Machine learning-based model for prediction and feature analysis of recurrence in pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors G1/G2.

BACKGROUND: Pancreatic neuroendocrine neoplasms (PanNENs) are a heterogeneous group of tumors. Although the prognosis of resected PanNENs is generally considered to be good, a relatively high recurrence rate has been reported. Given the scarcity of large-scale reports about PanNEN recurrence due to their rarity, we aimed to identify the predictors for recurrence in patients with resected PanNENs to improve prognosis. METHODS: We established a multicenter database of 573 patients with PanNENs, who underwent resection between January 1987 and July 2020 at 22 Japanese centers, mainly in the Kyushu region. We evaluated the clinical characteristics of 371 patients with localized non-functioning pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (G1/G2). We also constructed a machine learning-based prediction model to analyze the important features to determine recurrence. RESULTS: Fifty-two patients experienced recurrence (14.0%) during the follow-up period, with the median time of recurrence being 33.7 months. The random survival forest (RSF) model showed better predictive performance than the Cox proportional hazards regression model in terms of the Harrell's C-index (0.841 vs. 0.820). The Ki-67 index, residual tumor, WHO grade, tumor size, and lymph node metastasis were the top five predictors in the RSF model; tumor size above 20 mm was the watershed with increased recurrence probability, whereas the 5-year disease-free survival rate decreased linearly as the Ki-67 index increased. CONCLUSIONS: Our study revealed the characteristics of resected PanNENs in real-world clinical practice. Machine learning techniques can be powerful analytical tools that provide new insights into the relationship between the Ki-67 index or tumor size and recurrence.

Treatment Effect and Safety of Nanoliposomal Irinotecan with Fluorouracil and Folinic Acid after Gemcitabine-Based Therapy in Patients with Advanced Pancreatic Cancer: A Multicenter, Prospective Observational Study.

Although the combination of nanoliposomal irinotecan plus fluorouracil/folinic acid (nal-IRI/FF) exhibited survival benefits in gemcitabine-refractory patients with advanced pancreatic cancer (APC) in the phase III NAPOLI-1 trial, there is limited data on the efficacy and safety of this regimen in real-world settings in Japan. This multicenter, prospective observational study enrolled patients with APC who received nal-IRI/FF after a gemcitabine-based regimen from July 2020 to June 2021. We collected and analyzed clinical data and conducted survival and multivariate analyses. Thirty-one (78%) of the 40 patients had metastases. Nal-IRI/FF was the second-line therapy in 36 patients (90%). The median duration was 3.2 months. The disease control rate was 57%. The median progression-free survival and overall survival (OS) were 4.5 months (95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.8−5.5) and 7.4 months (95% CI: 5.1−10.6), respectively. Common ≥grade 3 toxicities included neutropenia (28%) and fatigue (23%). Fatigue led to treatment discontinuation in 6 out of 10 patients. Multivariate analysis showed that a neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio > 4 was a significant risk factor for a short OS (hazard ratio (HR) = 3.08, 95% CI: 1.21−7.85, p = 0.02). In conclusion, nal-IRI/FF is an appropriate treatment option for APC following gemcitabine-containing regimens.

Loss of adipose tissue or skeletal muscle during first-line gemcitabine/nab-paclitaxel therapy is associated with worse survival after second-line therapy of advanced pancreatic cancer.

AIM: Progression of cachexia indicated by decreased body weight and composition is associated with poor survival of advanced pancreatic cancer (APC). There are limited data concerning the prognostic effect of cachexia on second-line chemotherapy (L2). We aimed to assess the impact of cachexia progression during first-line therapy (L1) on survival after L2. METHODS: We reviewed patients with gemcitabine/nab-paclitaxel (GEM/nabPTX)-refractory APC who underwent L2 with modified FOLFIRINOX or S-1 between 2015 and 2019 in our institution. We determined clinicopathological data including body composition parameters: subcutaneous fat area (SFA), visceral fat area (VFA), and skeletal muscle index (SMI). Correlations of changes in these parameters, as well as their effect on overall survival after L2 (OS2), were examined. RESULTS: Median rates of change in SMI, SFA, and VFA were 0.19%, -4.17%, and -18.39%, respectively, in 59 patients during L1. Although there was moderate correlation in rate of change between SFA and VFA, there was no correlation between SMI and other parameters. We defined loss of SFA, VFA, and SMI as decreases greater than 8.5%, 34.1%, and 8.7%, respectively. Median OS2 of patients with loss in any of these parameters was significantly shorter than in patients without loss (3.83 vs. 8.73 months). Multivariate analysis revealed that loss in any parameters, performance status, and C-reactive protein/albumin ratio were independent negative prognostic factors. CONCLUSION: Loss of adipose tissue or skeletal muscle during L1 had a considerable impact on OS2 in APC refractory to GEM/nabPTX.

Improved indocyanine green retention after short-term lenvatinib withdrawal in three patients with hepatocellular carcinoma.

Use of lenvatinib, which has a high response rate in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma, sometimes results in tumor shrinkage and resectability of previously unresectable liver cancers. In Asia, including Japan, liver reserve, one of the determinants of resectability, is mainly determined by the indocyanine green (ICG) retention rate. Three patients with advanced liver cancer treated at our institution had very poor ICG retention rates during treatment with lenvatinib. Lenvatinib may reduce blood flow in both cancerous and non-cancerous regions by inhibiting vascular endothelial growth factor. Therefore, accurate determination of liver function likely requires withdrawal of this treatment several days before ICG retention testing.

Collision of a pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma and a pancreatic neuroendocrine tumor associated with multiple endocrine neoplasm type 1.

A 54-year-old man with pancreatic head tumor had undergone pancreaticoduodenectomy and was diagnosed with pancreatic neuroendocrine tumor (P-NET) associated with sporadic multiple endocrine neoplasm type 1. Five years after the resection, P-NET recurred and liver metastases were observed. He was treated with a somatostatin analog. Eleven years after the resection, computed tomography revealed a new pancreatic hypodense and hypovascular mass adjacent to the P-NET that was diagnosed as pancreatic adenocarcinoma via endoscopic ultrasound-guided fine-needle aspiration. He underwent a total remnant pancreatectomy. Pathological examination showed that the lesion was constituted by a pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) and a neuroendocrine tumor. Additionally, the invasive ductal carcinoma collided with the neuroendocrine tumor. Both PDAC and P-NET cells were observed in the collision area. We could observe the onset of PDAC during the treatment of P-NET. Moreover, we are the first to report the case of a collision of pancreatic endocrine and exocrine tumors diagnosed preoperatively.

Natural history and clinical outcomes of pancreatic neuroendocrine neoplasms based on the WHO 2017 classification; a single-center experience of 30 years.

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: This single-center study aimed to evaluate treatment outcomes and long-term prognosis of patients with pancreatic neuroendocrine neoplasms (PanNENs) based on the World Health Organization (WHO) 2017 classification. METHODS: We enrolled 245 patients with PanNENs treated at Kyushu University Hospital between January 1987 and March 2018. PanNENs were categorized according to the WHO 2017 classification or further subdivisions of Ki-67 index. Clinicopathological features, median survival time (MST), and prognostic factors were retrospectively analyzed. RESULTS: The number of PanNENs, especially non-functioning PanNENs, has increased over the last decade. The mean MST of all patients was 202 months; which was longest in patients with NET G1 (n = 145, MST = 261 months) relative to NET G2 (n = 72, 132 months), NET G3 (n = 3, 34 months) and NEC G3 (n = 17, 9 months). Prognosis in patients with surgery as the first-line treatment was significantly better than in those with drug therapy. However, 26% of patients who underwent curative resection developed recurrence after a median time of 28.7 months. In unresectable PanNENs (n = 97), the MST and 5-year survival rate were 78 months and 55.8%, respectively. Poor differentiation, Ki-67 index of >10% and presence of liver metastasis were significant unfavorable predictors. Response to first-line therapy (stable disease/partial response) and three or more treatment regimens were significant favorable predictors for unresectable PanNENs according to multivariate analyses (p < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrated the utility of the WHO 2017 classification for PanNENs in the real clinical setting. For better prognosis in PanNENs, the use of three or more regimens should be considered.

Risk factors for de novo hepatitis B during solid cancer treatment.

BACKGROUND: Reactivation of hepatitis B virus (HBV) during anticancer treatment is a critical issue. When treating patients with solid tumors, it is unclear whether specific cancer types or treatments affect HBV reactivation in hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg)-negative and hepatitis B core antibody (HBcAb)-positive patients, so-called de novo hepatitis B patients. The risk of de novo hepatitis B may vary based on different background factors. AIM: To determine the frequency and risk factors for de novo hepatitis B during solid tumor treatment. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study comprised 1040 patients without HBsAgs and with HBcAbs and/or hepatitis B surface antibodies (HBsAbs). The patients were treated for solid cancer from 2008 to 2018 at the National Kyushu Cancer Center and underwent HBV DNA measurements. Patient characteristics and disease and treatment information were investigated. HBV DNA measurements were performed using TaqMan polymerase chain reaction (PCR). To identify the risk factors associated with HBV DNA expression, the age, sex, original disease, pathology, treatment method, presence or absence of hepatitis C virus (HCV), and HBsAb and/or HBcAb titers of all subjects were investigated. In patients with HBV DNA, the time of appearance, presence of HBsAgs and HBsAbs at the time of appearance, and course of the subsequent fluctuations in virus levels were also investigated. RESULTS: Among the 1040 patients, 938 were HBcAb positive, and 102 were HBcAb negative and HBsAb positive. HBV DNA expression was observed before the onset of treatment in nine patients (0.9%) and after treatment in 35 patients (3.7%), all of whom were HBcAb positive. The HBV reactivation group showed significantly higher median HBcAb values [9.00 (8.12-9.89) vs 7.22 (7.02-7.43), P = 0.0001] and significantly lower HBsAb values (14 vs 46, P = 0.0342) than the group without reactivation. Notably, the reactivated group showed a significantly higher proportion of cancers in organs related to digestion and absorption (79.0% vs 58.7%, P = 0.0051). A high HBcAb titer and cancers in organs involved in digestion and absorption were identified as independent factors for HBV reactivation (multivariate analysis, P = 0.0002 and P = 0.0095). The group without HBsAbs tended to have a shorter time to reactivation (day 43 vs day 193), and the frequency of reactivation within 6 mo was significantly higher in this group (P = 0.0459) than in the other group. CONCLUSION: A high HBcAb titer and cancers in organs involved in digestion and absorption are independent factors that contribute to HBV reactivation during solid tumor treatment.

CLEC3A, MMP7, and LCN2 as novel markers for predicting recurrence in resected G1 and G2 pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors.

Although the postoperative recurrence rate for pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (PNETs) is reported to be 13.5%-30%, the paucity of valuable biomarkers to predict recurrence poses a problem for the early detection of relapse. Hence, this study aimed to identify new biomarkers to predict the recurrence of PNETs. We performed RNA sequencing (RNA-Seq) on RNA isolated from frozen primary tumors sampled from all localized G1/G2 PNETs resected curatively from 1998 to 2015 in our institution. We calculated differentially expressed genes (DEGs) in tumor with and without recurrence (≥3 years) for the propensity-matched cohort. Gene ontology analysis for the identified DEGs was also performed. Furthermore, we evaluated the expression levels of candidate genes as recurrence predictors via immunostaining. Comparison of transcriptional levels in tumors with and without recurrence identified 166 DEGs. Up- and downregulated genes with high significance in these tumors were mainly related to extracellular organization and cell adhesion, respectively. We observed the top three upregulated genes, C-type lectin domain family 3 member A (CLEC3A), matrix metalloproteinase-7 (MMP7), and lipocalin2 (LCN2) immunohistochemically and compared their levels in recurrent and nonrecurrent tumors. Significantly higher recurrence rate was shown in patients with positive expression of CLEC3A (P = 0.028), MMP7 (P = 0.003), and LCN2 (P = 0.040) than that with negative expression. We identified CLEC3A, MMP7, and LCN2 known to be associated with the phosphatidylinositol-3-kinase/Akt pathway, as potential novel markers to predict the postoperative recurrence of PNETs.

Relapse patterns and predictors of IgG4-related diseases involved with autoimmune pancreatitis: A single-center retrospective study of 115 patients.

OBJECTIVE: Autoimmune pancreatitis is an autoimmune disorder accompanied by clinicopathological manifestations that have been established as immunoglobulin (IgG)4-related diseases (IgG4-RD). Other IgG4-RD are often involved with autoimmune pancreatitis. They sometimes relapse despite a favorable response to steroid therapy. This study aimed to clarify the patterns and risk factors for extrapancreatic relapse. METHODS: We reviewed the data of 115 patients diagnosed with definite autoimmune pancreatitis type 1 and followed up for > 1 year. We analyzed two items: the timing and pattern of extrapancreatic relapse, and risk factors for relapse with three common manifestations: IgG4-related sclerosing cholangitis (SC), IgG4-related dacryoadenitis and sialadenitis (DS), and IgG4-related retroperitoneal fibrosis (RF). RESULTS: Remission was achieved in all patients, except one. The extrapancreatic relapse rates were 11.0%, 19.7%, and 40% within 3, 5, and 10 years, respectively. Of 26 patients with extrapancreatic relapse, nine (34.6%) relapsed with a new IgG4-RD. Based on multivariate analysis, the interval between symptom onset and steroid initiation, and the presence of RF at onset were significant risk factors for relapse with SC and RF, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Our results indicate that they may be various extrapancreatic relapse patterns especially in autoimmune pancreatitis with other organ involvement. Patients with a delayed initiation of steroids or RF at onset should be carefully followed up as high-risk groups for SC and RF relapse.

Using CRISPR/Cas9 to Knock out Amylase in Acinar Cells Decreases Pancreatitis-Induced Autophagy.

Pancreatic cancer is a malignant neoplasm that originates from acinar cells. Acinar cells get reprogrammed to become duct cells, resulting in pancreatic cancer. Pancreatitis is an acinar cell inflammation, leading to "impaired autophagy flux". Pancreatitis promotes acinar-to-ductal transdifferentiation. Expression of amylase gets eliminated during the progression of pancreatic cancer. Amylase is considered as an acinar cell marker; however, its function in cells is not known. Thus, we investigated whether amylase affects the acinar cell autophagy and whether it plays any role in development of pancreatitis. Here, we knocked out ATG12 in a pancreatic cancer cells and acinar cells using CRISPR/Cas9. Autophagy inhibition led to an increase in the expression of duct cell markers and a simultaneous decrease in that of acinar cell markers. It also caused an increase in cell viability and changes in mitochondrial morphology. Next, we knocked out amylase in acinar cells. Amylase deficiency decreased autophagy induced by pancreatitis. Our results suggest that amylase controls pancreatitis-induced autophagy. We found that eliminating amylase expression contributes to pancreatic cancer etiology by decreasing autophagy. Furthermore, our results indicate that amylase plays a role in selective pancreatitis-induced autophagy of pancreatic enzyme vesicles.

An Advanced Well-differentiated Pancreatic Neuroendocrine Carcinoma (NET-G3) Associated with Von Hippel-Lindau Disease.

A 45-year old woman who underwent several surgeries for tumors associated with von Hippel-Lindau disease (VHL) was referred to our hospital due to a pancreatic tumor and liver tumors. She was diagnosed with pancreatic neuroendocrine tumor (NET) with a Ki67 index of 40% based on the examination of a biopsy specimen of the liver tumors. She was treated with everolimus for 6 months and sunitinib for 6 weeks as first- and second-line therapies. She survived for 13 months. At autopsy the diagnosis of pancreatic neuroendocrine tumor (NET)-G3 was confirmed. We herein report an aggressive clinical course of VHL-related NET G3. The further accumulation of cases is required to reach a consensus on treatment for this disease.

Dose and schedule modification are required for long-term continuation of sunitinib in Japanese patients with advanced pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors.

PURPOSE: This study aimed to clarify the efficacy and safety of sunitinib in Japanese patients with pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (PNET), especially by focusing on dose and schedule modification. METHODS: Sixteen patients with advanced PNET treated with sunitinib were reviewed retrospectively. Efficacy was evaluated by progression-free survival (PFS) and objective tumor response. Toxicity profile was assessed regularly. Correlation between relative dose intensity (RDI) and treatment period was also evaluated. RESULTS: The median PFS was 25.8 months, and the probability of PFS at 1-year was 92%. The objective response rate and clinical benefit rate were 44% and 69%, respectively. The common adverse drug reactions (ADRs) were hand-foot syndrome (88%), neutropenia (75%), leucopenia (75%), and diarrhea (63%). Due to the development of severe ADRs, 81% required dose reduction and 31% discontinued sunitinib treatment, respectively. Prolonged treatment period was significantly correlated with decreased RDI (Spearman r = - 0.57, P = 0.022). The median RDI among 9 patients whom continued sunitinib more than 1 year was 49%. CONCLUSIONS: Sunitinib showed significant clinical benefit in Japanese patients with advanced PNET in the real-world clinical setting. Successful management of ADRs with appropriate dose reduction and interruption can enable long-term continuation of sunitinib.

Should the Selective Arterial Secretagogue Injection Test for Insulinoma Localization Be Evaluated at 60 or 120 Seconds?

Objective The selective arterial secretagogue injection (SASI) test is considered indispensable for the accurate localization of insulinoma. However, the optimum timing of the post-injection evaluation is controversial, as some studies recommend 60 seconds [SASI (60 seconds)] while others support 120 seconds [SASI (120 seconds)]. The aim of this study was to determine the optimum timing for the SASI test evaluation for insulinoma localization. Methods Thirteen patients with surgically proven insulinoma were studied retrospectively. For the SASI test, immunoreactive insulin (IRI) was determined at baseline and at 30, 60, 90, and 120 seconds after calcium gluconate injection. A two-fold or greater increase in IRI over the baseline value was considered positive. The localization abilities of SASI (60 seconds) and SASI (120 seconds) were then compared. Results In 13 patients, a secretagogue was injected into 40 arteries supplying the pancreas. In the SASI (60 seconds) and SASI (120 seconds), the respective findings were as follows: positive predictive value, 72.2% and 68.2%; false positive rate, 25.0% and 35.0%; and rate of positivity in the head and body/tail, 38.5% and 46.2%. When the artery with the largest change was taken as the dominant artery, the localization detection sensitivity was 76.9% for SASI (60 seconds) and 92.3% for SASI (120 seconds). The sensitivity of morphological imaging techniques for localization ranged from 61.5-91.7%. Conclusion Compared with SASI (60 seconds) or morphological imaging, the insulinoma localization ability of SASI (120 seconds) was superior. Given these findings, we believe that the IRI level should be measured at 120 seconds in the SASI test.

Serum levels of Wisteria floribunda agglutinin-positive Mac-2 binding protein reflect the severity of chronic pancreatitis.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the utility of serum Wisteria floribunda agglutinin-positive Mac-2 binding protein (WFA + -M2BP) level as a marker for chronic pancreatitis (CP). METHODS: We measured the serum WFA+ -M2BP level of 74 patients with CP who had undergone endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography and 30 normal controls (NC) using a glycan sugar chain-based immunoassay and investigated the relationship between serum WFA+ -M2BP levels and the Cambridge classification of CP. RESULTS: Serum WFA+ -M2BP level was significantly higher in patients with CP than in NC (0.64 ± 0.28 vs 0.34 ± 0.25, P < 0.001). The levels (expressed as cut-off index) of WFA+ -M2BP for the classification of mild, moderate and marked CP were 0.44, 0.63 and 0.87, respectively. Thus, serum WFA+ -M2BP levels increased with increasing CP severity. With a cut-off value of 0.34, 0.59 and 0.61, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, sensitivity and specificity were 0.829, 91.9% and 63.3% for mild CP; 0.891, 81.8% and 85.0% for moderate CP; and 0.888, 92.0% and 74.7% for marked CP, respectively. Multivariate analysis revealed that elevated serum WFA+ -M2BP was independently associated with moderate and marked CP, respectively. CONCLUSION: Serum WFA+ -M2BP level is a useful marker for grading CP severity.

Utility of chromogranin B compared with chromogranin A as a biomarker in Japanese patients with pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors.

OBJECTIVE: Currently, serum chromogranin A is a well-established biomarker for pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors; however, other pancreatic diseases, oral use of a proton pump inhibitor and renal impairment can affect chromogranin A. Meanwhile, chromogranin B, belonging to the same granin family as chromogranin A, is not fully examined in these conditions. The present study aimed to evaluate the utility of chromogranin B as a pancreatic neuroendocrine tumor biomarker. METHODS: Serum chromogranin B levels were determined by radioimmunoassay and serum chromogranin A levels by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay in pancreatic neuroendocrine tumor (n = 91) and other pancreatic conditions, and in healthy people (n = 104), to assess the relationships with clinical features. RESULTS: The diagnostic ability of chromogranin B was as good as chromogranin A. The area under the curve was 0.79 for chromogranin B (sensitivity/specificity: 72%/77%), and 0.78 for chromogranin A (sensitivity/specificity: 79%/64%). Chromogranin B was not affected by proton pump inhibitor use and age, which affected chromogranin A. The number of cases without liver metastases was larger in pancreatic neuroendocrine tumor patients with positive chromogranin B and negative chromogranin A. Though chromogranin A significantly elevated cases with proton pump inhibitor treatment and had positive correlation with age, chromogranin B did not have the tendencies. However, both chromogranin B and chromogranin A elevated in the case with renal impairment. In addition, the logistic regression analysis showed that chromogranin B was superior to chromogranin A in differentiation of pancreatic neuroendocrine tumor from other pancreatic diseases. CONCLUSIONS: Compared with chromogranin A, chromogranin B may be more useful during proton pump inhibitor treatment and can detect tumors without liver metastases. In addition, chromogranin B may be an excellent biomarker when differentiation of pancreatic neuroendocrine tumor from other pancreatic diseases is required.