A Machine Learning Model for Evaluating Imported Disease Screening Strategies in Immigrant Populations.

Given the high prevalence of imported diseases in immigrant populations, it has postulated the need to establish screening programs that allow their early diagnosis and treatment. We present a mathematical model based on machine learning methodologies to contribute to the design of screening programs in this population. We conducted a retrospective cross-sectional screening program of imported diseases in all immigrant patients who attended the Tropical Medicine Unit between January 2009 and December 2016. We designed a mathematical model based on machine learning methodologies to establish the set of most discriminatory prognostic variables to predict the onset of the: HIV infection, malaria, chronic hepatitis B and C, schistosomiasis, and Chagas in immigrant population. We analyzed 759 patients. HIV was predicted with an accuracy of 84.9% and the number of screenings to detect the first HIV-infected person was 26, as in the case of Chagas disease (with a predictive accuracy of 92.9%). For the other diseases the averages were 12 screenings to detect the first case of chronic hepatitis B (85.4%), or schistosomiasis (86.9%), 23 for hepatitis C (85.6%) or malaria (93.3%), and eight for syphilis (79.4%) and strongyloidiasis (88.4%). The use of machine learning methodologies allowed the prediction of the expected disease burden and made it possible to pinpoint with greater precision those immigrants who are likely to benefit from screening programs, thus contributing effectively to their development and design.

Screening Program for Imported Diseases in Immigrant Women: Analysis and Implications from a Gender-Oriented Perspective.

The female immigrant population is especially vulnerable to imported diseases. We describe the results of a prospective screening program for imported diseases performed in immigrant female patients. The protocol included tests for HIV, hepatitis B virus (HBV), hepatitis C virus (HCV), Treponema pallidum, Trypanosoma cruzi, Strongyloides stercoralis and Schistosoma spp., intestinal parasites, malaria, and the detection of microfilaremia, according to the patient's origin. Six hundred eleven patients were studied. The most frequent imported diseases were intestinal parasitosis (39.4%), followed by syphilis (14.6%), HIV infection (9%), chronic HCV (5%), and HBV (3.3%). Most of the cases of HIV (78%) and HBV (85%) were diagnosed in patients aged between 16 and 45 years. Hepatitis C virus appeared mostly in patients in the 46- to 65-year range (P = 0.001; odds ratio [OD]: 3.667 [1.741-7.724]) or older than 65 years (P = 0.0001; OR: 26.350 [7.509-92.463]). Syphilis was diagnosed more frequently in patients older than 46 years (P = 0.0001; OR: 4.273 [2.649-6.893]). Multivariate analysis confirmed a greater presence of HCV infection (P = 0.049) and syphilis (P = 0.0001) in patients aged between 46 and 65 years. In 15.4% of patients, screening did not find any pathology. These data show a high prevalence of imported diseases in the female immigrant population, which may have serious consequences in terms of morbimortality and vertical transmission. Our results encourage the establishment of policies of active screening both in women of childbearing age and within the specific pregnancy screening programs.

Pseudomonas aeruginosa nosocomial meningitis in neurosurgical patients with intraventricular catheters: Therapeutic approach and review of the literature / Meningitis nosocomial por Pseudomonas aeruginosa en pacientes portadores de catéteres intraventriculares: aproximación terapéutica y revisión de la literatura

BACKGROUND: Pseudomonas aeruginosa neurosurgical meningitis is a rare entity, usually related with intraventricular catheters and associated with high mortality rates. We describe the clinical characteristics, treatment and outcomes of a series of neurosurgical meningitis caused by P. aeruginosa along 1990-2016. METHODS: Descriptive, retrospective study of all postsurgical meningitis due to P. aeruginosa related to intraventricular catheters in Hospital Universitario Central de Asturias, between 1990 and 2016. Clinical features, therapeutic approaches and prognostic factors were analyzed statistically. A binary logistic regression analysis was performed to determine the factors influencing the infection mortality. RESULT: 51 episodes from 51 different patients with CSF culture positive for P. aeruginosa were reviewed. Seventeen patients (33.3%) died as a direct consequence of the infection. Univariate analysis showed that mortality was higher in the group of patients treated with ceftazidime (12 vs. 15, p = 0.068, OR 3.040 [0.877-10.544]) and lower in patients whom had received intrathecal therapy (2 vs. 13, p = 0.050, OR 4.64 [0.80-34.93]), without differences observed between those patients treated with aminoglycosides or with colistin. Any patient treated with colistin died (0 vs. 6, p = 0.067, OR: not defined). In the multivariate analysis mortality was only significant higher for patients without catheter withdrawal (p = 0.014) and lower for those patients who received intrathecal therapy (p = 0.05) or adequate empirical treatment (p = 0.006). CONCLUSIONS: The mortality of P. aeruginosa meningitis is high especially in infections without catheter withdrawal and in patients for whom the intrathecal route of administration was not used. Catheter withdrawal was an independent factor of good outcome in our series

ANTECEDENTES: La meningitis nosocomial por Pseudomonas aeruginosa es una entidad poco frecuente, generalmente relacionada con catéteres intraventriculares y asociada con altas tasas de mortalidad. Se describen las características clínicas, con especial hincapié en su tratamiento, de una serie de meningitis neuroquirúrgicas por P. aeruginosa entre 1990 y 2016. MÉTODOS: Estudio descriptivo, retrospectivo, de todas las meningitis posquirúrgicas por P. aeruginosa relacionadas con catéteres intraventriculares en el Hospital Universitario Central de Asturias entre 1990 y 2016, con especial hincapié en los enfoques terapéuticos y factores pronósticos. Los factores asociados con mortalidad se analizaron mediante regresión logística binaria. RESULTADOS: Se revisaron 51 episodios de 51 pacientes diferentes con cultivos de LCR positivos para P. aeruginosa. Diecisiete pacientes (33,3%) murieron como consecuencia directa de la infección. La mortalidad fue mayor en el grupo de pacientes tratados con ceftazidima (12 vs. 15, p = 0,068, OR 3,040 [0,877-10,544]) y menor en los pacientes que habían recibido terapia intratecal (2 vs. 13, p = 0,050, OR 4,64 [0,80-34,93]), sin diferencias en estos últimos entre los tratados con aminoglucósidos o con colistina. Ningún paciente tratado con colistina falleció (0 vs. 6, p = 0,067, OR no definida). El análisis multivariable únicamente confirmó la asociación con la ausencia de terapia intratecal (p = 0,05) o tratamiento empírico adecuado (p = 0,006). CONCLUSIONES: La mortalidad de la meningitis por P. aeruginosa es elevada, especialmente en pacientes en quienes no se utilizó la vía de administración intratecal. La retirada del catéter fue un factor independiente de buena evolución en nuestra serie

Pseudomonas aeruginosa nosocomial meningitis in neurosurgical patients with intraventricular catheters: Therapeutic approach and review of the literature.

BACKGROUND: Pseudomonas aeruginosa neurosurgical meningitis is a rare entity, usually related with intraventricular catheters and associated with high mortality rates. We describe the clinical characteristics, treatment and outcomes of a series of neurosurgical meningitis caused by P. aeruginosa along 1990-2016. METHODS: Descriptive, retrospective study of all postsurgical meningitis due to P. aeruginosa related to intraventricular catheters in Hospital Universitario Central de Asturias, between 1990 and 2016. Clinical features, therapeutic approaches and prognostic factors were analyzed statistically. A binary logistic regression analysis was performed to determine the factors influencing the infection mortality. RESULT: 51 episodes from 51 different patients with CSF culture positive for P. aeruginosa were reviewed. Seventeen patients (33.3%) died as a direct consequence of the infection. Univariate analysis showed that mortality was higher in the group of patients treated with ceftazidime (12 vs. 15, p=0.068, OR 3.040 [0.877-10.544]) and lower in patients whom had received intrathecal therapy (2 vs. 13, p=0.050, OR 4.64 [0.80-34.93]), without differences observed between those patients treated with aminoglycosides or with colistin. Any patient treated with colistin died (0 vs. 6, p=0.067, OR: not defined). In the multivariate analysis mortality was only significant higher for patients without catheter withdrawal (p=0.014) and lower for those patients who received intrathecal therapy (p=0.05) or adequate empirical treatment (p=0.006). CONCLUSIONS: The mortality of P. aeruginosa meningitis is high especially in infections without catheter withdrawal and in patients for whom the intrathecal route of administration was not used. Catheter withdrawal was an independent factor of good outcome in our series.