Feasibility study to assess lesion repair in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis: A randomized controlled pilot clinical trial of domperidone add-on treatment.

BACKGROUND: Identification of therapies to promote repair in multiple sclerosis is challenged by the lack of an accepted trial model and associated outcome measures. The goal of this study was to determine the feasibility of a new trial model that enrolls disease modifying therapy (DMT)-treated relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) participants who have enhancing lesions on clinically indicated brain MRI, and to explore estimates of lesion repair using MRI. METHODS: This was a single site randomized controlled clinical trial. Recruitment took place between November 2015 and January 2019, with final follow-up in February 2019. DMT-treated RRMS participants aged 18-60 years with at least one gadolinium-enhancing lesion on clinically indicated brain MRI were included. Participants were randomized 2:1 to oral domperidone add-on 10-mg three times daily for 16 weeks or no add-on treatment (control). The primary outcomes were feasibility of the model pre-defined as recruitment of 24 participants within 36 months with a 79 % completion rate, and MRI outcomes of lesion repair measured at 16 and 32 weeks using texture analysis, magnetization transfer imaging (MTI), and diffusion tensor imaging (DTI). The impact of domperidone on serum prolactin at 6 and 16 weeks was also evaluated. RESULTS: Of 237 RRMS participants screened, 17 (14 women) were randomized: 12 to domperidone add-on and 5 to control. All completed the study. Median (range) age was 38.9 (26.7-55.9) years; EDSS was 1.5 (1.0-3.5); and disease duration was 12.9 (2.9-23.3) years. Both groups showed improvement in MRI texture and diffusion fractional anisotropy (FA) at 32 weeks, and the domperidone group demonstrated additional recovery at 16 weeks in both texture and FA. There was no significant group difference in any MRI outcome. Of the 12 domperidone participants, 7 had ≥4x higher serum prolactin than normal. There were no serious adverse events. CONCLUSION: The recruitment target was not met and therefore the trial model was not feasible despite a full completion rate. The imaging techniques performed well, especially MRI texture analysis, suggesting the sample size being sufficient for estimating lesion repair. The main challenge of this trial model may be recruiting gadolinium-enhancing lesions in DMT-treated RRMS participants. Prolactin is safe and may hold promise as a remyelination therapy. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02493049.

Cancer risk, disease-modifying therapy, and age in multiple sclerosis: A retrospective population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Long-term population-based safety studies are needed to investigate cancer outcomes in people with multiple sclerosis (MS) treated with modern disease-modifying therapy (DMT). OBJECTIVES: To investigate if exposure to DMT increases the risk of invasive cancer in MS. METHODS: We used population-based administrative health data from Alberta, Canada between 2008 and 2018. DMT exposure was defined in two ways: first as exposure to any DMT, and second by DMT type (modulating, sequestering, depleting). Study outcome was time to first diagnosis of invasive cancer. Cancer risk was compared to the general population using standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) and to the unexposed MS cases using hazard ratios (HRs). RESULTS: The analysis included 14,313 MS cases: 5,801 (40.5 %) were exposed to DMT. Median (interquartile range) follow-up was 8.4 (4.3, 10.4) years. Compared to the general population, there was no difference in cancer risk for the overall MS population (SIR: 0.94, 95 % confidence interval [CI]: 0.87, 1.02) or the DMT-exposed MS cases (SIR: 0.89; 95 % CI: 0.75, 1.05). Compared to unexposed MS cases, we found an interaction with age for exposure to any DMT (p = 0.001) and modulating DMT (p = 0.001), indicating that a difference in the risk of cancer associated with DMT depends on age. Cancer risk was not associated with exposure to sequestering DMT (HR: 1.28, 95 % CI: 0.78, 2.08) or depleting DMT (HR: 2.29, 95 % CI: 0.86, 6.14). CONCLUSIONS: Cancer risk for MS patients was similar to the general population. In the MS population, the age-dependent effect of DMT for cancer risk suggests a higher risk of cancer with age 62 or older and a protective effect at younger age. Further investigation is required to clarify whether the interaction between DMT exposure and age is a causal effect.

Distinct characteristics and severity of brain magnetic resonance imaging lesions in women and men with multiple sclerosis assessed using verified texture analysis measures.

Background and goal: In vivo characterization of brain lesion types in multiple sclerosis (MS) has been an ongoing challenge. Based on verified texture analysis measures from clinical magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), this study aimed to develop a method to identify two extremes of brain MS lesions that were approximately severely demyelinated (sDEM) and highly remyelinated (hREM), and compare them in terms of common clinical variables. Method: Texture analysis used an optimized gray-level co-occurrence matrix (GLCM) method based on FLAIR MRI from 200 relapsing-remitting MS participants. Two top-performing metrics were calculated: texture contrast and dissimilarity. Lesion identification applied a percentile approach according to texture values calculated: ≤ 25 percentile for hREM and ≥75 percentile for sDEM. Results: The sDEM had a greater total normalized volume yet smaller average size, and worse MRI texture than hREM. In lesion distribution mapping, the two lesion types appeared to overlap largely in location and were present the most in the corpus callosum and periventricular regions. Further, in sDEM, the normalized volume was greater and in hREM, the average size was smaller in men than women. There were no other significant results in clinical variable-associated analyses. Conclusion: Percentile statistics of competitive MRI texture measures may be a promising method for probing select types of brain MS lesion pathology. Associated findings can provide another useful dimension for improved measurement and monitoring of disease activity in MS. The different characteristics of sDEM and hREM between men and women likely adds new information to the literature, deserving further confirmation.

Patient-reported outcomes of neurologic and neuropsychiatric symptoms in mild COVID-19: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Various neurologic manifestations have been reported in patients with COVID-19, mostly in retrospective studies of patients admitted to hospital, but there are few data on patients with mild COVID-19. We examined the frequency and persistence of neurologic/neuropsychiatric symptoms in patients with mild COVID-19 in a 1-year prospective cohort study, as well as assessment of use of health care services and patient-reported outcomes. METHODS: Participants in the Alberta HOPE COVID-19 trial (hydroxychloroquine v. placebo for 5 d), managed as outpatients, were prospectively assessed 3 months and 1 year after their positive test result. They completed detailed neurologic/neuropsychiatric symptom questionnaires, the telephone version of the Montreal Cognitive Assessment (T-MoCA), the Kessler Psychological Distress Scale (K10) and the EuroQol EQ-5D-3L (measure of quality of life). Close informants completed the Mild Behavioural Impairment Checklist (MBI-C) and the Informant Questionnaire on Cognitive Decline in the Elderly. We also tracked use of health care services and neurologic investigations. RESULTS: The cohort consisted of 198 participants (87 female [43.9%] median age 45 yr, interquartile range 37-54 yr). Of the 179 participants with symptom assessments, 139 (77.6%) reported at least 1 neurologic symptom, the most common being anosmia/dysgeusia (99 [55.3%]), myalgia (76 [42.5%]) and headache (75 [41.9%]). Forty patients (22.3%) reported persistent symptoms at 1 year, including confusion (20 [50.0%]), headache (21 [52.5%]), insomnia (16 [40.0%]) and depression (14 [35.0%]); 27/179 (15.1%) reported no improvement. Body mass index (BMI), a history of asthma and lack of full-time employment were associated with the presence and persistence of neurologic/neuropsychiatric symptoms; female sex was independently associated with both (presence: odds ratio [OR] adjusted for age, race, BMI, history of asthma and neuropsychiatric history 5.04, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.58 to 16.10). Compared to participants without persistent symptoms, those with persistent symptoms had more hospital admissions and family physician visits, and worse MBI-C scores and less frequent independence for instrumental activities at 1 year (83.8% v. 97.8%, p = 0.005). Patients with any or persistent neurologic symptoms had worse psychologic distress (K10 score ≥ 20: adjusted OR 12.1, 95% CI 1.4 to 97.2) and quality of life (median EQ-5D-3L visual analogue scale rating 75 v. 90, p < 0.001); 42/84 (50.0%) had a T-MoCA score less than 18 at 3 months, as did 36 (42.9%) at 1 year. Participants who reported memory loss were more likely than those who did not report such symptoms to have informant-reported cognitive-behavioural decline (1-yr MBI-C score ≥ 6.5: adjusted OR 15.0, 95% CI 2.42 to 92.60). INTERPRETATION: Neurologic/neuropsychiatric symptoms were commonly reported in survivors of mild COVID-19, and they persisted in 1 in 5 patients 1 year later. Symptoms were associated with worse participant- and informant-reported outcomes. Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov, no. NCT04329611.

Accounting for uncertainty in training data to improve machine learning performance in predicting new disease activity in early multiple sclerosis.

Introduction: Machine learning (ML) has great potential for using health data to predict clinical outcomes in individual patients. Missing data are a common challenge in training ML algorithms, such as when subjects withdraw from a clinical study, leaving some samples with missing outcome labels. In this study, we have compared three ML models to determine whether accounting for label uncertainty can improve a model's predictions. Methods: We used a dataset from a completed phase-III clinical trial that evaluated the efficacy of minocycline for delaying the conversion from clinically isolated syndrome to multiple sclerosis (MS), using the McDonald 2005 diagnostic criteria. There were a total of 142 participants, and at the 2-year follow-up 81 had converted to MS, 29 remained stable, and 32 had uncertain outcomes. In a stratified 7-fold cross-validation, we trained three random forest (RF) ML models using MRI volumetric features and clinical variables to predict the conversion outcome, which represented new disease activity within 2 years of a first clinical demyelinating event. One RF was trained using subjects with the uncertain labels excluded (RFexclude), another RF was trained using the entire dataset but with assumed labels for the uncertain group (RFnaive), and a third, a probabilistic RF (PRF, a type of RF that can model label uncertainty) was trained on the entire dataset, with probabilistic labels assigned to the uncertain group. Results: Probabilistic random forest outperformed both the RF models with the highest AUC (0.76, compared to 0.69 for RFexclude and 0.71 for RFnaive) and F1-score (86.6% compared to 82.6% for RFexclude and 76.8% for RFnaive). Conclusion: Machine learning algorithms capable of modeling label uncertainty can improve predictive performance in datasets in which a substantial number of subjects have unknown outcomes.

Simple parameters from complete blood count predict lymphopenia, adverse effects and efficacy in people with MS treated with dimethyl fumarate.

BACKGROUND: Dimethyl fumarate (DMF) is a first-line oral therapy for relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS). This retrospective study aims to determine the utility of routine complete blood counts (CBC) in predicting lymphopenia, adverse effects and efficacy in a real-world clinical setting. METHODS: The Calgary Multiple Sclerosis (MS) Clinic manages over 1800 people with MS on disease-modifying therapies (DMT). Data of patients with relapsing-remitting MS (pwMS) who initiated DMF between July 1, 2013 and December 31, 2014 were included. Patients were followed for one year. DMT use is carefully monitored and pwMS need a screening CBC and have regular CBCs done at follow-up. Demographic, clinical, MRI and relapse information are collected prospectively in a clinic database. We analyzed CBCs at baseline and month 3. RESULTS: We identified 139 pwMS in the study period who started DMF. Median follow-up time on-drug was 12 (0.16-12) months. In our study, 15.8% of pwMS developed lymphopenia grade 2 or higher. Baseline lymphocyte counts and older age were significant predictors of lymphopenia. Higher baseline eosinophil counts predicted flushing/gastrointestinal adverse effects, and higher baseline monocyte counts were predictive of breakthrough disease activity. Neutrophil and platelet to lymphocyte ratios, markers that have been associated with overall mortality in the general population, were increased at month 3. CONCLUSIONS: Routinely obtained CBCs during the screening and monitoring of people with MS starting DMF offer clinically useful information and generate interesting hypotheses. Age and baseline lymphocyte counts are reinforced as clinically useful predictors of lymphopenia. Our novel findings that baseline eosinophil and monocyte counts could offer insights into usual adverse effects and efficacy, respectively, should be further investigated as a potentially new set of biomarkers.

Good multiple sclerosis (MS) care and how to get there in Canada: Perspectives of Canadian healthcare providers working with persons with MS.

Objective: The literature that has examined healthcare access and needs of the multiple sclerosis (MS) population is limited. Currently, no research has engaged healthcare providers delivering services to this population to examine their perspectives on the provision of MS care in Canada. We aimed to summarize what good MS care should look like according to Canadian healthcare providers working with people with MS, and to identify the supports and resources required, within their care setting, to enable this standard of care. Methods: A qualitative descriptive approach was taken to analyze data from participants who responded to additional open-ended survey questions, within a larger "MS Models of Care Survey" targeting Canadian healthcare providers working with persons with MS. Results: Currently, a gap exists between what healthcare providers working with persons with MS believe MS care should encompass and what they are able to offer. Participants emphasized that their MS clinics are currently understaffed and patient-to-provider ratios are high, leaving very little time to address the array of healthcare concerns their patients present with. The healthcare providers overwhelmingly described that moving toward multidisciplinary team-based MS care that includes appropriate numbers of MS-trained neurologists, nurses, physiotherapists, occupational therapists, and mental health providers working within one location would be their prioritized approach to comprehensively managing MS care. This model of care enables all professionals to effectively coordinate care and use their time efficiently by only focusing on their area of expertise, all while meeting the needs of their patient in one setting, reducing wait-times and improving overall care. Conclusion: To meet the care needs of Canadians with MS, the healthcare system must consider standardizing and funding multidisciplinary team-based MS clinics, comparable to Stroke units, which continue to show favorable health outcomes after years of implementation.

Hydroxychloroquine for treatment of non-hospitalized adults with COVID-19: A meta-analysis of individual participant data of randomized trials.

Hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) was initially promoted as an oral therapy for early treatment of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Conventional meta-analyses cannot fully address the heterogeneity of different designs and outcomes of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) assessing the efficacy of HCQ in outpatients with mild COVID-19. We conducted a pooled analysis of individual participant data from RCTs that evaluated the effect of HCQ on hospitalization and viral load reduction in outpatients with confirmed COVID-19. We evaluated the overall treatment group effect by log-likelihood ratio test (-2LL) from a generalized linear mixed model to accommodate correlated longitudinal binary data. The analysis included data from 11 RCTs. The outcome of virological effect, assessed in 1560 participants (N = 795 HCQ, N = 765 control), did not differ significantly between the two treatment groups (-2LL = 7.66; p = 0.18) when adjusting for cohort, duration of symptoms, and comorbidities. The decline in polymerase chain reaction positive tests from day 1 to 7 was 42.0 and 41.6 percentage points in the HCQ and control groups, respectively. Among the 2037 participants evaluable for hospitalization (N = 1058 HCQ, N = 979 control), we found no significant differences in hospitalization rate between participants receiving HCQ and controls (odds ratio 0.995; 95% confidence interval 0.614-1.610; -2LL = 0.0; p = 0.98) when adjusting for cohort, duration of symptoms, and comorbidities. This individual participant data meta-analysis of 11 HCQ trials that evaluated severe acute respiratory syndrome-coronavirus 2 viral clearance and COVID-19 hospitalization did not show a clinical benefit of HCQ. Our meta-analysis provides evidence to support the interruption in the use of HCQ in mild COVID-19 outpatients to reduce progression to severe disease.

Advanced diffusion MRI and image texture analysis detect widespread brain structural differences between relapsing-remitting and secondary progressive multiple sclerosis.

Introduction: Disease development in multiple sclerosis (MS) causes dramatic structural changes, but the exact changing patterns are unclear. Our objective is to investigate the differences in brain structure locally and spatially between relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) and its advanced form, secondary progressive MS (SPMS), through advanced analysis of diffusion magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and image texture. Methods: A total of 20 patients with RRMS and nine patients with SPMS from two datasets underwent 3T anatomical and diffusion tensor imaging (DTI). The DTI was harmonized, augmented, and then modeled, which generated six voxel- and sub-voxel-scale measures. Texture analysis focused on T2 and FLAIR MRI, which produced two phase-based measures, namely, phase congruency and weighted mean phase. Data analysis was 3-fold, i.e., histogram analysis of whole-brain normal appearing white matter (NAWM); region of interest (ROI) analysis of NAWM and lesions within three critical white matter tracts, namely, corpus callosum, corticospinal tract, and optic radiation; and along-tract statistics. Furthermore, by calculating the z-score of core-rim pathology within lesions based on diffusion measures, we developed a novel method to define chronic active lesions and compared them between cohorts. Results: Histogram features from diffusion and all but one texture measure differentiated between RRMS and SPMS. Within-tract ROI analysis detected cohort differences in both NAWM and lesions of the corpus callosum body in three measures of neurite orientation and anisotropy. Along-tract statistics detected cohort differences from multiple measures, particularly lesion extent, which increased significantly in SPMS in posterior corpus callosum and optic radiations. The number of chronic active lesions were also significantly higher (by 5-20% over z-scores 0.5 and 1.0) in SPMS than RRMS based on diffusion anisotropy, neurite content, and diameter. Conclusion: Advanced diffusion MRI and texture analysis may be promising approaches for thorough understanding of brain structural changes from RRMS to SPMS, thereby providing new insight into disease development mechanisms in MS.

Minocycline treatment in clinically isolated syndrome and serum NfL, GFAP, and metalloproteinase levels.

BACKGROUND: In the trial of Minocycline in Clinically Isolated Syndrome (MinoCIS), minocycline significantly reduced the risk of conversion to clinically definite multiple sclerosis (CDMS). Neurofilament light chain (NfL) and glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) are emerging biomarkers in MS, and minocycline modulates matrix metalloproteinases (MMPs). OBJECTIVE: To assess the value of blood NfL and GFAP as a biomarker of baseline and future disease activity and its utility to monitor treatment response in minocycline-treated patients with clinically isolated syndrome (CIS). METHODS: We measured NfL, GFAP, and MMPs in blood samples from 96 patients with CIS from the MinoCIS study and compared biomarkers with clinical and radiologic characteristics and outcome. RESULTS: At baseline, NfL levels correlated with T2 lesion load and number of gadolinium-enhancing lesions. Baseline NfL levels predicted conversion into CDMS at month 6. GFAP levels at baseline were correlated with T2 lesion volume. Minocycline treatment significantly increased NfL levels at 3 months but not at 6 months, and decreased GFAP levels at month 6. Minocycline decreased MMP-7 concentrations at month 1. DISCUSSION: Blood NfL levels are associated with measures of disease activity in CIS and have prognostic value. Minocycline increased NfL levels at month 3, but reduced GFAP and MMP-7 levels.

Quality of life, respiratory symptoms, and health care utilization 1 year following outpatient management of COVID-19: a prospective cohort study.

The long-term impact of COVID-19 among those with mild infections is not well characterized. Among 81 adults who completed online assessments at 3- and 12-months following infection, quality of life scores did not significantly improve over time. Among 62 subjects who also completed telephone interviews, respiratory symptoms or exercise limitation were reported by 42% at a median follow-up of 387 days (IQR 251-402 days). Those with persistent respiratory symptoms scored lower on the EQ-5D visual analog score compared to those without. Persistent respiratory symptoms were associated with a lower likelihood of full-time employment at 1 year (aOR 0.09, 95%CI 0.01-0.91; P = 0.041). In an adjusted linear regression, persistent respiratory symptoms (P = 0.037) and female sex (P = 0.016) were both independent risks for increased visits to a primary care provider. This cohort study demonstrates that respiratory symptoms are frequent at 1 year following COVID-19 and more importantly, are associated with negative impacts on employment, quality of life, and health care utilization. Further research is needed to determine the pathophysiology and risk factors for persistent symptoms as well as optimal management strategies to improve the level of functioning and quality of life.

Models of Care in Multiple Sclerosis: A Survey of Canadian Health Providers.

Objective: Little work has evaluated integrated models of care in multiple sclerosis (MS) and the composition of MS care teams across Canada is largely unknown. We aimed to gather information regarding existing models of MS care across Canada, and to assess the perceptions of health care providers (HCPs) regarding the models of care required to fully meet the needs of the person with MS. Methods: We conducted an anonymous online survey targeting Canadian HCPs working in MS Clinics, and neurologists delivering MS care whether or not they were based in an MS Clinic. We queried the types of HCPs delivering care within formal MS Clinics, wait times for HCPs, the perceived importance of different types of HCPs for good quality care, assessments conducted, and whether clinic databases were used. We summarized survey responses using descriptive statistics. Results: Of the 716 HCPs to whom the survey was distributed, 100 (13.9%) people responded. Of the 100 respondents, 85 (85%) indicated that their clinical practice included people with MS and responded to specific questions about clinical care. The most common types of providers within MS Clinics with integrated models of care were neurologists and MS nurses. Of 23 responding MS Clinics, 10 (43.5%) indicated that there were not enough neurologists, and 16 (69.6%) indicated that there were not enough non-neurologist HCPs to provide adequate care. More than 50% of clinics reported wait times exceeding 3 months for physiatrists, physiotherapists, psychiatrists, psychologists, neuropsychologists and urologists; in some clinics wait times for these providers exceeded 1 year. Multiple disciplines were identified as important or very important for delivering good quality MS care. Over 90% of respondents thought it was important for neurologists, nurse practitioners, MS nurses and psychiatrists to be co-located within MS Clinics. Conclusion: Canadian HCPs viewed the ideal MS service as being multidisciplinary in nature and ideally integrated. Efforts are needed to improve timely access to specialized MS care in Canada, and to evaluate how outcomes are influenced by access to care.

Multiple Sclerosis Clinic Utilization is Associated with Fewer Emergency Department Visits.

OBJECTIVE: Alberta is a Canadian province with a high prevalence of multiple sclerosis (MS). In this ecological study, we examined group differences in health care utilization among persons with MS (pwMS) living within different regions of the province. METHODS: pwMS were identified from provincial administrative databases spanning 2002-2011. Utilization of health care services was determined for a 2-year period (April 2010-March 2012). Residential postal codes placed patients into their provincial health care zones. As data were provided to the investigators in an aggregated form, tests of statistical significance and confounding were not performed. RESULTS: In total, 11,721 pwMS were identified. During the 2-year observation period, 96.2% of pwMS accessed a family physician and 57.1% accessed a neurologist. Nearly all (99.0%) pwMS who received neurologist care in Calgary visited an MS clinic, in contrast to Edmonton where a larger proportion (34.8%) received solely community neurologist care. More pwMS living in Edmonton accessed the ED (41.1%) compared to Calgary (35.7%), and the rate of visits per pwMS was higher in Edmonton (1.07/pwMS) than in Calgary (0.81/pwMS). The frequency of inpatient admissions was similar. CONCLUSIONS: Over 2 years, most pwMS accessed primary care and over half saw a neurologist. Despite a similar frequency of inpatient admissions, the frequency of ED visits by pwMS was higher in Edmonton compared to Calgary, where more patients received MS clinic care. Although this exploratory study is subject to several limitations, our findings suggest that specialized MS clinics may reduce costly ED visits.

Expression of risk genes linked to vitamin D receptor super-enhancer regions and their association with phenotype severity in multiple sclerosis.

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic debilitating neurological condition with a wide range of phenotype variability. A complex interplay of genetic and environmental factors contributes to disease onset and progression in MS patients. Vitamin D deficiency is a known susceptibility factor for MS, however the underlying mechanism of vitamin D-gene interactions in MS etiology is still poorly understood. Vitamin D receptor super-enhancers (VSEs) are enriched in MS risk variants and may modulate these environment-gene interactions. mRNA expression in total of 64 patients with contrasting MS severity was quantified in select genes. First, RNA-seq was performed on a discovery cohort (10 mild, 10 severe MS phenotype) and ten genes regulated by VSEs that have been linked to MS risk were analyzed. Four candidates showed a significant positive association (GRINA, PLEC, PARP10, and LRG1) in the discovery cohort and were then quantified using digital droplet PCR (ddPCR) in a validation cohort (33 mild, 11 severe MS phenotype). A significant differential expression persisted in the validation cohort for three of the VSE-MS genes: GRINA (p = 0.0138), LRG1 (p = 0.0157), and PLEC (p = 0.0391). In summary, genes regulated by VSE regions that contain known MS risk variants were shown to have differential expression based on disease severity (p<0.05). The findings implicate a role for vitamin D super-enhancers in modulating disease activity. In addition, expression levels may have some utility as prognostic biomarkers in the future.

The Canadian prospective cohort study to understand progression in multiple sclerosis (CanProCo): rationale, aims, and study design.

BACKGROUND: Neurological disability progression occurs across the spectrum of people living with multiple sclerosis (MS). Although there are a handful of disease-modifying treatments approved for use in progressive phenotypes of MS, there are no treatments that substantially modify the course of clinical progression in MS. Characterizing the determinants of clinical progression can inform the development of novel therapeutic agents and treatment approaches that target progression in MS, which is one of the greatest unmet needs in clinical practice. Canada, having one of the world's highest rates of MS and a publicly-funded health care system, represents an optimal country to achieve in-depth analysis of progression. Accordingly, the overarching aim of the Canadian Prospective Cohort Study to Understand Progression in MS (CanProCo) is to evaluate a wide spectrum of factors associated with the clinical onset and rate of disease progression in MS, and to describe how these factors relate to one another to influence progression. METHODS: CanProCo is a prospective, observational cohort study with investigators specializing in epidemiology, neuroimaging, neuroimmunology, health services research and health economics. CanProCo's study design was approved by an international review panel, comprised of content experts and key stakeholders. One thousand individuals with radiologically-isolated syndrome, relapsing-remitting MS, and primary-progressive MS within 10-15 years of disease onset will be recruited from 5 academic MS centres in Canada. Participants will undergo detailed clinical evaluation annually over 5 years (including advanced, app-based clinical data collection). In a subset of participants within 5-10 years of disease onset (n = 500), blood, cerebrospinal fluid, and research MRIs will be collected allowing an integrated, in-depth evaluation of factors contributing to progression in MS from multiple perspectives. Factors of interest range from biological measures (e.g. single-cell RNA-sequencing), MRI-based microstructural assessment, participant characteristics (self-reported, performance-based, clinician-assessed, health-system based), and micro and macro-environmental factors. DISCUSSION: Halting the progression of MS remains a fundamental need to improve the lives of people living with MS. Achieving this requires leveraging transdisciplinary approaches to better characterize why clinical progression occurs. CanProCo is a pioneering multi-dimensional cohort study aiming to characterize these determinants to inform the development and implementation of efficacious and effective interventions.

Hydroxychloroquine for Primary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis.

OBJECTIVE: Primary progressive multiple sclerosis (PPMS) does not respond well to immunomodulatory or immunosuppressive treatment. Chronic activation of microglia has been implicated in the pathophysiology of PPMS. The antimalarial drug hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) reduces the activity of human microglia and has neuroprotective effects in vitro. METHODS: We conducted a single-arm, phase II futility trial of 200 mg oral HCQ twice daily for 18 months. In an effort to investigate disability worsening in the absence of overt focal inflammation, we excluded participants with contrast enhancing lesions on a screening magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). The primary end point was ≥20% worsening on the timed 25-foot walk measured between 6 and 18 months of follow-up. RESULTS: Based on original trial data, 40% of the cohort were expected to worsen. We used a Simon 2-stage design to compare a null hypothesis of 40% of the cohort worsening against the one-sided alternative of 20%. Using a 5% type 1 error rate and 80% power, HCQ treatment would be deemed successful if fewer than 10 of 35 participants experienced clinically significant worsening. The study met its primary end point, as only 8 of 35 participants worsened between 6 and 18 months. HCQ was overall well-tolerated, with adverse events in 82% and serious adverse events in 12% of participants. All serious adverse events were unlikely related to HCQ use. INTERPRETATION: HCQ treatment was associated with reduced disability worsening in people with PPMS. HCQ is a promising treatment candidate in PPMS and should be investigated further in randomized controlled clinical trials. ANN NEUROL 2021;90:940-948.

Cannabinoids and bladder symptoms in multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Research on the health benefits of cannabis has been limited because use remains restricted or illegal in most countries. Medical cannabis has been legal in Canada since 2001 and recreational use became legal in October 2018. While there are data that support a biological mechanism by which cannabinoids can impact various other symptoms of MS, the evidence of effectiveness of cannabis as a treatment for bladder symptoms remains unsettled. We conducted an exploratory study to describe the current trends of cannabis product consumption among people with MS (PwMS) and their association with perceived benefits on MS symptoms. METHODS: A cross-sectional survey study of PwMS, recruited from the MS Clinic in Calgary, Alberta, Canada was undertaken. Logistic regression analyses were performed to assess the associations between cannabis consumption and improvement in bladder function symptoms. RESULTS: There were 775 respondents out of 2899 PwMS contacted by email. Among respondents, 734 reported cannabis use in the past 3 months. There were 275 (37.5%) respondents who reported cannabis use in the prior 3 months, and 73.8% of these reported at least weekly use of cannabis. Among all users, 78.1% reported a primary medical or therapeutic indication for consumption. The most common modes of cannabis consumption were oral-edible (69.0%) and smoked (57.1%), while 59.3% used more than one mode of consumption and 2.6% used five different modes. The most common reasons for cannabis use were for sleep (58.3%), pain (51.5%), relaxation (44.4%), muscle spasms (40.2%), anxiety (33.8%) and depression (22.9%). Among the 19 participants who reported bladder symptoms as a main reason for cannabis use, 89.5% reported "better" bladder symptoms when using cannabis. Cannabis consumption in the past 3 months was associated with a two-fold increased odds of reporting improvement in urinary frequency, urinary urgency, bladder leakage and wetness, pad use and bladder emptying. CONCLUSIONS: Cannabis is commonly used in this survey study of personal cannabis use among PwMS. Patterns of use, dosing, frequency and mode of delivery are diverse among survey respondents. This pilot study provides some initial glimpses into real world therapeutic use of cannabinoids among PwMS for bladder symptoms.

A pilot trial of autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplant in neuromyelitis optic spectrum disorder.

BACKGROUND: Autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (AHSCT) has become a standard treatment in multiple sclerosis. The role of AHSCT for neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder (NMO/NMOSD) is unclear. We studied AHSCT in NMO/NMOSD patients who have failed conventional immunosuppressive therapy. METHODS: Eligible patients received AHSCT with cyclophosphamide, rabbit antithymocyte globulin, and rituximab and followed for ≥ five years. The primary outcome was relapse-free status at year three. Additional outcomes included relapse status at year five, relapse rate, EDSS, MRI activity, and overall survival. RESULTS: Between 2010-2016, three patients were enrolled. One patient has had no evidence of disease activity over 10 years, one had improvement in relapse rate and EDSS but did have a breakthrough clinically and radiologically requiring rituximab at year five, and the third died at year 3.5 due to uncontrollable NMOSD relapses and accumulation of marked disability. CONCLUSION: In our trial, AHSCT appeared safe, and moderately effective with two of three patients showing improvement in disease activity and disability. Future studies should be undertaken to determine the ideal AHSCT conditioning and the characteristics of patients likely to enter long-term remission.

Nonlesional diffusely abnormal appearing white matter in clinically isolated syndrome: Prevalence, association with clinical and MRI features, and risk for conversion to multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: While diffusely abnormal white matter (DAWM) is a nonlesional MRI abnormality identified in ∼25% of patients with multiple sclerosis (MS), it has yet to be investigated in patients at an earlier disease stage, namely clinically isolated syndrome (CIS). The goals of this study were to (1) determine the prevalence of DAWM in patients with a CIS suggestive of MS, (2) evaluate the association between DAWM and demographic, clinical, and MRI features, and (3) evaluate the prognostic significance of DAWM on conversion from CIS to MS. METHODS: One hundred and forty-two CIS participants were categorized into DAWM and non-DAWM groups at baseline and followed for up to 24 months or until MS diagnosis. The primary outcome was conversion to MS (2005 McDonald criteria) within 6 months. RESULTS: DAWM was present in 27.5% of participants, and was positively associated with brainstem symptom onset, receiving corticosteroids, dissemination in space, and T2 lesion volume. DAWM was associated with an increased risk of conversion to MS over 6 months after adjustment for age and disability (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.24, p = 0.004). This association remained at a trend-level after adjustment for high-risk imaging features (HR = 1.68, p = 0.10). CONCLUSIONS: DAWM is present in a similar proportion of patients with CIS and clinically definite MS, and it is associated with increased risk of conversion to MS over 6 months.

Assessing the efficacy and safety of hydroxychloroquine as outpatient treatment of COVID-19: a randomized controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Identification of therapies to prevent severe COVID-19 remains a priority. We sought to determine whether hydroxychloroquine treatment for outpatients with SARS-CoV-2 infection could prevent hospitalization, mechanical ventilation or death. METHODS: This randomized controlled trial was conducted in Alberta during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic without direct contact with participants. Community-dwelling individuals with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection (by reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction [RT-PCR] viral ribonucleic acid test) within the previous 4 days, and symptom onset within the previous 12 days, were randomly assigned to oral hydroxychloroquine or matching placebo for 5 days. Enrolment began Apr. 15, 2020. The primary outcome was the composite of hospitalization, invasive mechanical ventilation or death within 30 days. Secondary outcomes included symptom duration and disposition at 30 days. Safety outcomes, such as serious adverse events and mortality, were also ascertained. Outcomes were determined by telephone follow-up and administrative data. RESULTS: Among 4919 individuals with a positive RT-PCR test, 148 (10.2% of a planned 1446 patients) were randomly assigned, 111 to hydroxychloroquine and 37 to placebo. Of the 148 participants, 24 (16.2%) did not start the study drug. Four participants in the hydroxychloroquine group met the primary outcome (4 hospitalizations, 0 mechanical ventilation, 4 survived to 30 days) and none in the placebo group. Hydroxychloroquine did not reduce symptom duration (hazard ratio 0.77, 95% confidence interval 0.49-1.21). Recruitment was paused on May 22, 2020, when a since-retracted publication raised concerns about the safety of hydroxychloroquine for hospitalized patients with COVID-19. Although we had not identified concerns in a safety review, enrolment was slower than expected among those eligible for the study, and cases within the community were decreasing. Recruitment goals were deemed to be unattainable and the trial was not resumed, resulting in a study underpowered to assess the effect of treatment with hydroxychloroquine and safety. INTERPRETATION: There was no evidence that hydroxychloroquine reduced symptom duration or prevented severe outcomes among outpatients with proven COVID-19, but the early termination of our study meant that it was underpowered. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov, no. NCT04329611.