Declining HIV/AIDS mortality in New York City.

BACKGROUND: New York City has only 3% of the U.S. population but has reported nearly 16% of all AIDS cases. METHODS: This is an observational study using the New York City vital events and AIDS case surveillance registries to describe trends in HIV/AIDS mortality from 1983 through June 30, 1998. RESULTS: Annual HIV/AIDS deaths increased steadily until stabilizing at 7046 in 1995, declined 29% to 4998 in 1996, and declined 47% to 2625 in 1997. Comparing data from 1997 with those from 1995, declines occurred in all demographic groups and in all major HIV transmission categories: 74% in men who have sex with men, 68% in injecting drug users, and 64% in heterosexuals. In the first 6 months of 1998, declines were smaller than they had been in previous 6-month intervals in all demographic groups except Hispanic males and those between 35 and 44 years of age. From 1995 to the first 6 months of 1998, the number of people living with AIDS in New York City increased 22% (from 32,692 to 39,976). CONCLUSIONS: The precipitous 63% decline in HIV/AIDS deaths from 1995 to 1997 occurred at the same time that more effective antiretroviral therapies became widely available. The slowing in the mortality decline observed in 1998, however, suggests that although these new therapies may have a profound effect at the population level, deaths due to AIDS will continue.

The distribution of canine exposure to Borrelia burgdorferi in a Lyme-Disease endemic area.

OBJECTIVES: A serosurvey of canine exposure to Borrelia burgdorferi, the causative agent of human Lyme disease, was conducted in Westchester County, New York, to determine the distribution of exposure in an area endemic for Lyme disease. METHODS: A total of 1446 blood samples was collected from resident dogs and tested by modified enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Equivocal samples were further tested by immunoblot. A mean number of 57.8 samples was collected from each of 25 towns and cities. RESULTS: Seroprevalence rates for municipalities ranged from 6.5% to 85.2%. County seroprevalence was 49.2%. There was a significant difference among the rates for the northern (67.3%), central (45.2%), and southern (17.3%) regions. Multiple range analysis indicated homogeneity between the southern and central regions and the central and northern regions. CONCLUSIONS: Canine exposure to B burgdorferi increases in a south to north gradient within the county. Intensity of exposure, measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay titers, indicates a similar pattern. The close association between dogs and humans suggests that human risk of acquiring Lyme disease within Westchester County is equally disparate and is inversely related to the degree of urbanization.