Immunocontraception for population control: will resistance evolve?

The prospect for successful biocontrol using immunocontraception is threatened if there is adaptation to the vaccine through natural selection of individuals that are genetically resistant to the contraceptive agent. To assess this possibility we examined the literature and found that little relevant data are available for any species on the appropriate trait, fertility variation among immunized individuals, or about appropriate population and genetic parameters influencing the likelihood of a selection response. Some data are available on variation in antibody response to immunocontraceptives, but the relationship between antibody response and fertility levels is poorly documented. The antibody response data indicate low heritability for this trait suggesting that fertility levels of contraceptive-resistant individuals will also have a low heritability. Slow evolution of contraception resistance might therefore be anticipated. The absence of information about relevant parameters makes the construction of quantitative models premature. We discuss factors in particular need of investigation if predictions about resistance evolution are to be made. These include: 1. the genetic basis of fertility retention, 2. the proportion of the population resistant to the contraceptive agent and how this is affected by gene flow from refuge populations, 3. the genetically-based fitness tradeoffs of resistant individuals that often accompany selection, 4. cross-generation effects that can thwart the effects of selection, and 5. the efficiency of delivery of the contraceptive agent. An understanding of the above for particular species, and the development of appropriate divergently acting multiple vaccines that can be used in temporal rotation or in mixtures, should facilitate the development of management options to minimize resistance evolution.

Thermal adaptation in Drosophila serrata under conditions linked to its southern border: unexpected patterns from laboratory selection suggest limited evolutionary potential.

To investigate the ability of Drosophila serrata to adapt to thermal conditions over winter at the species southern border, replicate lines from three source locations were held as discrete generations over three years at either 19 degrees C (40 generations) or temperatures fluctuating between 7 degrees C and 18 degrees C (20 generations). Populations in the fluctuating environment were maintained either with an adult 0 degrees C cold shock or without a shock. These conditions were expected to result in temperature-specific directional selection for increased viability and productivity under both temperature regimes, and reduced development time under the fluctuating-temperature regime. Selection responses of all lines were tested under both temperature regimes after controlling for carry-over effects by rearing lines in these environments for two generations. When tested in the 19 degrees C environment, lines evolving at 19 degrees C showed a faster development time and a lower productivity relative to the other lines, while cold shock reduced development time and productivity of all lines. When tested in the fluctuating environment, productivity of the 7-18 degrees C lines selected with a cold shock was relatively lower than that of lines selected without a shock, but this pattern was not observed in the other populations. Viability and body size as measured by wing length were not altered by selection or cold shock, although there were consistent effects of source population on wing length. These results provide little evidence for temperature-specific adaptation in D. serrata-although the lines had diverged for some traits, these changes were not consistent with a priori predictions. In particular, there was no evidence for life-history changes reflecting adaptation to winter conditions at the southern border. The potential for D. serrata to adapt to winter conditions may therefore be limited.