluid versus others who were not. We included adult patients (n = 4781) who were hospitalized for dengue infection from 2005 to 2008. Cases were patients who developed SD (n = 689) and controls were patients who did not up until discharge (n = 4092). We estimated the hazard ratios (HRs) and risk of SD over time between groups administered different volumes of IV fluids versus the no IV fluid comparison group using Cox models with time-dependent covariates. The doubly-robust estimation approach was used to control for the propensity of fluid administration given clinical characteristics of patients. Subgroup analyses by age, sex, and dengue warning signs before IV fluid administration were conducted. High (>2000 mL/day) IV fluids volume was associated with a higher risk of development of SD for those who had warning signs (HR: 1.77 [1.05-2.97], p: 0.0713) and for those below 55 years old (HR: 1.53 [1.04-2.25], p: 0.0713). Low (<1000 mL/day) IV fluids volume was protective against SD for patients without warning signs (HR: 0.757 [0.578-0.990], p: 0.0883), no lethargy (HR: 0.770 [0.600-0.998], p: 0.0847), and females (HR: 0.711 [0.516-0.980], p: 0.0804). Over the course of hospitalization, there were no significant differences in IV fluid administration and SD risk in most subgroups, except in those who experienced lethargy and were administered IV fluid volume or quantity. Administering high volumes of IV fluids may be associated with an increased risk of SD during hospitalization for adult dengue patients without shock. Judicious use of IV fluids as supportive therapy is warranted.

A Nationwide Cohort Study of Delta and Omicron SARS-CoV-2 Outcomes in Vaccinated Individuals With Chronic Lung Disease.

BACKGROUND: Individuals with chronic lung disease (CLD) are more susceptible to respiratory viral infections; however, significant heterogeneity exists in the literature on CLD and COVID-19 outcomes. Data are lacking on outcomes with newer variants (eg, Omicron) and in vaccinated and boosted populations. RESEARCH QUESTION: What are the outcomes of SARS-CoV-2 infection in individuals with CLD during Delta and Omicron transmission in a highly vaccinated and boosted population-based cohort? STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: Outcomes of Delta and Omicron SARS-CoV-2 infection in a highly vaccinated and boosted cohort of adult Singaporeans with CLD (including asthma, COPD, bronchiectasis, and pulmonary fibrosis) were contrasted against matched population control participants. Calendar time-scale Cox regressions were used to compare risk of infection, COVID-19-related hospitalizations, and severe COVID-19 disease, adjusting for sociodemographic factors and comorbidities. RESULTS: Overall, 68,782 individual patients with CLD and 534,364 matched population control participants were included. By the end of the Omicron wave, 92.7% of patients with CLD were boosted. Compared with control participants, patients with CLD showed higher risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection, COVID-19-related hospitalization, and severe COVID-19 during both the Delta wave (infection: adjusted hazards ratio [aHR], 1.22 [95% CI, 1.17-1.28]; hospitalization: aHR, 1.76 [95% CI, 1.61-1.92]; severe COVID-19: aHR, 1.75 [95% CI, 1.50-2.05]) and Omicron wave (infection: aHR, 1.15 [95% CI, 1.14-1.17]; hospitalization: aHR, 1.82 [95% CI, 1.74-1.91]; severe COVID-19: aHR, 2.39 [95% CI, 2.18-2.63]). During Omicron, significantly higher risk of infection, hospitalization, and severe COVID-19 was observed among patients with asthma (severe COVID-19: aHR, 1.31 [95% CI, 1.10-1.55]) and COPD (severe COVID-19: aHR, 1.36 [95% CI, 1.12-1.66]) compared with control participants. Severe exacerbation (requiring hospitalization) in the preceding year was associated with higher risk of poorer outcomes (Delta severe COVID-19: aHR, 9.84 [95% CI, 6.33-15.28]; Omicron severe COVID-19: aHR, 19.22 [95% CI, 15.35-24.06]). Risk was attenuated in the boosted group, with numerically lower HRs against hospitalization and severe COVID-19 in the four-dose group compared with the three-dose group. INTERPRETATION: Increased risk of COVID-19-related hospitalization and severe COVID-19 was observed among patients with CLD compared with matched population control participants during Delta and Omicron predominance. Boosting attenuated serious COVID-19 outcomes.

Feasibility of wastewater-based detection of emergent pandemics through a global network of airports.

Wastewater-based surveillance has been put into practice during the pandemic. Persistence of SARS-CoV-2 in faeces of infected individuals, and high volume of passengers travelling by air, make it possible to detect virus from aircraft wastewater, lending itself to the potential identification of a novel pathogen prior to clinical diagnosis. In this study, we estimated the likelihood of detecting the virus through aircraft wastewater from the probabilities of air travel, viral shedding, defecation, testing sensitivity, and sampling. We considered various hypothetical scenarios, with diverse sampling proportions of inbound flights, surveillance airports, and sources of outbreaks. Our calculations showed that the probability of detecting SARS-CoV-2 would increase exponentially against time in the early phase of the pandemic, and would be much higher if the 20 major airports in Asia, Europe, and North America cooperated to perform aircraft wastewater surveillance. We also found other contributors to early detection, including high sampling proportion of inbound flight at destination airports, small population size of the epicentre relative to the travel volume, and large volume of outbound travelers to major airports around the globe. We concluded that routine aircraft wastewater monitoring could be a feasible approach for early identification and tracking of an emerging pathogen with high faecal shedding rates, particularly when implemented through a global surveillance network of major airports.

Long-term Cardiovascular, Cerebrovascular, and Other Thrombotic Complications in COVID-19 Survivors: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Growing evidence suggests that some coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) survivors experience a wide range of long-term postacute sequelae. We examined the postacute risk and burden of new-incident cardiovascular, cerebrovascular, and other thrombotic complications after severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection in a highly vaccinated multiethnic Southeast Asian population, during Delta predominance. METHODS: This cohort study used national testing and healthcare claims databases in Singapore to build a cohort of individuals who had a positive SARS-CoV-2 test between 1 September and 30 November 2021 when Delta predominated community transmission. Concurrently, we constructed a test-negative control group by enrolling individuals between 13 April 2020 and 31 December 2022 with no evidence of SARS-CoV-2 infection. Participants in both groups were followed up for a median of 300 days. We estimated risks of new-incident cardiovascular, cerebrovascular, and other thrombotic complications using doubly robust competing-risks survival analysis. Risks were reported using 2 measures: hazard ratio (HR) and excess burden (EB) with 95% confidence intervals. RESULTS: We included 106 012 infected cases and 1 684 085 test-negative controls. Compared with the control group, individuals with COVID-19 exhibited increased risk (HR, 1.157 [1.069-1.252]) and excess burden (EB, 0.70 [.53-.88]) of new-incident cardiovascular and cerebrovascular complications. Risks decreased in a graded fashion for fully vaccinated (HR, 1.11 [1.02-1.22]) and boosted (HR, 1.10 [.92-1.32]) individuals. Conversely, risks and burdens of subsequent cardiovascular/cerebrovascular complications increased for hospitalized and severe COVID-19 cases (compared to nonhospitalized cases). CONCLUSIONS: Increased risks and excess burdens of new-incident cardiovascular/cerebrovascular complications were reported among infected individuals; risks can be attenuated with vaccination and boosting.

Long-term neuropsychiatric sequelae of Delta versus Omicron SARS-CoV-2 infection.

OBJECTIVES: Studies have reported increased rates of long-term neuropsychiatric sequelae after SARS-CoV-2 infection using electronic health-record (EHR) data; however, the majority were conducted before Omicron and booster rollout. We estimated the long-term risks and excess burdens of pre-specified new-incident neuropsychiatric diagnoses after Delta versus Omicron BA.1/2 infection in a highly-vaccinated and boosted cohort of adult Singaporeans. METHODS: The national SARS-CoV-2 testing registry was used to construct cohorts of Singaporean adults infected during periods of Delta and Omicron BA.1/2 predominance and a contemporaneous test-negative control group. New-incident neuropsychiatric diagnoses recorded in the national health care claims database were identified up to 300 days postinfection. Risks and excess burden were estimated using a doubly robust competing-risks survival analysis. RESULTS: 104 179 and 375 903 infected cases were assigned to Delta and Omicron cohorts and compared against test-negative controls (Delta: N = 666 575 and Omicron: N = 619 379). Elevated risk of cognition or memory disorders was consistently reported across Omicron (Adjusted hazards ratio [aHR], 1.24; 95% CI, 1.12-1.38) and Delta cohorts (aHR, 1.63; 95% CI, 1.39-1.92). Delta-variant infection was associated with an increased risk of anosmia or dysgeusia (aHR, 4.53; 95% CI, 2.78-7.41) and psychosis (aHR, 1.65; 95% CI, 1.22-2.22). By contrast, Omicron-variant infection was associated with a risk of abnormal involuntary movements (aHR, 1.93; 95% CI, 1.32-2.83). Risks of neuropsychiatric sequelae predominantly accrued in hospitalized individuals. DISCUSSIONS: A modestly increased risk of cognition and memory disorders at 300 days after SARS-CoV-2 infection was observed among adult Singaporeans infected during the Delta/Omicron BA.1/2 transmission. There was no overall increased risk of neuropsychiatric sequelae observed across other domains. Variant-specific differences were also observed in individual neuropsychiatric sequelae, including an elevated risk of anosmia or dysgeusia after Delta-variant infection.

Third dose of BNT162b2 improves immune response in liver transplant recipients to ancestral strain but not Omicron BA.1 and XBB.

Vaccine immunogenicity in transplant recipients can be impacted by the immunosuppressive (IS) regimens they receive. While BNT162b2 vaccination has been shown to induce an immune response in liver transplant recipients (LTRs), it remains unclear how different IS regimens may affect vaccine immunogenicity after a third BNT162b2 dose in LTRs, which is especially important given the emergence of the Omicron sublineages of SARS-CoV-2. A total of 95 LTRs receiving single and multiple IS regimens were recruited and offered three doses of BNT162b2 during the study period. Blood samples were collected on days 0, 90, and 180 after the first BNT162b2 dose. At each time point, levels of anti-spike antibodies, their neutralizing activity, and specific memory B and T cell responses were assessed. LTRs receiving single IS regimens showed an absence of poor immunogenicity, while LTRs receiving multiple IS regimens showed lower levels of spike-specific antibodies and immunological memory compared to vaccinated healthy controls after two doses of BNT162b2. With a third dose of BNT162b2, spike-specific humoral, memory B, and T cell responses in LTR significantly improved against the ancestral strain of SARS-CoV-2 and were comparable to those seen in healthy controls who received only two doses of BNT162b2. However, LTRs receiving multiple IS regimens still showed poor antibody responses against Omicron sublineages BA.1 and XBB. A third dose of BNT162b2 may be beneficial in boosting antibody, memory B, and T cell responses in LTRs receiving multiple IS regimens, especially against the ancestral Wuhan strain of SARS-CoV-2. However, due to the continued vulnerability of LTRs to presently circulating Omicron variants, antiviral treatments such as medications need to be considered to prevent severe COVID-19 in these individuals.

Hospital Pharmacists and Antimicrobial Stewardship: A Qualitative Analysis.

Antimicrobial stewardship programmes (ASPs) in hospitals are predominantly led by specific ASP physicians and pharmacists. Limited studies have been conducted to appreciate non-ASP-trained hospital pharmacists' perspectives on their roles in antimicrobial stewardship. Focus group discussions (FGDs) were conducted with 74 pharmacists, purposively sampled from the 3 largest acute-care public hospitals in Singapore, to explore facilitators and barriers faced by them in antimicrobial stewardship. Applied thematic analysis was conducted and codes were categorised using the social-ecological model (SEM). At the intrapersonal level, pharmacists identified themselves as reviewers for drug safety before dispensing, confining to a restricted advisory role due to lack of clinical knowledge, experience, and empowerment to contribute actively to physicians' prescribing decisions. At the interpersonal level, pharmacists expressed difficulties conveying their opinions and recommendations on antibiotic therapy to physicians despite frequent communications, but they assumed critical roles as educators for patients and their caregivers on proper antibiotic use. At the organisational level, in-house antibiotic guidelines supported pharmacists' antibiotic interventions and recommendations. At the community level, pharmacists were motivated to improve low public awareness and knowledge on antibiotic use and antimicrobial resistance. These findings provide important insights into the gaps to be addressed in order to harness the untapped potential of hospital pharmacists and fully engage them in antimicrobial stewardship.

Differentiating coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) from influenza and dengue.

The novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) presents with non-specific clinical features. This may result in misdiagnosis or delayed diagnosis, and lead to further transmission in the community. We aimed to derive early predictors to differentiate COVID-19 from influenza and dengue. The study comprised 126 patients with COVID-19, 171 with influenza and 180 with dengue, who presented within 5 days of symptom onset. All cases were confirmed by reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction tests. We used logistic regression models to identify demographics, clinical characteristics and laboratory markers in classifying COVID-19 versus influenza, and COVID-19 versus dengue. The performance of each model was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Shortness of breath was the strongest predictor in the models for differentiating between COVID-19 and influenza, followed by diarrhoea. Higher lymphocyte count was predictive of COVID-19 versus influenza and versus dengue. In the model for differentiating between COVID-19 and dengue, patients with cough and higher platelet count were at increased odds of COVID-19, while headache, joint pain, skin rash and vomiting/nausea were indicative of dengue. The cross-validated area under the ROC curve for all four models was above 0.85. Clinical features and simple laboratory markers for differentiating COVID-19 from influenza and dengue are identified in this study which can be used by primary care physicians in resource limited settings to determine if further investigations or referrals would be required.

Diagnostic performance of COVID-19 serological assays during early infection: A systematic review and meta-analysis of 11 516 samples.

OBJECTIVE: The use of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) serological testing to diagnose acute infection or determine population seroprevalence relies on understanding assay accuracy during early infection. We aimed to evaluate the diagnostic performance of serological testing in COVID-19 by providing summary sensitivity and specificity estimates with time from symptom onset. METHODS: A systematic search of Ovid MEDLINE, Embase, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL) and PubMed was performed up to May 13, 2020. All English language, original peer-reviewed publications reporting the diagnostic performance of serological testing vis-à-vis virologically confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection were included. RESULTS: Our search yielded 599 unique publications. A total of 39 publications reporting 11 516 samples from 8872 human participants met eligibility criteria for inclusion in our study. Pooled percentages of IgM and IgG seroconversion by Day 7, 14, 21, 28 and after Day 28 were 37.5%, 73.3%, 81.3%, 72.3% and 73.3%, and 35.4%, 80.6%, 93.3%, 84.4% and 98.9%, respectively. By Day 21, summary estimate of IgM sensitivity was 0.872 (95% CI: 0.784-0.928) and specificity 0.973 (95% CI: 0.938-0.988), while IgG sensitivity was 0.913 (95% CI: 0.823-0.959) and specificity 0.960 (95% CI: 0.919-0.980). On meta-regression, IgM and IgG test accuracy was significantly higher at Day 14 using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) compared to other methods. CONCLUSIONS: Serological assays offer imperfect sensitivity for the diagnosis of acute SARS-CoV-2 infection. Estimates of population seroprevalence during or shortly after an outbreak will need to adjust for the delay between infection, symptom onset and seroconversion.

Predictors for development of critical illness amongst older adults with COVID-19: Beyond age to age-associated factors.

INTRODUCTION: Older adults with COVID-19 have disproportionately higher rates of severe disease and mortality. It is unclear whether this is attributable to age or attendant age-associated risk factors. This retrospective cohort study aims to characterize hospitalized older adults and examine if comorbidities, frailty and acuity of clinical presentation exert an age-independent effect on COVID-19 severity. METHODS: We studied 275 patients admitted to the National Centre of Infectious Disease, Singapore. We measured: 1)Charlson Comorbidity Index(CCI) as burden of comorbidities; 2)Clinical Frailty Scale(CFS) and Frailty Index(FI); and 3)initial acuity. We studied characteristics and outcomes of critical illness, stratified by age groups (50-59,60-69 and ≥70). We conducted hierarchical logistic regression in primary model(N = 262, excluding direct admissions to intensive care unit) and sensitivity analysis(N = 275): age and gender in base model, entering CCI, frailty (CFS or FI) and initial acuity sequentially. RESULTS: The ≥70 age group had highest CCI(p<.001), FI(p<.001) and CFS(p<.001), and prevalence of geriatric syndromes (polypharmacy,53.5%; urinary symptoms,37.5%; chronic pain,23.3% and malnutrition,23.3%). Thirty-two (11.6%) developed critical illness. In the primary regression model, age was not predictive for critical illness when a frailty predictor was added. Significant predictors in the final model (AUC 0.809) included male gender (p=.012), CFS (p=.038), and high initial acuity (p=.021) but not CCI or FI. In sensitivity analysis, FI (p=.028) but not CFS was significant. CONCLUSIONS: In hospitalized older adults with COVID-19, geriatric syndromes are not uncommon. Acuity of clinical presentation and frailty are important age-independent predictors of disease severity. CFS and FI provide complimentary information in predicting interval disease progression and rapid disease progression respectively.

The Associations between Poor Antibiotic and Antimicrobial Resistance Knowledge and Inappropriate Antibiotic Use in the General Population Are Modified by Age.

OBJECTIVES: Understanding factors influencing inappropriate antibiotic use can guide the design of interventions to improve antibiotic practices and reduce antimicrobial resistance (AMR). METHODS: A nationally representative cross-sectional survey (N = 2004) was conducted between November 2020 and January 2021. Knowledge of antibiotic use and AMR using the World Health Organization's Multi-Country AMR Survey questionnaire, and antibiotic practices were examined. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to identify factors associated with inappropriate antibiotic use and examine effect measure modifications. RESULTS: After adjusting for potential confounding, poor knowledge of antibiotic use was associated with a 3x increased odds of inappropriate antibiotic use in adults aged ≥50 years (aOR 3.11, 95% CI [2.24-4.32]), 5× increased odds in those aged 35-49 years (aOR 4.88, 95% CI [3.32-7.16]), and 7× increased odds in those aged 21-34 years (aOR 6.58, 95% CI [4.19-10.33]). While there was no statistically significant association in adults aged ≥50 years, poor knowledge of AMR increased the odds of inappropriate antibiotic use by 4 times in adults aged 35-49 years (aOR 3.73, 95% CI [1.53-9.11]) and 5 times in those aged 21-34 years (aOR 4.90, 95% CI [1.84-13.02]). CONCLUSIONS: Targeted educational interventions for specific age groups are needed in conjunction with empowering the public with knowledge of antibiotic use and AMR.

Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19): The Singapore Experience. A Review of the First Eight Months.

As of 27 October 2020, there have been 57,980 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Singapore, with 28 fatalities. To summarise the Singapore experience in managing and containing COVID-19 based on available published data and from relevant sources, a review of literature using research databases such as PubMed and OVID Medline, along with non-peer-reviewed articles and other sources, was conducted with the search terms 'COVID-19' and 'Singapore'. Research conducted in Singapore has provided insight into the clinical manifestations and period of infectivity of COVID-19, demonstrated evidence of pre-symptomatic transmission, linked infection clusters using serological tools, and highlighted aspects of hospital-based environmental contamination. It has also provided guidance for diagnostic testing and has described immune and virologic correlates with disease severity. Evidence of effectiveness of containment measures such as early border control, rigorous contact training, and calibrated social distancing measures have also been demonstrated. Singapore's multipronged strategy has been largely successful at containing COVID-19 and minimising fatalities, but the risk of re-emergence is high.

Neurology of COVID-19 in Singapore.

PURPOSE: To describe the spectrum of COVID-19 neurology in Singapore. METHOD: We prospectively studied all microbiologically-confirmed COVID-19 patients in Singapore, who were referred for any neurological complaint within three months of COVID-19 onset. Neurological diagnoses and relationship to COVID-19 was made by consensus guided by contemporaneous literature, refined using recent case definitions. RESULTS: 47,572 patients (median age 34 years, 98% males) were diagnosed with COVID-19 in Singapore between 19 March to 19 July 2020. We identified 90 patients (median age 38, 98.9% males) with neurological disorders; 39 with varying certainty of relationship to COVID-19 categorised as: i) Central nervous system syndromes-4 acute disseminated encephalomyelitis (ADEM) and encephalitis, ii) Cerebrovascular disorders-19 acute ischaemic stroke and transient ischaemic attack (AIS/TIA), 4 cerebral venous thrombosis (CVT), 2 intracerebral haemorrhage, iii) Peripheral nervous system-7 mono/polyneuropathies, and a novel group, iv) Autonomic nervous system-4 limited dysautonomic syndromes. Fifty-one other patients had pre/co-existent neurological conditions unrelated to COVID-19. Encephalitis/ADEM is delayed, occurring in critical COVID-19, while CVT and dysautonomia occurred relatively early, and largely in mild infections. AIS/TIA was variable in onset, occurring in patients with differing COVID-19 severity; remarkably 63.2% were asymptomatic. CVT was more frequent than expected and occurred in mild/asymptomatic patients. There were no neurological complications in all 81 paediatric COVID-19 cases. CONCLUSION: COVID-19 neurology has a wide spectrum of dysimmune-thrombotic disorders. We encountered relatively few neurological complications, probably because our outbreak involved largely young men with mild/asymptomatic COVID-19. It is also widely perceived that the pandemic did not unduly affect the Singapore healthcare system.

Blood pressure trend in hospitalized adult dengue patients.

BACKGROUND: Monitoring of blood pressure is an important part of management of dengue illness. Large scale studies of temporal trend of blood pressure in adult dengue are lacking. In this study, we examined the differences in time trend of systolic (SBP) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP) in patients with and without severe dengue (SD), dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF) and pre-existing hypertension, and elderly versus non-elderly patients. METHODS: We studied a retrospective cohort from 2005 to 2008 of 6,070 hospitalized adult dengue patients confirmed by polymerase chain reaction or clinical criteria plus positive dengue serology. Dengue severity was defined according to World Health Organization 1997 and 2009 guidelines. We used Bayesian hierarchical Markov models to compare the daily mean SBP and DBP between different subgroups. Analysis was conducted by day of defervescence (denoted as day 0), and day of illness onset (denoted as day 1) respectively. RESULTS: SBP decreased to a nadir during the critical phase before defervescence and was significantly lower for patients with SD or DHF, compared with patients without SD or DHF. DBP increased marginally more for patients with SD or DHF in the critical phase before defervescence. By day of defervescence, comparison of patients with and without SD showed significant difference in SBP from day -6 to day +6, except days +1, +3 and +5, and similarly in DBP except days 0, and +4 to +6. Comparison of patients with and without DHF showed significant difference in SBP from day -6 to day -1, but for DBP, significant difference was noted from day -6 to day +6, except day -2 to day 0. By day of illness, SBP differed significantly between patients with and without SD from illness days 1 to 10, and DBP from illness days 7 to 12. Between patients with and without DHF, SBP differed significantly on illness days 1, 2, 4 to 7, while DBP from days 7 to 12. On analysis by days of defervescence or by days of illness, elderly patients and those with hypertension showed consistently higher SBP and DBP throughout their hospitalization, as compared with their younger and non-hypertensive counterparts. CONCLUSION: In SD or DHF, SBP decreased to a nadir around the day of defervescence, and recovered to a level exceeding that in febrile phase by days 2 or 3 post-defervescence. Elderly patients and patients with pre-existing hypertension maintained higher SBP and DBP throughout the duration of dengue infection.