Prophet time series modeling of waste disposal rates in four North American cities.

In this study, three different univariate municipal solid waste (MSW) disposal rate forecast models (SARIMA, Holt-Winters, Prophet) were examined using different testing periods in four North American cities with different socioeconomic conditions. A review of the literature suggests that the selected models are able to handle seasonality in a time series; however, their ability to handle outliers is not well understood. The Prophet model generally outperformed the Holt-Winters model and the SARIMA model. The MAPE and R2 of the Prophet model during pre-COVID-19 were 4.3-22.2% and 0.71-0.93, respectively. All three models showed satisfactory predictive results, especially during the pre-COVID-19 testing period. COVID-19 lockdowns and the associated regulatory measures appear to have affected MSW disposal behaviors, and all the univariate models failed to fully capture the abrupt changes in waste disposal behaviors. Modeling errors were largely attributed to data noise in seasonality and the unprecedented event of COVID-19 lockdowns. Overall, the modeling errors of the Prophet model were evenly distributed, with minimum modeling biases. The Prophet model also appeared to be versatile and successfully captured MSW disposal rates from 3000 to 39,000 tons/month. The study highlights the potential benefits of the use of univariate models in waste forecast.

An investigation on the operational resilience of the Canadian electronic product stewardship program and the recycling business characteristics.

Electronic waste recycling companies have proliferated in many countries due to valuable materials present in end-of-life electronic and electrical equipment. This article examined the business characteristics and management performance of Electronic Products Recycling Association (EPRA), a Canadian nationwide electronic product stewardship organization. The organization's annual performance reports, from 2012 to 2020, for nine Canadian provinces in which it currently operates were aggregated and analyzed. Temporal analysis using regression and Mann-Kendall tests were employed, and five characteristics of EPRA's business were analyzed, including e-waste products collected, number of drop-off locations, efforts to build public awareness, operating expenses, and growth of e-waste stewardship. Results show a decline in the amount of e-waste collected across the provinces, except in New Brunswick, which started its program in 2017. The Mann-Kendall test revealed declining temporal trends in most provinces. Although the collection/drop off sites and stewardship organizations increased astronomically over the study period in Canada, the amounts of e-waste collected decreased. We found that public awareness generally did not increase the amount of e-waste collected, and these campaigns only appeared to be effective in jurisdictions with good accessibility of e-waste recycling. Processing cost accounted for the majority of the e-waste management budget in Canada, and different factors affected the financial success of the stewards differently.

Variability of the treated biomedical waste disposal behaviours during the COVID lockdowns.

Literature review suggests that studies on biomedical waste generation and disposal behaviors in North America are limited. Given the infectious nature of the materials, effective biomedical waste management is vital to the public health and safety of the residents. This study explicitly examines seasonal variations of treated biomedical waste (TBMW) disposal rates in the City of Regina, Canada, from 2013 to 2022. Immediately before the onset of COVID-19, the City exhibited a steady pattern of TBMW disposal rate at about 6.6 kg∙capita-1∙year-1. However, the COVID-19 pandemic and its associated lockdowns brought about an abrupt and persistent decline in TBMW disposal rates. Inconsistent fluctuations in both magnitude and variability of the monthly TBMW load weights were also observed. The TBMW load weight became particularly variable in 2020, with an interquartile range 4 times higher than 2019. The average TBMW load weight was also the lowest (5.1 tonnes∙month-1∙truckload-1) in 2020, possibly due to an overall decline in non-COVID-19 medical emergencies, cancellation of elective surgeries, and availability of telehealth options to residents. In general, the TBMW disposal rates peaked during the summer and fall seasons. The day-to-day TBMW disposal contribution patterns between the pre-pandemic and post-pandemic are similar, with 97.5% of total TBMW being disposed of on fixed days. Results from this Canadian case study indicate that there were observable temporal changes in TBMW disposal behaviors during and after the COVID-19 lockdowns.

MD-CardioNet: A Multi-Dimensional Deep Neural Network for Cardiovascular Disease Diagnosis from Electrocardiogram.

Automated classification of cardiovascular diseases from electrocardiogram (ECG) signals using deep learning has gained significant interest due to its wide range of applications. However, existing deep learning approaches often overlook inter-channel shared information or lose time-sequence dependent information when considering 1D and 2D ECG representations, respectively. Moreover, besides considering spatial dimension, it is necessary to understand the context of the signals from a global feature space. We propose MD-CardioNet, an efficient deep learning architecture that captures temporal, spatial, and volumetric features from multi-lead ECG signals using multidimensional (1D, 2D, and 3D) convolutions to address these challenges. Sequential feature extractors capture time-dependent information, while a 2D convolution is applied to form an image representation from the multi-channel ECG signal, extracting inter-channel features. Additionally, a volumetric feature extraction network is designed to incorporate intra-channel, inter-channel, and inter-filter global space information. To reduce computational complexity, we introduce a practical knowledge distillation framework that reduces the number of trainable parameters by up to eight times ( from 4,304,910 parameters to 94,842 parameters) while maintaining satisfactory performance compatible with the other existing approaches. The proposed architecture is evaluated on a large publicly available dataset containing ECG signals from over 10,000 patients, achieving an accuracy of 97.3% in classifying six heartbeat rhythms. Our results surpass the performance of some state-of-the-art approaches. This paper presents a novel deep-learning approach for ECG classification that addresses the limitations of existing methods. The experimental results highlight the robustness and accuracy of MD-CardioNet in cardiovascular disease classification, offering valuable insights for future research in this field.

A multi-jurisdictional study on the quantification of COVID-19 household plastic waste in six Latin American countries.

This study examines urban plastic waste generation using a citizen science approach in six Latin American countries during a global pandemic. The objectives are to quantify generation rates of masks, gloves, face shields, and plastic bags in urban households using online survey and perform a systematic cross-jurisdiction comparisons in these Latin American countries. The per capita total mask generation rates ranged from 0.179 to 0.915 mask cap-1 day-1. A negative correlation between the use of gloves and masks is observed. Using the average values, the approximate proportion of masks, gloves, shields, and single-use plastic bags was 34:5:1:84. We found that most studies overestimated face mask disposal rate in Latin America due to the simplifying assumptions on the number of masks discarded per person, masking prevalence rate, and average mask weight. Unlike other studies, end-of-life PPE quantities were directly counted and reported by the survey participants. Both of the conventional weight-based estimates and the proposed participatory survey are recommended in quantifying COVID waste. Participant' perception based on the Likert scale is generally consistent with the waste amount generated. Waste policy and regulation appear to be important in daily waste generation rate. The results highlight the importance of using measured data in waste estimates.

A cross-jurisdictional comparison on residential waste collection rates during earlier waves of COVID-19.

There is currently a lack of studies on residential waste collection during COVID-19 in North America. SARIMA models were developed to predict residential waste collection rates (RWCR) across four North American jurisdictions before and during the pandemic. Unlike waste disposal rates, RWCR is relatively less sensitive to the changes in COVID-19 regulatory policies and administrative measures, making RWCR more appropriate for cross-jurisdictional comparisons. It is hypothesized that the use of RWCR in forecasting models will help us to better understand the residential waste generation behaviors in North America. Both SARIMA models performed satisfactorily in predicting Regina's RWCR. The SARIMA DCV model's performance is noticeably better during COVID-19, with a 15.7% lower RMSE than that of the benchmark model (SARIMA BCV). The skewness of overprediction ratios was noticeably different between jurisdictions, and modeling errors were generally lower in less populated cities. Conflicting behavioral changes might have altered the residential waste generation characteristics and recycling behaviors differently across the jurisdictions. Overall, SARIMA DCV performed better in the Canadian jurisdiction than in U.S. jurisdictions, likely due to the model's bias on a less variable input dataset. The use of RWCR in forecasting models helps us to better understand the residential waste generation behaviors in North America and better prepare us for a future global pandemic.

Ranking Canadian waste management system efficiencies using three waste performance indicators.

Three waste management system (WMS) efficiency indicators are adopted to systematically assess WMS efficiency in Canada from 1998 to 2016. The study objectives are to examine the temporal changes in waste diversion activities and rank the performance of the jurisdictions using a qualitative analytical framework. Increasing Waste Management Output Index (WMOI) trends were identified in all jurisdictions, and more government subsidiaries and incentive packages are recommended. With the exception of Nova Scotia, statistically significant decreasing diversion gross domestic product (DGDP) ratio trends are observed. It appears that the increases in GDP from Sector 562 were not contributing to waste diversion. On average, Canada spent about $225/tonne of waste handled during the study period. Current spending per tonne handled (CuPT) trends are decreasing, with S ranging from + 5.15 to + 7.67. It appears that WMSs in Saskatchewan and Alberta are more efficient. The results suggest that the use of diversion rate alone to evaluate WMS may be misleading. The findings help the waste community to better understand the trade-offs between various waste management alternatives. The proposed qualitative framework utilizing comparative rankings is applicable elsewhere and can be a useful decision support tool for policy-makers.

Evolution of COVID-19 municipal solid waste disposal behaviors using epidemiology-based periods defined by World Health Organization guidelines.

This study aims to identify the effects of continued COVID-19 transmission on waste management trends in a Canadian capital city, using pandemic periods defined from epidemiology and the WHO guidelines. Trends are detected using both regression and Mann-Kendall tests. The proposed analytical method is jurisdictionally comparable and does not rely on administrative measures. A reduction of 190.30 tonnes/week in average residential waste collection is observed in the Group II period. COVID-19 virulence negatively correlated with residential waste generation. Data variability in average collection rates during the Group II period increased (SD=228.73 tonnes/week). A slightly lower COVID-19 induced Waste Disposal Variability (CWDW) of 0.63 was observed in the Group II period. Increasing residential waste collection trends during Group II are observed from both regression (b = +1.6) and the MK test (z = +5.0). Both trend analyses reveal a decreasing CWDV trend during the Group I period, indicating higher diversion activities. Decreasing CWDV trends are also observed during the Group II period, probably due to the implementation of new waste programs. The use of pandemic periods derived from epidemiology helps us to better understand the effect of COVID-19 on waste generation and disposal behaviors, allowing us to better compare results in regions with different socio-economic affluences.

A dual-stage deep convolutional neural network for automatic diagnosis of COVID-19 and pneumonia from chest CT images.

In the Coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, for fast and accurate diagnosis of a large number of patients, besides traditional methods, automated diagnostic tools are now extremely required. In this paper, a deep convolutional neural network (CNN) based scheme is proposed for automated accurate diagnosis of COVID-19 from lung computed tomography (CT) scan images. First, for the automated segmentation of lung regions in a chest CT scan, a modified CNN architecture, namely SKICU-Net is proposed by incorporating additional skip interconnections in the U-Net model that overcome the loss of information in dimension scaling. Next, an agglomerative hierarchical clustering is deployed to eliminate the CT slices without significant information. Finally, for effective feature extraction and diagnosis of COVID-19 and pneumonia from the segmented lung slices, a modified DenseNet architecture, namely P-DenseCOVNet is designed where parallel convolutional paths are introduced on top of the conventional DenseNet model for getting better performance through overcoming the loss of positional arguments. Outstanding performances have been achieved with an F1 score of 0.97 in the segmentation task along with an accuracy of 87.5% in diagnosing COVID-19, common pneumonia, and normal cases. Significant experimental results and comparison with other studies show that the proposed scheme provides very satisfactory performances and can serve as an effective diagnostic tool in the current pandemic.

AutoCovNet: Unsupervised feature learning using autoencoder and feature merging for detection of COVID-19 from chest X-ray images.

With the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, the automated diagnosis has become one of the most trending topics of research for faster mass screening. Deep learning-based approaches have been established as the most promising methods in this regard. However, the limitation of the labeled data is the main bottleneck of the data-hungry deep learning methods. In this paper, a two-stage deep CNN based scheme is proposed to detect COVID-19 from chest X-ray images for achieving optimum performance with limited training images. In the first stage, an encoder-decoder based autoencoder network is proposed, trained on chest X-ray images in an unsupervised manner, and the network learns to reconstruct the X-ray images. An encoder-merging network is proposed for the second stage that consists of different layers of the encoder model followed by a merging network. Here the encoder model is initialized with the weights learned on the first stage and the outputs from different layers of the encoder model are used effectively by being connected to a proposed merging network. An intelligent feature merging scheme is introduced in the proposed merging network. Finally, the encoder-merging network is trained for feature extraction of the X-ray images in a supervised manner and resulting features are used in the classification layers of the proposed architecture. Considering the final classification task, an EfficientNet-B4 network is utilized in both stages. An end to end training is performed for datasets containing classes: COVID-19, Normal, Bacterial Pneumonia, Viral Pneumonia. The proposed method offers very satisfactory performances compared to the state of the art methods and achieves an accuracy of 90:13% on the 4-class, 96:45% on a 3-class, and 99:39% on 2-class classification.

Female Participation in Household Decision Making and the Justification of Wife Beating in Bangladesh.

We examined female participation in household decision making and its association with the justification of wife beating in Bangladesh. We used nationally representative data from the 2014 Bangladesh Demographic and Health Survey. Our sample consisted of currently married women of age 15 to 49 years (n = 16,463). Chi-square tests and multilevel logistic regression models were performed. Approximately 84% of women in the survey were participants in at least one household decision, and 72% reported that wife beating is not justified in any circumstance. Women who reported their participation in at least one type of household decision less frequently reported that wife beating could be justified than those who did not participate in any household decisions (adjusted odds ratio = 1.49; 95% confidence interval = [1.25, 1.78]). In addition to participation in household decision making, other factors including age at first marriage, females' and their husbands' education, religion, parity, contraceptive use, and socioeconomic status were associated with the justification of wife beating. The results indicate that female participation in household decision making is significantly associated with the justification of wife beating in Bangladesh. Further study is needed, but the results suggest that policy makers should consider interventions proven to empower women and lead to increased participation in decision making as methods that may reduce domestic violence against women.

CovTANet: A Hybrid Tri-Level Attention-Based Network for Lesion Segmentation, Diagnosis, and Severity Prediction of COVID-19 Chest CT Scans.

Rapid and precise diagnosis of COVID-19 is one of the major challenges faced by the global community to control the spread of this overgrowing pandemic. In this article, a hybrid neural network is proposed, named CovTANet, to provide an end-to-end clinical diagnostic tool for early diagnosis, lesion segmentation, and severity prediction of COVID-19 utilizing chest computer tomography (CT) scans. A multiphase optimization strategy is introduced for solving the challenges of complicated diagnosis at a very early stage of infection, where an efficient lesion segmentation network is optimized initially, which is later integrated into a joint optimization framework for the diagnosis and severity prediction tasks providing feature enhancement of the infected regions. Moreover, for overcoming the challenges with diffused, blurred, and varying shaped edges of COVID lesions with novel and diverse characteristics, a novel segmentation network is introduced, namely tri-level attention-based segmentation network. This network has significantly reduced semantic gaps in subsequent encoding-decoding stages, with immense parallelization of multiscale features for faster convergence providing considerable performance improvement over traditional networks. Furthermore, a novel tri-level attention mechanism has been introduced, which is repeatedly utilized over the network, combining channel, spatial, and pixel attention schemes for faster and efficient generalization of contextual information embedded in the feature map through feature recalibration and enhancement operations. Outstanding performances have been achieved in all three tasks through extensive experimentation on a large publicly available dataset containing 1110 chest CT-volumes, which signifies the effectiveness of the proposed scheme at the current stage of the pandemic.

CovSegNet: A Multi Encoder-Decoder Architecture for Improved Lesion Segmentation of COVID-19 Chest CT Scans.

Automatic lung lesion segmentation of chest computer tomography (CT) scans is considered a pivotal stage toward accurate diagnosis and severity measurement of COVID-19. Traditional U-shaped encoder-decoder architecture and its variants suffer from diminutions of contextual information in pooling/upsampling operations with increased semantic gaps among encoded and decoded feature maps as well as instigate vanishing gradient problems for its sequential gradient propagation that result in suboptimal performance. Moreover, operating with 3-D CT volume poses further limitations due to the exponential increase of computational complexity making the optimization difficult. In this article, an automated COVID-19 lesion segmentation scheme is proposed utilizing a highly efficient neural network architecture, namely CovSegNet, to overcome these limitations. Additionally, a two-phase training scheme is introduced where a deeper 2-D network is employed for generating region-of-interest (ROI)-enhanced CT volume followed by a shallower 3-D network for further enhancement with more contextual information without increasing computational burden. Along with the traditional vertical expansion of Unet, we have introduced horizontal expansion with multistage encoder-decoder modules for achieving optimum performance. Additionally, multiscale feature maps are integrated into the scale transition process to overcome the loss of contextual information. Moreover, a multiscale fusion module is introduced with a pyramid fusion scheme to reduce the semantic gaps between subsequent encoder/decoder modules while facilitating the parallel optimization for efficient gradient propagation. Outstanding performances have been achieved in three publicly available datasets that largely outperform other state-of-the-art approaches. The proposed scheme can be easily extended for achieving optimum segmentation performances in a wide variety of applications. Impact Statement-With lower sensitivity (60-70%), elongated testing time, and a dire shortage of testing kits, traditional RTPCR based COVID-19 diagnostic scheme heavily relies on postCT based manual inspection for further investigation. Hence, automating the process of infected lesions extraction from chestCT volumes will be major progress for faster accurate diagnosis of COVID-19. However, in challenging conditions with diffused, blurred, and varying shaped edges of COVID-19 lesions, conventional approaches fail to provide precise segmentation of lesions that can be deleterious for false estimation and loss of information. The proposed scheme incorporating an efficient neural network architecture (CovSegNet) overcomes the limitations of traditional approaches that provide significant improvement of performance (8.4% in averaged dice measurement scale) over two datasets. Therefore, this scheme can be an effective, economical tool for the physicians for faster infection analysis to greatly reduce the spread and massive death toll of this deadly virus through mass-screening.

PolypSegNet: A modified encoder-decoder architecture for automated polyp segmentation from colonoscopy images.

Colorectal cancer has become one of the major causes of death throughout the world. Early detection of Polyp, an early symptom of colorectal cancer, can increase the survival rate to 90%. Segmentation of Polyp regions from colonoscopy images can facilitate the faster diagnosis. Due to varying sizes, shapes, and textures of polyps with subtle visible differences with the background, automated segmentation of polyps still poses a major challenge towards traditional diagnostic methods. Conventional Unet architecture and some of its variants have gained much popularity for its automated segmentation though having several architectural limitations that result in sub-optimal performance. In this paper, an encoder-decoder based modified deep neural network architecture is proposed, named as PolypSegNet, to overcome several limitations of traditional architectures for very precise automated segmentation of polyp regions from colonoscopy images. For achieving more generalized representation at each scale of both the encoder and decoder module, several sequential depth dilated inception (DDI) blocks are integrated into each unit layer for aggregating features from different receptive areas utilizing depthwise dilated convolutions. Different scales of contextual information from all encoder unit layers pass through the proposed deep fusion skip module (DFSM) to generate skip interconnection with each decoder layer rather than separately connecting different levels of encoder and decoder. For more efficient reconstruction in the decoder module, multi-scale decoded feature maps generated at various levels of the decoder are jointly optimized in the proposed deep reconstruction module (DRM) instead of only considering the decoded feature map from final decoder layer. Extensive experimentations on four publicly available databases provide very satisfactory performance with mean five-fold cross-validation dice scores of 91.52% in CVC-ClinicDB database, 92.8% in CVC-ColonDB database, 88.72% in Kvasir-SEG database, and 84.79% in ETIS-Larib database. The proposed network provides very accurate segmented polyp regions that will expedite the diagnosis of polyps even in challenging conditions.

Sleep Apnea Event Detection from Sub-frame Based Feature Variation in EEG Signal Using Deep Convolutional Neural Network.

The topic of automatic detection of sleep apnea which is a respiratory sleep disorder, affecting millions of patients worldwide, is continuously being explored by researchers. Electroencephalogram signal (EEG) represents a promising tool due to its direct correlation to neural activity and ease of extraction. Here, an innovative approach is proposed to automatically detect apnea by incorporating local variations of temporal features for identifying the global feature variations over a broader window. An EEG data frame is divided into smaller sub-frames to effectively extract local feature variation within one larger frame. A fully convolutional neural network (FCNN) is proposed that will take each sub-frame of a single frame individually to extract local features. Following that, a dense classifier consisting of a series of fully connected layers is trained to analyze all the local features extracted from subframes for classifying the entire frame as apnea/non-apnea. Finally, a unique post-processing technique is applied which significantly improves accuracy. Both the EEG frame length and post-processing parameters are varied to find optimal detection conditions. Large-scale experimentation is executed on publicly available data of patients with varying apnea-hypopnea indices for performance evaluation of the suggested method.

CovXNet: A multi-dilation convolutional neural network for automatic COVID-19 and other pneumonia detection from chest X-ray images with transferable multi-receptive feature optimization.

With the recent outbreak of COVID-19, fast diagnostic testing has become one of the major challenges due to the critical shortage of test kit. Pneumonia, a major effect of COVID-19, needs to be urgently diagnosed along with its underlying reasons. In this paper, deep learning aided automated COVID-19 and other pneumonia detection schemes are proposed utilizing a small amount of COVID-19 chest X-rays. A deep convolutional neural network (CNN) based architecture, named as CovXNet, is proposed that utilizes depthwise convolution with varying dilation rates for efficiently extracting diversified features from chest X-rays. Since the chest X-ray images corresponding to COVID-19 caused pneumonia and other traditional pneumonias have significant similarities, at first, a large number of chest X-rays corresponding to normal and (viral/bacterial) pneumonia patients are used to train the proposed CovXNet. Learning of this initial training phase is transferred with some additional fine-tuning layers that are further trained with a smaller number of chest X-rays corresponding to COVID-19 and other pneumonia patients. In the proposed method, different forms of CovXNets are designed and trained with X-ray images of various resolutions and for further optimization of their predictions, a stacking algorithm is employed. Finally, a gradient-based discriminative localization is integrated to distinguish the abnormal regions of X-ray images referring to different types of pneumonia. Extensive experimentations using two different datasets provide very satisfactory detection performance with accuracy of 97.4% for COVID/Normal, 96.9% for COVID/Viral pneumonia, 94.7% for COVID/Bacterial pneumonia, and 90.2% for multiclass COVID/normal/Viral/Bacterial pneumonias. Hence, the proposed schemes can serve as an efficient tool in the current state of COVID-19 pandemic. All the architectures are made publicly available at: https://github.com/Perceptron21/CovXNet.