Left atrial function in middle-aged men and women with and without paroxysmal atrial fibrillation: Data from the Akershus Cardiac Examination (ACE) 1950 study.

PURPOSE: To assess left atrial (LA) function in individuals with known paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (AF) compared with healthy and nonhealthy individuals without atrial fibrillation. METHODS: The Akershus Cardiac Examination 1950 Study included 3,706 individuals all born in 1950. LA strain assessment of reservoir (LASr), conduit (LAScd) and contractile (LASct) functions were performed in all participants by investigators blinded to clinical data. Participants with cardiovascular disease, obesity, diabetes, pulmonary or renal disease were defined as nonhealthy, and those without as healthy. Patients with paroxysmal AF were identified through medical history and ECG documentation. RESULTS: LA strain assessment was feasible in 3,229 (87%) of the participants (50% women). The healthy group (n = 758) had significantly higher LASr and LAScd than the nonhealthy (n = 2,376), but LASct was similar between the groups. Participants with paroxysmal AF had significantly lower values of all strain parameters than the other groups. Multivariable logistic regression showed a significantly reduced probability of having AF per standard deviation increase in LASr and LASct. A nonlinear restricted cubic spline model fitted better with the association of LASr with paroxysmal AF than the linear model, and LA strain values below the population mean associated with an increased probability of having AF, but for values above the population mean no such association was present. CONCLUSION: Compared to participants without AF, those with known paroxysmal AF had significantly lower values of all LA strain parameters during sinus rhythm. Lower values of LA strain were associated with a significantly increased probability of having AF.

Prognostic Value of Cardiovascular Biomarkers in the Population.

Importance: Identification of individuals at high risk for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease within the population is important to inform primary prevention strategies. Objective: To evaluate the prognostic value of routinely available cardiovascular biomarkers when added to established risk factors. Design, Setting, and Participants: Individual-level analysis including data on cardiovascular biomarkers from 28 general population-based cohorts from 12 countries and 4 continents with assessments by participant age. The median follow-up was 11.8 years. Exposure: Measurement of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I, high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, B-type natriuretic peptide, or high-sensitivity C-reactive protein. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, which included all fatal and nonfatal events. The secondary outcomes were all-cause mortality, heart failure, ischemic stroke, and myocardial infarction. Subdistribution hazard ratios (HRs) for the association of biomarkers and outcomes were calculated after adjustment for established risk factors. The additional predictive value of the biomarkers was assessed using the C statistic and reclassification analyses. Results: The analyses included 164 054 individuals (median age, 53.1 years [IQR, 42.7-62.9 years] and 52.4% were women). There were 17 211 incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease events. All biomarkers were significantly associated with incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (subdistribution HR per 1-SD change, 1.13 [95% CI, 1.11-1.16] for high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I; 1.18 [95% CI, 1.12-1.23] for high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T; 1.21 [95% CI, 1.18-1.24] for N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide; 1.14 [95% CI, 1.08-1.22] for B-type natriuretic peptide; and 1.14 [95% CI, 1.12-1.16] for high-sensitivity C-reactive protein) and all secondary outcomes. The addition of each single biomarker to a model that included established risk factors improved the C statistic. For 10-year incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease in younger people (aged <65 years), the combination of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein resulted in a C statistic improvement from 0.812 (95% CI, 0.8021-0.8208) to 0.8194 (95% CI, 0.8089-0.8277). The combination of these biomarkers also improved reclassification compared with the conventional model. Improvements in risk prediction were most pronounced for the secondary outcomes of heart failure and all-cause mortality. The incremental value of biomarkers was greater in people aged 65 years or older vs younger people. Conclusions and Relevance: Cardiovascular biomarkers were strongly associated with fatal and nonfatal cardiovascular events and mortality. The addition of biomarkers to established risk factors led to only a small improvement in risk prediction metrics for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, but was more favorable for heart failure and mortality.

Systolic Blood Pressure, Diastolic Blood Pressure and Pulse Pressure and the Risk of Subclinical Myocardial Injury: The HUNT Study.

BACKGROUND: Subclinical myocardial injury expressed as higher cardiac troponin concentrations may represent an important intermediary between hypertension and the risk of cardiovascular disease. The study aimed to assess the relative strength of associations between systolic blood pressure (BP), diastolic BP, and pulse pressure, and subclinical myocardial injury, and how change in BP variables over time associates with subclinical myocardial injury. METHODS AND RESULTS: cTnl (cardiac troponin I) was measured in 32 968 participants of the fourth wave of the population-based cohort HUNT4 (Trøndelag Health Study) without a history of cardiovascular disease. An additional longitudinal analysis included participants from HUNT4 with BP measurements from HUNT3 (n=18 681). Associations between BP variables and cTnI concentrations were assessed by linear and logistic regression analyses. The median cTnI concentration was 1.6 ng/L (25th-75th percentiles, 0.6-3.1 ng/L), median age was 52 years (39.1-65.6 years), and 57% were female subjects. Cross-sectionally, only systolic BP categories ≥130 mm Hg associated with higher cTnI concentrations, compared with a reference systolic BP of <110 mm Hg. All categories of diastolic BP and pulse pressure were positively associated with higher cTnI concentrations when diastolic BP 70 to 79 mm Hg and pulse pressure <40 mm Hg were used as references, respectively. When comparing systolic BP, diastolic BP, and pulse pressure as continuous variables, cross-sectionally, pulse pressure most strongly associated with cTnI concentrations (P for all comparisons <0.001), whereas longitudinally, change in diastolic BP was most strongly associated with cTnI concentrations (P for all comparisons <0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Subjects with high pulse pressure and longitudinal increase in diastolic BP are at higher risk for subclinical myocardial injury.

Reference intervals of circulating secretoneurin concentrations determined in a large cohort of community dwellers: the HUNT study.

OBJECTIVES: Secretoneurin (SN) is a novel cardiac biomarker that associates with the risk of mortality and dysfunctional cardiomyocyte Ca2+ handling in heart failure patients. Reference intervals for SN are unknown. METHODS: SN was measured with a CE-marked ELISA in healthy community dwellers from the fourth wave of the Trøndelag Health Study (HUNT4) conducted in 2017-2019. The common, sex and age specific 90th, 95th, 97.5th and 99th percentiles were calculated using the non-parametric method and outlier exclusion according to the Reed test. The applicability of sex and age specific reference intervals were investigated using Harris and Boyd test. We also estimated the percentiles in a subset with normal findings on echocardiographic screening. RESULTS: The total cohort included 887 persons (56.4 % women). After echocardiographic screening 122 persons were excluded, leaving a total of 765 persons (57.8 % women). The 97.5th percentile (95 % CI in brackets) of SN was 59.7 (57.5-62.1) pmol/L in the total population and 58.6 (57.1-62.1) pmol/L after echocardiography screening. In general, slightly higher percentiles were found in women and elderly participants, but less than 4 % in these subgroups had concentrations deviating from the common 97.5th percentile. Low BMI or eGFR was also associated with higher concentrations of SN. CONCLUSIONS: Upper reference limits for SN were similar amongst healthy adult community dwellers regardless of prescreening including cardiac echocardiography or not. Women and elderly showed higher concentrations of SN, but the differences were not sufficiently large to justify age and sex stratified upper reference limits.

Mortality and length of hospital stay after bloodstream infections caused by ESBL-producing compared to non-ESBL-producing E. coli.

OBJECTIVE: To compare mortality and length of hospital stay between patients with ESBL-producing E. coli bloodstream infections (BSIs) and patients with non-ESBL E. coli BSIs. We also aimed at describing risk factors for ESBL-producing E. coli BSIs and time to effective antibiotic treatment for the two groups. METHODS: A retrospective case-control study among adults admitted between 2014 and 2021 to a Norwegian University Hospital. RESULTS: A total of 468 E. coli BSI episodes from 441 patients were included (234 BSIs each in the ESBL- and non-ESBL group). Among the ESBL-producing E. coli BSIs, 10.9% (25/230) deaths occurred within 30 days compared to 9.0% (21/234) in the non-ESBL group. The adjusted 30-day mortality OR was 1.6 (95% CI 0.7-3.7, p = 0.248). Effective antibiotic treatment was administered within 24 hours to 55.2% (129/234) in the ESBL-group compared to 86.8% (203/234) in the non-ESBL group. Among BSIs of urinary tract origin (n = 317), the median length of hospital stay increased by two days in the ESBL group (six versus four days, p < 0.001). No significant difference in the length of hospital stay was found for other sources of infection (n = 151), with a median of seven versus six days (p = 0.550) in the ESBL- and non-ESBL groups, respectively. CONCLUSION: There was no statistically significant difference in 30-day mortality in ESBL-producing E. coli compared to non-ESBL E. coli BSI, despite a delay in the administration of an effective antibiotic in the former group. ESBL-production was associated with an increased length of stay in BSIs of urinary tract origin.

Carotid Plaque Score for Stroke and Cardiovascular Risk Prediction in a Middle-Aged Cohort From the General Population.

Background We aimed to explore the predictive value of the carotid plaque score, compared with the Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation 2 (SCORE2) risk prediction algorithm, on incident ischemic stroke and major adverse cardiovascular events and establish a prognostic cutoff of the carotid plaque score. Methods and Results In the prospective ACE 1950 (Akershus Cardiac Examination 1950 study), carotid plaque score was calculated with ultrasonography at inclusion in 2012 to 2015. The largest plaque diameter in each extracranial segment of the carotid artery on both sides was scored from 0 to 3 points. The sum of points in all segments provided the carotid plaque score. The cohort was followed up by linkage to national registries for incident ischemic stroke and major adverse cardiovascular events (nonfatal ischemic stroke, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and cardiovascular death) throughout 2020. Carotid plaque score was available in 3650 (98.5%) participants, with mean±SD age of 63.9±0.64 years at inclusion. Only 462 (12.7%) participants were free of plaque, and and 970 (26.6%) had a carotid plaque score of >3. Carotid plaque score predicted ischemic stroke (hazard ratio [HR], 1.25 [95% CI, 1.15-1.36]) and major adverse cardiovascular events (HR, 1.21 [95% CI, 1.14-1.27]) after adjustment for SCORE2 and provided strong incremental prognostic information to SCORE2. The best cutoff value of carotid plaque score for ischemic stroke was >3, with positive predictive value of 2.5% and negative predictive value of 99.3%. Conclusions The carotid plaque score is a strong predictor of ischemic stroke and major adverse cardiovascular events, and it provides incremental prognostic information to SCORE2 for risk prediction. A cutoff score of >3 seems to be suitable to discriminate high-risk subjects. Registration Information clinicaltrials.gov. Identifier: NCT01555411.

Global Effect of Modifiable Risk Factors on Cardiovascular Disease and Mortality.

BACKGROUND: Five modifiable risk factors are associated with cardiovascular disease and death from any cause. Studies using individual-level data to evaluate the regional and sex-specific prevalence of the risk factors and their effect on these outcomes are lacking. METHODS: We pooled and harmonized individual-level data from 112 cohort studies conducted in 34 countries and 8 geographic regions participating in the Global Cardiovascular Risk Consortium. We examined associations between the risk factors (body-mass index, systolic blood pressure, non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, current smoking, and diabetes) and incident cardiovascular disease and death from any cause using Cox regression analyses, stratified according to geographic region, age, and sex. Population-attributable fractions were estimated for the 10-year incidence of cardiovascular disease and 10-year all-cause mortality. RESULTS: Among 1,518,028 participants (54.1% of whom were women) with a median age of 54.4 years, regional variations in the prevalence of the five modifiable risk factors were noted. Incident cardiovascular disease occurred in 80,596 participants during a median follow-up of 7.3 years (maximum, 47.3), and 177,369 participants died during a median follow-up of 8.7 years (maximum, 47.6). For all five risk factors combined, the aggregate global population-attributable fraction of the 10-year incidence of cardiovascular disease was 57.2% (95% confidence interval [CI], 52.4 to 62.1) among women and 52.6% (95% CI, 49.0 to 56.1) among men, and the corresponding values for 10-year all-cause mortality were 22.2% (95% CI, 16.8 to 27.5) and 19.1% (95% CI, 14.6 to 23.6). CONCLUSIONS: Harmonized individual-level data from a global cohort showed that 57.2% and 52.6% of cases of incident cardiovascular disease among women and men, respectively, and 22.2% and 19.1% of deaths from any cause among women and men, respectively, may be attributable to five modifiable risk factors. (Funded by the German Center for Cardiovascular Research (DZHK); ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT05466825.).

Cardiac Troponin T and NT-proBNP for Prediction of 30-Day Readmission or Death in Patients with Acute Dyspnea: Data from the Akershus Cardiac Examination 2 Study.

INTRODUCTION: N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and cardiac troponin T (cTnT) measurements are recommended in patients with acute dyspnea. We aimed to assess the prognostic merit of cTnT compared to NT-proBNP for 30-day readmission or death in patients hospitalized with acute dyspnea. METHODS: We measured cTnT and NT-proBNP within 24 h in 314 patients hospitalized with acute dyspnea and adjudicated the cause of the index admission. Time to first event of readmission or death ≤30 days after hospital discharge was recorded, and cTnT and NT-proBNP measurements were compared head-to-head. RESULTS: Patients who died (12/314) or were readmitted (71/314) within 30 days had higher cTnT concentrations (median: 32.6, Q1-Q3: 18.4-74.2 ng/L vs. median: 19.4, Q1-Q3: 8.4-36.1 ng/L; p for comparison <0.001) and NT-proBNP concentrations (median: 1,753.6, Q1-Q3: 464.2-6,862.0 ng/L vs. median 984, Q1-Q3 201-3,600 ng/L; for comparison p = 0.027) compared to patients who survived and were not readmitted. cTnT concentrations were associated with readmission or death within 30 days after discharge both in the total cohort (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]: 1.64, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.30-2.05) and in patients with heart failure (HF) (aHR: 1.58, 95% CI: 1.14-2.18). In contrast, NT-proBNP concentrations were not associated with short-term events, neither in the total cohort (aHR: 1.10, 95% CI: 0.94-1.30) nor in patients with adjudicated HF (aHR: 1.06, 95% CI: 0.80-1.40). CONCLUSION: cTnT concentrations are associated with 30-day readmission or death in patients hospitalized with acute dyspnea, as well as in patients adjudicated HF.

Trajectories of cardiac troponin in the decades before cardiovascular death: a longitudinal cohort study.

BACKGROUND: High-sensitivity cardiac troponin testing is a promising tool for cardiovascular risk prediction, but whether serial testing can dynamically predict risk is uncertain. We evaluated the trajectory of cardiac troponin I in the years prior to a cardiovascular event in the general population, and determine whether serial measurements could track risk within individuals. METHODS: In the Whitehall II cohort, high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I concentrations were measured on three occasions over a 15-year period. Time trajectories of troponin were constructed in those who died from cardiovascular disease compared to those who survived or died from other causes during follow up and these were externally validated in the HUNT Study. A joint model that adjusts for cardiovascular risk factors was used to estimate risk of cardiovascular death using serial troponin measurements. RESULTS: In 7,293 individuals (mean 58 ± 7 years, 29.4% women) cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular death occurred in 281 (3.9%) and 914 (12.5%) individuals (median follow-up 21.4 years), respectively. Troponin concentrations increased in those dying from cardiovascular disease with a steeper trajectory compared to those surviving or dying from other causes in Whitehall and HUNT (Pinteraction < 0.05 for both). The joint model demonstrated an independent association between temporal evolution of troponin and risk of cardiovascular death (HR per doubling, 1.45, 95% CI,1.33-1.75). CONCLUSIONS: Cardiac troponin I concentrations increased in those dying from cardiovascular disease compared to those surviving or dying from other causes over the preceding decades. Serial cardiac troponin testing in the general population has potential to track future cardiovascular risk.

Patterns of Cardiac Troponin I Concentrations as Risk Predictors of Cardiovascular Disease and Death: The Trøndelag Health Study.

BACKGROUND: Concentrations of cardiac troponin predict risk of cardiovascular disease and death in the general population. There is limited evidence on changing patterns of cardiac troponin in the years preceding cardiovascular events. METHODS: We analyzed cardiac troponin I (cTnI) with a high-sensitivity assay in 3272 participants in the Trøndelag Health (HUNT) Study at study visit 4 (2017-2019). Of these, 3198 had measurement of cTnI at study visit 2 (1995-1997), 2661 at study visit 3, and 2587 at all 3 study visits. We assessed the trajectories of cTnI concentrations in the years prior to cardiovascular events using a generalized linear mixed model, with adjustment for age, sex, cardiovascular risk factors, and comorbidities. RESULTS: At HUNT4 baseline, median age was 64.8 (range 39.4-101.3) years, and 55% were women. Study participants who were admitted because of heart failure or died from cardiovascular cause on follow-up had a steeper increase in cTnI compared with study participants with no events (P < .001). The average yearly change in cTnI was 0.235 (95% confidence interval, 0.192-0.289) ng/L for study participants with heart failure or cardiovascular death, and -0.022 (95% confidence interval, -0.022 to -0.023) ng/L for study participants with no events. Study participants who experienced myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, or noncardiovascular mortality exhibited similar cTnI patterns. CONCLUSIONS: Fatal and nonfatal cardiovascular events are preceded by slowly increasing concentrations of cardiac troponin, independently of established cardiovascular risk factors. Our results support the use of cTnI measurements to identify at-risk subjects who progress to subclinical and later overt cardiovascular disease.

Plasma Advanced Glycation End Products and Dicarbonyl Compounds Are Not Associated with Coronary Atherosclerosis in Athletes.

PURPOSE: Coronary atherosclerosis is the leading cause of sudden death among athletes >35 yr old, but current cardiovascular risk prediction algorithms have not been validated for athletes. Advanced glycation end products (AGE) and dicarbonyl compounds have been associated with atherosclerosis and rupture-prone plaques in patients and ex vivo studies. The detection of AGE and dicarbonyl compounds might be a novel screening tool for high-risk coronary atherosclerosis in older athletes. METHODS: Concentrations of three different AGE and the dicarbonyl compounds methylglyoxal, glyoxal, and 3-deoxyglucosone were measured in plasma with ultraperformance liquid chromatography tandem mass spectrometry in athletes from the Measuring Athletes' Risk of Cardiovascular Events 2 study cohort. Coronary plaques, plaque characteristics (calcified, noncalcified or mixed), and coronary artery calcium (CAC) scores were assessed with coronary computed tomography, and potential associations with AGE and dicarbonyl compounds were analyzed using linear and logistic regression. RESULTS: A total of 289 men were included (60 [quartiles 1-3 = 56-66] yr old, body mass index = 24.5 [22.9-26.6] kg·m -2 ), with a weekly exercise volume of 41 (25-57) MET-hours. Coronary plaques were detected in 241 participants (83%), with a dominant plaque type of calcified plaques in 42%, noncalcified plaques in 12% and mixed plaques in 21%. No AGE or dicarbonyl compounds were associated with total number of plaques or any of the plaque characteristics in adjusted analyses. Similarly, AGE and dicarbonyl compounds were not associated with CAC score. CONCLUSIONS: Concentrations of plasma AGE and dicarbonyl compounds do not predict the presence of coronary plaques, plaque characteristics or CAC scores, in middle-age and older athletes.

Systolic blood pressure at age 40 and cognitive function 25 years later: the Akershus Cardiac Examination (ACE) 1950 Study.

OBJECTIVES: Hypertension in midlife is a risk factor for cognitive impairment. Still, the ideal midlife blood pressure (BP) remains unknown. We examined associations between different systolic blood pressure (SBP) levels at the age of 40-43 years and change in SBP over a 25-year period with cognitive function at age 62-65 years. METHODS: We included 2424 individuals born in 1950 who had participated both in the Age 40 Program (1990-1993) and the Akershus Cardiac Examination (ACE) 1950 Study (2012-2015). The exposure was SBP at age 40-43 years and the outcome was cognitive function at age 62-65 years, assessed with Montreal Cognitive Assessment, Delayed recall trial from the Consortium to Establish a Registry for Alzheimer's Disease Word List Memory Task, and Trail Making Test part B (TMT B). RESULTS: Participants were 40.1 ±â€Š0.3 years old with mean SPB 128 ±â€Š13 mmHg at the Age 40 Program, and 63.9 ±â€Š0.6 years old with mean SPB 138 ±â€Š18 at the ACE 1950 Study. Adjusted linear regressions showed no associations between SBP and subsequent cognitive function. In logistic regressions, individuals with SBP ≥140 mmHg, compared to individuals with SBP <120 mmHg (odds ratio 2.29, 95% confidence interval 1.28-4.10, P-value 0.005) had increased risk of an abnormal TMT B-score. Change in SBP during the 25-year follow-up was not associated with cognitive function. CONCLUSIONS: SBP ≥140 mmHg at age 40-43 was associated with reduced capacity on TMT B, a domain specific cognitive test sensitive to vascular impairment. No other associations were found between SBP, or change in SBP, and cognitive function.

Prediction of incident atrial fibrillation with cardiac biomarkers and left atrial volumes.

OBJECTIVE: Atrial fibrillation is a common arrhythmia associated with risk of stroke, heart failure and death. We aimed to elucidate the associations of cardiac biomarkers, echocardiographic left atrial volumetric indices and risk of prevalent and incident atrial fibrillation in the general population. METHODS: We assessed cardiac troponin T (cTnT), N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15), maximum (LAVimax) and minimum (LAVimin) indexed left atrial volumes and left atrial emptying fraction (LAEF) in subjects born in 1950 participating in the prospective observational cohort, Akershus Cardiac Examination 1950 Study. The Cohorts for Heart and Ageing Research in Genomic Epidemiology for Atrial Fibrillation risk score and sex was used to adjust for residual risk of atrial fibrillation. RESULTS: Out of 3487 subjects, 157 (4.5%) had prevalent and 123 (3.5%) had incident atrial fibrillation. Echocardiographic left atrial volumes and cardiac biomarkers associated with prevalent atrial fibrillation, but GDF-15 was non-significant in adjusted analysis. Incident atrial fibrillation was predicted by LAVimax (adjusted HR 1.51, 95% CI 1.30 to 1.75), LAVimin (adjusted HR 1.52, 95% CI 1.35 to 1.72), LAEF (adjusted HR 1.24, 95% CI 1.04 to 1.48) and NT-proBNP (adjusted HR 1.57, 95% CI 1.32 to 1.85). cTnT and NT-proBNP provided incremental prognostic information to left atrial volumes, but GDF-15 demonstrated no prognostic value for incident atrial fibrillation. CONCLUSIONS: In the general population, echocardiographic left atrial volumetric indices and NT-proBNP, but not cTnT and GDF-15, associate with prevalent atrial fibrillation and with risk of incident atrial fibrillation. cTnT and NT-proBNP provide incremental prognostic information to echocardiography.

Serial blood pressure measurements, left ventricular remodelling and cardiovascular outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Hypertension is a risk factor for the development of cardiovascular disease. Whether serial blood pressure (BP) measurements are more closely associated with subclinical left ventricular (LV) remodelling and better predict risk of cardiovascular events over individual BP measurements are not known. METHODS: We assessed systolic BP, diastolic BP and pulse pressure at several time points during adulthood in 1333 women and 1211 men participating in the Akershus Cardiac Examination 1950 Study. We defined serial BP measurements as the sum of averaged BPs from adjacent consecutive visits indexed to total exposure time between measurements. We assessed the associations between serial and individual BP measurements and (1) LV structure, function and volumes and (2) incident myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, heart failure and cardiovascular death. RESULTS: All indices of higher serial BP measurements were associated with increased indexed LV mass, and the associations were stronger than those of individual BP measurements. Serial diastolic BP pressure was strongly and inversely associated with LV systolic function, while higher serial systolic BP was primarily associated with higher LV volumes. Both serial systolic (incidence rate ratio [IRR] 1.10, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.17) and diastolic BPs (IRR 1.14, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.27) were associated with increased incidence of clinical events. CONCLUSION: In healthy community dwellers without established cardiovascular disease, different serial BP indices associate strongly with LV remodelling and cardiovascular outcomes. Whether the use of serial BP indices for guiding treatment is superior to individual measurements should be explored in additional prospective studies.

The prevalence of cardiac complications and their impact on outcomes in patients with non-traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage.

Subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) is a serious condition, and a myocardial injury or dysfunction could contribute to the outcome. We assessed the prevalence and prognostic impact of cardiac involvement in a cohort with SAH. This is a prospective observational multicenter study. We included 192 patients treated for non-traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage. We performed ECG recordings, echocardiographic examinations, and blood sampling within 24 h of admission and on days 3 and 7 and at 90 days. The primary endpoint was the evidence of cardiac involvement at 90 days, and the secondary endpoint was to examine the prevalence of a myocardial injury or dysfunction. The median age was 54.5 (interquartile range [IQR] 48.0-64.0) years, 44.3% were male and the median World Federation of Neurological Surgeons (WFNS) score was 2 (IQR 1-4). At day 90, 22/125 patients (17.6%) had left ventricular ejection fractions ≤ 50%, and 2/121 patients (1.7%) had evidence of a diastolic dysfunction as defined by mitral peak E-wave velocity by peak e' velocity (E/e') > 14. There was no prognostic impact from echocardiographic evidence of cardiac complications on neurological outcomes. The overall prevalence of cardiac dysfunction was modest. We found no demographic or SAH-related factors associated with 90 days cardiac dysfunction.

Associations between cardiovascular risk factors, biomarkers, and left ventricular mechanical dispersion: insights from the ACE 1950 Study.

Aims: Mechanical dispersion measures left ventricular contraction heterogeneity and is associated with the risk of sudden cardiac death. However, the associations between mechanical dispersion and cardiovascular risk factors in early mid-life, and established biomarkers of sub-clinical myocardial injury and dysfunction are not known. We aimed to examine this in the general population. Methods and results: During 2012-15, we included 2527 Norwegian individuals from the general population born in 1950, with measurements of mechanical dispersion by 2D speckle tracking echocardiography and concentrations of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) available. Mechanical dispersion was calculated as the standard deviation of the contraction duration of 17 strain segments. We assessed the associations between mechanical dispersion, concentrations of hs-cTnT and NT-proBNP, and cardiovascular risk factors collected at a national health screening survey two decades earlier. At echocardiography baseline, median age was 64 (interquartile range 63.5-64.5) years, 49.8% were women, 59.1% had hypertension, and 5.9% reported established coronary artery disease. Median mechanical dispersion was 38.0 (29.5-47.0) ms, median hs-cTnT concentration 6 (4-8) ng/L, and the median NT-proBNP concentration 54 (34-93) ng/L. Mechanical dispersion was associated with both hs-cTnT and NT-proBNP concentrations in multivariable models adjusted for clinical and echocardiographic variables. High body mass index, serum triglyceride concentrations, and low resting heart rate at Age 40 were independently associated with increased mechanical dispersion two decades later. Conclusion: Established risk factors at Age 40 are associated with mechanical dispersion two decades later, and mechanical dispersion is cross-sectionally associated with biomarkers of subclinical myocardial injury and dysfunction.

Impact of Blood Pressure in the Early 40s on Left Atrial Volumes in the Mid-60s: Data From the ACE 1950 Study.

Background Echocardiographic measures of left atrial volumes are powerful predictors of cardiovascular events and important for assessing diastolic dysfunction. Despite this, there is limited knowledge of factors influencing left atrial remodeling. In particular, the impact of blood pressure in those in their early 40s on left atrial volumes later in life has not been sufficiently elucidated. Methods and Results We linked data from individuals born in 1950 who participated in the Age 40 Program, and the ACE (Akershus Cardiac Examination) 1950 Study. We divided the study population into quartiles of systolic blood pressure in their early 40s and assessed the proportion of individuals with an enlarged left atrium in their mid-60s. The associations between blood pressure and left atrial volumes were assessed in linear regression analyses. Of the 2591 individuals included in this study, 1302 (50.3%) were women, and the mean age in the Age 40 Program was 40.1±0.3 years. Systolic blood pressure was 128.1±13.6 mm Hg and diastolic blood pressure was 78.3±9.5 mm Hg. Mean age in the ACE 1950 Study was 64.0±0.6 years. The proportion of individuals with an enlarged left atrium increased across the quartiles of systolic blood pressure (P=0.001). Systolic blood pressure was independently associated with left atrial volumes; the end-systolic volume was 0.09 mL (95% CI, 0.04-0.14 mL) larger per 1-mm Hg higher systolic blood pressure. Conclusions Our findings suggest that increased blood pressure in those in their early 40s is relevant for left atrial remodeling later in life. Registration URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT01555411.

Prognostic value of cardiac biomarkers and National Early Warning Score 2 in acute dyspnoea.

OBJECTIVE: Patients hospitalised with acute dyspnoea due to acute heart failure (AHF) have a grave prognosis, but the European Society of Cardiology guidelines recommend no system to risk stratify these patients. The prognostic value of combining National Early Warning Score (NEWS) 2 and established cardiac biomarkers is not known. METHODS: We measured high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and calculated NEWS2 in 314 patients with acute dyspnoea within 24 hours of hospitalisation. Their prognostic merits were assessed in the total cohort and for the subgroup with AHF separately. RESULTS: The median age was 73 (quartile (Q) 1-3, 63-81) years, 48% were women and 143 patients (46%) were hospitalised with AHF. The 114 patients (36%) who died during follow-up (median 823 days, Q1-3, 471-998) had higher concentrations of hs-cTnT (62 vs 33 ng/L, p<0.001) and NT-proBNP (6995 vs 2605 ng/L, p<0.001), and higher NEWS2 (6.1 vs 4.5 points, p<0.001), compared with survivors. Patients with increased vs low NEWS2 clinical risk had higher mortality rates in adjusted analyses in the total cohort (HR 2.11, 95% CI 1.28 to 3.48) and in patients with AHF (HR 2.00, 95% CI 1.54 to 2.60). NEWS2 provided incremental prognostic information compared with biomarkers alone for the total cohort: area under the curve 0.72 vs 0.70, p=0.042, and for the subpopulation with AHF: 0.70 vs 0.67, p=0.014. CONCLUSION: NEWS2 predicts long-term mortality in patients hospitalised due to acute dyspnoea and the subgroup with AHF and provide incremental prognostic information to hs-cTnT and NT-proBNP.

Treatable Traits in Misdiagnosed Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease: Data from the Akershus Cardiac Examination 1950 Study.

BACKGROUND: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is often misdiagnosed. We aimed to estimate the prevalence of misdiagnosed COPD in middle-aged Norwegians, and to assess potentially treatable clinical traits in over- and undiagnosed individuals. METHODS AND FINDINGS: The Akershus Cardiac Examination (ACE) 1950 Study is a population-based study of the 1950 birth cohort of Akershus county including 3706 participants aged 62-65 years at baseline. COPD was defined as a forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1) to forced vital capacity (FVC) ratio < lower limit of normal (LLN). Misdiagnosed COPD was defined according to self-reported COPD. A total of 259 (7.1%) participants had spirometry confirmed COPD. Of these, only 72 (28%) reported having COPD, thus 187 (72%) were undiagnosed. A total of 92 (2.5%) of the 164 particpants who reported having COPD had an FEV1/FVC ratio ≥ LLN and were overdiagnosed. They had lower lung function, and more respiratory symptoms, self-reported asthma, eosinophils, and sleep apnea than other non-COPD participants . The main predictor of being overdiagnosed was overweight. Spirometry in participants reporting wheezing or cough and current smokers or participants with ≥20 tobacco pack-year history would have identified 85% of the undiagnosed cases. CONCLUSION: Both over- and underdiagnosis of COPD is frequent. Undiagnosed individuals have better lung function and less symptoms, but similar prevalence of comorbidities and systemic inflammation. Overdiagnosed individuals have treatable traits including asthma, eosinophilic inflammation, and sleep apnea. The main predictor of being overdiagnosed was being overweight.