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Science ; 353(6304)2016 09 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27609898

RESUMO

New biological models are incorporating the realistic processes underlying biological responses to climate change and other human-caused disturbances. However, these more realistic models require detailed information, which is lacking for most species on Earth. Current monitoring efforts mainly document changes in biodiversity, rather than collecting the mechanistic data needed to predict future changes. We describe and prioritize the biological information needed to inform more realistic projections of species' responses to climate change. We also highlight how trait-based approaches and adaptive modeling can leverage sparse data to make broader predictions. We outline a global effort to collect the data necessary to better understand, anticipate, and reduce the damaging effects of climate change on biodiversity.


Assuntos
Adaptação Fisiológica , Biodiversidade , Evolução Biológica , Mudança Climática , Modelos Biológicos , Animais , Conservação dos Recursos Naturais , Culicidae/virologia , Dengue/transmissão , Planeta Terra , Modelos Genéticos , Dinâmica Populacional , Análise Espaço-Temporal
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