Cancer incidence and mortality trends in France over 1990-2018 for solid tumors: the sex gap is narrowing.

OBJECTIVE: To analyze trends in cancer incidence and mortality (France, 1990-2018), with a focus on men-women disparities. METHODS: Incidence data stemmed from cancer registries (FRANCIM) and mortality data from national statistics (CépiDc). Incidence and mortality rates were modelled using bidimensional penalized splines of age and year (at diagnosis and at death, respectively). Trends in age-standardized rates were summarized by the average annual percent changes (AAPC) for all-cancers combined, 19 solid tumors, and 8 subsites. Sex gaps were indicated using male-to-female rate ratios (relative difference) and male-to-female rate differences (absolute difference) in 1990 and 2018, for incidence and mortality, respectively. RESULTS: For all-cancers, the sex gap narrowed over 1990-2018 in incidence (1.6 to 1.2) and mortality (2.3 to 1.7). The largest decreases of the male-to-female incidence rate ratio were for cancers of the lung (9.5 to 2.2), lip - oral cavity - pharynx (10.9 to 3.1), esophagus (12.6 to 4.5) and larynx (17.1 to 7.1). Mixed trends emerged in lung and oesophageal cancers, probably explained by differing risk factors for the two main histological subtypes. Sex incidence gaps narrowed due to increasing trends in men and women for skin melanoma (0.7 to 1, due to initially higher rates in women), cancers of the liver (7.4 to 4.4) and pancreas (2.0 to 1.4). Sex incidence gaps narrowed for colon-rectum (1.7 to 1.4), urinary bladder (6.9 to 6.1) and stomach (2.7 to 2.4) driven by decreasing trends among men. Other cancers showed similar increasing incidence trends in both sexes leading to stable sex gaps: thyroid gland (0.3 to 0.3), kidney (2.2 to 2.4) and central nervous system (1.4 to 1.5). CONCLUSION: In France in 2018, while men still had higher risks of developing or dying from most cancers, the sex gap was narrowing. Efforts should focus on avoiding risk factors (e.g., smoking) and developing etiological studies to understand currently unexplained increasing trends.

Are comorbidities associated with long-term survival of lung cancer? A population-based cohort study from French cancer registries.

BACKGROUND: Survival rates of lung cancer remains poor and the impact of comorbidities on the prognosis is discussed. The objective of this study was to assess if the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) was associated with 8-year survival rates by histological type. METHODS: A cohort study was conducted using randomly selected cases from 10 French cancer registries. Net survival rates were computed using the Pohar-Perme estimator of the net cumulative rate. Three Cox models were independently built for adenocarcinomas, squamous cell and small cell cancers to estimate prognostic factors including CCI grade. RESULTS: A total of 646 adenocarcinomas, 524 squamous cell and 233 small cell cancers were included in the analysis. The net 8-year survival rate ranged from 12.6% (95% CI: 9.8-15.4%) for adenocarcinomas and 13.4% (95% CI: 10.1-16.7%) for squamous cell carcinomas, to 3.7% (95% CI: 1.1-6.3%) for small cell cancers. Observed and net survival rates decreased for CCI grades ≥3 for all histological group considered. After adjustment for sex, age group, stage and diagnostic mode, CCI grades 1 (HR = 1.6 [95% CI: 1.1-2.3]), 2 (HR = 1.7 [95% CI: 1.1-2.7]) and ≥ 3 (HR = 2.7 [95% CI: 1.7-4.4]) were associated with lower survival rates only for small cell cancers. CONCLUSION: After adjustment for age, sex, stage and diagnostic mode, the presence of comorbidity based on CCI grades 1-2 and ≥ 3 was associated with lower survival rates for small cell cancers whereas no differences were observed for adenocarcinomas and squamous cell cancers.

Merkel cell carcinoma in France: a registries-based, comprehensive epidemiological survey.

BACKGROUND: Merkel cell carcinoma (MCC) is a rare primary cutaneous neuroendocrine carcinoma. Owing to its low incidence, epidemiological data are scarce and have never been analysed in France to identify the main epidemiological trends. METHODS: Data from MCC patients diagnosed between 1998 and 2010 were obtained from 11 French cancer registries in the FRANCIM network. The main epidemiological characteristics of MCC were investigated between 2006 and 2010 because comprehensive data were only available for this period. The main focus was tumour incidence and mortality over time. RESULTS: Between 1998 and 2010, 562 cases of MCC were reported in the registries. From 2006 to 2010 (290 cases), European- and world-standardized incidence rates were 0.26 and 0.43 per 100,000 person-years in men and 0.24 and 0.38 per 100,000 person-years in women. MCC is more frequent in females in France (56.9%) with male/female ratio 1.1. Relative survival rates were 84%, 56% and 42% at one, three and 5 years, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of MCC clearly increased over time in all areas under focus. The standardized incidence in France was comparable to the incidence observed in other countries for the same period, but French data are too recent to conclude on an increase in MCC incidence. Prognosis remains poor in all countries in which data are available.

Oral cancer characteristics in France: Descriptive epidemiology for early detection.

Despite the frequency and lethality of oral cancers in France, there are no detailed general population data regarding the characteristics of these patients to fuel the public health authorities' reflections about early detection policies. Thus, the objective of this study was to determine, in the general population, the characteristics of both patients and tumours at the time of the diagnosis. A high-resolution, population-based study using 13 French registries was conducted on 1089 tumours diagnosed in 2010. Men accounted for 75% of cases. The most frequent sites were tonsil (28.4%) and oral tongue (21.1%). The median age varied from 56.7 years for floor of mouth to 66.4 years for gum. The lesions were mainly diagnosed on pain and those diagnosed after routine clinical examination were scarce (2.6%). There were 65.5% stage III and IV at diagnosis. Oral tongue, floor of mouth and palate presented tumours less than 2cm only in 34 to 40% of cases. Advanced stage was associated with the presence of comorbidities, and tonsil or base of tongue topography. Stage was not associated with Département, deprivation index or gender. This study provided a picture of the characteristics of oral cancer patients and their tumours and showed that diagnoses are often made late, even for those tumours most easily accessible to direct visual and tactile examination. Nevertheless, it remains to define the target population of an early detection and to evaluate the benefit of such detection on the mortality rate.

Trends in breast cancer incidence and mortality in France 1990-2008.

The objective of this work was to detail the incidence and mortality trends of invasive and in situ breast cancer (BC) in France, especially regarding the development of screening, over the 1990-2008 period. Data issued from nine population-based cancer registries were studied. The incidence of invasive BC increased annually by 0.8 % from 1990 to 1996 and more markedly by 3.2 % from 1996 to 2003, and then sharply decreased until 2006 (-2.3 % per year), especially among women aged 50-69 years (-4.9 % per year). This trend was similar whatever the introduction date of the organized screening (OS) program in the different areas. The incidence of ductal carcinoma in situ steadily increased between 1990 and 2005, particularly among women aged 50-69 years and 70 and older. At the same time, the mortality from BC decreased annually by 1.1 % over the entire study period. This decrease was more pronounced in women aged 40-49 and 50-69 and, during the 1990-1999 period, in the areas where OS began in 1989-1991. The similarity in the incidence trends for all periods of implementation of OS in the different areas was striking. This suggests that OS alone does not explain the changes observed in incidence rate. Our study highlights the importance of closely monitoring the changes in incidence and mortality indicators, and of better understanding the factors causing variation.

Waiting time disparities in breast cancer diagnosis and treatment: a population-based study in France.

Waiting times are key indicators of a health's system performance, but are not routinely available in France. We studied waiting times for diagnosis and treatment according to patients' characteristics, tumours' characteristics and medical management options in a sample of 1494 breast cancers recorded in population-based registries. The median waiting time from the first imaging detection to the treatment initiation was 34 days. Older age, co-morbidity, smaller size of tumour, detection by organised screening, biopsy, increasing number of specimens removed, multidisciplinary consulting meetings and surgery as initial treatment were related to increased waiting times in multivariate models. Many of these factors were related to good practices guidelines. However, the strong influence of organised screening programme and the disparity of waiting times according to geographical areas were of concern. Better scheduling of diagnostic tests and treatment propositions should improve waiting times in the management of breast cancer in France.

[Elements of completeness and results of the first year of registration of the "Registre général des cancers de Lille et de sa région"]. / Éléments d'exhaustivité et résultats pour la première année d'enregistrement du Registre général des cancers de Lille et de sa région.

BACKGROUND: In 2005, following the first cancer plan of the national health authorities, a general cancer registry was established in northern France, in a territory designated as a "zone in proximity to the city of Lille" (ZPL). The aim of the present work was to evaluate the completeness of the registry's first year of incident cancer registration (2005) and to compare the observed cancer incidence in the "ZPL" with the estimated incidence in France. METHODS: Completeness was assessed using the average number of sources per case, the percentage of histological verification and a method of independent case ascertainment (mortality/incidence ratio). A direct standardization on the world population was used to calculate the ZPL/France ratios of standardized incidence rates. Analyses were conducted for 21 cancer sites. RESULTS: In 2005, 3635 cases of invasive cancer were recorded by the registry. The average number of sources per case was 2.7 and histological proof was available for 91.4% of cases. Mortality/incidence ratios showed satisfactory completeness of the data for men for most cancer sites. For women however, for cancer sites for which the number of cases was low, data will have to be confirmed during the subsequent years of observation. A lack of completeness was found for cutaneous melanoma. In men, an overincidence was identified for cancers of lip-mouth-pharynx, larynx, esophagus, lung, liver, bladder, kidney and colon-rectum. In women, an overincidence has been identified for cancers of lip-mouth-pharynx, liver, bladder, colon-rectum, corpus uteri and ovaries. CONCLUSION: The first year of incidence validated at the "Registre général des cancers de Lille et de sa région" shows a completeness of records with regards to studied criteria. The comparison with national data shows an overincidence of cancers related to tobacco and alcohol consumption in the geographical area covered by the registry. The incidence of lip-mouth-pharynx cancer in men is the highest of all French registries.

Modelling the effect of breast cancer screening on related mortality using French data.

INTRODUCTION: This study aimed at modelling the effect of organized breast cancer screening on mortality in France. It combined results from a Markov model for breast cancer progression, to predict number of cases by node status, and from relative survival analyses, to predict deaths. The method estimated the relative risk of mortality at 8 years, in women aged 50-69, between a population screened every two years and a reference population. METHODS: Analyses concerned cases diagnosed between 1990 and 1996, with a follow-up up to 2004 for the vital status. Markov models analysed data from 3 screening programs (300,000 mammographies) and took into account opportunistic screening among participants to avoid bias in parameter's estimates. We used survival data from cancers in the general population (n=918, 7 cancer registries) and from screened cancers (n=565, 3 cancer registries), after excluding a subgroup of screened cases with a particularly high survival. Sensitivity analyses were performed. RESULTS: Markov model main analysis lacked of fit in two out of three districts. Fit was improved in stratified analyses by age or district, though some lack of fit persisted in two districts. Assuming 10% or 20% overdiagnosed screened cancers, mortality reduction was estimated as 23% (95% CI: 4, 38%) and 19% (CI: -3, 35%) respectively. Results were highly sensitive to the exclusion in the screened cancers survival analysis. Conversely, RR estimates varied moderately according to the Markov model parameters used (stratified by age or district). CONCLUSION: The study aimed at estimating the effect of screening in a screened population compared to an unscreened control group. Such a control group does not exist in France, and we used a general population contaminated by opportunistic screening to provide a conservative estimate. Conservative choices were systematically adopted to avoid favourable estimates. A selection bias might however affect the estimates, though it should be moderate because extreme social classes are under-represented among participants. This modelling provided broad estimates for the effect of organized biennial screening in France in the early nineteen-nineties. Results will be strengthened with longer follow-up.

Recent trends in breast cancer incidence rates in the Loire-Atlantique, France: a decline since 2003.

BACKGROUND: A recent decline in breast cancer incidence rates has been reported in the United States and in Europe. This decrease has been partly attributed to the reduced use of hormone replacement therapy (HRT). No study in Europe has detailed recent breast cancer incidence trends both by hormonal receptor status and mode of detection at an individual level. METHODS: We examined trends in breast cancer incidence rates in the French administrative area of Loire-Atlantique between 1991 and 2007, by age, mode of detection, histological subtype, estrogen/progesterone receptor (ER/PR) status and grade. Annual age-standardized breast cancer incidence rates were estimated using the Loire-Atlantique and Vendée Cancer Registry data. Annual percentage changes (APCs) were estimated using an age-adjusted Poisson regression model. RESULTS: Incidence rates of breast cancer increased 3.5% per year in 1991-2003, dropped -4.3% per year in 2003-2006 and increased in 2007 (9.1%). Stratified analyses by age groups showed that the decrease concerned predominantly women aged 50-64 years, whereas an increasing proportion of cancers detected by organized screening was observed in this age group. Among these women, the decline of incidence particularly concerned positive estrogen and progesterone receptor tumors, lobular subtype tumors, and low-grade tumors. CONCLUSION: The drop in breast cancer incidence rates observed between 2003 and 2006 in women 50-64 years old was greater for ER+PR+ tumors. During the same period, the incidence of breast cancers diagnosed by organized screening increased. These patterns appear consistent with an impact of the reduced use of HRT.

Multi-state Markov models in cancer screening evaluation: a brief review and case study.

This work presents a brief overview of Markov models in cancer screening evaluation and focuses on two specific models. A three-state model was first proposed to estimate jointly the sensitivity of the screening procedure and the average duration in the preclinical phase, i.e. the period when the cancer is asymptomatic but detectable by screening. A five-state model, incorporating lymph node involvement as a prognostic factor, was later proposed combined with a survival analysis to predict the mortality reduction associated with screening. The strengths and limitations of these two models are illustrated using data from French breast cancer service screening programmes. The three-state model is a useful frame but parameter estimates should be interpreted with caution. They are highly correlated and depend heavily on the parametric assumptions of the model. Our results pointed out a serious limitation to the five-state model, due to implicit assumptions which are not always verified. Although it may still be useful, there is a need for more flexible models. Over-diagnosis is an important issue for both models and induces bias in parameter estimates. It can be addressed by adding a non-progressive state, but this may provide an uncertain estimation of over-diagnosis. When the primary goal is to avoid bias, rather than to estimate over-diagnosis, it may be more appropriate to correct for over-diagnosis assuming different levels in a sensitivity analysis. This would be particularly relevant in a perspective of mortality reduction estimation.

[Prostate cancer management and factors associated with radical prostatectomy in France in 2001]. / Le cancer de la prostate en France en 2001: état des pratiques et facteurs associés à la réalisation d'une prostatectomie totale.

INTRODUCTION: Prostate cancer was the most common cancer in men in France in 2005, and the second cause of male death from cancer. In this study, we analyzed clinical characteristics of patients with prostate cancer diagnosed in France in 2001 with a focus on therapeutic management of localized prostate cancers. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A total of 2181 cases of prostate cancer diagnosed in 2001 from 11 French counties covered by a cancer registry were analyzed. A descriptive study of the clinical characteristics of patients was performed. Parameters studied included age, county, TNM stage, PSA value, Gleason score, D'Amico prognostic group, Charlson's comorbidity index and initial treatment modalities. For localized cancers, multivariate logistic regression analysis identified factors associated with radical prostatectomy. RESULTS: The proportion of localized prostate cancer (T1 or T2) was 86.6 %. The use of invasive curative treatment (radical prostatectomy and radiotherapy) was 58.4 % for localized cancers. Significant differences in therapeutic management were found between counties. Radical prostatectomy was associated with age at diagnosis, D'Amico prognostic group and the presence of comorbidities. CONCLUSIONS: Most of prostate cancers diagnosed in France in 2001 were clinically localized and were treated by invasive therapy. The consequences of these practices remain to be determined given the limited evolution of many prostate cancers and the frequency of adverse events related to invasive treatments.

A population-based study of adjuvant chemotherapy for stage-II and -III colon cancers.

BACKGROUND: Although clinical trials have demonstrated that adjuvant chemotherapy improves survival for stage-III colon cancer, the benefits remain controversial for stage-II lesions. The objective of the present study was to determine the extent to which adjuvant chemotherapy is used for patients with stage-II and -III colon cancers. METHODS: The study population comprised 1074 patients with stage-II and -III colon cancers diagnosed in 2000 in 12 French administrative districts and recorded in population-based cancer registries. Data were collected using a standardized procedure. RESULTS: Overall, 20.4% of patients with stage II and 61.9% with stage III received adjuvant chemotherapy. Age at diagnosis was the strongest determinant of chemotherapy. Among stage-II patients, those receiving chemotherapy decreased from 57.6% in patients aged or=85. The corresponding percentages with stage III were 93.6% and 1.4%. In multivariate analyses, other factors found to be independently and significantly associated with administration of adjuvant chemotherapy for stage II were extension of the cancer (stage IIA vs. stage IIB), clinical presentation (obstruction or perforation vs. uncomplicated cancer) and discussion of the case at a multidisciplinary case-review meeting. For stage III, apart from age, discussion of the case at a multidisciplinary meeting was the only factor independently associated with administration of chemotherapy. CONCLUSION: Adjuvant chemotherapy for stage-III colon cancer is used extensively for patients under 75 years of age. However, many elderly patients do not receive such treatment. On the other hand, a substantial percentage of stage-II colon cancer patients receive adjuvant chemotherapy despite its uncertain benefits.

Evolution of pleural cancers and malignant pleural mesothelioma incidence in France between 1980 and 2005.

The evolution of pleural cancers and malignant pleural mesothelioma incidence in France between 1980 and 2005 was analysed using data derived from the French network of cancer registries (FRANCIM) and the French National Mesothelioma Surveillance Program (PNSM). Mesothelioma proportions in pleural cancers were calculated by diagnosis year in the 1980-2000 period. Our results suggest that the incidences of pleural cancer and mesothelioma levelled off in French men since 2000 and continued to increase in French women. A decrease of the annual pleural cancer incidence average in men was noticed (-3.4% of annual rate of change) between 2000 and 2005. The proportion of pleural cancers that were mesothelioma was unchanged between 1980 and 2003 with an average of 86%. The age standardised incidence rate of pleural mesothelioma remained relatively stable between 1998 and 2005 with a slight falling trend. For women, the age standardised incidence rate of pleural cancers and mesothelioma increased during the period 1998-2005. Additionally, the proportion of pleural cancers that were mesothelioma increased during the same period of time. Finally, the increased trend observed in the incidence of pleural mesothelioma and cancers in women is credibly due to their under diagnosis in the 1980-1997 period. The comparison between the French incidence and the American and British ones shows that the decreasing trend in incidence of mesothelioma and pleural cancers in French men since 2000 is potentially associated with a lower amphibole consumption and by the implementation of safety regulations at work from 1977.

[Time trends in the geographic variation of thyroid cancer incidence by tumor size from 1983 to 2000 in France]. / Disparités géographiques d'évolution d'incidence des cancers de la thyroïde par taille entre 1983 et 2000 en France.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this investigation was to study geographic time trends of thyroid cancer incidence according to tumor size in France, 1983 to 2000. METHODS: Incidence data were provided from six French registries over the period 1983-2000 covering seven administrative districts. Five tumor size groups were distinguished: < 10mm, 10-20mm, 20-40mm, > 40mm and unknown size. Papillary cancers diagnosed in women were analyzed according to tumor size in each geographic area. World age standardized rates were calculated and annual percent change rates were estimated for each tumor size group in each geographic area. Loglinear Poisson regression models were used to study geographic discrepancies in time trends incidences. RESULTS: The six French registries included 2222 papillary thyroid cancers in women between 1983 et 2000. Thyroid cancer incidence was increasing in the six geographic areas. Geographical variations in time trends incidence between registries reflected geographical variations in time trends incidence of small sized tumors (less than 10mm). CONCLUSION: Wide geographic variations in thyroid cancer incidence were noticed for small size tumors, which may be correlated with geographic variations in medical practices.

Cancer incidence and mortality in France over the period 1980-2005.

BACKGROUND: The objective of this study was to provide updated estimates of national trends in cancer incidence and mortality for France for 1980-2005. METHODS: Twenty-five cancer sites were analysed. Incidence data over the 1975-2003 period were collected from 17 registries working at the department level, covering 16% of the French population. Mortality data for 1975-2004 were provided by the Inserm. National incidence estimates were based on the use of mortality as a correlate of incidence, mortality being available at both department and national levels. Observed incidence and mortality data were modelled using an age-cohort approach, including an interaction term. Short-term predictions from that model gave estimates of new cancer cases and cancer deaths in 2005 for France. RESULTS: The number of new cancer cases in 2005 was approximately 320,000. This corresponds to an 89% increase since 1980. Demographic changes were responsible for almost half of that increase. The remainder was largely explained by increases in prostate cancer incidence in men and breast cancer incidence in women. The relative increase in the world age-standardised incidence rate was 39%. The number of deaths from cancer increased from 130,000 to 146,000. This 13% increase was much lower than anticipated on the basis of demographic changes (37%). The relative decrease in the age-standardised mortality rate was 22%. This decrease was steeper over the 2000-2005 period in both men and women. Alcohol-related cancer incidence and mortality continued to decrease in men. The increasing trend of lung cancer incidence and mortality among women continued; this cancer was the second cause of cancer death among women. Breast cancer incidence increased regularly, whereas mortality has decreased slowly since the end of the 1990s. CONCLUSION: This study confirmed the divergence of cancer incidence and mortality trends in France over the 1980-2005 period. This divergence can be explained by the combined effects of a decrease in the incidence of the most aggressive cancers and an increase in the incidence of less aggressive cancers, partly due to changes in medical practices leading to earlier diagnoses.

[Incidence and prognostic factors of breast cancer diagnosed within and outside of the organised screening program in the department of Loire-Atlantique (1991-2002)]. / Incidence et facteurs pronostiques des cancers du sein découverts au cours et en dehors du programme de dépistage organisé en Loire-Atlantique (1991-2002).

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to evaluate the impact of breast cancer mass screening, which began in 1996 in Loire-Atlantique (France), on the evolution of incidence and characteristics of breast cancer between 1991 and 2002. METHODS: The cancer Registry of Loire-Atlantique recorded characteristics of 9263 incident breast cancers diagnosed between 1991 and 2002. The level of participation to the organised screening program was 48%, thus the screening management structure allowed characterizing 736 cancers discovered by organised screening between 1997 and 2002. RESULTS: The 1991-2002 period was marked by a strong increase of in situ cancer proportion (from 5% at the beginning to 10% at the end of the period) and of standardised incidence rates (from 77 to 103/10(5) and from 4 to 13/10(5) for invasive and in situ cancers, respectively). Incidence was already rising before the beginning of the organised screening program in 1996. During the 1997-2002 period, in spite of steady rates for cancers detected by organised screening, incidence of cancers detected outside organised screening went on increasing. Cancers detected by organised screening were more often of smaller size (33% versus 22% smaller than 10mm) and without lymph node invasion (70% versus 62%). CONCLUSION: A strong increase of breast cancer incidence was observed in Loire-Atlantique, particularly in the organised screening age groups. The persistent increase of in situ cancers for women younger than 50 years old unconcerned by the organised screening program, and also for women of 50-74 years old detected outside the organised screening program suggested a parallel contribution of individual screening. These preliminary results confirm better prognostic factors for cancer detected by organised screening than for others.

A time trend analysis of papillary and follicular cancers as a function of tumour size: a study of data from six cancer registries in France (1983-2000).

The incidence of thyroid cancers, and in particular the papillary forms, has been increasing sharply for many years in Western countries. However, the factors explaining this increase have not been clearly established. Some studies mention the effects of radioactive fallout, particularly after the accident in Chernobyl. Another probable cause is related to progress in medical practice, and particularly in diagnosis. In this article, we describe time trends in the incidence of papillary and follicular cancers, taking into account the size of the tumour at the time of diagnosis. The analysis was carried out on cases from six French cancer registries for the period 1983-2000. Anatomopathological reports concerning 3381 cancer cases were systematically recoded and centralised, following ICDO-3 rules. Over the whole period, the annual percent change of the incidence of papillary cancers was +8.13% and +8.98%, respectively in men and in women. For micropapillary carcinomas (< or = 10 mm), this increase was respectively +12.05% and +12.85%. There is no significant effect of period apart from micropapillary carcinomas in women. However, a birth cohort effect exists for some groups. This effect corresponds to an acceleration in the risk for people born after the 1930s. For the most recent period (1998-2000), half the cases of papillary cancer were micropapillary carcinomas, and for one third of these, the tumour was < or = 5 mm. Our description of a time trend of incidence as a function of tumour size supports the hypothesis of the role of medical practice in a context of high prevalence. Obviously, these findings do not exclude the possible role of other factors.

Survival of cancer patients in France: a population-based study from The Association of the French Cancer Registries (FRANCIM).

We present the main results of the first population-based cancers survival study gathering all French registry data. Survival data on 205,562 cancer cases diagnosed between 01/01/1989 and 31/12/1997 were analysed. Relative survival was estimated using an excess rate model. The evolution of the excess mortality rate over the follow-up period was graphed. The analysis emphasised the effect of age at diagnosis and its variation with time after diagnosis. For breast and prostate cancers, the age-standardised five-year relative survivals were 84% and 77%, respectively. The corresponding results in men and women were 56% versus 58% for colorectal cancer and 12% versus 16% for lung cancer. For some cancer sites, the excess mortality rate decreased to low values by five years after diagnosis. For most cancer sites, age at diagnosis was a negative prognostic factor but this effect was often limited to the first year after diagnosis.

[Predictive value and sensibility of hospital discharge system (PMSI) compared to cancer registries for thyroïd cancer (1999-2000)]. / Valeur prédictive et sensibilité du programme de médicalisation des systèmes d'information (PMSI) par rapport aux registres des cancers: application au cancer de la thyroïde (1999-2000).

BACKGROUND: Cancer registries have a complete recording of new cancer cases occurring among residents of a specific geographic area. In France, they cover only 13% of the population. For thyroid cancer, where incidence rate is highly variable according to the district conversely to mortality, national incidence estimates are not accurate. A nationwide database, such as hospital discharge system, could improve this estimate but its positive predictive value and sensibility should be evaluated. METHODS: The positive predictive value and the sensitivity for thyroid cancer case ascertainment (ICD-10) of the national hospital discharge system in 1999 and 2000 were estimated using the cancer registries database of 10 French districts as gold standard. The linkage of the two databases required transmission of nominative information from the health facilities of the study. From the registries database, a logistic regression analysis was carried out to identify factors related to being missed by the hospital discharge system. RESULTS: Among the 973 standardized discharge charts selected from the hospital discharge system, 866 were considered as true positive cases, and 107 as false positive. Forty five of the latter group were prevalent cases. The predictive positive value was 89% (95% confidence interval (CI): 87-91%) and did not differ according to the district (p=0,80). According to the cancer registries, 322 thyroid cancer cases diagnosed in 1999 or 2000 were missed by the hospital discharge system. Thus, the sensitivity of this latter system was 73% (70-76%) and varied significantly from 62% to 85% across districts (p<0.001) and according to the type of health facility (p<0.01). CONCLUSION: Predictive positive value of the French hospital discharge system for ascertainment of thyroid cancer cases is high and stable across districts. Sensitivity is lower and varies significantly according to the type of health facility and across districts, which limits the interest of this database for a national estimate of thyroid cancer incidence rate.

Socioeconomic and geographic determinants of survival of patients with digestive cancer in France.

Using a multilevel Cox model, the association between socioeconomic and geographical aggregate variables and survival was investigated in 81 268 patients with digestive tract cancer diagnosed in the years 1980-1997 and registered in 12 registries in the French Network of Cancer Registries. This association differed according to cancer site: it was clear for colon (relative risk (RR)=1.10 (1.04-1.16), 1.10 (1.04-1.16) and 1.14 (1.05-1.23), respectively, for distances to nearest reference cancer care centre between 10 and 30, 30 and 50 and more than 90 km, in comparison with distance of less than 10 km; P-trend=0.003) and rectal cancer (RR=1.09 (1.03-1.15), RR=1.08 (1.02-1.14) and RR=1.12 (1.05-1.19), respectively, for distances between 10 and 30 km, 30 and 50 km and 50 and 70 km, P-trend=0.024) (n=28 010 and n=18 080, respectively) but was not significant for gall bladder and biliary tract cancer (n=2893) or small intestine cancer (n=1038). Even though the influence of socioeconomic status on prognosis is modest compared to clinical prognostic factors such as histology or stage at diagnosis, socioeconomic deprivation and distance to nearest cancer centre need to be considered as potential survival predictors in digestive tract cancer.