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1.
MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep ; 73(6): 124-130, 2024 Feb 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38358969

RESUMO

Preliminary reports indicate that more than 109,000 drug overdose deaths occurred in the United States in 2022; nearly 70% of these involved synthetic opioids other than methadone, primarily illegally manufactured fentanyl and fentanyl analogs (IMFs). Data from the western United States suggested a transition from injecting heroin to smoking IMFs. CDC analyzed data from the State Unintentional Drug Overdose Reporting System to describe trends in routes of drug use in 27 states and the District of Columbia among overdose deaths that occurred during January 2020-December 2022, overall and by region and drugs detected. From January-June 2020 to July-December 2022, the percentage of overdose deaths with evidence of injection decreased 29.1%, from 22.7% to 16.1%, whereas the percentage with evidence of smoking increased 73.7%, from 13.3% to 23.1%. The number of deaths with evidence of smoking increased 109.1%, from 2,794 to 5,843, and by 2022, smoking was the most commonly documented route of use in overdose deaths. Trends were similar in all U.S. regions. Among deaths with only IMFs detected, the percentage with evidence of injection decreased 41.6%, from 20.9% during January-June 2020 to 12.2% during July-December 2022, whereas the percentage with evidence of smoking increased 78.9%, from 10.9% to 19.5%. Similar trends were observed among deaths with both IMFs and stimulants detected. Strengthening public health and harm reduction services to address overdose risk related to diverse routes of drug use, including smoking and other noninjection routes, might reduce drug overdose deaths.


Assuntos
Analgésicos Opioides , Estimulantes do Sistema Nervoso Central , Overdose de Drogas , Humanos , Analgésicos Opioides/efeitos adversos , District of Columbia , Overdose de Drogas/mortalidade , Fentanila/efeitos adversos , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
2.
MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep ; 72(35): 949-956, 2023 Sep 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37651284

RESUMO

Using data from CDC's State Unintentional Drug Overdose Reporting System, this report describes trends in overdose deaths with evidence of counterfeit pill use during July 2019-December 2021 in 29 states and the District of Columbia (DC) and characteristics of deaths with and without evidence of counterfeit pill use during 2021 in 34 states and DC. The quarterly percentage of deaths with evidence of counterfeit pill use more than doubled from 2.0% during July-September 2019 to 4.7% during October-December 2021, and more than tripled in western jurisdictions (from 4.7% to 14.7%). Illicitly manufactured fentanyls were the only drugs involved (i.e., caused death) in 41.4% of deaths with evidence of counterfeit pill use and 19.5% of deaths without evidence. Decedents with evidence of counterfeit pill use, compared with those without evidence, were younger (57.1% versus 28.1% were aged <35 years), more often Hispanic or Latino (18.7% versus 9.4%), and more frequently had a history of prescription drug misuse (27.0% versus 9.4%). Smoking was the most common noningestion drug use route among deaths with evidence of counterfeit pill use (39.5%). Overdose prevention messaging that highlights the dangers of pills obtained illicitly or without a prescription (because they might be counterfeit), encourages drug product testing by persons using drugs, and is tailored to persons most at risk (e.g., younger persons) could help prevent overdose deaths.


Assuntos
Overdose de Drogas , Uso Indevido de Medicamentos sob Prescrição , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Humanos , District of Columbia , Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, U.S. , Comércio
3.
JCO Oncol Pract ; 19(7): 501-508, 2023 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37040580

RESUMO

PURPOSE: This study examined changes in patterns of cancer-related deaths during the first year of the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic in the United States. METHODS: We identified cancer-related deaths, defined as deaths attributable to cancer as the primary cause (underlying cause) or deaths with cancer documented as one of the multiple contributing factors (contributing cause) from the Multiple Cause of Death database (2015-2020). We compared age-standardized cancer-related annual and monthly mortality rates for January-December 2020 (first pandemic year) to January-December 2015-2019 (prepandemic) overall and stratified by sex, race/ethnicity, urban rural residence, and place of death. RESULTS: We found that the death rate (per 100,000 person-years) with cancer as the underlying cause was lower in 2020 compared with 2019 (144.1 v 146.2), continuing the past trend observed in 2015-2019. By contrast, the death rate with cancer as a contributing cause was higher in 2020 than in 2019 (164.1 v 162.0), reversing the continuously decreasing trend from 2015 to 2019. We projected 19,703 more deaths with cancer as a contributing cause than expected on the basis of historical trends. Mirroring pandemic peaks, the monthly death rates with cancer as a contributing cause first increased in April 2020 (rate ratio [RR], 1.03; 95% CI, 1.02 to 1.04), subsequently declined in May and June 2020, and then increased again each month from July through December 2020 compared with 2019, with the highest RR in December (RR, 1.07; 95% CI, 1.06 to 1.08). CONCLUSION: Death rates with cancer as the underlying cause continued to decrease in 2020 despite the increase in death rates with cancer as a contributing cause in 2020. Ongoing monitoring of long-term cancer-related mortality trends is warranted to assess effects of delays in cancer diagnosis and receipt of care during the pandemic.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Neoplasias , Humanos , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Pandemias , COVID-19/complicações , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Neoplasias/complicações , Neoplasias/epidemiologia , População Rural
4.
CA Cancer J Clin ; 73(1): 17-48, 2023 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36633525

RESUMO

Each year, the American Cancer Society estimates the numbers of new cancer cases and deaths in the United States and compiles the most recent data on population-based cancer occurrence and outcomes using incidence data collected by central cancer registries and mortality data collected by the National Center for Health Statistics. In 2023, 1,958,310 new cancer cases and 609,820 cancer deaths are projected to occur in the United States. Cancer incidence increased for prostate cancer by 3% annually from 2014 through 2019 after two decades of decline, translating to an additional 99,000 new cases; otherwise, however, incidence trends were more favorable in men compared to women. For example, lung cancer in women decreased at one half the pace of men (1.1% vs. 2.6% annually) from 2015 through 2019, and breast and uterine corpus cancers continued to increase, as did liver cancer and melanoma, both of which stabilized in men aged 50 years and older and declined in younger men. However, a 65% drop in cervical cancer incidence during 2012 through 2019 among women in their early 20s, the first cohort to receive the human papillomavirus vaccine, foreshadows steep reductions in the burden of human papillomavirus-associated cancers, the majority of which occur in women. Despite the pandemic, and in contrast with other leading causes of death, the cancer death rate continued to decline from 2019 to 2020 (by 1.5%), contributing to a 33% overall reduction since 1991 and an estimated 3.8 million deaths averted. This progress increasingly reflects advances in treatment, which are particularly evident in the rapid declines in mortality (approximately 2% annually during 2016 through 2020) for leukemia, melanoma, and kidney cancer, despite stable/increasing incidence, and accelerated declines for lung cancer. In summary, although cancer mortality rates continue to decline, future progress may be attenuated by rising incidence for breast, prostate, and uterine corpus cancers, which also happen to have the largest racial disparities in mortality.


Assuntos
Neoplasias Pulmonares , Melanoma , Neoplasia Endócrina Múltipla Tipo 1 , Neoplasias , Masculino , Humanos , Feminino , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , Neoplasias/epidemiologia , Sistema de Registros , Incidência , Grupos Raciais , Neoplasias Pulmonares/epidemiologia
5.
CA Cancer J Clin ; 73(2): 120-146, 2023 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36346402

RESUMO

American Indian and Alaska Native (AIAN) individuals are diverse culturally and geographically but share a high prevalence of chronic illness, largely because of obstacles to high-quality health care. The authors comprehensively examined cancer incidence and mortality among non-Hispanic AIAN individuals, compared with non-Hispanic White individuals for context, using population-based data from the National Cancer Institute, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and the North American Association of Central Cancer Registries. Overall cancer rates among AIAN individuals were 2% higher than among White individuals for incidence (2014 through 2018, confined to Purchased/Referred Care Delivery Area counties to reduce racial misclassification) but 18% higher for mortality (2015 through 2019). However, disparities varied widely by cancer type and geographic region. For example, breast and prostate cancer mortality rates are 8% and 31% higher, respectively, in AIAN individuals than in White individuals despite lower incidence and the availability of early detection tests for these cancers. The burden among AIAN individuals is highest for infection-related cancers (liver, stomach, and cervix), for kidney cancer, and for colorectal cancer among indigenous Alaskans (91.3 vs. 35.5 cases per 100,000 for White Alaskans), who have the highest rates in the world. Steep increases for early onset colorectal cancer, from 18.8 cases per 100,000 Native Alaskans aged 20-49 years during 1998 through 2002 to 34.8 cases per 100,000 during 2014 through 2018, exacerbated this disparity. Death rates for infection-related cancers (liver, stomach, and cervix), as well as kidney cancer, were approximately two-fold higher among AIAN individuals compared with White individuals. These findings highlight the need for more effective strategies to reduce the prevalence of chronic oncogenic infections and improve access to high-quality cancer screening and treatment for AIAN individuals. Mitigating the disparate burden will require expanded financial support of tribal health care as well as increased collaboration and engagement with this marginalized population.


Assuntos
Neoplasias Colorretais , Indígenas Norte-Americanos , Neoplasias Renais , Masculino , Feminino , Humanos , Indígena Americano ou Nativo do Alasca
6.
CA Cancer J Clin ; 72(6): 524-541, 2022 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36190501

RESUMO

This article is the American Cancer Society's update on female breast cancer statistics in the United States, including population-based data on incidence, mortality, survival, and mammography screening. Breast cancer incidence rates have risen in most of the past four decades; during the most recent data years (2010-2019), the rate increased by 0.5% annually, largely driven by localized-stage and hormone receptor-positive disease. In contrast, breast cancer mortality rates have declined steadily since their peak in 1989, albeit at a slower pace in recent years (1.3% annually from 2011 to 2020) than in the previous decade (1.9% annually from 2002 to 2011). In total, the death rate dropped by 43% during 1989-2020, translating to 460,000 fewer breast cancer deaths during that time. The death rate declined similarly for women of all racial/ethnic groups except American Indians/Alaska Natives, among whom the rates were stable. However, despite a lower incidence rate in Black versus White women (127.8 vs. 133.7 per 100,000), the racial disparity in breast cancer mortality remained unwavering, with the death rate 40% higher in Black women overall (27.6 vs. 19.7 deaths per 100,000 in 2016-2020) and two-fold higher among adult women younger than 50 years (12.1 vs. 6.5 deaths per 100,000). Black women have the lowest 5-year relative survival of any racial/ethnic group for every molecular subtype and stage of disease (except stage I), with the largest Black-White gaps in absolute terms for hormone receptor-positive/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative disease (88% vs. 96%), hormone receptor-negative/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-positive disease (78% vs. 86%), and stage III disease (64% vs. 77%). Progress against breast cancer mortality could be accelerated by mitigating racial disparities through increased access to high-quality screening and treatment via nationwide Medicaid expansion and partnerships between community stakeholders, advocacy organizations, and health systems.


Assuntos
Neoplasias da Mama , Adulto , Feminino , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Humanos , Mamografia , Detecção Precoce de Câncer , Grupos Raciais , Incidência
7.
CA Cancer J Clin ; 72(5): 409-436, 2022 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35736631

RESUMO

The number of cancer survivors continues to increase in the United States due to the growth and aging of the population as well as advances in early detection and treatment. To assist the public health community in better serving these individuals, the American Cancer Society and the National Cancer Institute collaborate triennially to estimate cancer prevalence in the United States using incidence and survival data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results cancer registries, vital statistics from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's National Center for Health Statistics, and population projections from the US Census Bureau. Current treatment patterns based on information in the National Cancer Database are presented for the most prevalent cancer types by race, and cancer-related and treatment-related side-effects are also briefly described. More than 18 million Americans (8.3 million males and 9.7 million females) with a history of cancer were alive on January 1, 2022. The 3 most prevalent cancers are prostate (3,523,230), melanoma of the skin (760,640), and colon and rectum (726,450) among males and breast (4,055,770), uterine corpus (891,560), and thyroid (823,800) among females. More than one-half (53%) of survivors were diagnosed within the past 10 years, and two-thirds (67%) were aged 65 years or older. One of the largest racial disparities in treatment is for rectal cancer, for which 41% of Black patients with stage I disease receive proctectomy or proctocolectomy compared to 66% of White patients. Surgical receipt is also substantially lower among Black patients with non-small cell lung cancer, 49% for stages I-II and 16% for stage III versus 55% and 22% for White patients, respectively. These treatment disparities are exacerbated by the fact that Black patients continue to be less likely to be diagnosed with stage I disease than White patients for most cancers, with some of the largest disparities for female breast (53% vs 68%) and endometrial (59% vs 73%). Although there are a growing number of tools that can assist patients, caregivers, and clinicians in navigating the various phases of cancer survivorship, further evidence-based strategies and equitable access to available resources are needed to mitigate disparities for communities of color and optimize care for people with a history of cancer. CA Cancer J Clin. 2022;72:409-436.


Assuntos
Carcinoma Pulmonar de Células não Pequenas , Neoplasias Pulmonares , American Cancer Society , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , National Cancer Institute (U.S.) , Sobrevivência , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
8.
J Natl Cancer Inst ; 114(8): 1095-1108, 2022 08 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35511931

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: A comprehensive examination of the incidence and mortality of subsequent primary cancers (SPCs) among adolescent and young adult (AYA) cancer survivors in the United States is lacking. METHODS: Cancer incidence and mortality among 170 404 cancer survivors of 5 or more years who were aged 15-39 years at first primary cancer diagnosis during 1975-2013 in 9 Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results registries were compared with those in the general population using standardized incidence ratio (SIR), absolute excess incidence (AEI), standardized mortality ratio (SMR), and absolute excess mortality (AEM). RESULTS: During a mean follow-up of 14.6 years, 13 420 SPC cases and 5008 SPC deaths occurred among survivors (excluding the same site as index cancer), corresponding to 25% higher incidence (95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.23 to 1.27, AEI = 10.8 per 10 000) and 84% higher mortality (95% CI = 1.79 to 1.89, AEM = 9.2 per 10 000) than that in the general population. Overall, SPC risk was statistically significantly higher for 20 of 29 index cancers for incidence and 26 for mortality, with the highest SIR among female Hodgkin lymphoma survivors (SIR = 3.05, 95% CI = 2.88 to 3.24, AEI = 73.0 per 10 000) and the highest SMR among small intestine cancer survivors (SMR = 6.97, 95% CI = 4.80 to 9.79, AEM = 64.1 per 10 000). Type-specific SPC risks varied substantially by index cancers; however, SPCs of the female breast, lung, and colorectum combined constituted 36% of all SPC cases and 39% of all SPC deaths, with lung cancer alone representing 11% and 24% of all cases and deaths, respectively. CONCLUSION: AYA cancer survivors are almost twice as likely to die from a new primary cancer as the general population, highlighting the need for primary care clinicians to prioritize cancer prevention and targeted surveillance strategies in these individuals.


Assuntos
Doença de Hodgkin , Segunda Neoplasia Primária , Adolescente , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Segunda Neoplasia Primária/epidemiologia , Segunda Neoplasia Primária/etiologia , Sistema de Registros , Fatores de Risco , Sobreviventes , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Adulto Jovem
9.
J Am Assoc Nurse Pract ; 34(7): 924-931, 2022 Jul 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35580281

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Approximately 9,500,000 people in the United States misused opioids in 2020. Many people manage their opioid use disorder (OUD) with medication-assisted treatment (MAT). Using MAT to address OUD adds to the complexities and challenges of adequate acute pain control. LOCAL PROBLEM: Chart review indicated only 20% of trauma patients on MAT achieved adequate pain control on the trauma service at the University of Louisville Hospital. This quality initiative aimed to increase patient pain control to 50% in 90 days. METHODS: A rapid cycle quality improvement project with four plan-do-study-act (PDSA) cycles was conducted over 8 weeks. Four core interventions were implemented concurrently, with tests of change biweekly. Qualitative and qualitative data analyses were completed at each cycle. INTERVENTIONS: The core interventions included a risk assessment tool, shared decision-making (SDM) tool, provider checklist, and a team engagement plan. RESULTS: The number of patients with a pain score of ≤5 (scale 0-10) increased to 78% from 20%. The mean pain score decreased from 8 to 4.6. The fourth PDSA cycle results showed a 92% patient engagement with SDM and 100% utilization of the provider checklist. Team engagement scores greater than 4 on a 5-point Likert scale were 86%. CONCLUSIONS: Effective patient-centered acute pain control for trauma patients on MAT is achievable. The combined use of an SDM tool and a provider checklist was an efficient way to provide effective and patient-centered care and positively affected patient outcomes.


Assuntos
Dor Aguda , Transtornos Relacionados ao Uso de Opioides , Dor Aguda/tratamento farmacológico , Analgésicos Opioides/uso terapêutico , Humanos , Transtornos Relacionados ao Uso de Opioides/tratamento farmacológico , Manejo da Dor , Participação do Paciente , Estados Unidos
10.
CA Cancer J Clin ; 72(3): 202-229, 2022 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35143040

RESUMO

African American/Black individuals have a disproportionate cancer burden, including the highest mortality and the lowest survival of any racial/ethnic group for most cancers. Every 3 years, the American Cancer Society estimates the number of new cancer cases and deaths for Black people in the United States and compiles the most recent data on cancer incidence (herein through 2018), mortality (through 2019), survival, screening, and risk factors using population-based data from the National Cancer Institute and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. In 2022, there will be approximately 224,080 new cancer cases and 73,680 cancer deaths among Black people in the United States. During the most recent 5-year period, Black men had a 6% higher incidence rate but 19% higher mortality than White men overall, including an approximately 2-fold higher risk of death from myeloma, stomach cancer, and prostate cancer. The overall cancer mortality disparity is narrowing between Black and White men because of a steeper drop in Black men for lung and prostate cancers. However, the decline in prostate cancer mortality in Black men slowed from 5% annually during 2010 through 2014 to 1.3% during 2015 through 2019, likely reflecting the 5% annual increase in advanced-stage diagnoses since 2012. Black women have an 8% lower incidence rate than White women but a 12% higher mortality; further, mortality rates are 2-fold higher for endometrial cancer and 41% higher for breast cancer despite similar or lower incidence rates. The wide breast cancer disparity reflects both later stage diagnosis (57% localized stage vs 67% in White women) and lower 5-year survival overall (82% vs 92%, respectively) and for every stage of disease (eg, 20% vs 30%, respectively, for distant stage). Breast cancer surpassed lung cancer as the leading cause of cancer death among Black women in 2019. Targeted interventions are needed to reduce stark cancer inequalities in the Black community.


Assuntos
Neoplasias da Mama , Neoplasias da Próstata , Negro ou Afro-Americano , American Cancer Society , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , National Cancer Institute (U.S.) , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
11.
CA Cancer J Clin ; 72(1): 7-33, 2022 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35020204

RESUMO

Each year, the American Cancer Society estimates the numbers of new cancer cases and deaths in the United States and compiles the most recent data on population-based cancer occurrence and outcomes. Incidence data (through 2018) were collected by the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program; the National Program of Cancer Registries; and the North American Association of Central Cancer Registries. Mortality data (through 2019) were collected by the National Center for Health Statistics. In 2022, 1,918,030 new cancer cases and 609,360 cancer deaths are projected to occur in the United States, including approximately 350 deaths per day from lung cancer, the leading cause of cancer death. Incidence during 2014 through 2018 continued a slow increase for female breast cancer (by 0.5% annually) and remained stable for prostate cancer, despite a 4% to 6% annual increase for advanced disease since 2011. Consequently, the proportion of prostate cancer diagnosed at a distant stage increased from 3.9% to 8.2% over the past decade. In contrast, lung cancer incidence continued to decline steeply for advanced disease while rates for localized-stage increased suddenly by 4.5% annually, contributing to gains both in the proportion of localized-stage diagnoses (from 17% in 2004 to 28% in 2018) and 3-year relative survival (from 21% to 31%). Mortality patterns reflect incidence trends, with declines accelerating for lung cancer, slowing for breast cancer, and stabilizing for prostate cancer. In summary, progress has stagnated for breast and prostate cancers but strengthened for lung cancer, coinciding with changes in medical practice related to cancer screening and/or treatment. More targeted cancer control interventions and investment in improved early detection and treatment would facilitate reductions in cancer mortality.


Assuntos
Neoplasias da Mama/epidemiologia , Detecção Precoce de Câncer/estatística & dados numéricos , Neoplasias Pulmonares/epidemiologia , Neoplasias da Próstata/epidemiologia , American Cancer Society , Neoplasias da Mama/diagnóstico , Detecção Precoce de Câncer/tendências , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Neoplasias Pulmonares/diagnóstico , Masculino , Estadiamento de Neoplasias , Neoplasias da Próstata/diagnóstico , Programa de SEER/estatística & dados numéricos , Taxa de Sobrevida , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
13.
CA Cancer J Clin ; 71(6): 466-487, 2021 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34545941

RESUMO

The Hispanic/Latino population is the second largest racial/ethnic group in the continental United States and Hawaii, accounting for 18% (60.6 million) of the total population. An additional 3 million Hispanic Americans live in Puerto Rico. Every 3 years, the American Cancer Society reports on cancer occurrence, risk factors, and screening for Hispanic individuals in the United States using the most recent population-based data. An estimated 176,600 new cancer cases and 46,500 cancer deaths will occur among Hispanic individuals in the continental United States and Hawaii in 2021. Compared to non-Hispanic Whites (NHWs), Hispanic men and women had 25%-30% lower incidence (2014-2018) and mortality (2015-2019) rates for all cancers combined and lower rates for the most common cancers, although this gap is diminishing. For example, the colorectal cancer (CRC) incidence rate ratio for Hispanic compared with NHW individuals narrowed from 0.75 (95% CI, 0.73-0.78) in 1995 to 0.91 (95% CI, 0.89-0.93) in 2018, reflecting delayed declines in CRC rates among Hispanic individuals in part because of slower uptake of screening. In contrast, Hispanic individuals have higher rates of infection-related cancers, including approximately two-fold higher incidence of liver and stomach cancer. Cervical cancer incidence is 32% higher among Hispanic women in the continental US and Hawaii and 78% higher among women in Puerto Rico compared to NHW women, yet is largely preventable through screening. Less access to care may be similarly reflected in the low prevalence of localized-stage breast cancer among Hispanic women, 59% versus 67% among NHW women. Evidence-based strategies for decreasing the cancer burden among the Hispanic population include the use of culturally appropriate lay health advisors and patient navigators and targeted, community-based intervention programs to facilitate access to screening and promote healthy behaviors. In addition, the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on cancer trends and disparities in the Hispanic population should be closely monitored.


Assuntos
Detecção Precoce de Câncer/estatística & dados numéricos , Acessibilidade aos Serviços de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Hispânico ou Latino/estatística & dados numéricos , Neoplasias/etnologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Neoplasias/mortalidade , Neoplasias/prevenção & controle , Porto Rico/epidemiologia , Fatores de Risco , Taxa de Sobrevida , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , População Branca/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto Jovem
14.
CA Cancer J Clin ; 71(5): 381-406, 2021 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34427324

RESUMO

Brain and other central nervous system (CNS) tumors are among the most fatal cancers and account for substantial morbidity and mortality in the United States. Population-based data from the Central Brain Tumor Registry of the United States (a combined data set of the National Program of Cancer Registries [NPCR] and Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results [SEER] registries), NPCR, National Vital Statistics System and SEER program were analyzed to assess the contemporary burden of malignant and nonmalignant brain and other CNS tumors (hereafter brain) by histology, anatomic site, age, sex, and race/ethnicity. Malignant brain tumor incidence rates declined by 0.8% annually from 2008 to 2017 for all ages combined but increased 0.5% to 0.7% per year among children and adolescents. Malignant brain tumor incidence is highest in males and non-Hispanic White individuals, whereas the rates for nonmalignant tumors are highest in females and non-Hispanic Black individuals. Five-year relative survival for all malignant brain tumors combined increased between 1975 to 1977 and 2009 to 2015 from 23% to 36%, with larger gains among younger age groups. Less improvement among older age groups largely reflects a higher burden of glioblastoma, for which there have been few major advances in prevention, early detection, and treatment the past 4 decades. Specifically, 5-year glioblastoma survival only increased from 4% to 7% during the same time period. In addition, important survival disparities by race/ethnicity remain for childhood tumors, with the largest Black-White disparities for diffuse astrocytomas (75% vs 86% for patients diagnosed during 2009-2015) and embryonal tumors (59% vs 67%). Increased resources for the collection and reporting of timely consistent data are critical for advancing research to elucidate the causes of sex, age, and racial/ethnic differences in brain tumor occurrence, especially for rarer subtypes and among understudied populations.


Assuntos
Neoplasias do Sistema Nervoso Central/epidemiologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Neoplasias Encefálicas/classificação , Neoplasias Encefálicas/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Encefálicas/mortalidade , Neoplasias do Sistema Nervoso Central/classificação , Neoplasias do Sistema Nervoso Central/mortalidade , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , National Program of Cancer Registries/estatística & dados numéricos , Sistema de Registros/estatística & dados numéricos , Programa de SEER/estatística & dados numéricos , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Adulto Jovem
15.
Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev ; 30(11): 1993-2000, 2021 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34404684

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The American Cancer Society (ACS) and the NCI collaborate every 5 to 8 years to update the methods for estimating the numbers of new cancer cases and deaths in the current year for the U.S. and individual states. Herein, we compare our current projection methodology with the next generation of statistical models. METHODS: A validation study was conducted comparing current projection methods (vector autoregression for incidence; Joinpoint regression for mortality) with the Bayes state-space method and novel Joinpoint algorithms. Incidence data from 1996-2010 were projected to 2014 using two inputs: modeled data and observed data with modeled where observed were missing. For mortality, observed data from 1995 to 2009, 1996 to 2010, 1997 to 2011, and 1998 to 2012, each projected 3 years forward to 2012 to 2015. Projection methods were evaluated using the average absolute relative deviation (AARD) between observed counts (2014 for incidence, 2012-2015 for mortality) and estimates for 47 cancer sites nationally and 21 sites by state. RESULTS: A novel Joinpoint model provided a good fit for both incidence and mortality, particularly for the most common cancers in the U.S. Notably, the AARD for cancers with cases in 2014 exceeding 49,000 for this model was 3.4%, nearly half that of the current method (6.3%). CONCLUSIONS: A data-driven Joinpoint algorithm had versatile performance at the national and state levels and will replace the ACS's current methods. IMPACT: This methodology provides estimates of cancer data that are not available for the current year, thus continuing to fill an important gap for advocacy, research, and public health planning.


Assuntos
Mortalidade/tendências , Neoplasias/epidemiologia , Vigilância da População/métodos , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Modelos Estatísticos , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
16.
Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev ; 30(9): 1620-1626, 2021 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34162657

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The American Cancer Society (ACS) and the NCI collaborate every 5-8 years to update the methods for estimating numbers of new cancer cases and deaths in the current year in the United States and in every state and the District of Columbia. In this article, we reevaluate the statistical method for estimating unavailable historical incident cases which are needed for projecting the current year counts. METHODS: We compared the current county-level model developed in 2012 (M0) with three new models, including a state-level mixed effect model (M1) and two state-level hierarchical Bayes models with varying random effects (M2 and M3). We used 1996-2014 incidence data for 16 sex-specific cancer sites to fit the models. An average absolute relative deviation (AARD) comparing the observed with the model-specific predicted counts was calculated for each site. Models were also cross-validated for six selected sex-specific cancer sites. RESULTS: For the cross-validation, the AARD ranged from 2.8% to 33.0% for M0, 3.3% to 31.1% for M1, 6.6% to 30.5% for M2, and 10.4% to 393.2% for M3. M1 encountered the least technical issues in terms of model convergence and running time. CONCLUSIONS: The state-level mixed effect model (M1) was overall superior in accuracy and computational efficiency and will be the new model for the ACS current year projection project. IMPACT: In addition to predicting the unavailable state-level historical incidence counts for cancer surveillance, the updated algorithms have broad applicability for disease mapping and other activities of public health planning, advocacy, and research.


Assuntos
Neoplasias , American Cancer Society , Teorema de Bayes , Feminino , Previsões , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Neoplasias/epidemiologia , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
17.
Neurooncol Adv ; 3(1): vdaa175, 2021.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33506208

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: There are over 100 histologically distinct types of primary malignant and nonmalignant brain and other central nervous system (CNS) tumors. Our study presents recent trends in the incidence of these tumors using an updated histology recode that incorporates major diagnostic categories listed in the 2016 World Health Organization Classification of Tumours of the CNS. METHODS: We used data from the SEER-21 registries for patients of all ages diagnosed in 2000-2017. We calculated age-adjusted incidence rates and fitted a joinpoint regression to the observed data to estimate the Annual Percent Change and 95% confidence intervals over the period 2000-2017. RESULTS: There were 315,184 new malignant (34.2%; 107,890) and nonmalignant (65.8%; 207,294) brain tumor cases during 2004-2017. Nonmalignant meningioma represented 46.5% (146,498) of all brain tumors (malignant and nonmalignant), while glioblastoma represented 50.8% (54,832) of all malignant tumors. Temporal trends were stable or declining except for nonmalignant meningioma (0.7% per year during 2004-2017). Several subtypes presented decreases in trends in the most recent period (2013-2017): diffuse/anaplastic astrocytoma (-1.3% per year, oligodendroglioma (-2.6%), pilocytic astrocytoma (-3.8%), and malignant meningioma (-5.9%). CONCLUSIONS: Declining trends observed in our study may be attributable to recent changes in diagnostic classification and the coding practices stemming from those changes. The recode used in this study enables histology reporting to reflect the changes. It also provides a first step toward the reporting of malignant and nonmalignant brain and other CNS tumors in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program by clinically relevant histology groupings.

18.
CA Cancer J Clin ; 71(1): 7-33, 2021 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33433946

RESUMO

Each year, the American Cancer Society estimates the numbers of new cancer cases and deaths in the United States and compiles the most recent data on population-based cancer occurrence. Incidence data (through 2017) were collected by the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program; the National Program of Cancer Registries; and the North American Association of Central Cancer Registries. Mortality data (through 2018) were collected by the National Center for Health Statistics. In 2021, 1,898,160 new cancer cases and 608,570 cancer deaths are projected to occur in the United States. After increasing for most of the 20th century, the cancer death rate has fallen continuously from its peak in 1991 through 2018, for a total decline of 31%, because of reductions in smoking and improvements in early detection and treatment. This translates to 3.2 million fewer cancer deaths than would have occurred if peak rates had persisted. Long-term declines in mortality for the 4 leading cancers have halted for prostate cancer and slowed for breast and colorectal cancers, but accelerated for lung cancer, which accounted for almost one-half of the total mortality decline from 2014 to 2018. The pace of the annual decline in lung cancer mortality doubled from 3.1% during 2009 through 2013 to 5.5% during 2014 through 2018 in men, from 1.8% to 4.4% in women, and from 2.4% to 5% overall. This trend coincides with steady declines in incidence (2.2%-2.3%) but rapid gains in survival specifically for nonsmall cell lung cancer (NSCLC). For example, NSCLC 2-year relative survival increased from 34% for persons diagnosed during 2009 through 2010 to 42% during 2015 through 2016, including absolute increases of 5% to 6% for every stage of diagnosis; survival for small cell lung cancer remained at 14% to 15%. Improved treatment accelerated progress against lung cancer and drove a record drop in overall cancer mortality, despite slowing momentum for other common cancers.


Assuntos
Mortalidade/tendências , Neoplasias/epidemiologia , Programa de SEER/estatística & dados numéricos , American Cancer Society , Humanos , Incidência , Neoplasias/terapia , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
19.
JNCI Cancer Spectr ; 4(5): pkaa038, 2020 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33134823

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Little is known about disparities in economic burden due to premature cancer deaths by race or ethnicity in the United States. This study aimed to compare person-years of life lost (PYLLs) and lost earnings due to premature cancer deaths by race/ethnicity. METHODS: PYLLs were calculated using recent national cancer death and life expectancy data. PYLLs were combined with annual median earnings to generate lost earnings. We compared PYLLs and lost earnings among individuals who died at age 16-84 years due to cancer by racial/ethnic groups (non-Hispanic [NH] White, NH Black, NH Asian or Pacific Islander, and Hispanic). RESULTS: In 2015, PYLLs due to all premature cancer deaths were 6 512 810 for NH Whites, 1 196 709 for NH Blacks, 279 721 for NH Asian or Pacific Islanders, and 665 968 for Hispanics, translating to age-standardized lost earning rates (per 100 000 person-years) of $34.9 million, $43.5 million, $22.2 million, and $24.5 million, respectively. NH Blacks had higher age-standardized PYLL and lost earning rates than NH Whites for 13 of 19 selected cancer sites. If age-specific PYLL and lost earning rates for NH Blacks were the same as those of NH Whites, 241 334 PYLLs and $3.2 billion lost earnings (22.6% of the total lost earnings among NH Blacks) would have been avoided. Disparities were also observed for average PYLLs and lost earnings per cancer death for all cancers combined and 18 of 19 cancer sites. CONCLUSIONS: Improving equal access to effective cancer prevention, screening, and treatment will be important in reducing the disproportional economic burden associated with racial/ethnic disparities.

20.
CA Cancer J Clin ; 70(6): 443-459, 2020 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32940362

RESUMO

Cancer statistics for adolescents and young adults (AYAs) (aged 15-39 years) are often presented in aggregate, masking important heterogeneity. The authors analyzed population-based cancer incidence and mortality for AYAs in the United States by age group (ages 15-19, 20-29, and 30-39 years), sex, and race/ethnicity. In 2020, there will be approximately 89,500 new cancer cases and 9270 cancer deaths in AYAs. Overall cancer incidence increased in all AYA age groups during the most recent decade (2007-2016), largely driven by thyroid cancer, which rose by approximately 3% annually among those aged 20 to 39 years and 4% among those aged 15 to 19 years. Incidence also increased in most age groups for several cancers linked to obesity, including kidney (3% annually across all age groups), uterine corpus (3% in the group aged 20-39 years), and colorectum (0.9%-1.5% in the group aged 20-39 years). Rates declined dramatically for melanoma in the group aged 15 to 29 years (4%-6% annually) but remained stable among those aged 30 to 39 years. Overall cancer mortality declined during 2008 through 2017 by 1% annually across age and sex groups, except for women aged 30 to 39 years, among whom rates were stable because of a flattening of declines in female breast cancer. Rates increased for cancers of the colorectum and uterine corpus in the group aged 30 to 39 years, mirroring incidence trends. Five-year relative survival in AYAs is similar across age groups for all cancers combined (range, 83%-86%) but varies widely for some cancers, such as acute lymphocytic leukemia (74% in the group aged 15-19 years vs 51% in the group aged 30-39 years) and brain tumors (77% vs 66%), reflecting differences in histologic subtype distribution and treatment. Progress in reducing cancer morbidity and mortality among AYAs could be addressed through more equitable access to health care, increasing clinical trial enrollment, expanding research, and greater alertness among clinicians and patients for early symptoms and signs of cancer. Further progress could be accelerated with increased disaggregation by age in research on surveillance, etiology, basic biology, and survivorship.


Assuntos
Neoplasias/epidemiologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Distribuição por Idade , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Neoplasias/etnologia , Neoplasias/mortalidade , Grupos Raciais/estatística & dados numéricos , Distribuição por Sexo , Taxa de Sobrevida , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Adulto Jovem
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