Evaluation of ground water monitoring network by principal component analysis.

Principal component analysis is a data reduction technique used to identify the important components or factors that explain most of the variance of a system. This technique was extended to evaluating a ground water monitoring network where the variables are monitoring wells. The objective was to identify monitoring wells that are important in predicting the dynamic variation in potentiometric head at a location. The technique is demonstrated through an application to the monitoring network of the Bangkok area. Principal component analysis was carried out for all the monitoring wells of the aquifer, and a ranking scheme based on the frequency of occurrence of a particular well as principal well was developed. The decision maker with budget constraints can now opt to monitor principal wells which can adequately capture the potentiometric head variation in the aquifer. This was evaluated by comparing the observed potentiometric head distribution using data from all available wells and wells selected using the ranking scheme as a guideline.

Outcome of sextant biopsy according to gland volume.

OBJECTIVES: To reassess positive rate of sextant biopsy according to gland size. METHODS: We evaluated 1974 consecutive men with systematic sextant biopsy, among whom we examined biopsy yield according to gland-volume intervals of 10 cc. RESULTS: Decreasing yield of sextant biopsy is strongly associated with increasing gland volume (P < 0.001). Highest biopsy rate (39.6%) was recorded among men with prostates smaller than 20 cc. The lowest biopsy rate (10.1%) was recorded among men with prostates between 80 and 89.9 cc. Among men with biopsy-proven cancer, age, serum prostate-specific antigen, and Gleason grade were comparable (P > 0.05) throughout the range of gland-volume intervals. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that gland size represents an important determinant contributing to the yield of sextant biopsy in men at risk of harboring a nonpalpable, isoechoic cancer. Consequently, an individualized sector biopsy approach, based on prostate volume, may warrant consideration because it may ensure superior detection of clinically significant disease among all men at risk, regardless of prostate size.

Value of systematic transition zone biopsies in the early detection of prostate cancer.

PURPOSE: A prospective study was done to determine the value of performing 2 systematic transition zone biopsies in addition to systematic sextant peripheral zone biopsies for early detection of prostate cancer. MATERIALS AND METHODS: From January 1 to August 31, 1994 we evaluated 847 consecutive patients referred to us for a suspicious lesion on digital rectal examination or an elevated serum prostate specific antigen level. All patients underwent 2 systematic transition zone biopsies in addition to systematic sextant biopsies of the peripheral zone. RESULTS: Of the transition zone biopsies 68 (24.4%) contained malignancy, including only 8 (2.9%) with cancer found exclusively in the transition zone. The remaining 271 cases (97.1%) had 1 or more positive peripheral zone biopsies and would have been detected with or without additional systematic transition zone biopsies. The same analysis of 552 patients with a negative digital rectal examination yielded 6 (4.1%) exclusively transition zone tumors among 145 cancers detected in this group. CONCLUSIONS: The low additional yield of transition zone biopsies (2.9 to 4.1%) does not warrant their systematic use for the early detection of prostate cancer.

Family history and the risk of prostatic carcinoma in a high risk group of urological patients.

PURPOSE: We examine the association of family history and prostatic carcinoma. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 2,968 consecutive patients referred for prostate cancer detection responded to a questionnaire and underwent transrectal ultrasound examination with or without biopsy. RESULTS: Of the men 329 (11.1%) had a family history of prostate cancer. No differences were observed between groups with and without a family history with respect to mean patient age, serum prostate specific antigen level or biopsy rate. Prostate cancer was detected in 133 of 329 patients (40.4%) with a family history and 769 of 2,639 (29.1) with no family history (p < 0.001, odds ratio 1.7). No significant differences were observed between cancer patients with or without a family history with respect to mean Gleason score (6.0 versus 6.2), patient age at diagnosis (65.8 versus 66.7) and prostate specific antigen level (16.8 versus 17.1). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with a family history of prostate cancer have a greater risk of the disease. In this select group of patients a positive family history was not associated with an earlier age at cancer diagnosis or a different histological grade of tumor.

Role of prostate-specific antigen density after applying age-specific prostate-specific antigen reference ranges.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the potential role of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) density (PSAD) in the early detection of prostate carcinoma if we apply age-specific PSA reference ranges (2.5 ng/mL or less for ages 40 to 49 years, 3.5 or less for ages 50 to 59, 4.5 or less for ages 60 to 69, and 6.5 or less for ages 70 to 79. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed 3234 cases referred to us by urologists for transrectal ultrasound (TRUS) between January 1, 1991, and September 28, 1993. We included 2429 patients in the study, ages 40 to 79 years, with Hybritech or Abbott IMx serum PSA determinations and without previously diagnosed prostate cancer. We performed digital rectal examination (DRE) and TRUS in all cases, and TRUS-guided biopsies when indicated. We used stringent criteria to define 736 cases without clinical evidence of malignancy that were designated as a "benign group." RESULTS: In the benign group, we found serum PSA to increase with age in parallel with the increase in prostate volume with age (r = 0.25 and r = 0.26, respectively). The association between serum PSA and prostate volume was stronger (r = 0.46). Using multiple regression analysis, prostate volume accounted for 18% of the variation in serum PSA, whereas age accounted for only an additional 2%. PSAD, which directly relates serum PSA to prostate volume, showed a weak association with age (r = 0.1). In the entire study population of 2429 cases, 555 patients had negative DRE and TRUS results and a serum PSA level between the age-specific upper limit of normal and 10.0 ng/mL. According to the proposed age-specific algorithm, these patients would have required automatic biopsies. Of these, 315 cases (56.8%) still had a PSAD of less than 0.15. We performed biopsies in 108 of these 315 and detected only two cancers, for a positive biopsy rate (PBR) of 1.9%. The remaining 240 cases had a PSAD of 0.15 or higher, and we performed biopsies in 217 of these cases and detected 59 cancers, for a PBR of 27.2%. CONCLUSIONS: The use of age-specific PSA reference ranges does not totally account for the effect of prostate volume on serum PSA. Therefore PSAD can still be used to reduce safely the number of biopsies performed in patients with negative DRE and TRUS results and a serum PSA level 10.0 ng/mL or less and above the age-specific upper limit of normal.

Prospective evaluation of prostate-specific antigen density and systematic biopsies for early detection of prostatic carcinoma.

Significant controversies persist in regard to the need for systematic biopsies in patients with serum prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels above 4 ng/mL (Hybritech assay), especially if they show no signs of prostatic cancer on digital rectal examination (DRE) or transrectal ultrasonography (TRUS). We evaluated 565 consecutive patients referred to us for prostatism, suspicious lesions on DRE, or an elevated serum PSA level. These patients do not represent a purely screened population. A detection rate of 38.4 percent was achieved by performing directed biopsies of suspicious lesions on DRE and/or TRUS, and systematic biopsies of all patients with serum PSA levels above 4 ng/mL. Among 142 patients with serum PSA between 4.1 and 10 ng/mL, but without suspicion for cancer on DRE and TRUS (DRE- TRUS-), a large number of patients (6.2) were subjected to systematic biopsies to detect one cancer. A receiver-operating characteristics curve for PSA density (PSAD) applied to this population confirmed that the best cut-off point for biopsies was a PSAD of 0.15, below which only two of twenty-three cancers would have been missed, sparing biopsies in 77 of 142 patients. A similar approach was applied to DRE- TRUS- patients with serum PSA levels above 10 ng/mL. The number of cancers in those with serum PSA between 10.1 and 14 ng/mL was too low to establish a PSAD cut-off point. In patients with serum PSA above 14 ng/mL, the best PSAD cut-off point for biopsies was 0.3, below which two of thirteen cancers would have been missed, sparing biopsies in 19 of 39 patients. We conclude that PSAD can safely reduce the number of patients subjected to systematic biopsies without significantly compromising cancer detection.