Skin cancer screening recommendations by U.S. cancer centers: Inconsistency with national guidelines.

OBJECTIVE: The incidence of melanoma has increased dramatically over the past four decades, while overall mortality has remained stable. This increase in incidence without a change in overall mortality may be due to overdiagnosis through skin cancer screening. Despite the USPSTF citing insufficient evidence for or against professional skin cancer screening in average-risk adults, U.S. skin cancer screening practices may be leading to overdiagnosis of skin cancers. METHODS: Two reviewers examined the online recommendations for skin cancer screening of 1113 U.S. cancer centers accredited by the Commission on Cancer, including 66 designated by the National Cancer Institute (NCI). Recommendations on skin cancer screening, such as age, frequency, and patient population (i.e. high-risk of developing skin cancer, "people of color") were documented. RESULTS: We found that 18% of centers (202) recommended professional screening in average-risk adults, 35.8% (399) advised regular self-examination, and only 3.4% (38) cited insufficient evidence for screening practices; 49% of NCI centers (32/66) recommended screening in high-risk adults compared to 13% of non-NCI centers (135/1047; p = 0.0004); 0.45% of centers (5) mentioned the potential harms of screening, while 3.5% (39) specifically recommended screening for people of color. CONCLUSION: Our study reveals that many U.S. cancer centers advise some form of skin cancer screening despite a lack of evidence for or against these practices. Few centers mentioned the potential harms of screening, including overdiagnosis. This indicates a need for stronger evidence for specific screening guidelines and for greater public awareness of the potential benefits and harms of routine skin cancer screening.

Outcomes of atypical lobular hyperplasia managed by active surveillance or immediate surgery.

BACKGROUND: Atypical lobular hyperplasia (ALH) is typically diagnosed via needle core biopsy (NCB) and is commonly removed surgically in light of upgrade to malignancy rates of 1%-5%. As studies on radiographic outcomes of ALH managed by active surveillance (AS) are limited, we investigated the upgrade rates of surgically excised ALH as well as radiographic progression during AS. METHODS: In this retrospective study, 125 patients with 127 ALH lesions diagnosed via NCB at Weill Cornell Medicine from 2015 to 2021 were included. The upgrade rate to cancer was determined for patients who had surgical management ≤6 months after biopsy. Among patients with ALH managed by AS, we investigated radiographic progression on 6-month interval imaging. RESULTS: Of 127 ALH lesions, 75% (n = 95) were immediately excised and 25% (n = 32) were observed under AS. The upgrade rate of immediately excised ALH was 2.1% (n = 2; invasive ductal carcinoma [IDC], T1N0 and IDC, and T1Nx). In the AS cohort, no ALH lesions progressed radiographically during the follow-up period of 22.5 months (median), with all remaining stable (50%, n = 16), resolving (47%, n = 15), or decreasing in size (3%, n = 1). CONCLUSIONS: In this study, NCB-diagnosed ALH had a low upgrade to malignancy rate (2.1%), and no ALH lesions managed by AS progressed radiographically during the follow-up period of 22.5 months. These results support AS as the favorable option for patients with pure ALH on biopsy, with surgical excision for lesions that progress on surveillance.

Public cervical cancer screening recommendations from US cancer centers: Assessing adherence to national guidelines.

Though widespread adoption of cervical cancer screening (CCS) in the US has been associated with a reduction in cervical cancer incidence and mortality, screening also carries with it potential risks. Newer national guidelines recommend decreased screening frequency to optimize the benefit/risk balance and to prevent over-screening. Here, we examined the alignment of US cancer center websites' public recommendations on CCS with national guidelines. We reviewed the websites of 1024 cancer centers accredited by the US Commission on Cancer during January-August 2022. We recorded the recommended frequency and type of CCS and any screening risks mentioned, comparing against national US Preventive Service Task Force (USPSTF) and American Cancer Society (ACS) guidelines. Of 1024 US cancer centers, 60% (610) provided CCS recommendations. Most centers are in alignment with the screening starting age (96%, 544/565) and stopping age (94%, 440/470) recommended by national guidelines. Of 508 centers specifying the frequency of standalone cervical cytology, 83% (419) recommended a screening interval of three years; however, 14% (73) recommended cervical cytology more frequently than the three-year interval recommended by the ACS/USPSTF. Screening risks were mentioned by 20% (124/610) of centers. Our findings highlight the importance of education on screening benefits and risks for physicians and patients to enable shared decision making based on evidence-based guidelines.

RAS-Mutated Cytologically Indeterminate Thyroid Nodules: Prevalence of Malignancy and Behavior Under Active Surveillance.

Background: Genomic profiling is now available for risk stratification of cytologically indeterminate thyroid nodules (ITNs). Mutations in RAS genes (HRAS, NRAS, KRAS) are found in both benign and malignant thyroid nodules, although isolated RAS mutations are rarely associated with aggressive tumors. Because the long-term behavior of RAS-mutant ITNs is not well understood, most undergo immediate surgery. In this multicenter retrospective cohort study, we characterize tumor growth kinetics of RAS-mutant ITNs followed with active surveillance (AS) using serial ultrasound (US) scans and examine the histopathologic diagnoses of those surgically resected. Methods: US and histopathologic data were analyzed retrospectively from two cohorts: (1) RAS-mutant ITNs managed with AS at three institutions (2010-2023) and (2) RAS-mutant ITNs managed with immediate surgery at two institutions (2016-2020). AS cohort subjects had ≥3 months of follow-up and two or more US scans. Cumulative incidence of nodule growth was determined by the Kaplan-Meier method and growth by ≥72% change in tumor volume. Pathological diagnoses for the immediate surgery cohort were analyzed separately. Results: Sixty-two patients with 63 RAS-mutated ITNs under AS had a median diameter of 1.7 cm (interquartile range [IQR] 1.2-2.6) at time of diagnosis. During a median AS period of 23 months (IQR 9.5-53.5 months), growth was observed in 12 of 63 nodules (19.0%), with a cumulative incidence of 1.9% (1 year), 23.0% (3 years), and 28.0% (5 years). Most nodules (81.0%) demonstrated stability. Surgery was ultimately performed in 6 nodules, of which 1 (16.7%) was malignant. In the cohort of 209 RAS-mutant ITNs triaged to immediate surgery, 33% were malignant (23.9% American Thyroid Association [ATA] low-risk cancers, 7.2% ATA intermediate-risk, and 1.9% ATA high-risk. During a median follow-up of 6.9 (IQR 4.4-7.1) years, there were no disease-specific deaths in these patients. Conclusions: We describe the behavior of RAS-mutant ITNs under AS and find that most demonstrate stability over time. Of the resected RAS-mutant nodules, most were benign; of the cancers, most were ATA low-risk. Immediate surgical resection of all RAS-mutant ITNs appears to be a low-value practice. Further research is needed to help define cases most appropriate for AS or immediate surgery.

Diagnostic Scrutiny and Patterns of Elevated Cancer Risk: Uncovering Overdiagnosis Through Standardized Incidence Ratios.

Certain medical diagnoses and environmental or occupational exposures may be associated with elevated risk of cancer diagnosis, either through causal mechanisms or via increased detection of a subclinical reservoir through increased diagnostic scrutiny (overdiagnosis). The present study aimed to investigate the distribution of elevated cancer risks associated with different diagnoses and exposures. A systematic literature search was conducted to identify studies published in the last 30 years that examined the standardized incidence ratio (SIR) associated with exposures and risk factors. Meta-SIRs for each cancer type were calculated. The distribution of elevated cancer risks was then compared between cancer types previously reported to be susceptible to overdiagnosis and those that have not been associated with overdiagnosis. The review of 108 studies identified four patterns: SIR generally elevated for 1) only overdiagnosis-susceptible cancer types, 2) both overdiagnosed and non-overdiagnosed cancer types, 3) select cancers in accordance with risk factor or exposure, and 4) SIRs that did not exhibit a distinct increase in any cancer type. The distribution of elevated cancer risks may serve as a signature of whether the underlying risk factor or exposure is a carcinogenic process or a mechanism of increased diagnostic scrutiny uncovering clinically occult diseases. The identification of increased cancer risk should be viewed with caution, and analyzing the pattern of elevated cancer risk distribution can potentially reveal conditions that appear to be cancer risk factors but are in fact the result of exposure to medical surveillance or other healthcare activities that lead to the detection of indolent tumors.

Patterns of immune equilibrium and escape in indolent and progressing tumors.

By comparing indolent/slowly progressing with aggressive/rapidly progressing tumor types, Pandey et al. identify human evidence of immune equilibrium in indolent tumors and immune escape in progressing tumors, suggesting a link between these mechanisms and the epidemiologic phenomenon of overdiagnosis.

Active Surveillance of Atypical Ductal Hyperplasia of the Breast.

BACKGROUND: When needle core biopsy (NCB) of the breast yields atypical ductal hyperplasia (ADH), excision is typically recommended. The natural history of ADH undergoing active surveillance (AS) is not well described. We investigate the rates of upgrade to malignancy of excised ADH and the rates of radiographic progression under AS. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed records of 220 cases of ADH on NCB. Of patients who had surgery within 6 months of NCB, we examined the malignancy upgrade rate. In the AS cohort, we examined rates of radiographic progression on interval imaging. RESULTS: The malignancy upgrade rate among patients who underwent immediate excision (n = 185) was 15.7%: 14.1% (n = 26) ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) and 1.6% (n = 3) invasive ductal carcinoma (IDC). Upgrade to malignancy was less common in lesions <4 mm in size (0%) or with focal ADH (5%), and more common among lesions presenting with a radiographic mass (26%). Among the 35 patients who underwent AS, median follow-up was 20 months. Two lesions progressed on imaging (incidence 3.8% at 2 years). One patient without radiographic progression was found to have IDC at delayed surgery. The remaining lesions remained stable (46%), decreased in size (11%), or resolved (37%). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that AS is a safe approach to managing ADH on NCB for most patients. This could spare many patients with ADH from unnecessary surgery. Given that AS is being investigated for low-risk DCIS in multiple international prospective trials, these results suggest that AS should also be investigated for ADH.

Relative Survival With Early-Stage Breast Cancer in Screened and Unscreened Populations.

Relative survival and disease-specific survival are two statistics that measure net survival from a cancer diagnosis, excluding other causes of death. In most cases, these two rates are comparable. However, in some cancer types for which cancer screening is performed, relative survival is often greater than disease-specific survival. This divergence has been attributed to mechanisms such as the "healthy user effect" and overdiagnosis of indolent tumors detected by screening. Using relative survival rate as a marker of these mechanisms, we examined the association of breast cancer screening with relative survival rates for women diagnosed with early-stage breast cancer. In population-based data from the National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results registry, we examined relative survival rates in women diagnosed with stage I breast cancer or ductal carcinoma in situ who were in highly screened vs less-highly screened groups, based on time period, age group, and insurance status. In this analysis, relative survival rates for early-stage breast cancer were higher than disease-specific survival, even exceeding 100% in populations experiencing higher rates of screening (ie, women diagnosed during the era of widespread uptake of mammography, age older than 40 years, and women with health insurance coverage). The favorable outcomes observed in screen-detected breast cancers are at least in part attributable to the healthy user effect and overdiagnosis of indolent tumors. Therefore, survival rates may not accurately reflect the effectiveness of cancer screening. These findings have implications for counseling of patients and future clinical studies of active monitoring approaches in breast cancer.

Intraductal Papilloma of the Breast: Prevalence of Malignancy and Natural History Under Active Surveillance.

BACKGROUND: The optimal management of intraductal papillomas (IPs) without atypia diagnosed on needle core biopsy (NCB) is unclear. This study analyzed the malignancy risk of immediately excised IPs and characterized the behavior of IPs under active surveillance (AS). METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed the pathology and imaging records of patients diagnosed with IPs without atypia on NCB during a 10-year period (1999-2019). The malignancy upgrade rate was assessed in patients who had an immediate surgical excision, and the rates of both radiographic progression and development of malignancy were assessed in a cohort of patients undergoing AS. RESULTS: The inclusion criteria were met in 152 patients with 175 IPs with a mean age of 51 ± 13 years. The average size of the IPs on initial imaging was 8 ± 4 mm. Most of the lesions (57%, n = 99) were immediately excised, whereas 76 (43%) underwent AS with interval imaging with a median follow-up period of 15 months (range, 5-111 months). Among the immediately excised IPs, surgical pathology revealed benign findings in 97% (n = 96) and ductal carcinoma in situ in 3% (n = 3). In the AS cohort, 72% (n = 55) of the IPs remained stable, and 25% (n = 19) resolved or decreased in size. At 2 years, 4% had increased in size on imaging and were subsequently excised, with ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS, n = 1) and benign pathology (n = 1) noted on final pathology. CONCLUSIONS: In a large series of breast IPs without atypia, no invasive carcinoma was observed after immediate excision, and 96% of the lesions had not progressed on AS. This suggests that patients with IP shown on NCB can safely undergo AS, with surgery reserved for radiographic lesion progression.

Radial Scars and Complex Sclerosing Lesions of the Breast: Prevalence of Malignancy and Natural History Under Active Surveillance.

BACKGROUND: When needle core biopsies (NCBs) of the breast reveal radial scar or complex sclerosing lesions (RSLs), excision is often recommended despite a low risk of malignancy in the modern era. The optimal management of NCBs revealing RSLs is controversial, and understanding of the natural history of unresected RSLs is limited. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed pathology and imaging data from 148 patients with NCB revealing RSL without atypia from 2015 to 2019 to determine the prevalence of malignancy and the behavior of RSLs undergoing active surveillance (AS). RESULTS: The mean age of patients was 52 years, and most lesions were screen-detected (91%). The median lesion size was 6.0 mm (range 2-39). Most patients (66%, n = 98) underwent immediate surgery, while 34% (n = 50) of patients underwent AS, with a median follow-up of 16 months (range 6-51). Of the excised RSLs, 99% (n = 97) were benign and 1% (n = 1) revealed ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS). In 17% (n = 17) of cases, additional high-risk lesions were discovered upon excision. Among the 50 patients undergoing AS, no lesions progressed on interval imaging. CONCLUSIONS: In this cohort, 99% of RSLs undergoing excision were benign, 1% revealed DCIS, and there were no invasive cancers. In the first study of patients with RSLs undergoing AS, we found that all lesions either remained stable or resolved. We propose that the vast majority of patients with RSL on NCB can be safely offered AS, and that routine excision is a low-value intervention.

Racial Disparities in Cancer Presentation and Outcomes: The Contribution of Overdiagnosis.

BACKGROUND: Racial disparities in cancer have been attributed to population differences in access to care. Differences in cancer overdiagnosis rates are another, less commonly considered cause of disparities. Here, we examine the contribution of overdiagnosis to observed racial disparities in papillary thyroid cancer and estrogen/progesterone receptor positive (ER/PR+) breast cancer. METHODS: We used Surveillance, Epidemiology, End-Results (SEER) 13 for analysis of white and black non-Hispanic persons with papillary thyroid cancer or ER/PR+ breast cancer (1992-2014). Analyses were performed using SeerStat (v8.3.5, March 2018). All statistical tests were two-sided. RESULTS: White persons had higher incidence of papillary thyroid cancer than black persons (14.3 vs 7.7 cases per 100 000 age-adjusted population) and ER/PR+ breast cancer (94.8 vs 70.9 cases per 100 000 age-adjusted population) (P < .001). In papillary thyroid cancer, the entire incidence difference was from more frequent diagnosis of 2-cm or less (10.0 vs 4.9 cases per 100 000 population) and localized or regional (13.8 vs 7.4 cases per 100 000 population) cancers in white persons (P < .001), without corresponding excess of metastatic disease, cancers greater than 4 cm, or incidence-based mortality in black persons. In women with ER/PR+ breast cancer, 95% of the incidence difference was from more 2-cm or less (61.2 vs 38.1 cases per 100 000 population) or 2.1- to 5-cm (25.4 vs 23.4 cases per 100 000 population), localized (65.1 vs 43.0 cases per 100 000 population) cancers diagnosed in white women (P < .001), with slightly higher incidence of tumors greater than 5 cm (10.1 vs 9.3 cases per 100 000 population, P < .001) and incidence-based mortality (8.1 vs 7.2 cases per 100 000 population, P < .001) among black women. Overall, 20-30 additional small or localized ER/PR+ breast cancers were diagnosed in white compared with black women for every large or advanced tumor avoided by early detection. Overdiagnosis was estimated 1.3-2.5 times (papillary thyroid cancer) and 1.7-5.7 times (ER/PR+ breast cancer) higher in white compared with black populations. CONCLUSIONS: Differences in low-risk cancer identification among populations lead to overestimation of racial disparities. Estimates of overdiagnosed cases should be considered to improve care and eliminate disparities while minimizing harms of overdiagnosis.

Fibroepithelial Lesions (FELs) of the Breast: Is Routine Excision Always Necessary?

BACKGROUND: When needle core biopsies (NCBs) of the breast reveal fibroepithelial lesions (FELs), excision is often performed to rule out a phyllodes tumor (PT), despite low malignancy rates. Consequently, the natural history of observed FELs is not well described. We analyzed the malignancy risk in excised FELs and the natural history of FELs undergoing active surveillance (AS). METHODS: We retrospectively studied the pathology and imaging records of 215 patients with FELs (n = 252) diagnosed on NCB. Incidence of growth was determined by Kaplan-Meier method. RESULTS: Of 252 FELs, 80% were immediately excised and 20% underwent AS. Of the excised FELs, 198 (98%) were benign: fibroadenoma (FA) or benign breast tissue in 137 (68%), benign PT in 59 (29%), or LCIS in 2 (1%). Borderline PT or malignant lesions were found in 4 (2%). On ultrasound, malignant and borderline PTs were larger than benign lesions [median 3.9 vs 1.3 cm, p = 0.006]. Fifty FELs underwent AS, with a median follow-up of 17 (range 2-79) months. The majority remained stable or decreased in size: at 2 years, only 35% increased in volume by ≥ 50%. Of those tumors undergoing AS that were later excised (n = 4), all were benign. CONCLUSIONS: Almost all FELs (98%) were benign on surgical excision, and the majority undergoing AS remained stable, with benign pathology if later excised. Most FELs on NCB can be safely followed with US, with surgery reserved for patients with FELs that are large, symptomatic, or growing. This could spare most women with FELs unnecessary surgery.