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1.
Epidemiol Infect ; 151: e26, 2023 02 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36734116

RESUMO

We describe the management of two linked severe acute respiratory coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) outbreaks, predominantly amongst 18-35-year-olds, in a UK county in July-to-September 2021, following the lifting of national coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)-associated social restrictions. One was associated with a nightclub and one with five air force bases. On week beginning 2nd August 2021, air force contact tracing teams detected 68 cases across five bases within one county; 21 (30.9%) were associated with a night-time economy venue, 13 (19.1%) with night-time economy venues in the county's main town and at least one case per base (n = 6, 8.8%) with a particular nightclub in this town, which itself had been associated with 302 cases in the previous week (coinciding with its reopening following a national lockdown). In response, Public Health England/United Kingdom Health Security Agency, air force and local authority teams collaboratively implemented communication strategies and enhanced access to SARS-CoV-2 testing and vaccination. Key challenges included attempting to encourage behaviours that reduce likelihood of transmission to a population who may have considered themselves at low risk from severe COVID-19. This report may inform future preparation for, and management of, easing of potential future pandemic-related social restrictions, and how an outbreak in this context may be addressed.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiologia , SARS-CoV-2 , Teste para COVID-19 , Controle de Doenças Transmissíveis , Surtos de Doenças , Reino Unido/epidemiologia
2.
Cancer Epidemiol ; 69: 101840, 2020 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33126041

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The relationship between deprivation and oral cancer is complex. We examined magnitude and shape of deprivation-related inequalities in oral cancer in England 2012-2016. METHODS: Oral cancer was indicated by cancers of the lip and oral cavity (ICD10 C00-C06) and lip, oral cavity and pharynx (C00-C14) and deprivation by the Index of Multiple Deprivation. Deprivation inequality in incidence and mortality rates of oral cancer outcomes was measured using the Relative Index of Inequality (RII). Fractional polynomial regression was used to explore the shape of the relationships between deprivation and oral cancer outcomes. Multivariate regression models were fitted with the appropriate functions to examine the independent effect of deprivation on cancer adjusting for smoking, alcohol and ethnicity. RESULTS: Incidence rate ratios (IRRs) and mortality rate ratios (MRRs) were greater for more deprived areas. The RII values indicated significant inequalities for oral cancer outcomes but the magnitude of inequalities were greater for mortality. The relationships between deprivation and oral cancer outcomes were curvilinear. Deprivation, Asian ethnicity and alcohol consumption were associated with higher incidence and mortality rates of oral cancer. CONCLUSION: This is the first study, to our knowledge, exploring the shape of socioeconomic inequalities in oral cancer at neighbourhood level. Deprivation-related inequalities were present for all oral cancer outcomes with a steeper rise at the more deprived end of the deprivation spectrum. Deprivation predicted oral cancer even after accounting for other risk factors.


Assuntos
Disparidades nos Níveis de Saúde , Neoplasias Bucais/epidemiologia , Inglaterra/epidemiologia , Feminino , História do Século XXI , Humanos , Masculino , Fatores de Risco
3.
BMC Public Health ; 19(1): 580, 2019 May 16.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31096950

RESUMO

In 2017 Public Health England were asked to assist with investigating why 1-year cancer survival rates appeared lower than expected in a local area. We identified 50 premature deaths that surveillance data suggested we would not expect. These deaths highlighted a gap in recognising and responding to this kind of systematic non communicable disease (NCD) outcome variation. We hypothesise that the lack of a universally agreed systematic response to variations is not only counter-intuitive, but wholly unacceptable where non-communicable diseases (NCDs) rather than infectious diseases have become the leading causes of illness and death worldwide. In the United Kingdom (UK) alone over 89% of mortality in 2014 was attributable to NCDs. We argue that a new approach is urgently needed to turn the curve on NCD outcome variation to protect and improve the public's health. We set out a definition of an NCD "incident" and propose a phased approach that could be used to respond to local variation in NCD outcomes.Establishing parity of response for local variations in NCD outcomes and CD control is critically important. Although evidence shows that prevention and early intervention will make the biggest difference to NCD incidence, collective local whole health economy response, exploiting the wealth of surveillance data in real time, needs to be at the heart of responding to variations in NCD outcomes at a population level. We argue that local and national public health agencies should mandate a standardised 'incident' response to significant changes in outcomes from NCD to mitigate and reduce the loss of quality life.


Assuntos
Mortalidade Prematura/tendências , Doenças não Transmissíveis/mortalidade , Saúde da População/estatística & dados numéricos , Vigilância da População , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Reino Unido/epidemiologia
4.
PLoS Curr ; 102018 Apr 27.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29854568

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: On 14th August 2015 an office manager informed Public Health England of five employees known to have been diagnosed with pneumonia over the previous three weeks. We investigated to establish whether an outbreak occurred and to identify and control the source of infection. METHODS: We undertook case finding for self-reported pneumonia cases at local businesses (July-August 2015). Clinical samples from a hospitalised case were tested for common respiratory pathogens, but returned negative results. Further testing confirmed Chlamydia psittaci infection in this case (serology and PCR).  We subsequently undertook C. psittaci testing for all cases, redefining them as confirmed (C. psittaci PCR or high antibody titre via serology) or probable (inconclusive C. psittaci serology). Twenty-eight day exposure histories informed descriptive epidemiological analysis. We conducted an environmental investigation at the office to identify potential sources of exposure. RESULTS: We identified six office workers with pneumonia; four met case definitions (three confirmed, one probable) with symptom onset between 29th July and 4th August 2015. Workplace was the only epidemiological link and only one case reported limited, indirect bird contact. Environmental investigations identified pigeons roosting near the office which were being fed by workers (none cases). DISCUSSION: This was a probable outbreak of psittacosis with no direct bird-to-human contact reported. Cases recovered after receiving appropriate antibiotics. Feeding of pigeons was stopped. A deep clean of office ventilation systems was conducted and workers were advised to avoid bird contact.  We hypothesised that indirect environmental exposure to infected pigeons was to the source of this outbreak. This work provides evidence that health professionals should consider psittacosis in the differential diagnosis of cases of severe or atypical respiratory illness even without overt bird contact.

5.
Euro Surveill ; 22(49)2017 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29233257

RESUMO

Following notification of a Salmonella enterica serovar Typhimurium gastroenteritis outbreak, we identified 82 cases linked to a restaurant with symptom onset from 12 February 2015 to 8 March 2016. Seventy-two cases had an isolate matching the nationally unique whole genome sequencing profile (single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) address: 1.1.1.124.395.395). Interviews established exposure to the restaurant and subsequent case-control analysis identified an association with eating carvery buffet food (adjusted odds ratios (AOR): 20.9; 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.2 - ∞). Environmental inspections, food/water testing, and a food trace-back investigation were inconclusive. Repeated cycles of cleaning were undertaken, including hydrogen peroxide fogging, however, transmission continued. After 7 months of investigation, environmental swabbing identified 106 isolates from kitchen surfaces and restaurant drains matching the outbreak profile. We found structural faults with the drainage system and hypothesised that a reservoir of bacteria in drain biofilm and underfloor flooded areas may have sustained this outbreak. Ineffective drain water-traps (U-bends) may have also contributed by allowing transmission of contaminated aerosols into the kitchen environment. These findings suggest that routine swabbing of sink drain points and inspection of drainage systems should be considered in future outbreak scenarios.


Assuntos
Surtos de Doenças/estatística & dados numéricos , Contaminação de Alimentos , Gastroenterite/epidemiologia , Restaurantes , Infecções por Salmonella/epidemiologia , Salmonella typhimurium/genética , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Notificação de Doenças , Inglaterra/epidemiologia , Doenças Transmitidas por Alimentos/epidemiologia , Gastroenterite/microbiologia , Humanos , Lactente , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Epidemiologia Molecular , Tipagem Molecular , Intoxicação Alimentar por Salmonella/epidemiologia , Infecções por Salmonella/diagnóstico , Infecções por Salmonella/microbiologia , Salmonella typhimurium/isolamento & purificação , Análise de Sequência de DNA , Sequenciamento Completo do Genoma , Adulto Jovem
6.
J Infect Dis ; 211(1): 80-90, 2015 Jan 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25030060

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Administration of convalescent plasma, serum, or hyperimmune immunoglobulin may be of clinical benefit for treatment of severe acute respiratory infections (SARIs) of viral etiology. We conducted a systematic review and exploratory meta-analysis to assess the overall evidence. METHODS: Healthcare databases and sources of grey literature were searched in July 2013. All records were screened against the protocol eligibility criteria, using a 3-stage process. Data extraction and risk of bias assessments were undertaken. RESULTS: We identified 32 studies of SARS coronavirus infection and severe influenza. Narrative analyses revealed consistent evidence for a reduction in mortality, especially when convalescent plasma is administered early after symptom onset. Exploratory post hoc meta-analysis showed a statistically significant reduction in the pooled odds of mortality following treatment, compared with placebo or no therapy (odds ratio, 0.25; 95% confidence interval, .14-.45; I(2) = 0%). Studies were commonly of low or very low quality, lacked control groups, and at moderate or high risk of bias. Sources of clinical and methodological heterogeneity were identified. CONCLUSIONS: Convalescent plasma may reduce mortality and appears safe. This therapy should be studied within the context of a well-designed clinical trial or other formal evaluation, including for treatment of Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus CoV infection.


Assuntos
Imunoglobulinas/administração & dosagem , Imunoglobulinas/imunologia , Plasma/imunologia , Síndrome Respiratória Aguda Grave/tratamento farmacológico , Síndrome Respiratória Aguda Grave/imunologia , Humanos , Influenza Humana/tratamento farmacológico , Influenza Humana/imunologia , Estudos Prospectivos , Infecções Respiratórias/imunologia , Risco , Coronavírus Relacionado à Síndrome Respiratória Aguda Grave/imunologia
7.
Pediatrics ; 133(5): 863-71, 2014 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24709933

RESUMO

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Despite numerous studies reporting an elevated risk of infant mortality among women who are obese, the magnitude of the association is unclear. A systematic review and meta-analysis was undertaken to assess the association between maternal overweight or obesity and infant mortality. METHODS: Four health care databases and gray literature sources were searched and screened against the protocol eligibility criteria. Observational studies reporting on the relationship between maternal overweight and obesity and infant mortality were included. Data extraction and risk of bias assessments were performed. RESULTS: Twenty-four records were included from 783 screened. Obese mothers (BMI ≥30) had greater odds of having an infant death (odds ratio 1.42; 95% confidence interval, 1.24-1.63; P < .001; 11 studies); these odds were greatest for the most obese (BMI >35) (odds ratio 2.03; 95% confidence interval, 1.61-2.56; P < .001; 3 studies). CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that the odds of having an infant death are greater for obese mothers and that this risk may increase with greater maternal BMI or weight; however, residual confounding may explain these findings. Given the rising prevalence of maternal obesity, additional high-quality epidemiologic studies to elucidate the actual influence of elevated maternal mass or weight on infant mortality are needed. If a causal link is determined and the biological basis explained, public health strategies to address the issue of maternal obesity will be needed.


Assuntos
Morte do Lactente/etiologia , Mães/estatística & dados numéricos , Obesidade/epidemiologia , Morte Perinatal/etiologia , Complicações na Gravidez/epidemiologia , Índice de Massa Corporal , Causalidade , Comparação Transcultural , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Razão de Chances , Cuidado Pré-Concepcional , Gravidez , Risco , Nascimento Vaginal Após Cesárea/estatística & dados numéricos
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