RESUMO
As Tuberculosis (TB) is a major public health problem in India and to achieve the goal of TB elimination, it is important to assess the trend of TB cases and the impact of lockdowns and other restrictions imposed for control of COVID-19 in India on the National TB Elimination Programme. Hence, the present study aims to study the temporal trend of TB cases and assess the impact of lockdown on TB detection. A retrospective record-based study was conducted in a tertiary care institute of India. A time series analysis of TB cases from April 2018 to May 2020 was carried out. An Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Averages (ARIMA) model was used to forecast TB cases during the lockdown period and the result was compared with actual cases detected. The statistical analysis was accomplished with R software. The time series analysis showed that the projected TB cases in April and May 2020 were 67 and 86, respectively, while the observed cases in these months were 35 and 76. The trend of TB cases during the study period showed no steady increase or decrease and the detection of TB has declined during the COVID-19 lockdown period. The TB cases peaked from April to June and males constitute the majority of TB cases.
Assuntos
Vacinas contra COVID-19 , COVID-19 , Imunogenicidade da Vacina/imunologia , SARS-CoV-2 , Cobertura Vacinal , Proteínas Virais/genética , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , COVID-19/virologia , Vacinas contra COVID-19/classificação , Vacinas contra COVID-19/farmacologia , Saúde Global , Humanos , Mutação , SARS-CoV-2/genética , SARS-CoV-2/imunologia , Cobertura Vacinal/organização & administração , Cobertura Vacinal/normasRESUMO
The article is about the 1918 H1N1 flu pandemic also called the "Spanish flu" which killed 50 million plus people worldwide, and the coronavirus pandemic (Covid-19) which has spread in the world at an alarming pace. As of now there are 11,327,790 cases and 532,340 deaths globally. Aim of this article is to draw conclusions and share knowledge from both the pandemics and apply these lessons in other health programmes.
Assuntos
COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Vírus da Influenza A Subtipo H1N1 , Influenza Pandêmica, 1918-1919/história , Influenza Humana/prevenção & controle , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/transmissão , História do Século XX , Humanos , Influenza Pandêmica, 1918-1919/prevenção & controle , Influenza Humana/epidemiologia , Influenza Humana/transmissão , SARS-CoV-2RESUMO
The present article highlights morbidity and mortality trends of Covid 19 in the last 3 months in top 10 countries of the world. In spite of efforts being undertaken, all countries are showing an increasing trend in terms of morbidity and mortality. The order of countries in terms of mortality and morbidity has changed in the last 3 months. Various efforts are being undertaken by WHO and other agencies world over including the vaccine development initiative.
