Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on cervical cancer screening participation, abnormal cytology prevalence and screening interval in Catalonia.

Background: The COVID-19 pandemic led to a national lockdown and the interruption of all cancer preventive services, including cervical cancer screening. We aimed to assess the COVID-19 pandemic impact on opportunistic screening participation, abnormal cytology (ASCUS+) prevalence and screening interval in 2020 and 2021 within the Public Health System of Catalonia, Spain. Methods: Individual data on cytology and HPV testing of women aged 25-65 from 2014 to 2021 were retrieved from the Information System for Primary Care Services (SISAP). Time-series regression models were used to estimate expected screening participation and abnormal cytology prevalence in 2020 and 2021. The impact was determined by comparing observed and expected values (ratios). Additionally, changes in screening interval trends between 2014 and 2021 were assessed by fitting a Piecewise linear regression model. Results: Cervical cancer screening participation decreased by 38.8% and 2.2% in 2020 and 2021, respectively, with the most significant impact on participation (-96.1%) occurring in April 2020. Among older women, participation was lower, and it took longer to recover. Abnormal cytology prevalence was 1.4 times higher than expected in 2020 and 2021, with variations by age (range=1.1-1.5). From June 2020 onwards, the screening interval trend significantly changed from an increase of 0.59 to 3.57 months per year, resulting in a median time of 48 months by December 2021. Conclusions: During the pandemic, fewer women have participated in cervical cancer screening, abnormal cytology prevalence has increased, and the screening interval is more prolonged than before. The potential cervical cancer lifetime risk implications highlight the need for organized HPV-based screening.

Clinical Validation of the Vitro HPV Screening Assay for Its Use in Primary Cervical Cancer Screening.

Many scientific societies have issued guidelines to introduce population-based cervical cancer screening with HPV testing. The Vitro HPV Screening assay is a fully automatic multiplex real-time PCR test targeting the L1 GP5+/GP6+ region of HPV genome. The assay detects 14 high risk (HR) HPV genotypes, identifying individual HPV16 and HPV18 genotypes, and the HPV-positive samples for the other 12 HR HPV types are subsequently genotyped with the HPV Direct Flow Chip test. Following international guidelines, the aim of this study was to validate the clinical accuracy of the Vitro HPV Screening test on ThinPrep-collected samples for its use as primary cervical cancer screening, using as comparator the validated cobas® 4800 HPV test. The non-inferiority analysis showed that the clinical sensitivity and specificity of the Vitro HPV Screening assay for a diagnosis of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia of grade 2 or worse (CIN2+) were not inferior to those of cobas® 4800 HPV (p = 0.0049 and p < 0.001 respectively). The assay has demonstrated a high intra- and inter-laboratory reproducibility, also among the individual genotypes. The Vitro HPV Screening assay is valid for cervical cancer screening and it provides genotyping information on HPV-positive samples without further sample processing in a fully automated workflow.

Quantifying the under-reporting of uncorrelated longitudal data: the genital warts example.

BACKGROUND: Genital warts are a common and highly contagious sexually transmitted disease. They have a large economic burden and affect several aspects of quality of life. Incidence data underestimate the real occurrence of genital warts because this infection is often under-reported, mostly due to their specific characteristics such as the asymptomatic course. METHODS: Genital warts cases for the analysis were obtained from the Catalan public health system database (SIDIAP) for the period 2009-2016. People under 15 and over 94 years old were excluded from the analysis as the incidence of genital warts in this population is negligible. This work introduces a time series model based on a mixture of two distributions, capable of detecting the presence of under-reporting in the data. In order to identify potential differences in the magnitude of the under-reporting issue depending on sex and age, these covariates were included in the model. RESULTS: This work shows that only about 80% in average of genital warts incidence in Catalunya in the period 2009-2016 was registered, although the frequency of under-reporting has been decreasing over the study period. It can also be seen that this issue has a deeper impact on women over 30 years old. CONCLUSIONS: Although this study shows that the quality of the registered data has improved over the considered period of time, the Catalan public health system is underestimating genital warts real burden in almost 10,000 cases, around 23% of the registered cases. The total annual cost is underestimated in about 10 million Euros respect the 54 million Euros annually devoted to genital warts in Catalunya, representing 0.4% of the total budget.

Long-term protection of HPV test in women at risk of cervical cancer.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the 9-year incidence of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 or worse (CIN2+) and cumulative adherence to perform a next test in a cohort of women aged 40+ years with no cervical screening cytology within a window of 5 years (underscreened women), after baseline cervical cytology and HPV tests. METHODS: In Catalonia, Spain, co-testing with cytology and HPV test has been recommended in the Public Health system since 2006 for underscreened women. In 2007, 1,594 women with underscreened criteria were identified and followed through medical records form Pathological Department. 9-year cumulative incidence of histologically confirmed CIN2+ and cumulative adherence to perform a next test were estimated using Kaplan-Meier statistics. RESULTS: Follow-up was available for 1,009 women (63.3%) resulting in 23 women with. CIN2+ (2.3%). Of them, 4 women (17%) had both tests negative at baseline (3CIN2 and 1CIN3) with cumulative incidence of CIN2+ of 0.4% (95% CI: 0.1-1.4) at 5-years and 1.3% (95% CI: 0.4-3.7) at 9-years. During the first year, the prevalence among women with both tests positive was 27.0% (95% CI: 13.0-50.6) for CIN2+. Lost to follow-up was higher among women with both tests negative compared to those with both positive tests (38.7% vs 4.2%, p-value <0.001). 40.5% of the women HPV-/cyto- had a re-screening test during the 4 years following the baseline, increasing until 53.5% during the 6 years of follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: HPV detection shows a high longitudinal predictive value at 9-year to identify women at risk to develop CIN2+. The data validate a safe extension of the 3-year screening intervals (current screening interval) to 5-year intervals in underscreened women that had negative HPV result at baseline. It is necessary to establish mechanisms to ensure screening participation and adequate follow-up for these women.

Impact of a single-age cohort human papillomavirus vaccination strategy in Catalonia, Spain: Population-based analysis of anogenital warts in men and women.

Extensive multiple-age cohort human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination has proved to be highly effective. We aimed to determine the 8-year population impact of a female single-age cohort HPV vaccination programme on the incidence of anogenital warts (AGW). In 2008, Catalonia initiated a school-based quadrivalent HPV vaccination programme targeting 11-year-old girls, achieving coverage over 80%. Data on diagnoses of AGW and genital herpes were obtained from a population-based database of electronic health records covering 74% of the population. The annual incidence rates from 2009 to 2016 were calculated, stratified by age and sex using Joinpoint regression to estimate trends and annual percentage changes (APC). Among women aged 16-19 years, the AGW incidence decreased by 61% from 2012 to 2016 (APC -19.4%; 95% CI: -30.0 to -7.3). In contrast, the incidence of genital herpes in same-aged women increased throughout the study period (APC 11.1%; 95% CI: 7.2-15.2). Among men aged 20-22 years, the increasing incidence of AGW shifted to a downward trend in 2013 (APC 2009-2013: 17.0%; 95% CI: 8.2-26.5; and APC 2013-2016: -4.5%; 95% CI: -14.6 to 6.9). A similar pattern was observed among men aged 23-25 years (APC 2009-2014: 16.0%; 95% CI: 12.0-20.2; and APC 2014-2016: -6.0%; 95% CI: -18.4 to 8.3). In contrast to AGW, among men aged 20-25 years, the incidence of genital herpes increased over this period. Our study strongly suggests that a single-cohort HPV vaccination strategy with high vaccine uptake not only provides direct benefit in the vaccinated cohorts but also extends protection through a herd effect to unvaccinated men.

Might Oral Human Papillomavirus (HPV) Infection in Healthy Individuals Explain Differences in HPV-Attributable Fractions in Oropharyngeal Cancer? A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Differences in oral human papillomavirus (HPV) prevalence and contrasts in HPV-attributable fractions (AFs) in oropharyngeal cancer (OPC) have not been evaluated in depth. METHODS: A systematic review was performed to identify studies in which at least 50 healthy individuals were tested for oral HPV infection. Information on sex, age, tobacco/alcohol consumption, sex practices, specimen collection, HPV detection, and population type was extracted. Prevalences were pooled using random-effects models for meta-analyses of binomial data. Correlations were assessed by the Spearman test. RESULTS: Forty-eight reports comprising 28 544 individuals fulfilled inclusion criteria. Global oral HPV prevalence was 4.9%. Estimates were highest in Europe, although regional differences were not statistically significant. HPV16 prevalence was 1.0% globally, and regional differences became statistically significant. A lifetime history of >6 sex partners showed a higher risk of oral HPV infection. The age-specific HPV distribution revealed a prevalence of ≥5% over 40 years of age and a lower prevalence at younger ages. There was no association between oral HPV prevalence and HPV-AFs or age-standardized rates (ASRs) of OPC, genital HPV in healthy women, or tobacco use. CONCLUSIONS: Differences in HPV-AFs or ASRs of OPC cannot be explained by differences in the prevalence of oral HPV infection across healthy populations. Consistent research on determinants of oral HPV prevalence, acquisition, clearance, and persistence is warranted.