Impact of fibrosis on liver-related event incidence in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease: A multicenter observational study.

AIM: There are few reports on the prognosis of liver-related events in Japanese patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). We undertook an observational study to compare the prognosis between fibrotic and nonfibrotic groups in Japanese NAFLD patients. METHODS: Prognosis in 393 NAFLD patients who underwent liver biopsy between April 2013 and April 2015 at multiple centers were investigated. The time to onset of liver-related events, cardiovascular events, development of extrahepatic cancers, and death were compared between the pathologically fibrotic nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) group and nonalcoholic fatty liver (NAFL) + nonfibrotic NASH group. A similar analysis was carried out based on the fibrotic classification diagnosed using four noninvasive fibrosis prediction models. RESULTS: The mean age and body mass index at the time of liver biopsy was 55.7 years old and 28.04 kg/m2 , respectively The cumulative incidence of liver-related events at 1080 days after liver biopsy was 5.79% in the pathologically fibrotic NASH group and 0% in the NAFL + nonfibrotic NASH group, with a significant difference (p = 0.0334). The cumulative incidence of liver-related events was significantly higher in the positive group for the prediction model than in the negative group in all four models (all p values were <0.0001). There was no significant difference between the pathologically fibrotic NASH group and NAFL + nonfibrotic NASH group in terms of cumulative incidence of cardiovascular events, development of extrahepatic cancers, and death. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of liver-related events was significantly higher in the fibrotic NASH group than that of the NAFL + nonfibrotic NASH group in Japanese NAFLD patients.

Hepatocellular carcinoma diagnosis using a novel electrochemiluminescence immunoassay targeting serum IgM-free AIM.

BACKGROUND: Recent increases in the number of patients with non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) warrant the identification of biomarkers for early detection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) associated with NASH (NASH-HCC). IgM-free apoptosis inhibitor of macrophage (AIM), which generally associates with IgM in blood and exerts its biological function by dissociation from IgM, may serve as an effective biomarker for NASH-HCC. Here, we established a fully automatic and high-throughput electrochemiluminescence immunoassay (ECLIA) to measure IgM-free AIM and investigated its efficacy in diagnosing NASH-HCC and viral HCC. METHODS: IgM-free AIM levels were measured in 212 serum samples from patients with, or without, HCC related to NASH, hepatitis B virus, and hepatitis C virus, using ECLIA. We also developed an ECLIA for measuring both IgM-free and IgM-bound AIM and investigated the existing form of AIM in blood by size-exclusion chromatography. RESULTS: IgM-free AIM levels were significantly higher in the HCC group than in the non-HCC group, regardless of the associated pathogenesis. Moreover, the area under the receiver operating curve for IgM-free AIM was greater than that for conventional HCC biomarkers, alpha-fetoprotein or des-γ-carboxy prothrombin, regardless of the cancer stage. ECLIA counts of IgM-free AIM derived from samples fractionated by size-exclusion chromatography were significantly higher in patients with NASH-HCC than in healthy volunteers and in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver and NASH. CONCLUSIONS: Serum IgM-free AIM may represent a universal HCC diagnostic marker superior to alpha-fetoprotein or des-γ-carboxy prothrombin. Our newly established ECLIA could contribute to further clinical studies on AIM and in vitro HCC diagnosis.

Aging impairs fibrosis-4 index after sustained virologic response by direct-acting antivirals in chronic hepatitis C infection.

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES: Sustained virologic response (SVR) is achieved in most cases of C-type liver disease after direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy. Although liver fibrosis improves, the degree of improvement is different. This study aimed to analyze the factors involved in improving liver fibrosis using the fibrosis 4 (FIB-4) index. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Patients were monitored for >3 years after SVR. At the start of therapy (SOT), liver fibrosis was categorized as either mild (<1.45 n = 28), moderate (1.45-3.25 n = 139), or advanced (>3.25 n = 236) based on the FIB-4 index. The FIB-4 index in the advanced group decreased significantly compared to that of the other two, so we selected the advanced group as the analysis target. SOT and end of therapy (EOT) factors that contributed to the FIB-4 index ≤3.25 at 3 years after therapy were examined using a multivariate analysis. RESULTS: Among the SOT factors, age (<72 years old), absence of liver cirrhosis (LC), alanine transferase (ALT) (≥50 U/L), platelet (PLT) (≥10.2 × 104/mm3), and total bilirubin (T.Bil) (<0.8 mg/dl) were the significant factors contributing to the improvement of the FIB-4 index. Among the EOT factors, age (<72 years), PLT (≥12.0 × 104/mm3), and hemoglobin (Hb) (≥12.1 g/dl) were the significant factors contributing to the improvement of FIB-4 index. CONCLUSIONS: Factors involved in the improvement of liver fibrosis after SVR were young age, absence of LC, low T.Bil., high ALT, high PLT, and high Hb levels. The levels of T.Bil, PLT, and Hb were considered to be related to portal hypertension. Aging strongly impaired the improvement in liver fibrosis.

Ipragliflozin Improves the Hepatic Outcomes of Patients With Diabetes with NAFLD.

Sodium glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2is) are now widely used to treat diabetes, but their effects on nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) remain to be determined. We aimed to evaluate the effects of SGLT2is on the pathogenesis of NAFLD. A multicenter, randomized, controlled trial was conducted in patients with type 2 diabetes with NAFLD. The changes in glycemic control, obesity, and liver pathology were compared between participants taking ipragliflozin (50 mg/day for 72 weeks; IPR group) and participants being managed without SGLT2is, pioglitazone, glucagon-like peptide-1 analogs, or insulin (CTR group). In the IPR group (n = 25), there were significant decreases in hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) and body mass index (BMI) during the study (HbA1c, -0.41%, P < 0.01; BMI, -1.06 kg/m2 , P < 0.01), whereas these did not change in the CTR group (n = 26). Liver pathology was evaluated in 21/25 participants in the IPR/CTR groups, and hepatic fibrosis was found in 17 (81%) and 18 (72%) participants in the IPR and CTR groups at baseline. This was ameliorated in 70.6% (12 of 17) of participants in the IPR group and 22.2 % (4 of 18) of those in the CTR group (P < 0.01). Nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) resolved in 66.7% of IPR-treated participants and 27.3% of CTR participants. None of the participants in the IPR group developed NASH, whereas 33.3% of the CTR group developed NASH. Conclusion: Long-term ipragliflozin treatment ameliorates hepatic fibrosis in patients with NAFLD. Thus, ipragliflozin might be effective for the treatment and prevention of NASH in patients with diabetes, as well as improving glycemic control and obesity. Therefore, SGLT2is may represent a therapeutic choice for patients with diabetes with NAFLD, but further larger studies are required to confirm these effects.

A genome-wide association study identifying SVEP1 variant as a predictor of response to tolvaptan for cirrhotic ascites.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Tolvaptan, vasopressin V2-receptor antagonist, has been used for patients with difficult-to-treat ascites in Japan. In this study, we conducted a genome-wide association study (GWAS) in the Japanese population to identify genetic variants associated with tolvaptan's efficacy for patients with hepatic ascites. METHODS: From 2014 through 2018, genomic DNA samples were obtained from 550 patients who were treated with tolvaptan. Of those, 80 cases (non-responder; increase of body weight [BW]) and 333 controls (responder; >1.5 kg decrease of BW) were included in the GWAS and replication study. RESULTS: Genome-wide association study showed 5 candidate SNPs around the miR818, KIAA1109, and SVEP1 genes. After validation and performing a replication study, an SNP (rs2991364) located in the SVEP1 gene was found to have a significant genome-wide association (OR = 3.55, P = 2.01 × 10-8 ). Multivariate analyses showed that serum sodium (Na), blood urea nitrogen (BUN) and SVEP1 SNP were significantly associated with the response (OR = 0.92, P = .003; OR = 1.02, P = .02 and OR = 3.98, P = .000008, respectively). Based on a prediction model of logistic regression analysis in a population with the rs2991364 risk allele, the failure probability (=exp (score: 22.234 + BUN*0.077 + Na*-0.179) (1 + exp (score)) was determined for the detection of non-responders. Assuming a cutoff of failure probability at 38.6%, sensitivity was 84.4%, specificity was 70% and AUC was 0.774. CONCLUSION: SVEP1 rs2991364 was identified as the specific SNP for the tolvaptan response. The prediction score (>38.6%) can identify tolvaptan non-responders and help to avoid a lengthy period of futile treatment.

Efficacy of Switching from Kanamycin Sulfate to Rifaximin in Patients with Hepatic Cirrhosis.

Objective This study evaluated the efficacy associated with switching to rifaximin in patients with hepatic cirrhosis receiving kanamycin sulfate for the treatment of hepatic encephalopathy and hyperammonemia. Methods We included 37 patients who switched from kanamycin sulfate to rifaximin at our institution from January 2017 to December 2018. The onset of hepatic encephalopathy and changes in blood ammonia values during a six-month period were retrospectively evaluated. Results There were 4 (11%) patients with hepatic encephalopathy at the time of switching from kanamycin sulfate to rifaximin. The cumulative incidence of hepatic encephalopathy was 3% and 16% at 3 and 6 months later, respectively. The blood ammonia levels at the time of switching to rifaximin and at 3 and 6 months later were 94 (range, 20-243) µg/dL, 95 (range, 33-176) µg/dL, and 81 (range, 32-209) µg/dL, respectively, and no significant changes were observed. However, in the 11 patients receiving an oral dose of <1,500 mg/day of kanamycin sulfate, the blood ammonia levels at the time of switching and at 3 and 6 months later were 136 (range, 35-243) µg/dL, 95 (range, 33-150) µg/dL, and 63 (range, 43-124) µg/dL, respectively. Furthermore, the blood ammonia levels significantly decreased at the time of the switching to rifaximin and at three and six months later (p=0.043 and p=0.011, respectively). Conclusion Switching to rifaximin in hepatic cirrhosis patients receiving kanamycin sulfate to treat hepatic encephalopathy and hyperammonemia showed effects that were equivalent to or greater than the original therapy, thereby demonstrating the clinical efficacy.

Factors affecting the recovery of hepatic reserve after sustained virologic response by direct-acting antiviral agents in chronic hepatitis C virus-infected patients.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Since the advent of direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy, the total eradication of hepatitis C virus has been achievable with the recovery of hepatic reserve after achievement of sustained virologic response (SVR). Hence, here, we examined the factors affecting the recovery of hepatic reserve. METHODS: We followed up 403 patients (male: 164, female: 239; genotype 1: 299, genotype 2: 104; median age: 69 years) for at least 3 years after they achieved SVR to DAA therapy. Of these patients, 75 (18.6%) had a history of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Biochemical tests were periodically performed, and the hepatic reserve was evaluated based on the albumin-bilirubin grade. We examined background factors such as age, biochemical test results, HCC occurrence and portosystemic shunt by computed tomography. RESULTS: At the start of treatment, the albumin-bilirubin grades were grades 1, 2, and 3 in 241, 157, and 5 patients, respectively, and 3 years later, 117 of 162 (72%) patients with grade 2 or 3 improved to grade 1. Multivariate analysis identified the HCC occurrence after achievement of SVR (hazard ratio [HR]: 3.08, P < 0.0138), male sex (HR: 3.45, P = 0.0143), hemoglobin level of <11.5 g/dL (HR: 4.19, P = 0.0157), the presence of a portosystemic shunt (HR: 3.07, P = 0.0349), and alanine aminotransferase levels <45 U/L (HR: 2.67, P = 0.0425) as factors inhibiting improvement to grade 1. However, old age was not an inhibitory factor. CONCLUSION: Our results demonstrate that hepatic reserve could be improved even in elderly patients over a long course of time.

PNPLA3 and HLA-DQB1 polymorphisms are associated with hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatitis C virus eradication.

BACKGROUND: Even though both interferon (IFN)-based and direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapies against hepatitis C virus (HCV) reduce the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), post-sustained virological response (SVR) patients remain at elevated risk of HCC. METHODS: A total of 4620 patients who achieved SVR were enrolled in this retrospective cohort study. After excluding patients who had a history of HCC or developed HCC within 1 year and whose follow-up period was less than 1 year and who were positive for HBsAg, we investigated the association between clinical characteristics and HCC development after SVR in the remaining 3771 patients. RESULTS: Median observation period was 41 months. We confirmed known risk factors. In addition, we found that PNPLA3 and HLA-DQB1 polymorphisms were associated with HCC after SVR. Finally, we propose an estimation model for the incidence of HCC after SVR. Based on gender, FIB-4 index, AFP, and PNPLA3 polymorphism, about 18% of all patients were classified as having high risk, with a cumulative incidence rate (CIR) at 5 years of 16.5%. Another 17% were classified as having moderate risk with a CIR of 7.6%. The remaining 65% showed a CIR of 0.5%. The effect of PNPLA3 polymorphism might be more pronounced in patients with lower body mass index (BMI) and without diabetes mellitus compared to those with higher BMI and diabetes mellitus. CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrated that PNPLA3 and HLA-DQB1 polymorphisms were associated with HCC after SVR. These findings might be useful to inform risk stratification for HCC surveillance after SVR.

The association between serum zinc levels and subjective symptoms in zinc deficiency patients with chronic liver disease.

This study aimed to analyze the association between serum zinc levels and major subjective symptoms in zinc deficiency patients with chronic liver disease. 578 patients with chronic liver disease were enrolled. The patients, whose serum zinc level of <80 µg/dl, completed a questionnaire to determine whether they had subjective symptoms of the five conditions (taste disorder, aphthous stomatitis, dermatitis, alopecia, and anorexia). Then, the association between these subjective symptoms and serum zinc levels was analyzed. In total, 193 patients (33.4%) experienced any subjective symptoms. The prevalence of each symptom was as follows: 36 patients with taste disorder (6.2%), 46 with aphthous stomatitis (8.0%), 77 with dermatitis (13.3%), 46 with alopecia (8.0%), and 53 with anorexia (9.2%). In total, 70.8%, 34.1%, and 26.1% patients with serum zinc levels of <40, ≥40 to <60, and ≥60 to <80 µg/dl, respectively, had these symptoms. When zinc deficiency was defined as a serum zinc level of <80 µg/dl, approximately one-third of patients displayed symptoms presumably originating from zinc deficiency. As serum zinc levels decreased, the prevalence of these symptoms increased. Dermatitis, especially, was relevant to zinc.

Predictors of hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatitis C virus eradication following direct-acting antiviral treatment: relationship with serum zinc.

The recently approved direct-acting antivirals (DAA) agents are effective in terms of sustained virologic response (SVR) rates and are well tolerated in most hepatitis C virus (HCV) patients. This study aimed to analyze the association between serum zinc levels in patients who developed hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) following HCV eradication after DAA treatment. The retrospective study included 769 HCV-infected patients who achieved SVR after DAA treatment. We calculated the annual incidence rate of HCC and identified risk factors associated with HCC development. We also assessed serum zinc and clinical factors at both baseline and end of treatment (EOT). During follow-up (median duration 35 months), HCC occurred in 18/769 (2.3%) patients. From the multivariate analysis, serum zinc <60 µg/dl [hazard ratio (HR) 5.936] and AFP ≥6.0 ng/dl (HR 5.862) at baseline, baseline-zinc <60 µg/dl (HR 6.283), EOT-serum zinc <63 µg/dl (HR 6.011), baseline-AFP ≥6.0 ng/dl (HR 8.163), and EOT-M2BPGi ≥2.5 (HR 12.194) at baseline and EOT were independently associated with increased HCC risk. In patients who achieved HCV eradication following DAA treatment, serum zinc levels before and at EOT could be a risk factor for developing HCC.

The effects of diuretic use and the presence of ascites on muscle cramps in patients with cirrhosis: a nationwide study.

BACKGROUND: Administration of diuretics and the presence of ascites in patients with cirrhosis were reported to be associated with muscle cramps; however, the clinical evidence is limited. This study aimed to determine whether muscle cramps are a diuretic-induced complication and whether ascites was a factor related to muscle cramp. METHODS: A total of 1064 adult patients with cirrhosis were enrolled from 10 hospitals in Japan between June 2017 and December 2018. A questionnaire regarding cramps was completed by all patients. The ratio of extracellular water (ECW) was analyzed using the bioelectrical impedance analysis. Logistic regression analysis was performed to analyze the effects of diuretic administration and the ECW ratio on cramps. RESULTS: Patients using diuretics had a higher incidence rate, higher frequency, stronger pain, and longer duration of cramps than those who did not. In the multivariate analysis, diuretic administration and the ECW ratio values ≥ 0.4 were not significantly associated with the presence, frequency, intensity, or duration of cramps. However, in the case of patients limited to Child-Pugh B or C, diuretic use was significantly correlated with the cramp frequency. CONCLUSIONS: These results demonstrated that muscle cramps were not a complication of diuretic use in patients with cirrhosis; however, in those limited to Child-Pugh B or C, diuretic use was a factor that affected the frequency of cramps. Moreover, no association was found between the presence of ascites and cramps.

Bile duct adenoma: imaging features and radiologic-pathologic correlation.

PURPOSE: This study aimed to reveal characteristic imaging features of bile duct adenoma (BDA) by radiologic-pathologic correlation. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed pathological and imaging findings of seven patients with BDA. RESULTS: The median maximum diameter of BDA was 5.5 mm. Six lesions had hemispheric morphology. Seven lesions were located in the liver subcapsular region, and proliferation of bile ductules without atypia and fibrous stroma was observed. Two lesions had different microscopic findings. In both lesions, proliferation of bile ductules without atypia was observed in the margin. In one lesion, the percentage of fibrosis and hyalinization was higher at the center than at the margin. In the other lesion, inflammatory cell infiltration was observed in the center. On contrast-enhanced imaging, BDAs showed hypervascularity in the early phase and prolonged enhancement in the delayed phase. On contrast-enhanced multidetector computed tomography during hepatic arteriography, two lesions showed ring-like enhancement in the first phase and prolonged enhancement in the second phase. These were the different histopathologic features of BDAs between the margin and center. CONCLUSION: Bile duct adenoma can be characterized as a small semicircular lesion located in the liver subcapsular region, which show hypervascularity in the early phase with prolonged enhancement.

Zinc deficiency in patients with chronic liver disease in Japan.

AIM: This study aimed to determine the distributions of serum zinc levels and the prevalence of zinc deficiency in patients with chronic liver disease (CLD) in actual clinical practice, and to analyze the association between serum zinc levels and clinical characteristics. METHODS: This study analyzed 1973 patients with CLD, including 749 with liver cirrhosis, who were admitted to Sapporo Kosei General Hospital in 2017. RESULTS: Zinc deficiency, defined as a serum zinc level of <60 µg/dL, was observed in 555 patients overall (28.1%), including 182 (14.9%) patients without liver cirrhosis and 373 (49.8%) with liver cirrhosis. When marginal zinc deficiency was included, zinc deficiency (serum zinc level <80 µg/dL) was observed in 1594 (80.8%) patients overall, including 924 (75.5%) patients without liver cirrhosis and 670 (89.5%) with liver cirrhosis. Serum zinc levels were most strongly correlated with serum albumin levels. Of the 257 CLD patients with an albumin level of <3.5 g/dL, 234 (91.1%) had a serum zinc level of <60 µg/dL. CONCLUSIONS: Zinc deficiency is common in patients with CLD. Serum zinc levels should be regularly measured, particularly in patients with liver cirrhosis.

Evaluation of treatment with zinc acetate hydrate in patients with liver cirrhosis complicated by zinc deficiency.

AIM: In Japan, no zinc preparation had been approved for therapeutic purposes before March 2017. Zinc acetate hydrate was recently approved for the treatment of hypozincemia. We evaluated the efficacy and safety of treatment with zinc acetate hydrate. METHODS: A total of 97 patients with cirrhosis complicated by hypozincemia were treated with zinc acetate hydrate, and their serum zinc normalization rates; factors contributing to normalization; changes in blood ammonia levels; branched-chain amino acids-to-tyrosine ratios; levels of albumin, hemoglobin, alkaline phosphatase, serum copper, and iron; incidence of adverse events; improvement in subjective symptoms; and serum zinc levels taken at 3 months post-treatment were determined. RESULTS: The cumulative serum zinc normalization rates, when normalization was defined as achievement of a serum zinc level ≥80 µg/dL, after 2, 4, and 6 months of treatment were 64.9%, 80.3%, and 82.5%, respectively. Multivariate analysis identified an albumin level of ≥3.3 g/dL and branched-chain amino acids to tyrosine ratio of ≥3.46 as factors contributing to zinc normalization within 3 months of treatment. Treatment resulted in a significant decrease in blood ammonia and serum copper levels, and significant increases in branched-chain amino acids-to-tyrosine ratios and alkaline phosphatase levels. Seven (7.2%) patients prematurely discontinued treatment due to hypocupremia. By the end of treatment, subjective symptoms had resolved in 46.2% of patients. By 3 months post-treatment, serum zinc levels had reverted to levels close to those at baseline. CONCLUSIONS: Treatment with zinc acetate hydrate resulted in normalization of serum zinc levels at a high rate. The main reasons for discontinuation of treatment included hypocupremia.

Clinical features of liver cirrhosis patients with muscle cramping: a multicenter study.

BACKGROUND: There has been a small number of reports mention the clinical features including quality of life (QOL) in liver cirrhosis (LC) patients with muscle cramping and therapeutic efficacy for muscle cramping. We evaluated clinical features of muscle cramping and treatments in such patients. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Two-hundred and eighty-nine LC outpatients (70.6 ± 10.5 years old; male: female = 149: 140) were questioned regarding the presence or absence of muscle cramps within the last 3 months, including frequency, severity of related pain using a visual analogue scale, cramp locations, time of day, duration, sleep disturbance, daily activity decline, and being conscious of QOL decline. At the next hospital-visit, 3 or 4 months later, the subjects, who treated with medical intervention, received the same questionnaire. RESULTS: Patients with muscle cramps (n = 160) included a higher percentage of females (53.8 vs. 41.9%, P = 0.045), worse Child-Pugh score (5: 6: 7: 8: 9: 10 = 91: 36: 15: 10: 4: 4 vs. 85: 25: 12: 5: 0: 2, P = 0.043) and lower platelet count (10.2 ± 4.7 vs. 11.8 ± 5.0 × 104/µl, P = 0.006) as compared to those without cramps (n = 129). Of the 160 with cramping, 82 (51.3%), received treatment with several types of medication, with l-carnitine the most administered drug (n = 66: 80.5%), and those also showed a tendency to complain about muscle cramps at night, sleep disturbance, reduced daily activity, and being conscious of QOL decline (each P < 0.01). We observed that frequency, visual analogue scale, sleep disturbance, daily activity, duration of muscle cramping, and being conscious of QOL decline were improved after the intervention (each P < 0.001, respectively). CONCLUSION: Intervention for muscle cramping improves total QOL in LC patients with such symptom.

Clinical features of hepatocellular carcinoma in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease patients without advanced fibrosis.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: The prevalence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) associated with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD-HCC) is increasing. Unfortunately, NAFLD frequently develops into HCC without liver cirrhosis. Therefore, we investigated the clinical features of HCC in NAFLD patients without advanced fibrosis. METHODS: We compared clinical characteristics, survival rates, and recurrence rates between 104 NAFLD-HCC patients diagnosed between January 2000 and December 2016, including 35 without (F0-2) and 69 with advanced fibrosis (F3-F4). Risk factors associated with survival and recurrence were evaluated. RESULTS: In total, 66.3% of those diagnosed had advanced fibrosis, 58.8% in men and 80.5% in women (men vs women, P = 0.03). In NAFLD-HCC without advanced fibrosis, tumor size was significantly larger and liver histological activity was lower than those in patients with advanced fibrosis. Survival rates between the two groups did not differ. Among those achieving curative treatment, the recurrence rate was significantly lower in NAFLD-HCC without advanced fibrosis (P < 0.01). Risk factors of recurrence were male gender, lower serum albumin, and advanced fibrosis. CONCLUSIONS: In men, HCC tended to develop from NAFLD without advanced fibrosis. Although tumor size in NAFLD-HCC without advanced fibrosis is significantly larger, the recurrence rate is significantly lower. Surgical therapy should be strongly considered in these cases.

A Data Mining-based Prognostic Algorithm for NAFLD-related Hepatoma Patients: A Nationwide Study by the Japan Study Group of NAFLD.

The prognosis of patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease-related hepatocellular carcinoma (NAFLD-HCC) is intricately associated with various factors. We aimed to investigate the prognostic algorithm of NAFLD-HCC patients using a data-mining analysis. A total of 247 NAFLD-HCC patients diagnosed from 2000 to 2014 were registered from 17 medical institutions in Japan. Of these, 136 patients remained alive (Alive group) and 111 patients had died at the censor time point (Deceased group). The random forest analysis demonstrated that treatment for HCC and the serum albumin level were the first and second distinguishing factors between the Alive and Deceased groups. A decision-tree algorithm revealed that the best profile comprised treatment with hepatectomy or radiofrequency ablation and a serum albumin level ≥3.7 g/dL (Group 1). The second-best profile comprised treatment with hepatectomy or radiofrequency ablation and serum albumin levels <3.7 g/dL (Group 2). The 5-year overall survival rate was significantly higher in the Group 1 than in the Group 2. Thus, we demonstrated that curative treatment for HCC and serum albumin level >3.7 g/dL was the best prognostic profile for NAFLD-HCC patients. This novel prognostic algorithm for patients with NAFLD-HCC could be used for clinical management.

Accuracy of non-invasive scoring systems for diagnosing non-alcoholic steatohepatitis-related fibrosis: Multicenter validation study.

AIM: Hepatic fibrosis is the most important factor for estimating the prognosis of patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). A novel non-invasive scoring system, the FM-fibro index, showed high accuracy in a pilot study. The purpose of this study was to validate the efficacy of the FM-fibro index in a multicenter cohort. METHODS: Among 18 institutions, we analyzed 400 Japanese patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD. We evaluated the accuracies of the FM-fibro index, CA-fibro index, and European Liver Fibrosis (ELF) panel by area under the receiver operator characteristics curves (AUROC). The FM-fibro index includes three formulas for type IV collagen 7S, hyaluronic acid, and vascular cell adhesion molecule-1. RESULTS: Among 400 patients, 205 were women, and the median age was 56 years. The histological distribution of Matteoni types 1, 2, 3, and 4 was 11, 40, 15, and 334, and the distribution of hepatic fibrosis stages 0 to 4 was 67, 183, 55, 63, and 32, respectively. The AUROCs of the FM-fibro index, CA-fibro index, and ELF panel for non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH)-related fibrosis were 0.7178/0.7095/0.7065, 0.7093, and 0.7245, respectively. The sensitivity and specificity of the FM-fibro index for predicting NASH-related fibrosis was 0.5359/0.5210/0.4641 and 0.8333/0.8182/0.8788, respectively. The accuracy of the FM-fibro index was not significantly different from that of the CA-fibro index or the ELF panel. CONCLUSIONS: The FM-fibro index can predict NASH-related fibrosis with sufficient accuracy compared with previous scoring systems. Further analyses that verify the accuracy of the FM-fibro index to distinguish significant or advanced fibrosis in patients with NAFLD are awaited. (UMIN-CTR: UMIN000018158).