Dynamic personalized risk prediction in chronic heart failure patients: a longitudinal, clinical investigation of 92 biomarkers (Bio-SHiFT study).

The aim of our observational study was to derive a small set out of 92 repeatedly measured biomarkers with optimal predictive capacity for adverse clinical events in heart failure, which could be used for dynamic, individual risk assessment in clinical practice. In 250 chronic HFrEF (CHF) patients, we collected trimonthly blood samples during a median of 2.2 years. We selected 537 samples for repeated measurement of 92 biomarkers with the Cardiovascular Panel III (Olink Proteomics AB). We applied Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) penalization to select the optimal set of predictors of the primary endpoint (PE). The association between repeatedly measured levels of selected biomarkers and the PE was evaluated by multivariable joint models (mvJM) with stratified fivefold cross validation of the area under the curve (cvAUC). The PE occurred in 66(27%) patients. The optimal set of biomarkers selected by LASSO included 9 proteins: NT-proBNP, ST2, vWF, FABP4, IGFBP-1, PAI-1, PON-3, transferrin receptor protein-1, and chitotriosidase-1, that yielded a cvAUC of 0.88, outperforming the discriminative ability of models consisting of standard biomarkers (NT-proBNP, hs-TnT, eGFR clinically adjusted) - 0.82 and performing equally well as an extended literature-based set of acknowledged biomarkers (NT-proBNP, hs-TnT, hs-CRP, GDF-15, ST2, PAI-1, Galectin 3) - 0.88. Nine out of 92 serially measured circulating proteins provided a multivariable model for adverse clinical events in CHF patients with high discriminative ability. These proteins reflect wall stress, remodelling, endothelial dysfunction, iron deficiency, haemostasis/fibrinolysis and innate immunity activation. A panel containing these proteins could contribute to dynamic, personalized risk assessment.Clinical Trial Registration: 10/05/2013 https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT01851538?term=nCT01851538&draw=2&rank=1 .

Circulating Biomarkers of Cell Adhesion Predict Clinical Outcome in Patients with Chronic Heart Failure.

Cardiovascular inflammation and vascular endothelial dysfunction are involved in chronic heart failure (CHF), and cellular adhesion molecules are considered to play a key role in these mechanisms. We evaluated temporal patterns of 12 blood biomarkers of cell adhesion in patients with CHF. In 263 ambulant patients, serial, tri-monthly blood samples were collected during a median follow-up of 2.2 (1.4-2.5) years. The primary endpoint (PE) was a composite of cardiovascular mortality, HF hospitalization, heart transplantation and implantation of a left ventricular assist device and was reached in 70 patients. We selected the baseline blood samples in all patients, the two samples closest to a PE, or, for event-free patients, the last sample available. In these 567 samples, associations between biomarkers and PE were investigated by joint modelling. The median age was 68 (59-76) years, with 72% men and 74% New York Heart Association class I-II. Repeatedly measured levels of Complement component C1q receptor (C1qR), Cadherin 5 (CDH5), Chitinase-3-like protein 1 (CHI3L1), Ephrin type-B receptor 4 (EPHB4), Intercellular adhesion molecule-2 (ICAM-2) and Junctional adhesion molecule A (JAM-A) were independently associated with the PE. Their rates of change also predicted clinical outcome. Level of CHI3L1 was numerically the strongest predictor with a hazard ratio (HR) (95% confidence interval) of 2.27 (1.66-3.16) per SD difference in level, followed by JAM-A (2.10, 1.42-3.23) and C1qR (1.90, 1.36-2.72), adjusted for clinical characteristics. In conclusion, temporal patterns of C1qR, CDH5, CHI3L1, EPHB4, ICAM2 and JAM-A are strongly and independently associated with clinical outcome in CHF patients.

Aqueous Humor Biomarkers Identify Three Prognostic Groups in Uveal Melanoma.

Purpose: To investigate whether we can identify different patterns of inflammation in the aqueous humor of a uveal melanoma (UM)-containing eye, and whether these are related to prognosis. Methods: Ninety samples of aqueous humor from UM-containing eyes were analyzed using a high-throughput multiplex immunoassay that enables simultaneous analysis of 92 predefined protein biomarkers. Cytokine expression was compared to clinical and histopathological characteristics. Cluster analysis was performed, after which the clusters were compared with clinical and histopathological tumor characteristics. Results: Cluster analysis revealed three distinct clusters, with one cluster showing hardly any inflammatory cytokines, one showing intermediate levels, and one showing a high expression of inflammation-related biomarkers. Significant differences between the clusters were seen with regard to patient age (P = 0.008), tumor prominence (P = 0.001), ciliary body involvement (P < 0.001), American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) stage (P < 0.001), monosomy of chromosome 3 (P = 0.03), and gain of chromosome 8q (P = 0.04), with the cluster with a highest cytokine expression having the worst prognostic markers. Especially apoptosis-related cytokines were differentially expressed. Conclusions: Analysis of cytokines in the aqueous humor shows distinct differences between aqueous humor samples and allocates these samples into three different prognostic tumor clusters. Especially large tumors with ciliary body involvement and monosomy 3 were associated with many cytokines, especially apoptosis-related cytokines. The presence of these cytokines in the aqueous humor may play a role in the lack of effective antitumor immune responses.

Longitudinally Measured Fibrinolysis Factors are Strong Predictors of Clinical Outcome in Patients with Chronic Heart Failure: The Bio-SHiFT Study.

OBJECTIVE: This article investigates whether longitudinally measured fibrinolysis factors are associated with cardiac events in patients with chronic heart failure (CHF). METHODS: A median of 9 (interquartile range [IQR] 5-10) serial, tri-monthly blood samples per patient were prospectively collected in 263 CHF patients during a median follow-up of 2.2 (IQR 1.4-2.5) years. Seventy patients (cases) reached the composite endpoint of cardiac death, heart failure hospitalization, left ventricular assist device, or heart transplantation. From all longitudinal samples, we selected baseline samples in all patients and the last two samples before the event in cases or the last sample available in event-free patients. Herein, we measured plasminogen activator inhibitor 1 (PAI-1), tissue-type plasminogen activator (tPA), urokinase-type plasminogen activator (uPA), and soluble urokinase plasminogen activator surface receptor (suPAR). Associations between temporal biomarker patterns during follow-up and the cardiac event were investigated using a joint model. RESULTS: Cases were on average older and showed higher New York Heart Association class than those who remained event-free. They also had lower blood pressures, and were more likely to have diabetes, renal failure, and atrial fibrillation. Longitudinally measured PAI-1, uPA, and suPAR were independently associated with adverse cardiac events after correction for clinical characteristics (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval]) per standard deviation increase of 2.09 (1.28-3.45) for PAI-1, 1.91 (1.18-3.24) for uPA, and 3.96 (2.48-6.63) for suPAR. Serial measurements of tPA were not significantly associated with the event after correction for multiple testing. CONCLUSION: Longitudinally measured PAI-1, uPA, and suPAR are strongly associated with adverse cardiac events during the course of CHF. If future research confirms our results, these fibrinolytic factors may carry potential for improved, and personalized, heart failure surveillance and treatment monitoring.

Temporal Patterns of 14 Blood Biomarker candidates of Cardiac Remodeling in Relation to Prognosis of Patients With Chronic Heart Failure-The Bio- SH i FT Study.

Background Remodeling biomarkers carry high potential for predicting adverse events in chronic heart failure ( CHF ) patients. However, temporal patterns during the course of CHF , and especially the trajectory before an adverse event, are unknown. We studied the prognostic value of temporal patterns of 14 cardiac remodeling biomarker candidates in stable patients with CHF from the Bio-SHiFT (Serial Biomarker Measurements and New Echocardiographic Techniques in Chronic Heart Failure Patients Result in Tailored Prediction of Prognosis) study. Methods and Results In 263 CHF patients, we performed trimonthly blood sampling during a median follow-up of 2.2 years. For the analysis, we selected all baseline samples, the 2 samples closest to the primary end point ( PE ), or the last sample available for end point-free patients. Thus, in 567 samples, we measured suppression of tumorigenicity-2, galectin-3, galectin-4, growth differentiation factor-15, matrix metalloproteinase-2, 3, and 9, tissue inhibitor metalloproteinase-4, perlecan, aminopeptidase-N, caspase-3, cathepsin-D, cathepsin-Z, and cystatin-B. The PE was a composite of cardiovascular mortality, heart transplantation, left ventricular assist device implantation, and HF hospitalization. Associations between repeatedly measured biomarker candidates and the PE were investigated by joint modeling. Median age was 68 (interquartile range: 59-76) years with 72% men; 70 patients reached the PE . Repeatedly measured suppression of tumorigenicity-2, galectin-3, galectin-4, growth differentiation factor-15, matrix metalloproteinase-2 and 9, tissue inhibitor metalloproteinase-4, perlecan, cathepsin-D, and cystatin-B levels were significantly associated with the PE , and increased as the PE approached. The slopes of biomarker trajectories were also predictors of clinical outcome, independent of their absolute level. Associations persisted after adjustment for clinical characteristics and pharmacological treatment. Suppression of tumorigenicity-2 was the strongest predictor (hazard ratio: 7.55 per SD difference, 95% CI : 5.53-10.30), followed by growth differentiation factor-15 (4.06, 2.98-5.54) and matrix metalloproteinase-2 (3.59, 2.55-5.05). Conclusions Temporal patterns of remodeling biomarker candidates predict adverse clinical outcomes in CHF . Clinical Trial Registration URL : http://www.clinicaltrials.gov . Unique identifier: NCT 01851538.

Utility of temporal profiles of new cardio-renal and pulmonary candidate biomarkers in chronic heart failure.

BACKGROUND: Our aim was to explore potential use of temporal profiles of seven emerging cardio-renal and two pulmonary candidate biomarkers for predicting future adverse clinical outcome in stable patients with chronic heart failure (CHF). METHODS: In 263 CHF patients, we determined the risk of a composite endpoint of HF-hospitalization, cardiac death, LVAD-placement and heart transplantation in relation to repeatedly assessed (567 samples in total) blood biomarker levels, and slopes of their temporal trajectories (i.e., rate of biomarker change per year). In each patient, we estimated biomarker trajectories using repeatedly measured osteopontin (OPN), osteoprotegerin (OPG), epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR), heparin-binding protein (HBP), trefoil factor-3 (TFF3), kallikrein-6 (KLK-6), matrix extracellular phosphoglycoprotein (MEPE), pulmonary surfactant-associated protein-D (PSP-D), and secretoglobulin family 3A-member-2 (SCGB3A2). RESULTS: During 2.2 years of follow-up, OPN, OPG, and HBP levels predicted the composite endpoint (univariable hazard ratio [95% confidence interval] per 1SD increase: 2.31 [1.76-3.15], 2.23 [1.69-3.00], and 1.36[1.09-1.70]). Independently of the biomarkers' levels, the slopes of OPG, TFF-3, PSP-D trajectories were also strong clinical predictors (per 0.1SD increase: 1.24 [1.14-1.38], 1.31 [1.17-1.49], and 1.32 [1.21-1.47]). All associations persisted after multivariable adjustment for baseline characteristics, and repeatedly assessed CHF pharmacological treatment and cardiac biomarkers NT-proBNP and troponin T. CONCLUSIONS: Repeatedly-measured levels of OPN, OPG, and HBP, and slopes of OPG, TFF-3, and PSP-D strongly predict clinical outcome. These candidate biomarkers may be clinically relevant as they could further define a patient's risk and provide additional pathophysiological insights into CHF.

The temporal pattern of immune and inflammatory proteins prior to a recurrent coronary event in post-acute coronary syndrome patients.

PURPOSE: We assessed the temporal pattern of 29 immune and inflammatory proteins in post-acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients, prior to the development of recurrent ACS. METHODS: High-frequency blood sampling was performed in 844 patients admitted for ACS during one-year follow-up. We conducted a case-control study on the 45 patients who experienced reACS (cases) and two matched event-free patients (controls) per case. Olink Proteomics' immunoassay was used to obtain serum levels of the 29 proteins, expressed in an arbitrary unit on the log2-scale (Normalized Protein eXpression, NPX). Linear mixed-effects models were applied to examine the temporal pattern of the proteins, and to illustrate differences between cases and controls. RESULTS: Mean age was 66 ± 12 years and 80% were men. Cases and controls had similar baseline clinical characteristics. During the first 30 days, and after multiple testing correction, cases had significantly higher serum levels of CXCL1 (difference of 1.00 NPX, p = 0.002), CD84 (difference of 0.64 NPX, p = 0.002) and TNFRSF10A (difference of 0.41 NPX, p < 0.001) than controls. After 30 days, serum levels of all 29 proteins were similar in cases and controls. In particular, no increase was observed prior to reACS. CONCLUSIONS: Among 29 immune and inflammatory proteins, CXCL1, CD84 and TNFRSF10A were associated with early reACS after initial ACS-admission.

Cardiometabolic Biomarkers and Their Temporal Patterns Predict Poor Outcome in Chronic Heart Failure (Bio-SHiFT Study).

Purpose: Multiple hormonal and metabolic alterations occur in chronic heart failure (CHF), but their proper monitoring during clinically silent progression of CHF remains challenging. Hence, our objective was to explore whether temporal patterns of six emerging cardiometabolic biomarkers predict future adverse clinical events in stable patients with CHF. Methods: In 263 patients with CHF, we determined the risk of a composite end point of heart failure hospitalization, cardiac death, left ventricular assist device implantation, and heart transplantation in relation to serially assessed blood biomarker levels and slopes (i.e., rate of biomarker change per year). During 2.2 years of follow-up, we repeatedly measured IGF binding proteins 1, 2, and 7 (IGFBP-1, IGFBP-2, IGFBP-7), adipose fatty acid binding protein 4 (FABP-4), resistin, and chemerin (567 samples in total). Results: Serially measured IGFBP-1, IGFBP-2, IGFBP-7, and FABP-4 levels predicted the end point [univariable hazard ratio (95% CI) per 1-SD increase: 3.34 (2.43 to 4.87), 2.86 (2.10 to 3.92), 2.45 (1.91 to 3.13), and 2.46 (1.88 to 3.24), respectively]. Independently of the biomarkers' levels, their slopes were also strong clinical predictors [per 0.1-SD increase: 1.20 (1.11 to 1.31), 1.27 (1.14 to 1.45), 1.23 (1.11 to 1.37), and 1.27 (1.12 to 1.48)]. All associations persisted after multivariable adjustment for patient baseline characteristics, baseline N-terminal pro-hormone brain natriuretic peptide and cardiac troponin T, and pharmacological treatment during follow-up. Main Conclusions: The temporal patterns of IGFBP-1, IGFBP-2, IGFBP-7, and adipose FABP-4 predict adverse clinical outcomes during outpatient follow-up of patients with CHF and may be clinically relevant as they could help detect more aggressive CHF forms and assess patient prognosis, as well as ultimately aid in designing more effective biomarker-guided therapy.

Cytokine signatures in chronic fatigue syndrome patients: a Case Control Study and the effect of anakinra treatment.

BACKGROUND: Cytokine disturbances have been suggested to be associated with the Chronic Fatigue Syndrome/Myalgic encephalomyelitis (CFS/ME) for decades. METHODS: Fifty female CFS patients were included in a study on the effect of the interleukin-1-receptor antagonist anakinra or placebo during 4 weeks. EDTA plasma was collected from patients before and directly after treatment. At baseline, plasma samples were collected at the same time from 48 healthy, age-matched female neighborhood controls. A panel of 92 inflammatory markers was determined in parallel in 1 µL samples using a 'proximity extension assay' (PEA) based immunoassay. Since Transforming growth factor beta (TGF-ß) and interleukin-1 receptor antagonist (IL-1Ra) were not included in this platform, these cytokines were measured with ELISA. RESULTS: In CFS/ME patients, the 'normalized protein expression' value of IL-12p40 and CSF-1 was significantly higher (p value 0.0042 and 0.049, respectively). Furthermore, using LASSO regression, a combination of 47 markers yielded a prediction model with a corrected AUC of 0.73. After correction for multiple testing, anakinra had no effect on circulating cytokines. TGF-ß did not differ between patients and controls. CONCLUSIONS: In conclusion, this study demonstrated increased IL-12p40 and CSF-1 concentrations in CFS/ME patients in addition to a set of predictive biomarkers. There was no effect of anakinra on circulating cytokines other than IL-1Ra. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02108210 , Registered April 2014.