Risk of Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Hospitalizations after COPD Hospitalization among Older Adults.

BACKGROUND: Meta-analyses have suggested the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) events is significantly higher after a chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) exacerbation. However, many of these studies have included a broad array of CVD events or have been limited to highly selected patient populations potentially not generalizable to the broader population of COPD. METHODS: We assessed the risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD)hospitalizations after COPD hospitalization compared to before COPD hospitalization and identified patient factors associated with ASCVD hospitalizations after COPD hospitalization. This retrospective cohort study used claims data from 920,550 Medicare beneficiaries hospitalized for COPD from 2016-2019 in the US. The primary outcome was risk of a ASCVD hospitalization composite outcome (myocardial infarction, percutaneous coronary intervention, coronary artery by-pass graft surgery, stroke, or transient ischemic attack) in the 30-days and 1 year after-COPD hospitalization relative to the same time period before-COPD hospitalization. Time in the before- and after-COPD hospitalization time periods to a composite ASCVD hospitalization outcome were modeled using an extension of the Cox Proportional-Hazards model, the Anderson-Gill model with adjustment for patient characteristics. Additional analyses evaluated for interactions in subgroups associated with the composite ASCVD hospitalization outcome. RESULTS: Among 920,550 patients in the 30-day and 1-year cohorts, (mean age, 73-74 years) the hazard ratio estimate (HR; 95% CI) for the composite ASCVD hospitalization outcome after-COPD hospitalization vs before-COPD hospitalization for the 30-day cohort was 0.99 (0.93, 1.05; p = 0.67) and for the 1-year cohort was 0.99 (0.97, 1.02; p = 0.53) following adjustment. We observed 3 subgroups that were significantly associated with higher risk for ASCVD hospitalizations 1 year after COPD hospitalization: 76+ years old, women, COPD hospitalization severity. CONCLUSION: Among Medicare beneficiaries hospitalized for COPD, the risk of ASCVD hospitalizations was not significantly increased 30-day or 1-year after COPD-hospitalization relative to before-COPD hospitalization. In sub-group analyses, we identified age 76+ years old, female sex, and COPD hospitalization severity as high risk subgroups with increased risk of ASCVD events 1-year after-COPD hospitalization. Further research is needed to characterize the COPD exacerbation populations at highest ASCVD hospitalization risk.

Pulmonary Rehabilitation: A Look Back, a Look Forward.

Pulmonary rehabilitation (PR) is a comprehensive approach to the management of patients with chronic lung disease that encompasses exercise, education, and psychosocial support. The development of PR programs began in the mid-20th century with the appreciation that exercise provided real benefit in chronic lung disease and that effective disease management involved patient education focused on medications, lifestyle changes, and lifelong regular exercise. Initially PR was primarily facility-based, but today PR is extending into the home with telemedicine, and this is encouraging a real partnership of patients and professionals supporting self-management. The evidence base supporting PR as a safe and effective modality has grown exponentially over the last 4 decades, and PR is strongly endorsed by virtually all the major professional societies. Importantly, PR has also clearly been shown to be cost-effective. Challenges remain, however. Access is still very limited for a variety of reason (logistics, financial, patient motivation) that need to be addressed. More focused and personalized exercise programs and monitoring strategies that encourage a patient's lifetime commitment to the principles of PR need to be developed and refined. The opportunity to really impact important clinical outcomes exists with PR, and this needs to be exploited.

AARC Clinical Practice Guideline: Spontaneous Breathing Trials for Liberation From Adult Mechanical Ventilation.

Despite prior publications of clinical practice guidelines related to ventilator liberation, some questions remain unanswered. Many of these questions relate to the details of bedside implementation. We, therefore, formed a guidelines committee of individuals with experience and knowledge of ventilator liberation as well as a medical librarian. Using Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE) methodology, we make the following recommendations: (1) We suggest that calculation of a rapid shallow breathing index is not needed to determine readiness for a spontaneous breathing trial (SBT) (conditional recommendation; moderate certainty); (2) We suggest that SBTs can be conducted with or without pressure support ventilation (conditional recommendation, moderate certainty); (3) We suggest a standardized approach to assessment and, if appropriate, completion of an SBT before noon each day (conditional recommendation, very low certainty); and (4) We suggest that FIO2 should not be increased during an SBT (conditional recommendation, very low certainty). These recommendations are intended to assist bedside clinicians to liberate adult critically ill patients more rapidly from mechanical ventilation.

Early Evidence of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Obscured by Race-Specific Prediction Equations.

Rationale: The identification of early chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is essential to appropriately counsel patients regarding smoking cessation, provide symptomatic treatment, and eventually develop disease-modifying treatments. Disease severity in COPD is defined using race-specific spirometry equations. These may disadvantage non-White individuals in diagnosis and care. Objectives: Determine the impact of race-specific equations on African American (AA) versus non-Hispanic White individuals. Methods: Cross-sectional analyses of the COPDGene (Genetic Epidemiology of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease) cohort were conducted, comparing non-Hispanic White (n = 6,766) and AA (n = 3,366) participants for COPD manifestations. Measurements and Main Results: Spirometric classifications using race-specific, multiethnic, and "race-reversed" prediction equations (NHANES [National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey] and Global Lung Function Initiative "Other" and "Global") were compared, as were respiratory symptoms, 6-minute-walk distance, computed tomography imaging, respiratory exacerbations, and St. George's Respiratory Questionnaire. Application of different prediction equations to the cohort resulted in different classifications by stage, with NHANES and Global Lung Function Initiative race-specific equations being minimally different, but race-reversed equations moving AA participants to more severe stages and especially between the Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) stage 0 and preserved ratio impaired spirometry groups. Classification using the established NHANES race-specific equations demonstrated that for each of GOLD stages 1-4, AA participants were younger, had fewer pack-years and more current smoking, but had more exacerbations, shorter 6-minute-walk distance, greater dyspnea, and worse BODE (body mass index, airway obstruction, dyspnea, and exercise capacity) scores and St. George's Respiratory Questionnaire scores. Differences were greatest in GOLD stages 1 and 2. Race-reversed equations reclassified 774 AA participants (43%) from GOLD stage 0 to preserved ratio impaired spirometry. Conclusions: Race-specific equations underestimated disease severity among AA participants. These effects were particularly evident in early disease and may result in late detection of COPD.

Acute Hypercapnic Respiratory Failure in COPD.

COPD is a progressive inflammatory process affecting both the airways and alveolar structures of the lungs. Exacerbations of COPD are episodes of acute worsening of this inflammatory process, often triggered by infections. The most severe exacerbations are characterized by substantial air trapping and inspiratory muscle overload, which leads to hypercapnic respiratory failure. Pharmacologic therapies focus on intense bronchodilator administration (usually by aerosol), corticosteroids, and antibiotics. Respiratory life support technologies are often needed for severe exacerbations and range from carefully titrated supplemental O2 administration to positive-pressure ventilation (both invasive and noninvasive). Future life support strategies will likely involve extracorporeal life support technologies.

Diffusing Capacity and Mortality in Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease.

Rationale: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) mortality risk is often estimated using the BODE (body mass index, obstruction, dyspnea, exercise capacity) index, including body mass index, forced expiratory volume in 1 second, dyspnea score, and 6-minute walk distance. Diffusing capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide (DlCO) is a potential predictor of mortality that reflects physiology distinct from that in the BODE index. Objectives: This study evaluated DlCO as a predictor of mortality using participants from the COPDGene study. Methods: We performed time-to-event analyses of individuals with COPD (former or current smokers with forced expiratory volume in 1 second/forced vital capacity < 0.7) and DlCO measurements from the COPDGene phase 2 visit. Cox proportional hazard methods were used to model survival, adjusting for age, sex, pack-years, smoking status, BODE index, computed tomography (CT) percent emphysema (low attenuation areas below -950 Hounsfield units), CT airway wall thickness, and history of cardiovascular or kidney diseases. C statistics for models with DlCO and BODE scores were used to compare discriminative accuracy. Results: Of 2,329 participants, 393 (16.8%) died during the follow-up period (median = 4.9 yr). In adjusted analyses, for every 10% decrease in DlCO percent predicted, mortality increased by 28% (hazard ratio = 1.28; 95% confidence interval, 1.17-1.41, P < 0.001). When compared with other clinical predictors, DlCO percent predicted performed similarly to BODE (C statistic DlCO = 0.68; BODE = 0.70), and the addition of DlCO to BODE improved its discriminative accuracy (C statistic = 0.71). Conclusions: Diffusing capacity, a measure of gas transfer, strongly predicted all-cause mortality in individuals with COPD, independent of BODE index and CT evidence of emphysema and airway wall thickness. These findings support inclusion of DlCO in prognostic models for COPD.

Risk of Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Hospitalizations after COPD Hospitalization among Older Adults.

BACKGROUND: Meta-analyses have suggested the risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) events is significantly higher after a chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) exacerbation. However, these studies have been limited to highly selected patient populations potentially not generalizable to the broader population of COPD. METHODS: We assessed the risk of ASCVD hospitalizations after COPD hospitalization compared to before COPD hospitalization and identified patient factors associated with ASCVD hospitalizations after COPD hospitalization. This retrospective cohort study used claims data from 920,550 Medicare beneficiaries hospitalized for COPD from 2016-2019 in the US. The primary outcome was risk of a ASCVD hospitalization composite outcome (myocardial infarction, percutaneous coronary intervention, coronary artery by-pass graft surgery, stroke, or transient ischemic attack) in the 1 year after-COPD hospitalization relative to the 1 year before-COPD hospitalization. Time from discharge to a composite ASCVD hospitalization outcome was modeled using an extension of the Cox Proportional-Hazards model, the Anderson-Gill model with adjustment for patient characteristics. Additional analyses evaluated for interactions in subgroups and risk factors associated with the composite ASCVD hospitalization outcome. RESULTS: Among 920,550 patients (mean age, 73 years) the hazard ratio estimate (HR; 95% CI) for the composite ASCVD hospitalization outcome after-COPD hospitalization vs before-COPD hospitalization was 0.99 (0.97, 1.02; p = 0.53) following adjustment. We observed 3 subgroups that were significantly associated with higher risk for ASCVD hospitalizations after COPD hospitalization: 76+ years old, women, COPD hospitalization severity. Among the 19 characteristics evaluated, 10 were significantly associated with higher risk of CVD events 1 year after COPD hospitalization with hyperlipidemia (2.78; 2.67, 2.90) and history of cardiovascular disease (1.77; 1.72 1.83) associated with the greatest risk. CONCLUSION: Among Medicare beneficiaries hospitalized for COPD, the risk of ASCVD hospitalizations was not significantly increased after COPD-hospitalization relative to before-COPD hospitalization. Although, we identified age 76+ years old, female sex, and COPD hospitalization severity as high risk subgroups and 10 risk factors associated with increased risk of ASCVD events after-COPD hospitalization. Further research is needed to characterize the COPD exacerbation populations at highest ASCVD hospitalization risk.

Timing of Treatment Outcomes and Risk Factors for Failure of BPAP in Patients Hospitalized for COPD Exacerbation.

BACKGROUND: Patients hospitalized for COPD exacerbation have an increased risk of mortality, particularly among those who fail bi-level positive airway pressure (BPAP) for hypercapnic respiratory failure subsequently requiring invasive mechanical ventilation. Therefore, we sought to investigate the treatment course of BPAP and factors associated with BPAP treatment failure. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study using real-world evidence to investigate subjects with COPD who were treated with BPAP during a hospitalization for COPD exacerbation. Treatment outcomes were defined within 7 d from BPAP initiation as either failure, persistent, or success. Failure was defined as death or progression to invasive ventilation. Persistent was defined as receiving BPAP during hospital day 7. Success was defined as liberation from BPAP prior to hospital day 7 and not meeting criteria for failure. Unadjusted multinomial logistic regression models were used to examine the association between BPAP treatment outcomes and 17 recipient characteristics. RESULTS: Among the 427 clinical encounters, 78% were successful, 10% were persistent, and 12% experienced failure. The median time to failure and success was 8 h and 16 h, respectively. Increasing age, body mass index (BMI), bicarbonate level, and creatinine level were significantly associated with either BPAP treatment failure, persistent treatment, or both. CONCLUSIONS: The first 8 h following initiation of BPAP is a critical time period where patients are at high risk for life-threatening decompensation. Careful consideration should be given to increasing age, BMI, bicarbonate level, and creatinine level as these factors were associated with BPAP treatment failure or persistent treatment.

Cost-effectiveness of Pulmonary Rehabilitation Among US Adults With Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease.

Importance: Pulmonary rehabilitation (PR) after exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is effective in reducing COPD hospitalizations and mortality while improving health-related quality of life, yet use of PR remains low. Estimates of the cost-effectiveness of PR in this setting could inform policies to improve uptake. Objective: To estimate the cost-effectiveness of participation in PR after hospitalization for COPD. Design, Setting, and Participants: This economic evaluation estimated the cost-effectiveness of participation in PR compared with no PR after COPD hospitalization in the US using a societal perspective analysis. A Markov microsimulation model was developed to estimate the cost-effectiveness in the US health care system with a lifetime horizon, 1-year cycle length, and a discounted rate of 3% per year for both costs and outcomes. Data sources included published literature from October 1, 2001, to April 1, 2021, with the primary source being an analysis of Medicare beneficiaries living with COPD between January 1, 2014, and December 31, 2015. The analysis was designed and conducted from October 1, 2019, to December 15, 2021. A base case microsimulation, univariate analyses, and a probabilistic sensitivity analysis were performed. Interventions: Pulmonary rehabilitation compared with no PR after COPD hospitalization. Main Outcomes and Measures: Net cost in US dollars, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio. Results: Among the hypothetical cohort with a mean age of 76.9 (age range, 60-92) years and 58.6% women, the base case microsimulation from a societal perspective demonstrated that PR resulted in net cost savings per patient of $5721 (95% prediction interval, $3307-$8388) and improved quality-adjusted life expectancy (QALE) (gain of 0.53 [95% prediction interval, 0.43-0.63] years). The findings of net cost savings and improved QALE with PR did not change in univariate analyses of patient age, the Global Initiative for Obstructive Lung Disease stage, or number of PR sessions. In a probabilistic sensitivity analysis, PR resulted in net cost savings and improved QALE in every one of 1000 samples and was the dominant strategy in 100% of simulations at any willingness-to-pay threshold. In a 1-way sensitivity analysis of total cost, assuming completion of 36 sessions, a single PR session would remain cost saving to $171 per session and had an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $884 per session for $50 000/QALY and $1597 per session for $100 000/QALY. Conclusions and Relevance: In this economic evaluation, PR after COPD hospitalization appeared to result in net cost savings along with improvement in QALE. These findings suggest that stakeholders should identify policies to increase access and adherence to PR for patients with COPD.

Evaluation of a novel endotracheal tube suctioning system incorporating an inflatable sweeper.

INTRODUCTION: Accumulation of secretions in an endotracheal tube can increase the resistance to flow resulting in an increased patient work of breathing when the patient is interacting with the ventilator. Retained secretions can also serve as an infection risk. Standard suction catheters are limited in their ability to keep the lumen of the endotracheal tube clear. A novel closed-suction catheter has been introduced that incorporates a balloon at its distal end that, when inflated, physically scrapes secretions out of the endotracheal tube (CleanSweep catheter (CSC), Teleflex, Morrisville NC). We hypothesized that the CSC would be more efficient at removing secretions from inside the endotracheal tube than a standard suction catheter (SSC). METHODS: We performed a bench study examining resistive pressures across different sizes of endotracheal tubes when cleaned by the CSC as compared with an SSC. This study was followed by a prospective crossover study again comparing the CSC with an SSC in intubated intensive care unit patients receiving mechanical ventilation and requiring frequent suctioning. RESULTS: For the bench study the CSC was significantly better in reducing airway resistive pressures (P < 0.001). In the prospective crossover study the CSC over 2 h also removed significantly more secretions than the SSC (P < 0.05). CONCLUSION: Both our bench and crossover clinical study demonstrated improved clearance of secretions with the CSC vs an SSC. Further research is needed to ascertain the clinical outcome benefits of enhanced secretion removal.

Optimal NIV Medicare Access Promotion: Patients With COPD: A Technical Expert Panel Report From the American College of Chest Physicians, the American Association for Respiratory Care, the American Academy of Sleep Medicine, and the American Thoracic Society.

This document summarizes the work of the COPD Technical Expert Panel working group. For patients with COPD, the most pressing current coverage barriers identified were onerous diagnostic requirements focused on oxygenation (rather than ventilation) and difficulty obtaining bilevel devices with backup rate capabilities. Because of these difficulties, many patients with COPD were instead sometimes prescribed home mechanical ventilators. Critical evidence supports changes to current policies, including randomized controlled trial evidence suggesting a mortality benefit from bilevel positive airway pressure with backup rate and updated clinical practice guidelines from the American Thoracic Society as well as the European Respiratory Society. To achieve optimal access to noninvasive ventilation for patients with COPD, we make the following key recommendations: (1) removal of the need for overnight oximetry testing; (2) the ability to initiate therapy using bilevel devices with backup rate capability; and (3) increased duration of time to meet adherence criteria (ie, a second 90-day trial period) in those patients actively engaged in their care. Clear guidelines based on medical necessity are also included for patients who require initiation of or switch to a home mechanical ventilator. Adoption of these proposed recommendations would result in the right device, for the right type of patient with COPD, at the right time. Finally, we emphasize the need for adequate clinical support during initiation and maintenance of home noninvasive ventilation in such patients.

Haemoglobin as a biomarker for clinical outcomes in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.

In COPD, anaemia is associated with increased morbidity, but the relationship between haemoglobin over its entire observed range and morbidity is poorly understood. Such an understanding could guide future therapeutic targeting of haemoglobin in COPD management. Leveraging the COPDGene study, we conducted a cross-sectional analysis of haemoglobin from COPD participants, examining symptoms, quality of life, functional performance, and acute exacerbations of COPD (AECOPD). Haemoglobin was analysed both as a continuous variable and categorised into anaemia, normal haemoglobin, and polycythaemia groups. Fractional polynomial modelling was used for continuous analyses; categorical models were multivariable linear or negative binomial regressions. Covariates included demographics, comorbidities, emphysema, diffusing capacity, and airflow obstruction. From 2539 participants, 366 (14%) were identified as anaemic and 125 (5%) as polycythaemic. Compared with normal haemoglobin, anaemia was significantly associated with increased symptoms (COPD Assessment Test score: p=0.006, modified Medical Research Council (mMRC) Dyspnoea Score: p=0.001); worse quality of life (St. George's Respiratory Questionnaire (SGRQ) score: p<0.001; Medical Outcomes Study Short Form 36-item Questionnaire (SF-36) General Health: p=0.002; SF-36 Physical Health: p<0.001), decreased functional performance (6-min walk distance (6MWD): p<0.001), and severe AECOPD (p=0.01), while polycythaemia was not. Continuous models, however, demonstrated increased morbidity at both ends of the haemoglobin distribution (p<0.01 for mMRC, SGRQ, SF-36 Physical Health, 6MWD, and severe AECOPD). Evaluating interactions, both diffusing capacity and haemoglobin were independently associated with morbidity. We present novel findings that haemoglobin derangements towards either extreme of the observed range are associated with increased morbidity in COPD. Further investigation is necessary to determine whether haemoglobin derangement drives morbidity or merely reflects systemic inflammation, and whether correcting haemoglobin towards the normal range improves morbidity.

Application of Machine Learning in Pulmonary Function Assessment Where Are We Now and Where Are We Going?

Analysis of pulmonary function tests (PFTs) is an area where machine learning (ML) may benefit clinicians, researchers, and the patients. PFT measures spirometry, lung volumes, and carbon monoxide diffusion capacity of the lung (DLCO). The results are usually interpreted by the clinicians using discrete numeric data according to published guidelines. PFT interpretations by clinicians, however, are known to have inter-rater variability and the inaccuracy can impact patient care. This variability may be caused by unfamiliarity of the guidelines, lack of training, inadequate understanding of lung physiology, or simply mental lapses. A rules-based automated interpretation system can recapitulate expert's pattern recognition capability and decrease errors. ML can also be used to analyze continuous data or the graphics, including the flow-volume loop, the DLCO and the nitrogen washout curves. These analyses can discover novel physiological biomarkers. In the era of wearables and telehealth, particularly with the COVID-19 pandemic restricting PFTs to be done in the clinical laboratories, ML can also be used to combine mobile spirometry results with an individual's clinical profile to deliver precision medicine. There are, however, hurdles in the development and commercialization of the ML-assisted PFT interpretation programs, including the need for high quality representative data, the existence of different formats for data acquisition and sharing in PFT software by different vendors, and the need for collaboration amongst clinicians, biomedical engineers, and information technologists. Hurdles notwithstanding, the new developments would represent significant advances that could be the future of PFT, the oldest test still in use in clinical medicine.

Impact of a Formal Research Committee on Respiratory Therapists' Publications.

BACKGROUND: Presenting research at national and international meetings is an important aspect of the practice of respiratory care. Our department regularly presented abstracts but few projects were written up as manuscripts. We also noted that we did not have a centralized strategy to evaluate individual projects and provide mentorship. To address these challenges, we formed a Research Committee that meets monthly. We hypothesized that the formation of this committee would be associated with an increase in published manuscripts. METHODS: We evaluated all original research abstracts authored or co-authored by Duke respiratory therapists presented at the AARC Open Forum between 2009 and 2019. Abstracts were grouped into two time periods; 1) 2009-2013 (before the formation of the research committee) and 2) 2014-2019 (after the formation of the research committee). Abstracts were evaluated based on authors, type of study, patient population, and whether the abstract resulted in a manuscript. Primary outcome was the percentage of abstracts published as manuscripts. RESULTS: A total of 56 abstracts were presented by 23 different lead authors, with 16 (29%) published as manuscripts. After formation of the committee, fewer abstracts per year were presented, but these abstracts were more likely to be published as manuscripts (53% vs 18%, P = .02). For abstracts published as manuscripts, there was a significant difference in the type of study before and after committee formation (P = .042), but there were no differences in lead author credentials, senior author credentials, author gender, or patient population. CONCLUSIONS: The formation of a research committee was associated with an increase in the percentage of abstracts published as manuscripts.

Oxygen delivery systems for adults in Sub-Saharan Africa: A scoping review.

BACKGROUND: Respiratory diseases are the leading cause of death and disability worldwide. Oxygen is an essential medicine used to treat hypoxemia from respiratory diseases. However, the availability and utilization of oxygen delivery systems for adults in sub-Saharan Africa is not well-described. We aim to identify and describe existing data around oxygen availability and provision for adults in sub-Saharan Africa, determine knowledge or research gaps, and make recommendations for future research and capacity building. METHODS: We systematically searched four databases for articles on April 22, 2020, for variations of keywords related to oxygen with a focus on countries in sub-Saharan Africa. Inclusion criteria were studies that included adults and addressed hypoxemia assessment or outcome, oxygen delivery mechanisms, oxygen availability, oxygen provision infrastructure, and oxygen therapy and outcomes. RESULTS: 35 studies representing 22 countries met inclusion criteria. Availability of oxygen delivery systems ranged from 42%-94% between facilities, with wide variability in the consistency of availability. There was also wide reported prevalence of hypoxemia, with most studies focusing on specific populations. In facilities where oxygen is available, health care workers are ill-equipped to identify adult patients with hypoxemia, provide oxygen to those who need it, and titrate or discontinue oxygen appropriately. Oxygen concentrators were shown to be the most cost-effective delivery system in areas where power is readily available. CONCLUSIONS: There is a substantial need for building capacity for oxygen delivery throughout sub-Saharan Africa. Addressing this critical issue will require innovation and a multi-faceted approach of developing infrastructure, better equipping facilities, and health care worker training.

Hypercapnia in Advanced Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease: A Secondary Analysis of the National Emphysema Treatment Trial.

RATIONALE: Hypercapnia develops in one third of patients with advanced chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and is associated with increased morbidity and mortality. Multiple factors in COPD are thought to contribute to the development of hypercapnia including increased carbon dioxide (CO2) production, increased dead space ventilation, and the complex interactions of deranged respiratory system mechanics, inspiratory muscle overload and the ventilatory control center in the brainstem. However, these factors have not previously been systematically analyzed in a large, well-characterized population of severe COPD patients. METHODS: This is a secondary analysis of the clinical, physiologic and imaging data from the National Emphysema Treatment Trial (NETT). All patients with complete baseline data for the key predictor variables were included. An inclusive list of 32 potential predictor variables were selected a priori based on consensus of the investigators and literature review. Stepwise variable selection yielded 10 statistically significant associations in multivariate regression. RESULTS: A total of 1419 patients with severe COPD were included in the analysis; mean age 66.4 years (standard deviation 6.3), 38% females, and 422 (29.7%) had baseline hypercapnia. Key variables associated with hypercapnia were low resting partial pressure of oxygen in blood, low minute ventilation (Ve), high volume of exhaled carbon dioxide, low forced expiratory volume in 1 second, high residual volume, lower % emphysema on chest computed tomography, use of oxygen, low ventilatory reserve (high Ve/maximal voluntary ventilation), and not being at high altitude. Low diffusing capacity for carbon monoxide showed a positive association with hypercapnia in univariate analysis but a negative correlation in multivariate analysis. Measures of dyspnea and quality of life did not associate with degree of hypercapnia in multivariable analysis. CONCLUSION: Hypercapnia in a well-characterized cohort with severe COPD and emphysema is chiefly related to poor lung mechanics, high CO2 production, and a reduced ventilatory capability. Hypercapnia is less impacted by gas exchange abnormalities or the presence of emphysema.