Incidence variation of prostate and cervical cancer according to socioeconomic level in the Girona Health Region.

BACKGROUND: The main aim of this study, using a spatial-temporal model, is to analyse the link between a deprivation index and the incidence of prostate and cervical cancer in the Girona Health Region (GHR). METHODS: This is a population-based study which includes all the inhabitants in the GHR in the period 1993-2006. In order to assess prostate/cervical cancer risk, Besag, York and Mollie (BYM)'s spatial-temporal version of the model was used and four random effects were introduced: (non-spatial) unstructured variability, spatial dependency, temporal dependency and spatial-temporal interaction. As an explanatory variable, a deprivation index was introduced at the census tract level. Furthermore, the percentage of the population between 45-64 years of age and over-65 was also considered as explanatory variables. RESULTS: In the case of prostate cancer, all the variables which were introduced into the model showed a significant correlation with the relative risk, except for the second quintile of the deprivation index. Furthermore, as the index increased the correlation became negative and lower. Thus, the correlation between the relative risk and the two age bands proved to be lower, the higher the age was. In the case of cervical cancer, only the correlation between the over-65 age band and the relative risk was found to be statistically significant and positive. CONCLUSIONS: In the case of prostate cancer, the results obtained in the GHR are in line with similar analyses. However, in the case of cervical cancer, no significant relationship between incidences in this location or economic status was found.

Protecting the underscreened women in developed countries: the value of HPV test.

BACKGROUND: Poor attendance to cervical cancer (CC) screening is a major risk factor for CC. Efforts to capture underscreened women are considerable and once women agree to participate, the provision of longitudinal validity of the screening test is of paramount relevance. We evaluate the addition of high risk HPV test (HPV) to cervical cytology as a primary screening test among underscreened women in the longitudinal prediction of intraepithelial lesions grade 2 or worse (CIN2+). METHODS: Women were included in the study if they were older than 39 years and with no evidence of cervical cytology in the previous five years within the Public Primary Health Care System in Catalonia (Spain). 1,832 underscreened women from eight public primary health areas were identified during 2007-2008 and followed-up for over three years to estimate longitudinal detection of CIN2+. Accuracy of each screening test and the combination of both to detect CIN2+ was estimated. The risk of developing CIN2+ lesions according to histology data by cytology and HPV test results at baseline was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. RESULTS: At baseline, 6.7% of participants were HPV positive, 2.2% had an abnormal cytology and 1.3% had both tests positive. At the end of follow-up, 18 out of 767 (2.3%) underscreened women had a CIN2+, two of which were invasive CC. The three-year longitudinal sensitivity and specificity estimates to detect CIN2+ were 90.5% and 93.0% for HPV test and 38.2% and 97.8% for cytology. The negative predictive value was >99.0% for each test. No additional gains in validity parameters of HPV test were observed when adding cytology as co-test. The referral to colposcopy was higher for HPV but generated 53% higher detection of CIN2+ compared to cytology. CONCLUSIONS: Underscreened women had high burden of cervical disease. Primary HPV screening followed by cytology triage could be the optimal strategy to identify CIN2+ leading to longer and safe screen intervals.

Prediction of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2+ (CIN2+) using HPV DNA testing after a diagnosis of atypical squamous cell of undetermined significance (ASC-US) in Catalonia, Spain.

BACKGROUND: A protocol for cervical cancer screening among sexually active women 25 to 65 years of age was introduced in 2006 in Catalonia, Spain to increase coverage and to recommend a 3-year-interval between screening cytology. In addition, Human Papillomavirus (HPV) was offered as a triage test for women with a diagnosis of atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance (ASC-US). HPV testing was recommended within 3 months of ASC-US diagnosis. According to protocol, HPV negative women were referred to regular screening including a cytological exam every 3 years while HPV positive women were referred to colposcopy and closer follow-up. We evaluated the implementation of the protocol and the prediction of HPV testing as a triage tool for cervical intraepithelial lesions grade two or worse (CIN2+) in women with a cytological diagnosis of ASC-US. METHODS: During 2007-08 a total of 611 women from five reference laboratories in Catalonia with a novel diagnosis of ASC-US were referred for high risk HPV (hrHPV) triage using high risk Hybrid Capture version 2. Using routine record linkage data, women were followed for 3 years to evaluate hrHPV testing efficacy for predicting CIN2+ cases. Logistic regression analysis was used to estimate the odds ratio for CIN2 +. RESULTS: Among the 611 women diagnosed with ASC-US, 493 (80.7%) had at least one follow-up visit during the study period. hrHPV was detected in 48.3% of the women at study entry (mean age 35.2 years). hrHPV positivity decreased with increasing age from 72.6% among women younger than 25 years to 31.6% in women older than 54 years (p < 0.01). At the end of the 3 years follow-up period, 37 women with a diagnosis of CIN2+ (18 CIN2, 16 CIN3, 2 cancers, and 1 with high squamous intraepithelial lesions--HSIL) were identified and all but one had a hrHPV positive test at study entry. Sensitivity to detect CIN2+ of hrHPV was 97.2% (95%confidence interval (CI) = 85.5-99.9) and specificity was 68.3% (95%CI = 63.1-73.2). The odds ratio for CIN2+ was 45.3 (95% CI: 6.2-333.0), when among ASC-US hrHPV positive women were compared to ASC-US hrHPV negative women. CONCLUSIONS: Triage of ASC-US with hrHPV testing showed a high sensitivity for the detection of CIN2+ and a high negative predictive value after 3 years of follow-up. The results of this study are in line with the current guidelines for triage of women with ASC-US in the target age range of 25-65. Non adherence to guidelines will lead to unnecessary medical interventions. Further investigation is needed to improve specificity of ASC-US triage.

Epidemiología del cáncer de cérvix in situe invasor en la provincia de Girona 1990-2004: incidencia, mortalidad, supervivencia e historial de cribado / In situand invasive cervical cancer epidemiology in the province of Girona, Spain 1990-2004: incidence, mortality, survival and screening history

Fundamento y objetivo: La vigilancia epidemiológica del cáncer de cérvix (CC) debería extenderse desde el cribado hasta la mortalidad. El objetivo de este trabajo es proporcionar una visión global del CC en la provincia de Girona entre 1990-2004. Se trata de un estudio longitudinal que incluye la incidencia de carcinoma in situ (CISC) e invasor (CIC), mortalidad, supervivencia e historial de cribado (HdC) en 1/3 de las afectadas.Pacientes y método: Se han calculado las tasas anuales y quinquenales de incidencia cruda y ajustada por edad de CISC, de CIC y de mortalidad, así como la supervivencia relativa a los 5 años. Se han utilizado modelos de regresión Joinpointpara estimar el porcentaje de cambio anual (PCA) y cambios de tendencia. Se han revisado las citologías de cribado. Resultados: Se diagnosticaron 373 casos incidentes de CIC y 1.093 de CISC. Tras un ascenso inicial en la incidencia de ambos tipos, la tasa ajustada de CISC se estabilizó alrededor de los 28 casos por 100.000 y la de CIC descendió hasta 5,8 casos por 100.000 en el período 2000-2004. La mortalidad se ha mantenido estable y la supervivencia ha aumentado, aunque de forma no significativa. En los casos con HdC un 50% de las mujeres con CIC no tenía citología previa, en contraste con el alto porcentaje de mujeres con CISC que disponían de ésta (92% en 2000-2004). Conclusiones: La incidencia de cáncer de cérvix está descendiendo en Girona, aunque los datos sobre HdC sugieren que ésta podría reducirse aún más (AU)

Background and objective: The epidemiological vigilance of cervical cancer (CC) should comprise from screening to mortality. The objective of the work is to show a global vision of CC in the Province of Girona (Spain) between the years 1990-2004. It is a longitudinal study that includes incidence for in situ (ISCC) and invasive (ICC) carcinoma of the cervix, mortality, relative survival rates and the screening history of 1/3 of the affected women.Patients and method: The crude and the age-adjusted annual and five years incidence rates for ISCC and ICC and the mortality for ICC were calculated. Regression Joinpointmodels were used to estimate the annual percentage change (APC) and the changes in the trend. The five-year relative survival rate was estimated. Cytology screening smears were reviewed. Results: Three hundred seventy-three incident cases of ICC and 1,093 cases of ISCC were diagnosed. After an initial rise of the incidence in both types, the adjusted rate of ISCC stabilized around 28 cases per 100,000 and that of ICC declined to 5.8 cases per 100,000 women in the period 2000-2004. The mortality remained steady and the survival rate had a non-significant increase. In the cases with screening history almost 50% of the women diagnosed of ICC had no previous cytology in contrast with the high percentage of the women with ISCC that had it done (92% in 200-2004). Conclusions: Cervical cancer incidence is decreasing in Girona, although the dates of the screening histories suggest that it can be further reduced (AU)

[In situ and invasive cervical cancer epidemiology in the province of Girona, Spain 1990-2004: incidence, mortality, survival and screening history]. / Epidemiología del cáncer de cérvix in situ e invasor en la provincia de Girona 1990-2004: incidencia, mortalidad, supervivencia e historial de cribado.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: The epidemiological vigilance of cervical cancer (CC) should comprise from screening to mortality. The objective of the work is to show a global vision of CC in the Province of Girona (Spain) between the years 1990-2004. It is a longitudinal study that includes incidence for in situ (ISCC) and invasive (ICC) carcinoma of the cervix, mortality, relative survival rates and the screening history of 1/3 of the affected women. PATIENTS AND METHOD: The crude and the age-adjusted annual and five years incidence rates for ISCC and ICC and the mortality for ICC were calculated. Regression Joinpointmodels were used to estimate the annual percentage change (APC) and the changes in the trend. The five-year relative survival rate was estimated. Cytology screening smears were reviewed. RESULTS: Three hundred seventy-three incident cases of ICC and 1,093 cases of ISCC were diagnosed. After an initial rise of the incidence in both types, the adjusted rate of ISCC stabilized around 28 cases per 100,000 and that of ICC declined to 5.8 cases per 100,000 women in the period 2000-2004. The mortality remained steady and the survival rate had a non-significant increase. In the cases with screening history almost 50% of the women diagnosed of ICC had no previous cytology in contrast with the high percentage of the women with ISCC that had it done (92% in 200-2004). CONCLUSIONS: Cervical cancer incidence is decreasing in Girona, although the dates of the screening histories suggest that it can be further reduced.