HIV-1 seroconversion in United States Army active duty personnel, 1985-1999.

OBJECTIVE: To monitor HIV-1 infection trends among United States Army personnel, a predominantly young population group, tested between 1985 and 1999 for HIV-1 infection. DESIGN: Demographic correlates of HIV-1 infection were assessed in the cohort via epidemiologic analysis. METHODS: Annual seroconversion incidence rates were calculated per 1000 person-years (PY) of follow-up. Poisson regression was used to assess demographic correlates of HIV-1 seroconversion risk. RESULTS: There were 1275 seroconverters among 2 004 903 active duty Army personnel accounting for 7 700 231 PY of follow-up. The HIV-1 incidence rate (IR) was 0.17/1000 PY [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.16-0.17]. The highest IR was observed in the first year of testing (IR, 0.43/1000 PY; 95% CI, 0.33-0.52). The IR for male and female soldiers was 0.18/1000 PY and 0.08/1000 PY, respectively. HIV-1 incidence declined with age. Significant risk of HIV-1 seroconversion was associated with age [> 30 years old relative risk (RR), 1.51], race (Black RR, 4.61; Hispanic RR, 2.76), gender (male RR, 3.12), marital status (unmarried RR, 2.01) and rank (enlisted RR, 2.50). CONCLUSIONS: HIV-1 seroconversions in the US Army have been low and stable since the early 1990s. Continued HIV-1 incidence surveillance in the US Army provides information on the status of the epidemic in the Army, as well as important corroborative data on HIV-1 infections throughout the US.

Predictors of HIV-1 disease progression in early- and late-stage patients: the U.S. Army Natural History Cohort. Military Medical Consortium for Applied Retrovirology.

HIV-infected individuals in both early and late stages of HIV disease were evaluated over 2 years to assess temporal trends and determinants of disease progression. The Walter Reed (WR) staging system was used to categorize patients into an early-stage cohort (WR Stages 1 and 2, N = 1183) and a late-stage cohort (WR Stage 5, N = 260) based on the initial clinical evaluation. Progression was defined as the occurrence of Stage 5 disease or beyond for the early cohort and Stage 6 disease or beyond for the late cohort. The cumulative incidence of progression was 15.7% (137 events) for the early-stage cohort, and 53.7% (85 events) for the late-stage cohort. Baseline CD4+ T lymphocyte (T4) count was the most significant marker of progression: 26% of WR Stage 1 or 2 patients with T4 lymphocytes below 500/mm3 progressed, compared with 12% with T4 lymphocytes at or above 500/mm3. In late-stage individuals, 83% with T4 lymphocytes under 200/mm3 progressed, compared with 27% with T4 lymphocytes at or above 200/mm3. Older age was associated with progression in both early- and late-stage groups. Differences in the rates of disease progression were not significant between blacks and whites or between men and women. Two-year rates of progression among the late-stage patients dropped from 78 to 47% between 1986 and 1988. This contrasted with progression rates in the early-stage cohort, which remained stable: 18% for those entering follow-up in 1986 and 17% for those entering follow-up in 1988. These data indicate a significant slowing of HIV disease progression rates and mortality rates among individuals with late-stage disease that is temporally associated with the increased availability and use of therapies. With control of T4 lymphocyte count, age, and calendar time, neither gender nor race was significantly associated with progression in either early- or late-stage patients.