Adaptation of the Risk Analysis Index for Frailty Assessment Using Diagnostic Codes.

Importance: Frailty is associated with adverse outcomes after even minor physiologic stressors. The validated Risk Analysis Index (RAI) quantifies frailty; however, existing methods limit application to in-person interview (clinical RAI) and quality improvement datasets (administrative RAI). Objective: To expand the utility of the RAI utility to available International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-10-CM) administrative data, using the National Inpatient Sample (NIS). Design, Setting, and Participants: RAI parameters were systematically adapted to ICD-10-CM codes (RAI-ICD) and were derived (NIS 2019) and validated (NIS 2020). The primary analysis included survey-weighed discharge data among adults undergoing major surgical procedures. Additional external validation occurred by including all operative and nonoperative hospitalizations in the NIS (2020) and in a multihospital health care system (UPMC, 2021-2022). Data analysis was conducted from January to May 2023. Exposures: RAI parameters and in-hospital mortality. Main Outcomes and Measures: The association of RAI parameters with in-hospital mortality was calculated and weighted using logistic regression, generating an integerized RAI-ICD score. After initial validation, thresholds defining categories of frailty were selected by a full complement of test statistics. Rates of elective admission, length of stay, hospital charges, and in-hospital mortality were compared across frailty categories. C statistics estimated model discrimination. Results: RAI-ICD parameters were weighted in the 9 548 206 patients who were hospitalized (mean [SE] age, 55.4 (0.1) years; 3 742 330 male [weighted percentage, 39.2%] and 5 804 431 female [weighted percentage, 60.8%]), modeling in-hospital mortality (2.1%; 95% CI, 2.1%-2.2%) with excellent derivation discrimination (C statistic, 0.810; 95% CI, 0.808-0.813). The 11 RAI-ICD parameters were adapted to 323 ICD-10-CM codes. The operative validation population of 8 113 950 patients (mean [SE] age, 54.4 (0.1) years; 3 148 273 male [weighted percentage, 38.8%] and 4 965 737 female [weighted percentage, 61.2%]; in-hospital mortality, 2.5% [95% CI, 2.4%-2.5%]) mirrored the derivation population. In validation, the weighted and integerized RAI-ICD yielded good to excellent discrimination in the NIS operative sample (C statistic, 0.784; 95% CI, 0.782-0.786), NIS operative and nonoperative sample (C statistic, 0.778; 95% CI, 0.777-0.779), and the UPMC operative and nonoperative sample (C statistic, 0.860; 95% CI, 0.857-0.862). Thresholds defining robust (RAI-ICD <27), normal (RAI-ICD, 27-35), frail (RAI-ICD, 36-45), and very frail (RAI-ICD >45) strata of frailty maximized precision (F1 = 0.33) and sensitivity and specificity (Matthews correlation coefficient = 0.26). Adverse outcomes increased with increasing frailty. Conclusion and Relevance: In this cohort study of hospitalized adults, the RAI-ICD was rigorously adapted, derived, and validated. These findings suggest that the RAI-ICD can extend the quantification of frailty to inpatient adult ICD-10-CM-coded patient care datasets.

Assessing COVID-19 pandemic policies and behaviours and their economic and educational trade-offs across US states from Jan 1, 2020, to July 31, 2022: an observational analysis.

BACKGROUND: The USA struggled in responding to the COVID-19 pandemic, but not all states struggled equally. Identifying the factors associated with cross-state variation in infection and mortality rates could help to improve responses to this and future pandemics. We sought to answer five key policy-relevant questions regarding the following: 1) what roles social, economic, and racial inequities had in interstate variation in COVID-19 outcomes; 2) whether states with greater health-care and public health capacity had better outcomes; 3) how politics influenced the results; 4) whether states that imposed more policy mandates and sustained them longer had better outcomes; and 5) whether there were trade-offs between a state having fewer cumulative SARS-CoV-2 infections and total COVID-19 deaths and its economic and educational outcomes. METHODS: Data disaggregated by US state were extracted from public databases, including COVID-19 infection and mortality estimates from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation's (IHME) COVID-19 database; Bureau of Economic Analysis data on state gross domestic product (GDP); Federal Reserve economic data on employment rates; National Center for Education Statistics data on student standardised test scores; and US Census Bureau data on race and ethnicity by state. We standardised infection rates for population density and death rates for age and the prevalence of major comorbidities to facilitate comparison of states' successes in mitigating the effects of COVID-19. We regressed these health outcomes on prepandemic state characteristics (such as educational attainment and health spending per capita), policies adopted by states during the pandemic (such as mask mandates and business closures), and population-level behavioural responses (such as vaccine coverage and mobility). We explored potential mechanisms connecting state-level factors to individual-level behaviours using linear regression. We quantified reductions in state GDP, employment, and student test scores during the pandemic to identify policy and behavioural responses associated with these outcomes and to assess trade-offs between these outcomes and COVID-19 outcomes. Significance was defined as p<0·05. FINDINGS: Standardised cumulative COVID-19 death rates for the period from Jan 1, 2020, to July 31, 2022 varied across the USA (national rate 372 deaths per 100 000 population [95% uncertainty interval [UI] 364-379]), with the lowest standardised rates in Hawaii (147 deaths per 100 000 [127-196]) and New Hampshire (215 per 100 000 [183-271]) and the highest in Arizona (581 per 100 000 [509-672]) and Washington, DC (526 per 100 000 [425-631]). A lower poverty rate, higher mean number of years of education, and a greater proportion of people expressing interpersonal trust were statistically associated with lower infection and death rates, and states where larger percentages of the population identify as Black (non-Hispanic) or Hispanic were associated with higher cumulative death rates. Access to quality health care (measured by the IHME's Healthcare Access and Quality Index) was associated with fewer total COVID-19 deaths and SARS-CoV-2 infections, but higher public health spending and more public health personnel per capita were not, at the state level. The political affiliation of the state governor was not associated with lower SARS-CoV-2 infection or COVID-19 death rates, but worse COVID-19 outcomes were associated with the proportion of a state's voters who voted for the 2020 Republican presidential candidate. State governments' uses of protective mandates were associated with lower infection rates, as were mask use, lower mobility, and higher vaccination rate, while vaccination rates were associated with lower death rates. State GDP and student reading test scores were not associated with state COVD-19 policy responses, infection rates, or death rates. Employment, however, had a statistically significant relationship with restaurant closures and greater infections and deaths: on average, 1574 (95% UI 884-7107) additional infections per 10 000 population were associated in states with a one percentage point increase in employment rate. Several policy mandates and protective behaviours were associated with lower fourth-grade mathematics test scores, but our study results did not find a link to state-level estimates of school closures. INTERPRETATION: COVID-19 magnified the polarisation and persistent social, economic, and racial inequities that already existed across US society, but the next pandemic threat need not do the same. US states that mitigated those structural inequalities, deployed science-based interventions such as vaccination and targeted vaccine mandates, and promoted their adoption across society were able to match the best-performing nations in minimising COVID-19 death rates. These findings could contribute to the design and targeting of clinical and policy interventions to facilitate better health outcomes in future crises. FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, J Stanton, T Gillespie, J and E Nordstrom, and Bloomberg Philanthropies.

The status of bladder cancer research worldwide, a bibliometric review and recommendations.

Background: Healthcare system costs associated with bladder cancer treatment are among the highest of curable malignancies, and prognosis in advanced disease remains poor. This scoping review examines the worldwide status of bladder cancer research by systematically mapping publications, exploring research topics, support, gaps and limitations that need to be addressed. Methods: We searched the Web of Science database for publications using controlled vocabulary. Results were limited between 2000-2020, and were included in our study based on pre-specified eligibility criteria. Data used for analysis included author's names, country of affiliation, language, journal, citations, and funding. Analysis was conducted using Biblioshiny R and SPSS. Research topics were identified according to sub-filters of title words and strings pre-determined by authors. Results: 40,657 results were retrieved, of which 19,976 original articles and reviews met the pre-specified criteria. 92% of the publications originated from 20 countries and were included in the analysis. Trends show an increase across the world, most of which is due to increasing contributions from USA and China. An increase by 1000% in funded publications has been achieved. Studies focused on Surgery, Pathology, and Diagnosis, while Radiotherapy, Palliative care, quality of life and Epidemiology were the least described. Genetics had the most increase while being the most funded. GDP, incidence, prevalence and mortality were each significantly positively correlated with overall bladder cancer research output. Conclusion: This review described the evolution of bladder cancer research. It also identified significant gaps and limitations that need to be highlighted as priority areas for research investment.

Pancreatic cancer in the MENA region, a bibliometric review.

Background: Most Middle East and North Africa (MENA) countries record pancreatic cancer incidence rates that are above the world's average. Reducing this burden requires evidence-based policies. This bibliometric review aims to examine the status of pancreatic cancer research in the MENA world, while systematically categorising publications across cancer care pathways. Methods: We searched Scopus, Medline and PubMed for peer-reviewed publications related to both pancreatic cancer and MENA countries by using controlled vocabulary and keywords. The results were screened for duplicates and later included in the analysis based on preset eligibility criteria. A structured data extraction form was used to collect data related to each article, its methodology, its cancer care pathway, funding status and authorship. Results: A total of 5,848 publications resulted from our search, from which 1,098 articles remained after applying the eligibility criteria. Trends show a steady increase in pancreatic cancer research by MENA. Case reports are the most common, whereas a lack in high-evidence clinical studies as well as public health and epidemiological research was evident. Most studies were not funded and had no female contributions. Funding, if present, came mostly from foreign states. There exists a much greater focus in research on diagnosis and treatment among other cancer care pathways. Most MENA-based studies did not involve collaborations with other countries. Country gross domestic product and population are both correlated to the research output. Conclusion: This bibliometric analysis identified significant gaps and limitations in pancreatic cancer research in MENA countries. Vital domains requiring research investment have also been highlighted as a first step towards evidence-based health policies.

Paradoxical Association of Hyperglycemia and Surgical Complications Among Patients With and Without Diabetes.

Importance: Surgical complications associated with perioperative hyperglycemia are conventionally associated with diabetes, but, paradoxically, prior cohort studies have found that patients without diabetes have greater risk of complications at similar levels of hyperglycemia compared with patients with diabetes. Objective: To describe the association between perioperative hyperglycemia and surgical complications in a population of surgical patients without diabetes receiving routine blood glucose testing and insulin administration and to evaluate the potential correlation of perioperative hyperglycemia. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective cohort study of National Surgical Quality Improvement Program-defined complications after operation took place at a single academic medical center hospital from January 2013 to October 2016. Consecutive patients undergoing general, vascular, and gynecologic operations who were expected to have at least a 48-hour admission were included. Hyperglycemia was defined as blood glucose level of 140 mg/dL or higher within 24 hours after surgery. Multivariate regression was used to assess the association of hyperglycemia and complications, stratified by hyperglycemia severity and adjusted for diabetes status. Analysis began in February 2022. Exposures: Routine blood glucose testing and insulin administration. Main Outcomes and Measures: The main outcomes are odds of experiencing perioperative hyperglycemia and postoperative complication, comparing patients with and without diabetes. Results: A total of 7634 patients (mean [SD] age, 53.5 [15.1] years; 6664 patients without diabetes [83.3%] and 970 patients with diabetes [17.7%]) underwent general (6204 [81.3%]), vascular (208 [2.7%]), and gynecologic (1222 [16%]) operations. Of these, 5868 (77%) had blood glucose testing (4899 individuals without diabetes [73.5%] and 969 [99.9%] with diabetes). Hyperglycemia occurred in 882 patients with diabetes (91%) and 2484 patients without diabetes (50.7%). Of those with blood glucose level more than 180 mg/dL, 1388 (72.7%) received insulin (658 patients with diabetes who had hyperglycemia [91%] and 680 patients without diabetes who had hyperglycemia [61%]). Adjusted odds of experiencing a complication were 83% greater for patients without vs with diabetes at blood glucose level of 140 to 179 mg/dL (odds ratio, 1.83 [95% CI, 0.93-3.6]), 49% greater for blood glucose level of 180 to 249 mg/dL (odds ratio, 1.49 [95% CI, 1.06-2.11]), and 88% greater for blood glucose level more than 250 mg/dL (odds ratio, 1.88 [95% CI, 1.11-3.17]). A similar trend was observed for serious complications. Insulin may mitigate the association of hyperglycemia and complications in patients without diabetes. Conclusions and Relevance: In this study, with near universal blood glucose testing and frequent insulin use, patients without diabetes paradoxically had worse outcomes than patients with diabetes at similar levels of hyperglycemia. Insulin may mitigate this effect and broader use may improve outcomes.

Mantle cell lymphoma negative for t(11,14) involving the kidneys: a case report.

BACKGROUND: Mantle cell lymphoma is the rarest subtype of non-Hodgkin's lymphoma. It can exhibit diverse extranodal manifestations. However, renal involvement is uncommon, and if it occurs, it usually only gets detected postmortem. There are several mechanisms by which mantle cell lymphoma can damage the kidneys. Renal failure is a potential complication, and prompt evaluation and diagnosis are critical steps to prevent long-term complications. CASE PRESENTATION: We present the case of a 75-year-old non-Hispanic White male with past medical history significant for hypertension and dyslipidemia, presenting with fever, weight loss, and night sweats. Work-up showed markedly elevated white blood cells, multiple enlarged lymph nodes, and a kidney mass. The patient was diagnosed with mantle cell lymphoma with kidney involvement confirmed with a kidney biopsy. His disease was positive for cyclin D1 overexpression despite t(11; 14) absence. The patient received six cycles of alternating vincristine, rituximab, cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, and prednisone then dexamethasone, high-dose cytarabine, and oxaliplatin, after which he was maintained on ibrutinib and rituximab, with resolution of symptoms and disease regression. CONCLUSION: We present a case of a rare presentation of Mantle cell lymphoma while describing the clinical presentation and diagnostic and treatment approaches. This case report can assist physicians in the clinical work-up and treatment of patients with similar diagnosis or presentation.

Prostate cancer in the Arab world: Bibliometric review and research priority recommendations.

Objective: To conduct a scoping review examining the status of prostate cancer research in Arab countries and systematically map publications across the cancer care pathway. Prostate cancer incidence has been rising in the Arab world and tackling its increasing burden will require evidence-based policies. Methods: We searched Medline, PubMed and Scopus for peer-reviewed publications related to both our research topic and countries of interest by using controlled vocabulary and keywords. Search results were limited for the period between 2000 and 2020, screened for duplicates, and then included in our study based on pre-specified eligibility criteria. We used a structured data extraction form to extract information related to the article, its methodology, its cancer care pathway, funding status, and authorship. Results: A total of 4142 publications were retrieved from our search, of which 874 articles remained after applying eligibility criteria. Trends show a steady increase in prostate cancer research in the Arab world. Most studies were focussed on diagnosis and treatment, whereas a lack in studies concerning screening and prevention, as well as epidemiological data, was evident. Most studies were not funded and had no female author. Country gross domestic product and population were positively correlated with its research output. The USA had the highest number of corresponding authors. The majority of Arab-based studies did not involve collaborations with other countries. Most research conducted was basic or clinical studies with a low level of evidence. Conclusion: Our present review identified significant gaps and limitations in prostate cancer research in Arab countries. Priority areas for research investment have also been highlighted as a first step towards context-specific health policies. Abbreviations: ASR: age-standardised rate; COVID-19: coronavirus disease 2019; GDP: gross domestic product; HDI: Human Development Index; KSA: Kingdom of Saudi Arabia; UAE: United Arab Emirates.

Preoperative MELD score predicts adverse outcomes following gastrectomy: An ACS NSQIP analysis.

BACKGROUND: The Model End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) has been widely used to predict the mortality and morbidity of various surgical procedures. We aimed to assess the impact of preoperative MELD score on adverse 30-day postoperative outcomes following gastrectomy. METHODS: Patients who underwent elective, non-emergent gastrectomy were identified from the ACS NSQIP 2014-2019 database. Patients were categorized according to a calculated MELD score. The primary outcomes of this study were the 30-day overall complications and major complication rates following gastrectomy. RESULTS: Compared to MELD <11, patients with MELD ≥11 had significantly higher rates of mortality, any complication, and major complication. MELD score ≥11 was significantly associated with any complication (OR 1.73, p = 0.011) and major complications (1.85, p = 0.014) on multivariate analysis. CONCLUSIONS: MELD score ≥11 was associated with poorer outcomes in patients undergoing gastrectomy compared to lower MELD scores.

Road traffic injury in Lebanon: A prospective study to assess injury characteristics and risk factors.

BACKGROUND: Road traffic injury (RTI) is a significant yet poorly characterized cause of morbidity and mortality in the Middle East. This hospital-based-study examined RTI in Lebanon and provided an understanding of their characteristics. METHODS: We collected prospective RTI data from three participating hospitals over 3 months using a designed tool based on Canadian CHIRPP and WHO tools. We performed logistic regression analysis to examine the relationship between contributing risk factors (age, sex) and injury types as well as the association of safety measures used (seatbelts or helmets) and body parts injured. RESULTS: A total of 153 patients were collected. Male preponderance with 72%, with mean age 32.6 (SD = 14.9) years. RTI was highest among passengers aged 15 to 29 (48%). Motorcyclists comprised the greatest injury proportion (38%), followed by vehicle-occupants (35%), and pedestrians (25%) (P = .04). Hip injuries represented the most affected body part (48.7%), followed by head/neck (38.2%). Only 31% (n = 47) of victims applied safety measures (seatbelts or helmets). Six drivers (7%) reported cell phone use at collision. The use of safety measures was associated with a substantial reduction in head/neck injuries (P = .03), spine injuries (P = .049), and lower risk of traumatic brain injury (TBI) (P = .02). CONCLUSIONS: RTI is a major health problem in Lebanon. Safety measures, though poorly adhered to, were associated with less severe injuries, and should be further promoted via awareness campaigns and enforcement. Trauma registries are needed to assess the RTI burden and inform safety interventions and quality-of-care improvement programs.

Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 reinfection in a coronavirus disease 2019 recovered young adult: a case report.

BACKGROUND: Coronavirus disease 2019 has been a public health threat and a worldwide emergency for more than a year. Unfortunately, many questions concerning the pathophysiology, management, and long-term side effects remain unanswered, and novel aspects of the disease keep on emerging. Of concern to healthcare providers are the recent reported cases of reinfection. Serum coronavirus disease 2019 antibodies have been detected within a few days after onset of the disease. However, it remains unclear whether this immune response is universal, or whether it can lead to latent immunity. CASE PRESENTATION: A previously healthy 27-year-old white man presented with fever, chills, back pain, and other constitutional symptoms, 2 days after being exposed to coronavirus disease 2019 positive patients. His severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 polymerase chain reaction was positive, and his symptoms resolved over the next 2 weeks. One month after a confirmatory negative severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 polymerase chain reaction, he was found to be ineligible for plasma donation as his anti-severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 serology was negative. The patient redeveloped symptoms similar to his first infection 3 weeks after the negative serology test. He and his wife both tested positive via polymerase chain reaction. Their symptoms resolved over the next few days, and they had a negative polymerase chain reaction test 10 days after the positive polymerase chain reaction. CONCLUSION: While studies showed that anti-severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 immunoglobulins start to develop early after infection, our healthy young patient's immune system failed to mount latent immunity against the virus. This left him, especially amid widespread social and medical misconceptions, vulnerable to reinfection by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2. Our case disputes the timelines for immune response that were set and supported by research studies. Our case also raises questions regarding prioritizing vaccinating other individuals over those with prior infection.